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Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Undervalued Income Machine
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-07 01:20
Group 1 - Private credit pools, also known as BDCs, are identified as suitable income vehicles for investors seeking high dividends and NAV appreciation potential [1] Group 2 - The retail investment landscape is increasingly focused on AI-driven companies, with a strong emphasis on achieving financial independence through strategic investments [2] - The ongoing transformation of industries by artificial intelligence is creating new investment opportunities, particularly in leading AI-related companies like NVIDIA [2] - The next decade is anticipated to present remarkable opportunities for both retail and institutional investors in the AI sector [2]
The Hidden Risk In BDC Market That Nobody Is Talking About
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-01 14:15
If think about BDCs and the main risks that might damage their dividends or erode net asset values then there are really two broad themes that usually pop up in this context: 1) interest rates goingRoberts Berzins has over a decade of experience in the financial management helping top-tier corporates shape their financial strategies and execute large-scale financings. He has also made significant efforts to institutionalize REIT framework in Latvia to boost the liquidity of pan-Baltic capital markets. Other ...
MSDL: Dividend Investors Are Likely To Get Burned Here
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-28 14:15
Recently, Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund ( MSDL ) has gained a lot of traction among Seeking Alpha analysts and, of course, investors because of the tremendous volatility that has sent the share price from one extremeRoberts Berzins has over a decade of experience in the financial management helping top-tier corporates shape their financial strategies and execute large-scale financings. He has also made significant efforts to institutionalize REIT framework in Latvia to boost the liquidity of pan-Baltic ...
Autodesk upgraded, Nio downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-26 14:43
Upgrades - Argus upgraded Herbalife (HLF) to Buy from Hold, citing a Q3 earnings beat and raising FY25 EPS view by $0.03 to $2.15 and FY26 view by $0.04 to $2.64 [2] - JPMorgan upgraded Atmus Filtration (ATMU) to Overweight from Neutral with a price target increase to $60 from $53, following the proposed acquisition of Koch Filter [2] - Morgan Stanley upgraded Amentum (AMTM) to Equal Weight from Underweight, raising the price target to $35 from $20, indicating a more balanced risk/reward at current share levels [3] - Northland upgraded NetApp (NTAP) to Outperform from Market Perform, increasing the price target to $137 from $120, after reporting revenue growth of 4% year-over-year in fiscal Q2 and guidance for 5% growth in the second half of FY26 [3] - Deutsche Bank upgraded Autodesk (ADSK) to Buy from Hold, raising the price target to $375 from $345, following "very healthy" Q3 results described as one of the "cleanest" quarterly prints in recent years [4] Downgrades - Macquarie downgraded Nio (NIO) to Neutral from Outperform, lowering the price target to $5.30 from $6.70, after issuing "weak" Q4 volume guidance of 122,500 units at the midpoint [5] - Craig-Hallum downgraded PagerDuty (PD) to Hold from Buy, reducing the price target to $15 from $20, noting a fundamental change in end markets negatively affecting PagerDuty [5] - UBS downgraded Biohaven (BHVN) to Neutral from Buy, with a price target decrease to $11 from $26, citing multiple R&D and regulatory setbacks impacting confidence in its pipeline [5] - Bernstein downgraded Ambev (ABEV) to Market Perform from Outperform, setting a price target of $2.88, attributing the downgrade to valuation concerns as shares rose 16% year-to-date [5] - RBC Capital downgraded Morgan Stanley Direct Lending (MSDL) to Sector Perform from Outperform, lowering the price target to $18 from $19, suggesting lower net interest income return on equity expectations for 2026 [5]
低利率时代的稀缺标的:两大顶级BDC提供11%收益,一家隐含20%折价空间
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 07:32
Core Viewpoint - The current market environment poses significant challenges for income-focused investors, with declining bond yields and high valuations in the S&P 500 index. Business Development Companies (BDCs) are highlighted as a viable option for achieving high returns, particularly Blackstone Secured Lending (BXSL) and Morgan Stanley Direct Lending (MSDL), both offering yields exceeding 11% [1][3][20]. Group 1: Market Environment - The past year has been difficult for income investors due to falling interest rates and declining bond yields, making it challenging to find attractive dividend yields [1]. - BDCs are becoming increasingly attractive as they provide direct loans to private market companies, typically yielding double-digit returns [1][2]. Group 2: Company Analysis - BXSL and MSDL are favored BDCs, both investing primarily in first-lien debt, which offers strong security and predictable cash flows. Their stock prices are currently below book value, presenting a potential long-term buying opportunity for income investors [3][20]. - BXSL has invested 97.5% of its total capital in first-lien debt, while MSDL has allocated 96% to the same, ensuring high stability even in bankruptcy scenarios [4][8]. Group 3: Portfolio Quality - BXSL's loan portfolio consists of loans to 311 underlying companies, with the top ten loans accounting for only 19% of the overall risk exposure, indicating a well-diversified risk profile [6]. - MSDL has provided loans to 218 companies, with the largest outstanding loan representing only 2% of total capital, making it more diversified than BXSL [11]. Group 4: Dividend Safety and Yield - Both BXSL and MSDL maintain stable quarterly dividends, with BXSL paying $0.77 per share and MSDL $0.50 per share, translating to annualized yields of approximately 11.5% and 12%, respectively [14][16]. - The cost-to-income ratio for both companies has remained stable, indicating responsible dividend payments supported by actual earnings [16][17]. Group 5: Valuation - Over the past year, BXSL's stock price has decreased by about 16%, while MSDL's has fallen nearly 20%, primarily due to lower interest rates affecting their fair value [18][19]. - MSDL is currently trading at a significant discount of approximately 20% to its fair value, while BXSL's discount is only 2.5%, suggesting that MSDL offers better value for investors [19]. Group 6: Investment Recommendation - Overall, both BXSL and MSDL are considered excellent choices for income investors due to their high-quality portfolios and attractive dividend yields. However, MSDL is preferred due to its higher yield and greater discount, indicating substantial upside potential if its stock price aligns with fair value [20].
Blackstone Secured Lending Vs. Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Which 11%+ Yield Is The Better Buy?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-23 12:34
Market Overview - As interest rates decline, bond yields are also decreasing, leading to a perception of an expensive market with the S&P 500 trading at 25 times blended earnings [1] Investment Strategy - PropNotes focuses on identifying high-yield investment opportunities for individual investors, simplifying complex concepts, and providing actionable insights to enhance returns [1]
The BDC Bargain Bell Is Ringing
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-13 14:15
Group 1 - The Q3 earnings season is nearing its end, with most major BDCs having reported their financial results [1] - Roberts Berzins has over a decade of experience in financial management, focusing on corporate financial strategies and large-scale financings [1] - Berzins has contributed to the institutionalization of the REIT framework in Latvia to enhance liquidity in pan-Baltic capital markets [1] Group 2 - Berzins has been involved in developing national SOE financing guidelines and frameworks to channel private capital into affordable housing [1] - He holds a CFA Charter and an ESG investing certificate, and has experience with the Chicago Board of Trade [1] - Berzins actively participates in thought-leadership activities to support the development of pan-Baltic capital markets [1]
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: 12% Yield And Rock Bottom Valuation
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-13 13:00
Core Insights - iREIT+HOYA Capital focuses on income-producing asset classes, aiming for sustainable portfolio income, diversification, and inflation hedging [1][2] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy emphasizes high-yield, dividend growth opportunities, targeting dividend yields up to 10% [2] - The service provides research on various asset classes including REITs, ETFs, closed-end funds, preferreds, and dividend champions [2] Group 2: Experience and Expertise - The team has over 14 years of investment experience and an MBA in Finance, focusing on defensive stocks with a medium- to long-term horizon [2] - The group aims to help investors achieve dependable monthly income and portfolio diversification [2]
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 01:01
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.5 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.49 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.66 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +2.04%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.52 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.5, delivering a surprise of -3.85%.Over the last four quart ...
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund(MSDL) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-11-06 21:28
Exhibit 99.1 Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund Announces September 30, 2025 Financial Results and Declares Fourth Quarter 2025 Regular Dividend of $0.50 per Share NEW YORK, NY, November 6, 2025 — Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (NYSE: MSDL) ("MSDL" or the "Company"), a business development company externally managed by MS Capital Partners Adviser Inc. (the "Adviser"), today announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS SELECTED FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS ...