🔥 JUST IN: Strategy acquires 196 Bitcoin worth $22.1M, now holds 640,031 $BTC. https://t.co/7ja6XWLdoL ...

JUST IN: Michael Saylor's 'Strategy' buys 196 Bitcoin worth $22 million. ...

RT Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff)On paper, $MSTR has a "gain" of about 47% on its $47.33 billion Bitcoin purchase. But had @Saylor purchased gold instead, investing the same dollar amounts at the same points in time, his paper gain would be about 30%. That's not too significant of a difference. The more important distinction is that Saylor could easily sell $61.5 billion of gold without affecting the price, thereby realizing an actual gain. But if he tried to sell $69.5 billion worth of Bitcoin, the market wou ...

Core Viewpoint - The MSTR stock has been experiencing a downward trend, with analysts predicting a potential 50% crash if it breaks below crucial support levels, reflecting investor fatigue and a declining premium over Bitcoin holdings [1][2][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - MSTR stock has declined from a high of $442 in July to a closing price of $309 on September 26, erasing all gains made in 2025 [1]. - The stock is mirroring a fractal pattern observed from 2021 to 2023, which previously led to a 50% crash after losing support [1][2]. - Analysts identify the $257 level as critical support; a breakdown could lead to a decline towards $120 [2]. Group 2: Institutional Interest - Despite the declining premium, MSTR continues to attract institutional investors, with the Royal Bank of Canada increasing its stake by 16% last quarter [3]. - The company's net asset value (NAV) has decreased from 2x in January to 1.44x currently, indicating a significant drop in the premium above Bitcoin holdings [3]. Group 3: Investment Strategy and Risks - The erosion of the premium raises questions about the attractiveness of MSTR shares compared to direct Bitcoin investments [4]. - MSTR holds a substantial 640,000 BTC valued at approximately $70 billion, leading to concerns that a further decline in Bitcoin prices could pressure MSTR stock and trigger forced sell-offs [5]. - Peter Schiff argues that MSTR's Bitcoin-heavy strategy makes it more vulnerable compared to a gold investment, suggesting that had the company invested in gold, it would have seen a smaller gain with less market disruption [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - Digital asset treasury (DAT) firms have the potential to evolve from speculative entities into sustainable economic engines for blockchain networks, as argued by Syncracy Capital co-founder Ryan Watkins [1][2]. Group 1: Current State of DAT Firms - DAT firms currently hold approximately $105 billion in assets across major cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and ether, a scale that has not been fully recognized by market participants [2]. - The focus has primarily been on short-term trading dynamics, such as premiums to net asset value and fundraising announcements, rather than the long-term potential of these firms [3]. Group 2: Future Potential and Operations - A select number of DATs may develop into durable operators that finance, govern, and build within the networks of the tokens they hold, potentially becoming for-profit, publicly traded counterparts to crypto foundations [3][4]. - DATs can exert influence within ecosystems due to their control over significant portions of token supply, allowing them to act as policy and product levers [4]. Group 3: Economic Models and Strategies - Access to large, permanent pools of native assets can enable DATs to bootstrap and scale their operations effectively [5]. - Unlike MicroStrategy's bitcoin-only strategy, which focuses on capital structure, DATs can utilize programmable tokens on smart contract platforms for various on-chain activities, such as staking for fees and providing liquidity [6][7]. - Winning DATs can be compared to a hybrid model that combines elements of closed-end funds, banks, and Berkshire Hathaway, with returns accruing in crypto per share rather than through management fees [7][8].

Core Insights - Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR) triggered a significant Power Inflow alert, indicating a bullish trend in order flow analytics, which is closely monitored by traders [2][3] Order Flow Analytics - The Power Inflow alert is a proprietary signal from TradePulse, highlighting a significant shift towards buying activity within the first two hours of trading, suggesting a high probability of bullish price movement for the rest of the day [4] - Order flow analytics provide insights into real-time buying and selling trends by examining volume, timing, and order size, allowing for informed decision-making [5] Intra-Day Performance - At the time of the Power Inflow alert, MSTR was priced at $299.86, and it reached an intra-day high of $307.63 (+2.6%) by 2 PM EST, demonstrating the effectiveness of order flow analytics in identifying intraday reversals [6]

Core Insights - The Strategy stock price has experienced a significant decline, falling to its lowest level since April of this year, indicating a deep bear market with a 35 percent drop from its peak [1] Group 1 - The stock price has plunged this month, marking a notable downturn in performance [1] - The current price level reflects a substantial decrease, positioning the stock in a bear market [1] - The decline of 35 percent from its highest point signifies a critical shift in market sentiment towards the company [1]

Core Viewpoint - Economist Peter Schiff warns of a severe bear market for Strategy Inc. and similar companies holding large Bitcoin reserves, predicting that many will not survive the downturn [1][2]. Company Performance - Strategy Inc. has seen a 45% decline from its November 2024 high of $543, currently trading at $300.70, despite an impressive year-over-year return of 81% [3][4]. - Other companies like Riot Platforms and MARA Holdings have also experienced significant declines, with Riot Platforms down 99.53% from its all-time high [4]. Market Context - The warning from Schiff comes amid a sharp pullback in Bitcoin's price, which has negatively impacted shares of Bitcoin treasury companies [3]. - Bitcoin itself has dropped 6.22% weekly but remains up 71.92% year-over-year, currently priced at $109,544.46 [4]. Contrasting Views - Michael Saylor, CEO of Strategy Inc., has expressed confidence in the company's resilience, claiming it could withstand an 80% drawdown in Bitcoin prices and emphasizing a shift to a perpetual preferred stock strategy [5]. - Saylor argues that Bitcoin treasury companies are leading a financial rebuild, leveraging digital capital and intelligence, and encourages ignoring critics [6].

Core Viewpoint - The strategy of holding large amounts of cryptocurrency as corporate reserves is facing significant challenges as Bitcoin prices continue to decline, with recent market turmoil leading to substantial liquidations and a drop in Bitcoin below the $110,000 support level [1][4]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The cryptocurrency market has experienced a large-scale liquidation, with Bitcoin falling below $110,000 and Ethereum dropping below $3,900 [1]. - In contrast, the price of physical silver has surged, surpassing $45, marking a 14-year high [1]. Group 2: Company-Specific Concerns - Peter Schiff, a prominent critic of Bitcoin, has warned that companies holding Bitcoin as an asset are entering a "brutal bear market," raising doubts about the sustainability of their business models [4][5]. - MicroStrategy (MSTR), known for its significant Bitcoin holdings, has seen its stock price drop sharply, falling below $300 for the first time since April, effectively erasing its gains for the year [9][11]. - MSTR's stock price is highly correlated with Bitcoin prices, and the recent weakness in Bitcoin has directly impacted MSTR's stock performance [11]. Group 3: Financial Risks and Strategies - Schiff has previously indicated that many companies are emulating MSTR's founder Michael Saylor's unconventional business strategy, but few have acknowledged the significant decline in MSTR's stock price [12]. - MSTR's recent Bitcoin purchases have been partially funded by selling its own stock, which raises concerns about financial risk during a downturn in asset prices [14]. - Technical analysis suggests that MSTR's stock price outlook is bleak, with warnings that failure to maintain current support levels could lead to further declines, potentially down to $240 [15].

Core Viewpoint - The strategy of holding large amounts of cryptocurrency as corporate reserves is facing significant challenges as Bitcoin prices continue to decline, with a recent drop below $110,000 and Ethereum falling below $3,900 [1][4]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing large-scale liquidations, leading to a significant drop in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices [1]. - In contrast, the price of physical silver has surged, surpassing $45, reaching a fourteen-year high [1]. Group 2: Company-Specific Concerns - Peter Schiff warns that companies holding Bitcoin as an asset are entering a "brutal bear market," raising doubts about the sustainability of their business models [4][5]. - MicroStrategy (MSTR), known for its substantial Bitcoin holdings, has seen its stock price drop significantly, recently falling below $300 for the first time since April, erasing its gains for the year [9][11]. - Despite the stock price decline, MicroStrategy's CEO Michael Saylor remains committed to increasing Bitcoin holdings, having purchased an additional 850 Bitcoins recently, bringing the total to 639,835 Bitcoins at a total acquisition cost of $47.33 billion [12]. Group 3: Financial Risks - The recent Bitcoin purchases by MicroStrategy were partially funded by selling its own stock, raising concerns about the financial risks associated with this strategy during a downturn in asset prices [13]. - Technical analysis indicates a bleak outlook for MSTR's stock price, with warnings that failure to maintain current support levels could lead to further declines, potentially down to $240 [13].