Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q4 revenue of $8.9 billion, representing a 5.4% organic growth year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of $1.62, up 11% [46][50]. - For the full fiscal year 2025, revenue grew 5% organically, and EPS increased by 6% or 10% on a constant currency basis [50][56]. - The adjusted gross margin was 65.1%, down 70 basis points year-over-year, while the adjusted operating margin increased by 90 basis points to 27.8% [47][49]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The cardiovascular portfolio grew 8%, with nearly 30% growth in cardiac ablation solutions [4][5]. - Neuromodulation and diabetes segments delivered double-digit growth, while cranial and spinal technologies saw high single-digit growth in the U.S. [5][24]. - The diabetes business grew 12%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [24][27]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. revenue growth was 5%, the strongest quarterly growth in 15 quarters, with Japan growing high single digits and Western Europe and emerging markets growing mid-single digits [46][47]. - The company noted strong growth in India, Southeast Asia, and Eastern Europe [47]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced plans to separate its diabetes business into a standalone public company, which is expected to enhance focus on high-margin growth markets [28][29]. - The strategy aims to increase investments in core businesses with higher margins, allowing for improved capital allocation and growth potential [30][41]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the underlying fundamentals of the business, indicating that growth drivers are gaining momentum [58][60]. - The company expects to continue delivering mid-single-digit organic revenue growth and return to high single-digit EPS growth in fiscal year 2027 following the diabetes separation [56][59]. Other Important Information - The company plans to increase R&D investments for the first time in four years, aiming to grow R&D faster than revenue [52][54]. - The adjusted tax rate is expected to rise from 16.7% to about 18% due to changes in tax regulations [54][91]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance philosophy with the new CFO - Management is optimistic about growth drivers, with markets growing 7% even without diabetes, and expects strong positions in key markets [86][87]. Question: Clarification on EPS growth expectations - EPS growth is expected to be high single digits in fiscal year 2027, even without the benefits from the diabetes separation, as growth drivers remain strong [98][99]. Question: Impact of tariffs and diabetes business on margins - The impact of tariffs is estimated to be between $200 million to $350 million, affecting gross margins, while the rollout of new diabetes products is expected to pressure margins initially [105][106].

Company Performance - Medtronic reported quarterly earnings of $1.62 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.58 per share, and up from $1.46 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 2.53% [1] - The company posted revenues of $8.93 billion for the quarter ended April 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.08%, compared to $8.59 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Medtronic has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - Medtronic shares have increased approximately 8.1% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.32 on revenues of $8.35 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $5.82 on revenues of $35.05 billion [7] - The outlook for the Medical - Products industry is currently in the bottom 43% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact stock performance [8]

Financial Performance & Guidance - Medtronic reported Q4 FY25 revenue of $8.9 billion, with 5.4% organic growth[17] - Adjusted diluted EPS for Q4 FY25 was $1.62, an 11% year-over-year increase[17] - The company is issuing FY26 organic revenue growth guidance of approximately 5%[15] - FY26 adjusted EPS guidance, including tariff impacts, is $5.50 to $5.60[15] - Medtronic anticipates a net tariff impact to COGS of $200-350 million in FY26[15] Segment Highlights - Cardiovascular segment revenue reached $3.336 billion, with 7.8% organic growth, including nearly 30% growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions (CAS)[17, 15] - Neuroscience segment revenue was $2.620 billion, showing 3.7% organic growth[17] - Diabetes segment achieved $728 million in revenue, with 12% organic growth[17] - Medical Surgical segment reported $2.212 billion in revenue, with 2% organic growth[17] Strategic Initiatives - Medtronic announced its intent to separate the Diabetes business into a new standalone public company within 18 months[15] - The company increased its dividend for the 48th consecutive year[15] - Medtronic is increasing investments in growth drivers and streamlining its operating model[15]

Financial Performance - Q4 revenue reached $8.9 billion, a 3.9% increase as reported and 5.4% organic growth[3] - Q4 GAAP diluted EPS was $0.82, up 67%, while non-GAAP diluted EPS increased 11% to $1.62[3] - FY25 revenue totaled $33.5 billion, reflecting a 3.6% increase as reported and 4.9% organic growth[5] - FY25 GAAP diluted EPS rose 31% to $3.61, with non-GAAP diluted EPS increasing 6% to $5.49[8] - The company reported a total revenue of $33,537 million for FY25, a 3.6% increase from $32,364 million in FY24[44] - Net income for Q4 FY25 was $1,061 million, up from $659 million in Q4 FY24, marking a significant increase[58] - Basic earnings per share for Q4 FY25 were $0.82, compared to $0.49 in Q4 FY24, indicating strong earnings growth[58] - For the fiscal year ended April 25, 2025, total net sales reached $33,537 million, a 3.61% increase from $32,364 million in the previous fiscal year[69] - The diluted EPS for the fiscal year was $5.49, compared to $5.20 in the previous year, marking a 5.58% increase[69] Segment Performance - The Cardiovascular Portfolio generated FY25 revenue of $12.481 billion, a 5.5% increase as reported and 6.3% organic growth[14] - Cardiovascular segment revenue increased by 6.6% to $3,336 million in the fourth quarter of FY25, with organic growth of 7.8%[44] - Cardiac Rhythm & Heart Failure segment saw a revenue increase of 9.2% to $1,733 million in the fourth quarter, with organic growth of 10.3%[44] - Diabetes segment revenue grew by 10.4% to $728 million in the fourth quarter, with organic growth of 12.0%[44] - Neuroscience segment revenue increased by 2.9% to $2,620 million in the fourth quarter, with organic growth of 3.7%[44] - Cardiovascular segment revenue for FY25 reached $5,804 million, with an organic growth of 3.7% from FY24's $5,597 million[49] - Neuroscience segment reported revenue of $6,713 million for FY25, reflecting a 6.5% increase from FY24's $6,305 million[49] - Diabetes segment revenue grew by 8.3% in FY25, totaling $923 million compared to $852 million in FY24[49] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Q4 cash from operations was $7.0 billion, with free cash flow of $5.2 billion[5] - The company returned $6.3 billion to shareholders in FY25, marking the 48th consecutive year of dividend increases[5] - The company reported a free cash flow of $5,185 million for the fiscal year 2025, slightly down from $5,200 million in 2024[85] Future Guidance - FY26 organic revenue growth is projected at approximately 5%, with reported growth expected between 4.8% and 5.1%[26] - FY26 diluted non-GAAP EPS is guided to be in the range of $5.50 to $5.60, considering potential tariff impacts[28] - The company plans to report its FY26 quarterly results on August 19, November 18, February 17, and May 20, 2026[31] - The company plans to separate its Diabetes business into a standalone public company within 18 months[21] Operational Insights - Medtronic's management emphasizes the importance of non-GAAP financial measures for understanding operational performance and trends[38] - Forward-looking statements indicate potential risks related to competitive factors and economic conditions that may impact future performance[35] - Research and development expenses for FY25 were $2,732 million, slightly down from $2,735 million in FY24[58] Balance Sheet Highlights - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $2,218 million as of April 25, 2025, compared to $1,284 million a year earlier[89] - Total assets rose to $91,680 million as of April 25, 2025, up from $89,981 million on April 26, 2024[89] - Current liabilities increased to $12,879 million from $10,789 million year-over-year[89] - Long-term debt increased to $25,642 million from $23,932 million in the previous year[89] - The company experienced a net income of $4,691 million for the fiscal year 2025, compared to $3,705 million in 2024[91] - The company recognized $151 million of accelerated amortization on certain intangible assets related to product line exits within the Cardiovascular Segment[70]

Core Insights - Medtronic reported strong financial results for Q4 and FY25, with notable growth in key franchises such as Pulsed Field Ablation, TAVR, and Diabetes [1][3][12] Q4 Financial Results - Q4 worldwide revenue reached $8.927 billion, marking a 3.9% increase as reported and 5.4% on an organic basis [6][7] - Q4 GAAP operating profit was $1.436 billion, a 36% increase, with an operating margin of 16.1%, up 380 basis points [6][7] - Non-GAAP diluted EPS for Q4 was $1.62, an 11% increase, while GAAP diluted EPS was $0.82, up 67% [7][8] FY25 Financial Results - FY25 worldwide revenue totaled $33.537 billion, a 3.6% increase as reported and 4.9% on an organic basis [9][10] - FY25 GAAP operating profit was $5.955 billion, a 16% increase, with an operating margin of 17.8%, up 190 basis points [9][10] - Non-GAAP diluted EPS for FY25 was $5.49, a 6% increase, while GAAP diluted EPS was $3.61, up 31% [10] Key Business Segments - The Cardiovascular Portfolio generated FY25 revenue of $12.481 billion, a 5.5% increase as reported and 6.3% organic [13] - The Neuroscience Portfolio reported FY25 revenue of $9.846 billion, a 4.7% increase reported and 5.2% organic [14] - The Medical Surgical Portfolio had FY25 revenue of $8.407 billion, showing a slight decrease of 0.1% reported but an increase of 0.8% organic [15] Diabetes Business Separation - Medtronic announced plans to separate its Diabetes business into a standalone public company, expected to be completed within 18 months [19] Dividend Increase - The company declared a dividend increase to $0.71 per share for Q1 FY26, marking the 48th consecutive year of dividend increases [22] Guidance for FY26 - Medtronic anticipates FY26 organic revenue growth of approximately 5%, with diluted non-GAAP EPS growth expected to be around 4% [23][24]

Core Insights - Medtronic plans to separate its Diabetes business into a new standalone company, enhancing focus on high-margin growth areas and simplifying its portfolio [1][2][3] - The separation is expected to be completed within 18 months, primarily through an initial public offering (IPO) and subsequent split-off, aimed at unlocking value for shareholders [2][9] - The Diabetes business currently represents 8% of Medtronic's revenue and 4% of its segment operating profit for fiscal year 2025, with anticipated improvements in gross and operating margins post-separation [7] Medtronic's Strategy - Post-separation, Medtronic will concentrate on innovation-driven growth and category leadership in healthcare systems, leveraging its core competencies [3][6] - The company is focusing on its highest profitable growth drivers, including advancements in its innovation pipeline and product launches [3][4] - Medtronic expects durable, mid-single digit or higher organic revenue growth and enhanced earnings leverage following the separation [3] New Diabetes Company - The New Diabetes Company will be a leading direct-to-consumer business, uniquely positioned to offer a complete ecosystem for intensive insulin management [4][5] - The separation will allow for more focused investment in the New Diabetes Company's pipeline and manufacturing capabilities, driving margin expansion over time [4][7] - Que Dallara, the current EVP and president of Medtronic Diabetes, will become the CEO of the New Diabetes Company [5] Financial Implications - The separation is projected to improve Medtronic's adjusted gross margin by approximately 50 basis points and adjusted operating margins by about 100 basis points, with immediate accretion to adjusted EPS [7][8] - The transaction is expected to be tax-free for Medtronic shareholders for U.S. federal income tax purposes, facilitating share retirements without cash reduction [8][9] - Medtronic aims to maintain its dividend per share unchanged pre- and post-transaction, ensuring continued shareholder returns [7]

Market Overview - US stock index futures showed mixed performance with Dow futures slightly up, S&P 500 futures down by 0.16%, and Nasdaq futures down by 0.66% [1] - European indices saw positive movement with Germany's DAX up by 0.61%, UK's FTSE 100 up by 0.60%, France's CAC40 up by 0.56%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up by 0.50% [2][3] - WTI crude oil prices fell by 0.42% to $61.88 per barrel, while Brent crude oil dropped by 0.46% to $65.24 per barrel [3][4] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve officials indicated that interest rate cuts may not occur before September due to uncertain economic outlook, with current expectations for a rate cut in June being less than 10% [5] - The market anticipates two rate cuts by the end of the year, each by 25 basis points, which is lower than previous expectations of four cuts [5] Banking Sector Developments - Moody's downgraded the deposit ratings of major US banks, including Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase, citing reduced government support following the downgrade of the US credit rating [6] - The long-term deposit ratings for these banks were lowered to Aa2, which is Moody's third-highest rating [6] Currency and Economic Outlook - Deutsche Bank warned of potential depreciation risks for the US dollar, suggesting that upcoming budget negotiations will significantly impact the dollar's position [7] - Wells Fargo advised investors to reduce exposure to emerging market stocks in favor of US equities, predicting a stronger dollar and cautioning against overly optimistic sentiment towards emerging markets [7] Company-Specific News - Vodafone reported a decline in revenue in its key German market, forecasting minimal growth for the upcoming fiscal year and announcing a new €2 billion share buyback plan [8] - Yalla Technology's Q1 revenue grew by 6.5% year-over-year to $83.9 million, but paid user numbers fell by 8% [9] - Vipshop's Q1 net revenue decreased by 4.7% to RMB 26.3 billion (approximately $3.6 billion), with active customer numbers down by 4.2% [10] - Home Depot's sales fell short of expectations, indicating weakened consumer confidence, with comparable sales down by 0.3% [10] - Cathie Wood's ARK Invest made significant purchases of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) shares, marking a shift in strategy amid easing trade tensions [11] Upcoming Economic Events - Key economic data releases include the US Redbook retail sales year-on-year and API crude oil inventory changes [12][14] - Notable speeches from Federal Reserve officials are scheduled, which may provide further insights into monetary policy [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - Medtronic is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2025, with consensus estimates indicating earnings per share of $1.58 and revenues of $8.82 billion, showing growth compared to the previous year's earnings of $1.46 per share and revenues of $8.59 billion [2][3] Financial Performance - Medtronic has a market capitalization of $110 billion and generated $33 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, with an operating profit of $6.0 billion and a net income of $4.3 billion [3] Historical Earnings Trends - Over the past five years, Medtronic's stock has shown a favorable one-day return following earnings announcements in 53% of instances, with a median return of 2.5% and a maximum of 4.6% [1][8] - In the last three years, the percentage of positive one-day returns has declined to 42%, with the median of positive returns at 2.5% and negative returns at -4.5% [8] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize historical trends to position themselves before and after earnings announcements, assessing the likelihood of positive or negative responses [7] - A strategy involves analyzing the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings to inform trading decisions [5][6]

Core Insights - The article discusses three dividend-paying stocks that are currently facing challenges regarding their dividend sustainability, highlighting the importance of dividend growth for long-term investment returns [1][19]. Company Summaries AbbVie - AbbVie is a pharmaceutical company with a market capitalization of $300 billion, known for drugs like Skyrizi and Botox [3]. - The stock has declined by 16% year-to-date and offers a quarterly dividend of $1.64 per share, resulting in an annual yield of 3.5% [3]. - AbbVie has a concerning payout ratio of 266%, indicating potential risks to its dividend payments [4]. - Sales of Humira, a key drug, have dropped by 51% to $1.1 billion in fiscal Q1 2025 compared to the previous year, contributing to a 69% decline in net income over the trailing 12 months [5]. - The company's net debt has increased by 24% over the past two years to $64.7 billion, raising doubts about the future of its dividend [6]. - However, AbbVie's next-generation drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, generated $5.1 billion in fiscal Q1 2025, a 65% increase year-over-year, with expectations of continued growth [7]. Medtronic - Medtronic is a medical device company with a focus on cardiac devices and surgical tools, currently down 37% from its 2021 highs [8]. - The company has paid and raised its dividend for 47 consecutive years, with a current quarterly dividend of $0.70 per share, yielding 3.3% annually [9]. - Medtronic's payout ratio stands at 84.7%, with a reported net income of $1.29 billion in fiscal Q3 2024, reflecting a 2% decline year-over-year [10]. - Despite revenue reaching all-time highs, net income has not significantly grown in a decade, partly due to the company's extensive acquisition strategy [11]. - Medtronic holds $18.6 billion in net debt, with servicing costs of $757 million over the past year, although it has reduced debt by 8% from recent highs [12][13]. Pfizer - Pfizer is a well-known pharmaceutical company with a history of 176 years, recently recognized for its COVID-19 vaccine [15]. - The company offers a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share, yielding 7.6%, but its stock has fallen 63% from pandemic highs [16]. - Pfizer's payout ratio is 121.5%, raising concerns about its ability to maintain dividend increases for the 17th consecutive year [16]. - The company reported an 8% decline in revenue for Q1 2025, with total revenue of $13.7 billion, down from $14.9 billion in Q1 2024, largely due to a 76% drop in sales of its COVID-19 product, Paxlovid [17]. - Pfizer has averaged over $10 billion in R&D spending annually, while also managing $44 billion in net debt, which it has reduced by 31% in less than a year [18].

Core Insights - Analysts project Medtronic (MDT) will report quarterly earnings of $1.58 per share, an increase of 8.2% year over year, with revenues expected to reach $8.81 billion, up 2.6% from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial projections [1][2] Revenue Projections - The consensus estimate for 'Net Sales- World Wide Revenue- Diabetes' is $700.27 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +6.1% [3] - 'Net Sales- World Wide Revenue- Neuroscience' is forecasted to reach $2.55 billion, indicating no change year over year [4] - 'Net Sales- World Wide Revenue- Cardiovascular' is expected to be $3.27 billion, showing a +4.6% change from the previous year [4] - 'Net Sales- World Wide Revenue- Medical Surgical' is estimated at $2.27 billion, with a year-over-year change of +3.1% [4] U.S. Revenue Estimates - 'Net Sales- U.S. Revenue' is projected at $4.49 billion, suggesting a +3.3% year-over-year change [5] - 'Net Sales- U.S. Revenue- Medical Surgical' is expected to reach $966.71 million, indicating a +1.3% change from the prior year [5] International Revenue Estimates - 'Net Sales- ROW- Neuroscience- Cranial & Spinal Technologies' is estimated at $363.81 million, reflecting a +2.5% change year over year [6] - 'Net Sales- ROW- Neuroscience- Specialty Therapies' is projected to be $346.44 million, indicating a +2.2% change [6] - 'Net Sales- ROW- Medical Surgical- Surgical & Endoscopy' is expected to be $1.02 billion, with a -0.5% change year over year [7] - 'Net Sales- ROW- Cardiovascular' is forecasted at $1.74 billion, showing a +3.3% change from the previous year [7] - 'Net Sales- ROW- Cardiovascular- Coronary & Peripheral Vascular' is projected to reach $383.12 million, indicating a +3.8% change [8] Stock Performance - Medtronic shares have returned +4.3% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +9.8% change, with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [8]