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Smart Money Is Betting Big In LULU Options - Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ:LULU)
Benzinga· 2025-12-04 19:00
Core Viewpoint - Investors are showing a bullish stance on Lululemon Athletica, indicated by significant options trading activity, suggesting that there may be upcoming developments that could impact the stock price [1][2]. Options Trading Activity - Benzinga's options scanner identified 29 uncommon options trades for Lululemon Athletica, with a split sentiment among big-money traders: 41% bullish and 41% bearish [2][3]. - The total amount for put options was $1,085,113, while call options totaled $1,437,728, indicating a notable interest in both directions [3]. Price Projections - The analysis of volume and open interest suggests that major players are targeting a price range for Lululemon Athletica between $150.0 and $300.0 over the past quarter [4]. Volume and Open Interest Trends - Insights into volume and open interest are crucial for understanding liquidity and interest levels in Lululemon Athletica's options, particularly within the strike price range of $150.0 to $300.0 over the past month [5]. Largest Options Trades - Significant options trades include: - A call trade with a total price of $460,000 at a strike price of $220.00, expiring on 09/18/26 [9]. - A put trade valued at $363,300 with a strike price of $175.00, expiring on 12/19/25 [9]. - Additional bearish call trades with varying strike prices and sentiments, indicating mixed market expectations [9]. Current Market Status - Lululemon Athletica has a consensus target price of $222.0 from three market experts, with individual ratings reflecting a range of sentiments from Neutral to Buy [12][13]. - Trading volume for Lululemon Athletica stands at 1,808,405, with the stock price at $182.71, showing a slight increase of 0.22% [15].
lululemon athletica inc. (LULU): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-04 16:43
Core Thesis - Lululemon Athletica Inc. is viewed positively despite a significant decline in share price, with a current trading price of $184.18 and trailing and forward P/E ratios of 12.57 and 13.72 respectively [1][2] Financial Performance - The company has experienced a decline of 65% from peak valuations, yet it maintains strong fundamentals with revenue growth from $0.1 billion in 2007 to $10.9 billion LTM, alongside gross margins of 59% and operating margins of 23% [2][3] Market Position and Strategy - Lululemon differentiates itself through global brand strength, a community-driven model, and product innovation, competing effectively against major players like Nike and Adidas [3] - The company's diversification across physical stores, e-commerce, and interactive fitness, along with a broadening product portfolio, provides multiple avenues for recovery [4] Growth Opportunities - International markets, especially China and Europe, present significant growth potential, while the underpenetrated men's segment and early-stage footwear line offer multi-year expansion opportunities [4] Risks and Resilience - Near-term risks include elevated inventory levels of $1.7 billion and slower inventory turns, which have contributed to negative sentiment and a valuation reset [5] - Despite these challenges, the company generates strong cash flow of $1.9 billion from operations and has a clean balance sheet, which provides downside protection [5] Future Outlook - If inventory normalizes and growth accelerates through international expansion and product category diversification, there is potential for a significant re-rating of the stock, with upside estimates ranging from 50% to 150% [6] - The current selloff is seen as excessive pessimism relative to Lululemon's structural strengths, presenting an attractive entry point for long-term investors willing to navigate near-term volatility [6]
Earnings Preview: Lululemon (LULU) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 16:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Lululemon (LULU) will report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues when it releases its results for the quarter ended October 2025 [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - Lululemon is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.22 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 22.7% [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $2.49 billion, which is a 3.7% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.15% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Lululemon is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.28%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, but its predictive power is significant mainly for positive readings [9][10]. - Lululemon currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Lululemon exceeded the expected earnings of $2.84 per share, achieving actual earnings of $3.10, resulting in a surprise of +9.15% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Lululemon has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - While Lululemon does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].
望远镜系列30之2025Q3财报总结:全年确定性渐强,期待库存周期切换和Nike修复共振β
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-04 14:08
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the textile, apparel, and luxury goods industry is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - The report summarizes the Q3 2025 financial performance of overseas sports brands, highlighting sales performance, profitability, and inventory status, indicating a gradual improvement in overall performance [2][4] - Revenue performance among major footwear and apparel companies shows divergence, with some brands experiencing strong growth while others face challenges [5][6] - The outlook for the industry suggests a gradual recovery in demand and inventory replenishment, particularly for brands like Adidas and On, while Nike continues to face headwinds [8][36] Revenue Performance - Revenue growth varied significantly among companies in Q3 2025, with Adidas (+12%), On (+35%), and Amer Sports (+30%) showing strong growth, while Nike and VF both reported a decline of -1% [5][19] - The overall revenue performance in Q3 2025 improved compared to Q2, despite some brands continuing to face pressure [5][6] Guidance - The visibility for the full year has improved, with brands like UA restoring full-year guidance, indicating a positive trend despite expected performance divergence [6][26] - Strong growth trends are expected to continue for On and Amer Sports, while Nike and VF are projected to see declines but with signs of improvement [6][31] Inventory - The industry is entering a phase of inventory replenishment, with moderate recovery in demand observed in the U.S. and Europe, although challenges remain in certain markets [7][36] - U.S. apparel inventory levels are in a destocking phase, with wholesale inventory ratios declining since 2023, while retail inventory levels have stabilized [7][36] Future Outlook - The industry is expected to gradually transition into a replenishment phase, with demand showing signs of recovery, particularly in the U.S. apparel sector [8][36] - Brands like Adidas are actively seeking to replenish inventory for growth, while Nike continues to destock amid ongoing challenges [8][36]
Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, Nasdaq Futures Advance Amid Cooling Labor Market—UiPath, Snowflake, Lululemon In Focus - SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzinga· 2025-12-04 10:13
Market Overview - U.S. stock futures rose on Thursday, following gains on Wednesday, with major benchmark indices slightly higher [1] - The ADP report indicated a loss of 32,000 jobs in November, missing the forecast of a 5,000 gain, reinforcing views of a cooling labor market [2] - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.09%, while the two-year bond was at 3.51%, with an 87% likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [2] Stock Performance - UiPath Inc. (NYSE:PATH) saw a premarket jump of 9.02% after reporting strong third-quarter results and issuing optimistic fourth-quarter sales guidance [6] - Salesforce Inc. (NYSE:CRM) rose 2.02% following better-than-expected third-quarter earnings and an increase in FY26 guidance [6] - Snowflake Inc. (NYSE:SNOW) tumbled 8.87% despite reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results, as its operating margin guidance weighed on shares [6] - Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) was up 0.0055% with expectations of quarterly earnings at $2.21 per share on revenue of $2.48 billion [14] - Nauticus Robotics Inc. (NASDAQ:KITT) soared 31.41% after reports of support from Commerce Secretary for growth in the robotics sector [14] Economic Insights - Professor Jeremy Siegel identified a critical turning point for the U.S. economy, suggesting that the falling 10-year Treasury yield indicates potential Federal Reserve policy changes [11] - Siegel described the current labor market as a "no-fire, no-hire" environment, supporting continued consumer spending despite negative sentiment [12] - He highlighted the competition in the AI sector, particularly between platforms like Gemini and OpenAI, while maintaining a positive long-term outlook for AI's impact on productivity and earnings [12][13]
Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, Nasdaq Futures Advance Amid Cooling Labor Market—UiPath, Snowflake, Lululemon In Focus
Benzinga· 2025-12-04 10:13
Market Overview - U.S. stock futures rose on Thursday, following gains on Wednesday, with major benchmark indices slightly higher [1] - The ADP report indicated that U.S. private employers shed 32,000 jobs in November, missing the forecast for a 5,000 gain, reinforcing views of a cooling labor market [2] - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.09%, while the two-year bond was at 3.51%, with an 87% likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December [2] Stock Performance - UiPath Inc. (NYSE:PATH) jumped 9.02% in premarket after reporting strong third-quarter results and issuing fourth-quarter sales guidance above estimates [6] - Salesforce Inc. (NYSE:CRM) rose 2.02% after better-than-expected third-quarter earnings and raising its FY26 guidance [6] - Snowflake Inc. (NYSE:SNOW) tumbled 8.87% despite reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results, as its operating margin guidance weighed on shares [6] - Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) was up 0.0055% with analysts expecting quarterly earnings of $2.21 per share on revenue of $2.48 billion [14] - Nauticus Robotics Inc. (NASDAQ:KITT) soared 31.41% following reports of support from Commerce Secretary for growth in the robotics sector [14] Economic Insights - Professor Jeremy Siegel identified a critical turning point for the U.S. economy as the 10-year Treasury yield falls, suggesting a 25-basis-point cut is likely in the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting [11] - Siegel described the current labor market as a "no-fire, no-hire" environment, supporting continued consumer spending despite negative sentiment [12] - The technology sector is experiencing intense competition between major AI platforms, with a long-term positive outlook for productivity and earnings [13]
Michael Burry's Pick Lululemon Faces 'De Minimis' Test In Q3: But Bulls Expect 'Retail Bellwether' To Surge By Over 60% In 2 Years - Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ:LULU)
Benzinga· 2025-12-04 06:54
Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) heads into its third-quarter earnings report as a battleground stock. Recently revealed as a high-conviction contrarian pick by ‘Big Short’ investor Michael Burry—who views the 2025 sell-off as “window dressing”—the company nonetheless faces an immediate financial hurdle.Check out LULU’s stock price here.Michael Burry’s Four PicksBurry, in a post on his Substack on Nov. 27, revealed the four stocks that he currently owns and likes, including LULU.The ‘De Minimis’ Margi ...
Is Lululemon Athletica Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-04 03:20
Vancouver, Canada-based Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU) operates as a lifestyle-inspired athletic apparel company specializing in yoga, running, training, and other active pursuits. With a market cap of $21.6 billion, Lululemon is renowned for the comfort of its clothing and its ability to create transformative products and experiences. Companies worth $10 billion or more are generally described as "large-cap stocks." Lululemon fits right into that category, with its market cap exceeding this threshold, r ...
Why Is Michael Burry So Bullish on Lululemon Stock? And Should You Be, Too?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-03 19:55
Core Insights - Michael Burry, known for his contrarian investment strategies, has recently closed his hedge fund, Scion Asset Management, allowing him to share investment advice freely [2] - Burry identifies opportunities in the current market, particularly in companies that have been oversold due to year-end practices like window dressing and tax-loss harvesting [3] - Lululemon Athletica (LULU) is highlighted as a potential investment despite its stock being down over 50% this year, with Burry suggesting it is at least a hold for the next three to five years [3] Company Overview - Lululemon Athletica is a Vancouver-based company specializing in athletic apparel primarily for women and girls, offering a range of products including fitness pants, shorts, tops, and jackets [4] - The company has a current market capitalization of $21.6 billion [4] Stock Performance - Lululemon's stock has decreased by 52% year-to-date, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which is up 17%, and the consumer discretionary sector, which is up 5% [5] - The stock is trading at a trailing price-earnings ratio of 12.4x, significantly lower than its five-year mean of 46.8x, indicating that it is exceptionally cheap at present [6]
LULU Q3 EPS Preview: Are Shares Stretched to the Downside Enough?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 16:20
Company Overview - Lululemon Athletica Inc. is a yoga-inspired athletic apparel company founded in 1998 and based in Vancouver, Canada, offering a variety of athletic apparel and accessories for women, men, and children [1] - The company primarily sells its products through brick-and-mortar retail stores in North America while expanding through e-commerce and international retail locations [1] Q3 Earnings Preview - Lululemon is set to report its EPS on December 11, with Wall Street expecting low sales growth of 3.72% and negative year-over-year EPS growth [2] - Zacks Consensus Estimates for sales are $2.49 billion for the current quarter and $10.98 billion for the current year, reflecting a year-over-year growth estimate of 3.68% [3] Sales and EPS Estimates - Current quarter sales estimates range from $2.44 billion to $2.56 billion, with year-over-year sales growth estimated at 3.72% [3] - EPS estimates for the current quarter are between $2.16 and $2.26, with a year-over-year decline of 22.65% expected [4] Challenges Facing Lululemon - Lululemon shares have declined by approximately 50% year-to-date, underperforming the market and peers [5] - The company faces significant challenges including tariff impacts, with an estimated $240 million hit in fiscal 2025 and $320 million in fiscal 2026 [6] - Increased competition from new brands and established lifestyle brands is affecting Lululemon's market position [6] - The North American business is contracting due to consumer hesitance amid rising interest rates and inflation fears [7] Market Reaction and Expectations - The options market is pricing in a potential move of +/- 13% following the Q3 EPS announcement [4] - The upcoming EPS report is critical as the company navigates margin pressures, competition, and slowing demand, with the market questioning if the negative news is already priced in [7]