About this content About Emily Jarvie Emily began her career as a political journalist for Australian Community Media in Hobart, Tasmania. After she relocated to Toronto, Canada, she reported on business, legal, and scientific developments in the emerging psychedelics sector before joining Proactive in 2022. She brings a strong journalism background with her work featured in newspapers, magazines, and digital publications across Australia, Europe, and North America, including The Examiner, The Advocate, ...

Lululemon Athletica Inc (NASDAQ:LULU) stock is sliding ahead of the athletic retailer's third-quarter earnings report, due out after the close Thursday, Dec. 11. Jeffries expects disappointing results, reiterating its "underperform" rating and slashing its price target to $120 today. The firm cited shrinking margins, pricing pressures, and competition from Alo Yoga, pushing the shares down 4.8% to trade at $180.80 at last glance. On the charts, LULU has yet to recover from its September 5 post-earnings bear ...

Key Takeaways LULU expects Q3 sales to rise 3.8% y/y, even as earnings are projected to fall sharply.Persistent U.S. weakness, higher tariffs and markdowns are set to pressure margins in the quarter.International markets, led by Mainland China, are forecast to deliver strong double-digit growth.lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) is likely to witness top-line growth when it reports third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on Dec. 11, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal third-quarter sales is pe ...

Core Viewpoint - Lululemon Athletica is experiencing significant challenges in 2025, with a year-to-date stock decline of 51.9%, driven by slowing U.S. sales and changing consumer preferences in the athletic apparel market [1] Group 1: Sales and Consumer Behavior - Lululemon's products, once trendsetters, are now perceived as predictable, leading to decreased customer visits and purchase frequency [2] - The company is facing a cautious consumer environment, particularly in discretionary spending on performance wear [1] Group 2: Competitive and External Pressures - Increased competition from both premium brands and emerging challengers is intensifying market pressures on Lululemon [3] - Recent tariff changes have negatively impacted profitability, particularly as a significant portion of U.S. online orders is fulfilled from Canada, which has seen the elimination of the $800 de minimis threshold [3] Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - Lululemon's Q3 revenue is projected to be between $2.47 billion and $2.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3% to 4%, a slowdown from the 7% growth in the first half of fiscal 2025 [6] - Management is implementing pricing adjustments, vendor negotiations, and cost-cutting initiatives to address ongoing cost pressures and slowing demand, although these measures may take time to positively impact financials [5] Group 4: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Despite a recent stock gain of approximately 10.7% over the past month, historical trends indicate that Lululemon shares have declined following earnings announcements in the last three quarters [4] - Options traders are anticipating a potential post-earnings stock movement of around 10.1%, which is lower than the average four-quarter movement of 17.1% [4]

Core Insights - Lululemon (LULU) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.22 per share, reflecting a decline of 22.7% year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to reach $2.49 billion, an increase of 3.8% compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - There have been no revisions in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' forecasts [1][2] Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Net Revenue by Channel- E-commerce' to be $981.41 million, a 3.9% increase from the prior year [4] - 'Net Revenue by Channel- Company-operated stores' is estimated at $1.26 billion, reflecting a 4.2% year-over-year change [4] - 'Net Revenue by Channel- Other channels' is expected to reach $260.68 million, indicating an 8% increase from the previous year [5] - 'Net Revenue by Category- Accessories and other categories' is projected at $321.46 million, showing an 11% year-over-year growth [5] - 'Geographic Revenues- China Mainland' is forecasted to be $395.16 million, representing a significant increase of 24.1% [5] - 'Geographic Revenues- Rest of World' is estimated at $359.20 million, a 16.7% increase from the prior year [6] - 'Geographic Revenues- Americas' is expected to be $1.74 billion, reflecting a slight decline of 1.5% year-over-year [6] - 'Geographic Revenues- United States' is projected at $1.40 billion, indicating a decrease of 1.9% compared to the previous year [6] Store and Sales Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Total stores' to reach 798, up from 749 a year ago [7] - 'Total Gross Square Footage' is projected at 3,597 thousand square feet, an increase from 3,231 thousand square feet last year [7] - 'Total Comparable Sales (Change in constant dollars)' is expected to be 0.0%, down from 3.0% in the same quarter last year [7] - The consensus for 'Total Comparable Sales' is -0.6%, compared to 4.0% a year ago [8] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Lululemon shares have returned +14.4%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.2% change [8]

Core Viewpoint - Lululemon's stock has experienced significant valuation compression, now trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.4 times, reflecting concerns over slowing North American demand and rising costs, leading to a potential shift from a premium growth stock to a value stock [3][5][17] Valuation Changes - The stock's valuation has reset dramatically, trading well below its five-year average, indicating market concerns about the company's performance [5][6] - The current P/E ratio of 11.4 times is a significant drop from previous valuations that often exceeded 35 to 40 times earnings [2][5] Business Performance - Despite a slowdown in U.S. demand, Lululemon maintains high gross margins, reported at 58.5% as of August 3, 2025, which are among the highest in the apparel industry [9][10] - The company's balance sheet remains strong and cash-generative, supported by a direct-to-consumer model and tight inventory discipline [10] International Growth - International markets, particularly China and Europe, are experiencing double-digit growth, providing Lululemon with multiple growth opportunities outside North America [11][12] Market Sentiment - Current market sentiment is overly pessimistic, with concerns about brand cooling in the U.S. stemming from inconsistent product execution and increased competition [13][14] - Lululemon continues to enjoy high customer loyalty and a strong social media presence, indicating a differentiated position in the performance apparel market [14] Future Outlook - The company is addressing product missteps and has a plan to stabilize U.S. demand, which could lead to a positive sentiment shift if executed well [15][18] - There is a potential opportunity for investors if Lululemon can return to its historical growth trajectory, as the stock is currently at a multi-year low valuation [18]

Group 1: Tariff Implications - The Supreme Court is reviewing the legality of President Trump's tariffs, with a decision expected in early 2026, potentially affecting $90 billion in tariff revenue for fiscal year 2025 [2] - U.S. households are projected to incur an additional cost of $1,100 in 2025 due to tariffs, with an estimated income loss of $1,700 per household [3] - The apparel sector, particularly Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU), has seen significant stock declines, with shares down over 50% year-to-date in 2025 due to tariff impacts [3] Group 2: Market Reactions - The auto industry has experienced volatility due to tariffs, with a 25% tariff on non-compliant vehicles causing significant stock drops for major automakers like General Motors and Ford [6] - Following a potential tariff pause, automaker stocks rebounded, indicating the market's sensitivity to tariff announcements [6] - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant crash in April 2025 due to new tariff policies, with the S&P 500 dropping 4.84% [10] Group 3: Consumer Impact - New tariffs could lead to a 107% increase in prices for Italian pasta, potentially causing a pasta shortage in American supermarkets by January 2026 [9] - The meatpacking industry, dominated by major players like JBS and Tyson Foods, is under scrutiny for rising food prices, which have been exacerbated by tariff policies [8] Group 4: Overall Market Volatility - Analysts note that 2025 has been characterized by unusual market volatility driven by tariffs, rate uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions [10] - Despite significant market declines, the S&P 500 managed a 17% overall advance in 2025, showcasing the market's resilience [10] - The market's reaction to tariff announcements often involves initial declines followed by recoveries, indicating a complex relationship between policy and investor sentiment [12]

Core Insights - Lululemon Athletica's management strategy is expected to drive higher revenue in the upcoming year, presenting a potential investment opportunity for investors [1] - The stock has experienced volatility but is currently available at a modest valuation, which could lead to significant returns [1][3] - Recent revenue growth of 6.5% year-over-year is below the company's historical average of 20%, but this has already been factored into the stock price [3][5] Financial Performance - Lululemon's total revenue growth has slowed, with a recent quarter showing only 6.5% growth compared to a decade-long average of 20% [3] - The company's market capitalization stands at $23 billion, with a current stock price of $190.02 [4] - The stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio is 14, indicating an attractive valuation for a premium brand [6] Market Dynamics - Easing inflation and lower interest rates are anticipated to boost demand for Lululemon's products in the coming years [3] - Management plans to introduce new styles in the spring to combat inventory staleness and stimulate demand [5] - The stock is viewed as a compelling buy for 2026, especially for investors looking to diversify their portfolios with potentially undervalued stocks [7]

Lululemon Athletica's stock price has plummeted this year, but a comeback might be in the works.Why is famed investor Michael Burry going long on Lululemon Athletica (LULU +3.49%)? The guy who was one of the inspirations for the book and later the film "The Big Short" says it's because the stock for this upscale athletic apparel retailer and manufacturer has been oversold and is now a bargain, according to recent statements in his newsletter, Cassandra Unchained. Lululemon needs a comebackWhether he's righ ...

Core Viewpoint - Sirius XM and Lululemon Athletica are both under significant pressure, with Sirius XM's stock down 66% over the past three years and Lululemon's shares trading 64% below their peak. Investors are considering potential buy-the-dip opportunities, with Lululemon being identified as the better investment option currently [1][2][14]. Sirius XM - Sirius XM has garnered attention due to Berkshire Hathaway's 37% stake, but the stock is currently seen as a poor investment due to a declining self-pay subscriber base and falling revenues [1][7]. - The stock is trading at a low forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.9, making it appear cheap [4]. - The current dividend yield of 5.09% is attractive for income-focused investors [5]. - The company generated 75% of its revenue from subscriptions in Q3, but the self-pay subscriber base has declined in eight of the last eleven quarters, indicating potential long-term issues [6][7]. Lululemon Athletica - Lululemon's shares are trading at a forward P/E multiple of 13.6, which is 38% cheaper than the overall S&P 500, reflecting market skepticism [9]. - The company has faced challenges, including flat sales in the U.S. market and increased costs due to tariffs, but it maintains a strong brand and pricing power due to its high-quality products [10][11]. - Revenue in China increased by 25% year-over-year in Q2, and the company is expanding its store presence in the country to capitalize on growth opportunities [12]. - Lululemon's net income grew 180% from fiscal 2019 to fiscal 2024, suggesting a positive profit trajectory despite current challenges [13].