Lumen(LUMN)
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Why Lumen Stock Is Sinking Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-31 19:15
Core Insights - Lumen's stock is experiencing a decline despite a better-than-expected quarterly report, with a drop of 4.9% as of 3 p.m. ET and a peak decline of 21.3% at market open [1][3] - The company reported a non-GAAP adjusted loss of $0.20 per share on revenue of $3.09 billion for Q3, surpassing Wall Street's expectations of a loss of $0.27 per share on sales of $3.04 billion [3] - Year-over-year revenue decreased by 4%, but Lumen is focusing on networking technologies and services for artificial intelligence (AI), which has contributed to an 82.5% increase in share price year-to-date [4] Financial Performance - Lumen's full-year adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $3.2 billion and $3.4 billion, with free cash flow expected to range from $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion [5] - The company reaffirmed its previously issued guidance, although some investors anticipated an increase in forecasts due to recent AI-related deals [6] Market Sentiment - Despite the positive Q3 results, Lumen's stock is falling, indicating market skepticism or disappointment regarding the lack of raised guidance [7] - Lumen Technologies was not included in a list of top stock recommendations, suggesting a cautious outlook from analysts [8]
5 Stocks to Stuff Your Portfolio This November
Investing· 2025-10-31 13:09
Core Insights - The article highlights five stocks that are expected to perform well in November, driven by earnings results, improving outlooks, and investor confidence [2][5][10]. Company Summaries - **MongoDB (MDB)**: Analysts have regained confidence in MongoDB due to a better-than-expected Q2 earnings report, leading to increased coverage and upgrades. The stock is viewed as fairly valued with a potential upside of approximately 30% to $430. Upcoming earnings on December 8 are anticipated to exceed consensus estimates [3][4][5]. - **Amprius Technologies (AMPX)**: The stock is in an uptrend, exhibiting a Bull Flag Pattern that suggests a potential price target of $19. The company is expected to outperform estimates in its earnings report on November 6, supported by strong demand from UAV and drone manufacturers [7][9]. - **Salesforce (CRM)**: After hitting a market low, Salesforce is poised for a recovery with expectations of revenue growth returning to double digits, driven by AI. Analysts forecast a 30% increase in stock value, with long-term projections suggesting potential gains of over 100% [10][12]. - **NVIDIA (NVDA)**: NVIDIA's stock is experiencing upward momentum driven by strong GPU demand and market expectations for significant earnings outperformance. The stock is projected to reach $270 or higher, with volatility expected around the earnings release [13][15]. - **Palantir (PLTR)**: Palantir's stock has recently reached an all-time high, supported by a deal expansion with Lumen Technologies to enhance AI deployment. The company is expected to report over 10% sequential growth in its upcoming earnings on November 3 [16][17].
Lumen Technologies, Inc. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:LUMN) 2025-10-31
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 08:02
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content or key points related to a company or industry [1]
Lumen (LUMN) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2025-10-31 01:01
Core Insights - Lumen reported a revenue of $3.09 billion for Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 4.2% and an EPS of -$0.20 compared to -$0.13 a year ago, with a revenue surprise of +1.39% over estimates [1] - The stock has shown a significant return of +81.2% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.6% change, and currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [3] Revenue Breakdown - Large Enterprise revenue totaled $752 million, exceeding the average estimate of $713.56 million, but representing a year-over-year decline of -10.4% [4] - Mid-Market Enterprise revenue was $488 million, slightly below the average estimate of $498.4 million, showing a year-over-year increase of +3.6% [4] - Public Sector revenue reached $478 million, surpassing the estimated $458 million, with a year-over-year increase of +11.9% [4] - Fiber Broadband revenue was reported at $225 million, aligning closely with the average estimate of $225.16 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of +18.4% [4] - Wholesale revenue totaled $658 million, below the average estimate of $672.64 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of -6.8% [4] - Voice and Other revenue was $176 million, exceeding the average estimate of $164 million, but showing a year-over-year decline of -17.4% [4] - International and Other revenue was $80 million, below the average estimate of $85.59 million, with a year-over-year decline of -14% [4] - Total Business Segment Revenue was $2.46 billion, slightly above the estimated $2.43 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -3.2% [4] - Total Mass Markets Revenue was $631 million, exceeding the average estimate of $615.9 million, with a year-over-year decline of -7.9% [4] - Other Broadband revenue was $230 million, slightly above the estimated $227.24 million, showing a year-over-year decline of -18.4% [4]
Lumen Technologies Rises Despite Q3 Revenue Falling Short
247Wallst· 2025-10-30 22:53
Core Insights - Lumen Technologies (NYSE: LUMN) exceeded adjusted earnings expectations and delivered cash flow that was ahead of forecasts in Q3 [1] - However, the company's revenue fell short of estimates due to a continued decline in legacy telecom segments [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings expectations were beaten, indicating strong operational performance [1] - Cash flow performance was better than forecasted, suggesting effective cash management [1] - Revenue performance did not meet estimates, highlighting challenges in the legacy telecom business [1]
Lumen Technologies (LUMN) Rallies After Hours After Earnings Beat
247Wallst· 2025-10-30 22:22
Core Insights - Lumen Technologies (NYSE: LUMN) exceeded adjusted earnings expectations and delivered cash flow ahead of forecasts in Q3 [1] - However, revenue fell short of estimates due to a decline in legacy telecom segments [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings beat expectations, indicating strong operational performance [1] - Cash flow was reported to be ahead of forecasts, suggesting effective cash management [1] - Revenue decline reflects ongoing challenges in the legacy telecom business, impacting overall financial results [1]
Lumen Stock Climbs After Q3 Earnings Report: Details
Benzinga· 2025-10-30 22:01
Core Insights - Lumen Technologies, Inc. reported third-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings per share, leading to a rise in stock price [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported quarterly losses of 20 cents per share, beating the analyst estimate of losses of 27 cents [2]. - Quarterly revenue was $3.08 billion, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $3.03 billion [2]. - Financial results included exceeding expectations for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow [5]. Operational Execution - The company successfully implemented Phase I of its ERP system [5]. - Progress was made on the sale of consumer FTTH to AT&T, targeted to close in early 2026 [5]. - A $2.4 billion debt refinancing and term loan repricing were completed, resulting in an annual interest expense saving of $135 million year to date [5]. Growth Initiatives - In October, Lumen secured $1 billion in new Private Connectivity Fabric deals, bringing the total deal value to over $10 billion [5]. - The company is scaling its NaaS platform and launching IoD offnet innovation [5]. - CEO Kate Johnson emphasized the company's disciplined execution and bold ambition in advancing its transformation agenda [4].
Lumen(LUMN) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $3.087 billion, a decline of 4.2% year over year, while business segment revenue decreased by 3.2% to $2.456 billion [21] - Adjusted EBITDA was $787 million with a margin of 25.5%, down from approximately $900 million in the previous year [24] - Free cash flow for the quarter was over $1.7 billion, reflecting strong financial performance [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America enterprise grow revenue increased by 10.5% year over year, now representing 50% of North America enterprise revenue, up from 35.5% three years ago [4][22] - Mass market segment revenue declined by 7.7% to $631 million, while fiber broadband revenue increased by 18.4% year over year [23] - The number of active customers in the Network-as-a-Service (NAS) grew by 32% since the last quarter, with services sold increasing by 36% [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed over $1 billion in Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) deals, bringing the total deal value to over $10 billion [4] - The company completed more than 3,200 miles of overpulls, achieving approximately 130% of its end-year 2025 target [9] - The company added approximately 122,000 fiber-enabled homes, bringing the total to approximately 4.5 million [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on transforming its business model to support the AI economy, emphasizing the need for a fundamental reset in networking to support Cloud 2.0 [5][6] - The strategy includes building a connected ecosystem and enhancing digital capabilities, with expectations of generating $900 million to $1.1 billion in incremental revenue by 2028 [17][28] - The company is committed to a disciplined approach in signing deals that are value accretive to shareholders [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving adjusted EBITDA stability over the next few quarters, with an inflection to growth expected in 2026 [26] - The company anticipates that the early 2026 closing of the AT&T transaction will significantly improve its debt profile and reduce annual interest expenses [20] - Management highlighted the urgency for structural change in network architecture due to the advent of AI, with expectations of data center footprints growing tenfold by 2030 [5][6] Other Important Information - The company is on track to achieve $350 million in run-rate cost takeout through its ERP system implementation [3] - The company has reduced annual interest expenses by approximately $235 million year to date through proactive balance sheet management [19] - The company expects free cash flow to be lumpy quarter to quarter as it moves through large PCF builds [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on PCF deals and revenue growth - Management confirmed that the new $1 billion in PCF bookings has margins equivalent to previous deals and emphasized a disciplined approach to business [32] Question: Insights on grow revenue and sustainability - Management indicated that grow revenue is expected to continue growing, driven by dark fiber and IP, and is becoming a larger portion of the North America enterprise revenue base [32][36] Question: Revenue impact from recent announcements - Management stated that the recent announcements are part of the connected ecosystem strategy, which is expected to improve results over time [40][44] Question: Clarification on the digital revenue outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving $500 million to $600 million in digital revenue by 2028, with multiple pathways to reach this goal [44][50] Question: Investments needed for digital platform growth - Management acknowledged significant investments are required for building the digital platform, which are already included in their plans [51] Question: Disconnects of legacy services - Management noted that disconnects have returned to normal levels and highlighted a one-time revenue item from the previous year as a significant factor [52]
Lumen(LUMN) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-30 21:00
Financial Highlights - Reached over $10 billion in PCF deals signed to date[8] - Debt refinancing and term loan repricing of $24 billion extends maturities and reduces cash interest[8] - Total revenue was $3087 billion, a decrease of 42% year-over-year[36] - Adjusted EBITDA was $787 million, a decrease of 125% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 255%[41] - Free cash flow was $1661 billion[44] Strategic Initiatives and Growth - Over 1500 customers adopted Lumen NaaS since launch[8] - NaaS customers increased by 32% quarter-over-quarter, fabric ports deployed by customers increased by 30%, and services sold across all fabric ports increased by 36%[22] - Fiber broadband revenue in Mass Markets was $225 million, an increase of 184% year-over-year, contributing 36% to total broadband revenue[38] Network and Infrastructure - Total intercity fiber miles increased from 12 million in 2022 to a planned 17 million in 2025, with a vision of 47 million by 2028[13] - Hyperscaler utilization is projected to increase from 30% in 2022 to 45% in 2025 and 57% in 2028[13] Debt and Leverage - Total debt as of September 30, 2025, was $180 billion[34] - Pro forma total debt after planned paydown and Lumen SP debt paydown is projected to be $131 billion, with gross leverage less than 38x[34]
Lumen(LUMN) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-10-30 20:20
Financial Performance - For the three months ended September 30, 2025, consolidated operating revenue decreased by $134 million (4%) to $3,087 million compared to $3,221 million for the same period in 2024[200]. - Operating expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2025, increased by $108 million (3%) to $3,203 million compared to $3,095 million for the same period in 2024[201]. - The net loss for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $621 million, compared to a net loss of $148 million for the same period in 2024, resulting in a basic loss per share of $0.62[199]. - The Business segment revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $2,456 million, a decrease of $81 million (3%) from $2,537 million in the same period in 2024[200]. - The Mass Markets segment revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $631 million, down $53 million (8%) from $684 million in the same period in 2024[200]. - Total operating revenue decreased to $3,087 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, down from $3,221 million in 2024, with the Business segment revenue decreasing by $81 million[220]. - Business segment adjusted EBITDA was $1,108 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, representing a 1% increase compared to the same period in 2024[221]. - Total segment adjusted EBITDA was $347 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, representing 55% of segment revenue, compared to 52% for the same period in 2024[227]. Expenses and Costs - The company reported a total other expense of $697 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $298 million for the same period in 2024[199]. - Cost of services and products increased by $8 million and $14 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the same periods in 2024, primarily due to a $41 million increase in employee-related expenses[203]. - Selling, general and administrative expenses increased by $133 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, mainly due to a $120 million increase in professional fees and legal expenses[204]. - Total other expense, net increased to $697 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $298 million in 2024, primarily due to a net loss on early retirement of debt[213]. - Depreciation expense decreased by $31 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, mainly due to the discontinuation of depreciation for certain assets[207]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - The company held cash and cash equivalents of $2.4 billion as of September 30, 2025, with approximately $722 million of borrowing capacity available under its Revolving Credit Facilities[230]. - The company anticipates that its cash and cash equivalents will provide sufficient liquidity to meet cash requirements for at least the next 12 months[234]. - Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $531 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024[267]. - Net cash used in investing activities increased by $670 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to increased capital expenditures[269]. - Net cash used in financing activities decreased by $246 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, due to higher net proceeds from long-term debt issuance[270]. Debt and Financing - The company had $13.9 billion of outstanding consolidated secured indebtedness and $4.1 billion of outstanding consolidated unsecured indebtedness as of September 30, 2025[244]. - Future debt transactions are planned to refinance a substantial portion of maturing debt, subject to market conditions[249]. - The company has engaged in various debt refinancing transactions to improve its financial flexibility and reduce consolidated indebtedness[252]. - On May 21, 2025, the company entered into an agreement to sell its Mass Markets fiber-to-the-home business for $5.75 billion in cash, expected to reduce interest expense by approximately $300 million annually[233]. - Interest expense decreased by $32 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, attributed to a decrease in the average interest rate from 7.85% to 6.80%[215]. Market Risks and Strategies - The company highlighted significant market risks related to liquidity and capital resources[282]. - The discussion included quantitative and qualitative disclosures about market risk factors affecting performance[282]. - The company emphasized the importance of monitoring market conditions to mitigate potential risks[282]. - Future strategies will focus on enhancing capital management to address market volatility[282]. - The company plans to implement new risk assessment models to better predict market fluctuations[282]. - There was a mention of ongoing evaluations of market trends to inform investment decisions[282]. - The company aims to strengthen its financial position by optimizing resource allocation in response to market risks[282]. - The management reiterated the commitment to transparency in disclosing market risk factors[282]. - The company is exploring partnerships to enhance its market risk management capabilities[282]. - Future earnings guidance will incorporate potential impacts of identified market risks[282]. Employee and Operational Insights - The company had approximately 24,000 employees as of September 30, 2025[186]. - The company is experiencing operational challenges due to inflation and supply shortages, but these have not materially impacted financial performance to date[189]. - The company aims to expand its network capacity through its AI backbone initiative and execute on its Quantum Fiber buildout plan[199]. Tax and Benefits - The effective income tax rate was 23.6% for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to 14.0% in 2024, influenced by a $42 million impact from goodwill impairment[219]. - The company anticipates a significant reduction in its 2025 federal income tax liability due to the OBBBA, filing a refund claim for $400 million[255]. - The company expects to pay approximately $186 million of post-retirement benefits for the full year 2025[259]. Goodwill and Impairment - Goodwill impairment charges of $628 million were recorded in the second quarter of 2025 due to the estimated fair value of the Mass Markets reporting unit being less than its carrying value[211]. - The unfunded status of the defined benefit pension plans was $645 million as of December 31, 2024[257].