Cheniere Energy Inc. (NYSE:LNG) is one of the most undervalued large cap stocks to invest in now. On January 28, RBC Capital lowered its price target for Cheniere Energy to $271 from $282 while maintaining an Outperform rating. This sentiment was announced as part of the firm’s Q4 2025 preview for the US Midstream sector. The firm attributed its revised estimates primarily to the impact of commodity prices and production curtailments. RBC Capital also noted that while natural gas-focused stocks underperf ...

Core Viewpoint - Cheniere Energy, Inc. is recognized as a significant player in the LNG market, with a strong focus on growth and shareholder returns despite recent adjustments in price targets by analysts [2][3][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Cheniere Energy became the first exporter of LNG from the lower 48 states in 2016 and has invested over $50 billion to establish itself as the leading LNG producer in the US and the second-largest globally [3]. - Approximately 90% of Cheniere's LNG is sold internationally under long-term, fixed-fee contracts, providing a stable cash flow that supports debt reduction, expansion projects, and shareholder returns [3]. Group 2: Financial Strategy and Outlook - The company plans to allocate over $25 billion of available cash through 2030 for growth initiatives, balance sheet management, dividends, and share repurchases, aiming for more than $25 per share in distributable cash flow by the early 2030s [4]. - Jefferies has reduced its price target for Cheniere from $290 to $251, citing lower long-term capacity expectations and softer marketing margins, but maintains a Buy rating, indicating confidence in the company's position despite market volatility [2].

Core Viewpoint - TotalEnergies has announced the full restart of the Mozambique LNG project activities following the lifting of Force Majeure declared in 2021 [1] Group 1: Company Actions - Patrick Pouyanné, Chairman and CEO of TotalEnergies, met with the President of Mozambique to discuss the project [1] - The Mozambique LNG consortium made the decision to lift the Force Majeure on November 7, 2025 [1] Group 2: Project Status - The restart includes both onshore and offshore activities related to the Mozambique LNG project [1]

回顾与现状：周期轮回与紧平衡格局 2020-2024 年全球天然气行业完成"需求塌陷与低价—供给冲击与价涨—供给宽松与价跌"的完整轮回，荷兰 TTF 现 货价格经历极端波动后回落，全球贸易格局实现结构性重塑，欧盟 LNG 进口份额先升后降，美国跃居全球最大 LNG 出 口国，中国重回最大进口国，行业从"区域市场"加速向"全球一体化、LNG 主导"格局演进。2025 年全球天然气市 场呈"量缓价高、结构性紧平衡"，需求增速放缓至 0.9%，供给端依赖北美 LNG 新项目增量但受俄气管道中断等因素 抵消，仍偏紧；需求端欧洲因低库存进行高价补库，亚洲需求稳步增长，中国天然气需求短期增速回落但有望重回高 增长通道。 展望：LNG"超级扩张周期"下的供需重构，欧洲、亚洲气价中枢下行 供给侧：2026 年成为全球 LNG"超级扩张周期"的关键拐点，2026-2030 年预计累计新增约 2.02 亿吨 LNG 产能，较 2025 年增长约 40%，年均增速约 6.8%，产能扩张高度集中于北美与中东，供应版图从"多极分散"加速向"美卡双核" 重塑。同时，俄罗斯管道气"西退东进"与欧盟分步禁俄气的制度安排，使得全球管道气份额持 ...

Core Insights - Global natural gas demand is projected to grow nearly 2% in 2026, driven by a new wave of liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply that is reshaping market dynamics [2][9] - North America is leading the LNG investment surge, with over 80 billion cubic meters (bcm) of U.S. capacity reaching final investment decisions in 2025, reinforcing its position as the world's largest LNG supplier [4][9] - The expansion of LNG supply is expected to enhance market liquidity and reduce long-term price pressures, although short-term price volatility may still occur due to external factors [3][7] LNG Market Dynamics - The International Energy Agency anticipates that global LNG supply will grow by 6.7% in 2025, with a further acceleration to over 7% in 2026, marking the fastest growth since 2019 [5] - LNG is increasingly linking gas markets globally, allowing for more flexible cargo movements and tighter price correlations between European and Asian markets [3] - Demand growth is expected to be primarily driven by China and emerging Asian markets, while European gas demand is forecasted to decline as renewables replace gas in power generation [6] Investment Opportunities - Companies such as Shell, Kinder Morgan, and ExxonMobil are positioned to benefit from the expanding LNG market, each playing a significant role in the LNG value chain [9][10] - Shell has a long-standing presence in the LNG industry, with about 40 million tons of equity capacity and operations across the entire LNG value chain [11][12] - Kinder Morgan focuses on reliability and logistics in its LNG business, with a vertically integrated model that includes liquefaction, storage, and delivery capabilities [13][14] - ExxonMobil has extensive LNG experience, producing nearly 25 million tons per year and engaging in key projects globally, including in Papua New Guinea and Australia [15][16]

Group 1 - Cheniere Energy Inc. is considered one of the best inexpensive stocks to buy currently, with analysts maintaining an Overweight rating despite recent price target adjustments [1][2] - Barclays analyst Theresa Chen lowered the price target for Cheniere Energy to $259 from $262, while Wells Fargo reduced its target to $280 from $284, both citing lower international spreads and delays in expansion projects [1][2] - Citi also lowered its price target for Cheniere Energy to $280 from $283, maintaining a Buy rating, as part of a financial model update for Q4 2025 [3] Group 2 - The adjustments in price targets reflect concerns over companies with high exposure to crude and refined liquids, while natural gas-focused operators like Cheniere are expected to perform well due to a strong outlook for the gas market [1] - Despite the adjustments, analysts believe Cheniere remains undervalued, even if no additional expansions reach the Final Investment Decision (FID) stage [2]

Group 1 - The analyst has over a decade of experience researching various companies across different sectors, including commodities like oil, natural gas, gold, and copper, as well as technology firms such as Google and Nokia [1] - The analyst has transitioned from writing a blog to creating a value investing-focused YouTube channel, where extensive research on hundreds of companies has been conducted [1] - The analyst expresses a particular interest in covering metals and mining stocks, while also being comfortable with other industries such as consumer discretionary/staples, REITs, and utilities [1]

European natural gas inventories crossed below the five-year average at the start of 2025, and as of now, the gap widened to over 20% below the five-year average. It is a gap that amounts to about 17Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of EQNR, LNG either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationsh ...

Exports of crude oil and liquefied natural gas from U.S. Gulf Coast ports tumbled to zero on Sunday, after a massive winter storm swept across the country, ship tracking service Vortexa said. ...

Core Insights - U.S. LNG exports surged 24% to a record 14.6 Bcf/d in 2025, driven by new capacity and infrastructure projects, despite facing headwinds in 4Q25 due to tightening spreads between global LNG prices and U.S. benchmarks [1][2] U.S. LNG Capacity Expansion - 2025 marked a historic year for U.S. LNG, with exports reaching new highs and approximately 9 Bcf/d of new capacity beginning construction, including major projects from Venture Global, Woodside Energy, and Sempra Infrastructure [1] - LNG exports increased by 26% year-over-year, primarily due to the ramp-up of Venture Global's Plaquemines facility and the completion of Cheniere Energy's Corpus Christi Stage 3 [1] - An additional ~2.4 Bcf/d of capacity is expected to come online in 2026, driven by expansions from VG and Exxon [1] - The only Final Investment Decision (FID) in 4Q25 was for NextDecade's Rio Grande Train 5, while Energy Transfer suspended its Lake Charles LNG project [1] Global Market Headwinds - LNG-related stocks faced pressure in 4Q25, with liquefaction being the worst-performing subsector in the Alerian Midstream Energy Select Index [1] - The spread between European and Asian LNG markers and the U.S. Henry Hub benchmark compressed to multi-year lows of $4-$6 per million British thermal unit (MMBtu) by December [1] - Cheniere Energy, with over 90% of its production contracted long-term, remained insulated from spot price volatility, while Venture Global faced challenges due to its strategy of delaying commercial operations [1] - Cold weather forecasts and declining gas inventories in early 2026 have led to a rebound in global benchmarks, improving margins for LNG exporters [1] Potential Near-Term FIDs - Three LNG projects that were expected to reach FID by the end of 2025 have now pushed their targets into the first half of 2026, including Delfin FLNG, Commonwealth LNG, and Texas LNG [2] - Glenfarne signed a definitive sales and purchase agreement for its Texas LNG project, fully subscribing the project and targeting completion of financing and FID in early 2026 [2] Bottom Line - LNG export projects under construction are set to double U.S. export capacity by 2031, with more projects potentially starting construction soon [2] - While oversupply concerns impacted the market in 4Q25, fundamentals have shown improvement heading into 2026 [2]