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MercadoLibre: It May Be Just The Beginning Of A Great Rally
Seeking Alpha· 2024-07-08 07:35
Core Viewpoint - MercadoLibre is well-positioned for long-term growth, with a significant undervaluation of approximately 50.5% based on the discounted cash flow (DCF) model, despite recent stock price increases [2][10][14]. Company Overview - MercadoLibre operates as a leading e-commerce and fintech platform in Latin America, with a market capitalization of $84 billion, serving 18 countries including Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico [4]. - The company offers a wide range of services, including digital accounts, payment processing, and credit solutions through its fintech arm, MercadoPago [4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 FY2024, MercadoLibre reported total revenue of approximately $4.3 billion, reflecting a 36% year-over-year increase [4]. - The gross merchandise volume (GMV) in Brazil and Mexico increased by around 30% year-over-year, driven by improved user experience and strategic investments [4]. - The total payment volume (TPV) for MercadoPago reached $1.9 billion, marking a 133% increase from the previous year [6]. - Net income rose to $344 million, a 71.14% year-over-year increase, surpassing consensus estimates [7]. Growth Drivers - The company's operating cash flow (OCF) has nearly doubled compared to the previous year, indicating effective operational management [7]. - Strategic investments in user experience and infrastructure are expected to continue driving top-line growth [8]. - MercadoPago's monthly active users (MAU) grew by 38% year-over-year, with significant growth in Brazil and Argentina [8]. Market Outlook - Analysts have mixed sentiments regarding the upcoming Q2 report, with some upward and downward adjustments in estimates [7]. - Jefferies analysts maintain a "Buy" rating, projecting that MercadoLibre's revenue could triple by the end of 2024 compared to its peak in 2021, with a target price of $2,000 [8]. Valuation Insights - The current EV/FCF multiple for MercadoLibre is 15x, significantly lower than Amazon's 44x, suggesting potential for multiple expansion as margins improve [10]. - The forecasted operating profit margin is expected to reach 35% by FY2028, which could lead to a stock price target of $2,300-$2,500 in the coming quarters [14]. Technical Analysis - The stock has shown favorable seasonality, with July historically being a profitable month, indicating potential for positive performance in the near term [14]. - The overall trend remains bullish, with the price consistently above the 52-week moving average [14].
Why MercadoLibre Stock Is Cheaper Than It Looks
The Motley Fool· 2024-06-29 22:14
The Latin American e-commerce company has a lot of growth potential, which could make it look like a bargain in the years ahead.MercadoLibre (MELI -1.05%) is often compared to Amazon for its strong success in the e-commerce market. A focus on Latin America -- with its developing markets that have attractive prospects -- has made it an intriguing growth stock to own.And over the past five years, the stock's 150% return has blown past Amazon, which is up by around 97% during the same time frame. But some inve ...
MercadoLibre (MELI) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts
ZACKS· 2024-06-27 22:56
In the latest market close, MercadoLibre (MELI) reached $1,660.89, with a -1.08% movement compared to the previous day. This change lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.09%. Elsewhere, the Dow saw an upswing of 0.09%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 0.3%.The operator of an online marketplace and payments system in Latin America's shares have seen a decrease of 1.81% over the last month, not keeping up with the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 1.99% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.38%.Investors will ...
3 Growth Stocks With the Best Earnings Per Share in 2024
Investor Place· 2024-06-26 21:50
According to Nasdaq Chief Economist Phil Mackintosh, earnings growth drives stock prices over the long term. This assertion is evident as growth stocks with the best earnings per share (EPS) have led the market since it bottomed out in October 2022.Typically, you find best-in-class EPS growth in innovative companies riding the coattails of a secular trend. That’s true for the growth stock picks on this list. These companies have invested heavily in their growth initiatives. Now, those efforts are bearing fr ...
MercadoLibre's Growth Story in 4 Simple Charts
The Motley Fool· 2024-06-26 12:10
The Latin American e-commerce and fintech leader still has plenty of room to grow.MercadoLibre's (MELI 3.75%) stock has rallied 154% over the past five years as the S&P 500 rose 85%. The Latin American e-commerce and fintech leader has impressed investors with its rapid growth, widening moat, and rising margins.But can MercadoLibre continue growing as its biggest markets grapple with inflation? Let's review its growth story in four simple charts to see if it's still worth buying. 1. Its customer base is sti ...
Treasure Hunt: 3 Emerging Markets Stocks Wall Street Hasn't Discovered Yet
Investor Place· 2024-06-26 10:25
Investors seeking growth in emerging markets may find exceptional opportunities in undervalued stocks that Wall Street has yet to discover fully. Recent analysis highlights significant growth potential in this segment. Emerging economies are expected to outpace with a projected growth rate of over 4% this year, compared to just 2% for developed markets. This backdrop forms the list of the top undiscovered emerging market stocks for investors.Furthermore, experts anticipate that emerging markets could notabl ...
MercadoLibre Stock and Ulta Beauty Stock Both Have More Than 20% Upside Ahead, According to Select Analysts on Wall Street
The Motley Fool· 2024-06-25 10:23
Analysts might be thinking about the next year, but these two companies are well positioned for the longer term as well.It might not sound like much, but 20% upside is a big deal. When Wall Street analysts set price targets for stocks, they're thinking about a roughly one-year time frame. For perspective, the S&P 500 goes up about 10% per year on average.If your $10,000 investment grows at a 10% compound annual growth rate (CAGR), you'll have over $16,000 in five years. But if your investment grows at a 20% ...
The Ultimate Growth Stock to Buy With $3,000 Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2024-06-22 08:18
This e-commerce outfit is rightfully considered the Amazon of Latin America, but the label understates the actual opportunity.MercadoLibre (MELI 0.95%) may not be a household name where you live. But that's probably only because you don't live where it operates. If you were a resident of South America, you most definitely would have heard of it. There's even a good chance you'd be a customer. After all, it's often referred to as the Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) of Latin America specifically because it's got such a ...
MercadoLibre (MELI) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Facts
ZACKS· 2024-06-20 22:55
MercadoLibre (MELI) ended the recent trading session at $1,585.03, demonstrating a +0.74% swing from the preceding day's closing price. The stock exceeded the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.25% for the day. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 0.77%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, lost 0.79%.Shares of the operator of an online marketplace and payments system in Latin America have depreciated by 9.41% over the course of the past month, underperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 0.1% and the S&P 5 ...
2 Magnificent Stocks That I'm "Never" Selling
The Motley Fool· 2024-06-20 08:19
These stocks are on a growth path that could go on for decades. Investors often act with the intent of never selling. Warren Buffett has often said that his favorite holding period is "forever," and holding some stocks for years or decades has often paid off for investors. Unfortunately, changing business conditions or management teams can make selling a stock the only wise choice, but one cannot truly make a promise to "never" sell. Nonetheless, I own stocks I cannot envision myself selling, and Shopify (S ...