Group 1 - Bitcoin-related stocks experienced a decline on Tuesday, with Coinbase (COIN.US) dropping over 4% [1] - Coinbase plans to issue $2 billion in convertible senior notes through a private placement, maturing in 2030 [1] - Other companies in the sector also saw declines, including Circle (CRCL.US) down over 3%, MicroStrategy (MSTR.US) down over 2%, Galaxy Digital (GLXY.US) down over 7%, and Robinhood (HOOD.US) slightly down [1]

Core Viewpoint - The majority of Bitcoin-related stocks experienced an upward trend on Monday, indicating positive market sentiment towards the cryptocurrency sector [1] Company Performance - Coinbase (COIN.US) saw an increase of 0.58% - Strategy (MSTR.US) rose by over 2.4% - Bit Origin (BTOG.US) increased by more than 5.7% - SharpLink Gaming (SBET.US) surged by over 12% - GameSquare (GAME.US) jumped by over 13% - Circle (CRCL.US) declined by more than 4% [1]

Group 1: Baby and Childcare Sector - The baby and childcare concept stocks mostly opened higher, with notable increases in shares of companies such as Jinxin Reproductive Medicine (1951.HK) up 8.93%, H&H International Holdings (1112.HK) up 7.33%, and China Feihe (6186.HK) up 5.12% following the announcement of a new childcare subsidy policy [1] - The new policy, effective from January 1, 2025, provides an annual subsidy of 3,600 yuan for each child until they reach three years old, which is expected to boost the sector [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Sector - WuXi AppTec (2359.HK) opened over 4% higher after reporting a revenue of 20.799 billion yuan for the six months ending June 30, 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.6%, with a net profit of 8.287 billion yuan, up 95.5% [1] - Fosun Pharma (2196.HK) saw a 1.37% increase after signing a licensing agreement for AR1001, aimed at treating Alzheimer's disease and other neurological disorders [2] - Deqi Pharmaceutical (6996.HK) rose 4.70% after receiving approval for a new indication of its drug, Xivio, for treating multiple myeloma [2] - Kangzheng Pharmaceutical (0867.HK) increased over 2% after announcing the acceptance of its new drug application for ZUNVEYL, aimed at treating Alzheimer's symptoms [4] - BeiGene (6160.HK) rose over 3% following a positive recommendation from the European Medicines Agency for its drug, Tislelizumab, for non-small cell lung cancer [4] Group 3: Automotive Sector - Hong Kong automotive dealer stocks rose, with Zhongsheng Holdings (0881.HK) up nearly 6% and Yongda Automotive (3669.HK) up over 4%, driven by expectations of improved profit margins from new car sales due to government policies [2] - UBS reported that Zhongsheng and Yongda's stock prices rebounded approximately 20% and 5% respectively, as the market anticipates industry consolidation and improved profitability [2] Group 4: Beverage Sector - Hong Kong Brewery (0236.HK) surged 26% after reporting a revenue of approximately 390 million HKD for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.22%, with a net profit of 49.644 million HKD, up 31.97% [3] Group 5: Securities Sector - Chinese brokerage stocks collectively declined, with Shenwan Hongyuan (6806.HK) down nearly 5%, amid tightening regulatory scrutiny in the securities industry, which has seen over 30 fines issued recently [3]

Group 1 - The three major U.S. stock indices closed collectively higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.4%, the Nasdaq up 0.09%, and the S&P 500 up 0.27% [1] - Delta Air Lines surged 12%, leading the travel sector higher, as the company's earnings outlook indicated a rebound in demand [1] - Bitcoin-related stocks also saw gains, with Coinbase rising over 4% [1]

Key Points - The Hong Kong stock market saw significant movements with various companies experiencing notable gains and losses, indicating a dynamic trading environment [1] - Tesla's stock dropped over 6% due to concerns regarding Elon Musk's political involvement, reflecting investor apprehension [2] - Companies like Li Auto and Bilibili reported gains, with Li Auto's second-quarter sales slightly exceeding delivery guidance and Bilibili expanding into the video podcast sector [2] - The cryptocurrency sector showed mixed results, with some stocks like Circle and Bit Digital rising while others like Mara Holdings faced declines [2] - Uber's stock increased over 3% after Wells Fargo maintained a "buy" rating and raised the target price, showcasing positive analyst sentiment [3] Hong Kong Market Highlights - Bruker (00325) rose over 4% due to deepening collaboration with Ultraman IP, planning to launch multiple new products [1] - Reading Group (00772) increased over 4% after strategic investment in Softopia, entering the plush toy market [1] - GCL-Poly Energy (03800) saw a rise of over 4%, with expectations of turning profitable in the multi-crystalline silicon segment [1] - Gold stocks rebounded, with Tongguan Gold (00340) up 5.39% and China Gold International (02099) up 4.4% [1] - H&H International Holdings (01112) fell over 3% due to disappointing mid-term results, prompting a downward short-term outlook from Citigroup [1] - Ascend Group (02459) dropped over 16% after a heavily discounted rights issue, raising approximately HKD 44.5 million [1] - Huya (01024) rose over 3% as institutions expect the company’s Q2 performance to meet market expectations [1] U.S. Market Highlights - Tesla (TSLA.US) dropped over 6% amid concerns over Musk's political activities [2] - Li Auto (LI.US) gained over 3% with Q2 sales slightly above guidance [2] - Bilibili (BILI.US) increased over 7% as it expands into video podcasting [2] - Baidu (BIDU.US) rose over 3% after securing a major cloud project worth CNY 510 million [2] - Cryptocurrency stocks showed volatility, with Circle (CRCL.US) up over 9% and Mara Holdings (MARA.US) down over 5% [2] - Uber (UBER.US) rose over 3% following a positive rating from Wells Fargo [3]

Group 1 - Roma Technology confirmed it has not gone bankrupt and is committed to resolving all issues for friends, users, and partners [2] - The company has faced operational difficulties due to a recall incident involving its power banks, leading to a complete halt in production and operations since July 1 [3] - A change in the legal representative of Roma Technology occurred on July 2, with Lei Shexing stepping down and Lei Xingrong taking over, indicating internal restructuring efforts [3] Group 2 - The S&P 500 index reached a new closing high, marking the seventh such instance this year, with a weekly increase of 1.7% [4] - Nvidia's stock closed at a historical high, contributing to the overall rise in technology stocks [4][5] - Bitcoin-related stocks also saw gains, with Circle rising over 6% [5] Group 3 - Vanke announced that its largest shareholder, Shenzhen Metro Group, plans to provide a loan of 6.249 billion yuan to help repay the company's maturing public debt [16] - This loan will bring the total amount lent by Shenzhen Metro Group to Vanke to 21.8 billion yuan [16] - The loan terms remain consistent with a three-year duration and a low interest rate of 2.34%, reflecting market principles [17]

Group 1: Legislative Developments - The U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump's large-scale tax and spending bill, known as the "Big and Beautiful" bill, with a vote of 218 in favor and 214 against [1] - The bill has been controversial due to cuts in federal aid, increased long-term debt, and tax reductions for the wealthy and large corporations [1] - The bill was previously approved by the Senate and is set to be signed by Trump on July 4, coinciding with Independence Day [1] Group 2: Market Performance - On July 3, U.S. stock markets closed early, with the S&P 500 index rising by 0.83%, the Nasdaq by 1.02%, and the Dow Jones by 344.11 points, or 0.77% [2] - The S&P 500 index reached a new historical closing high for the seventh time this year, while the Nasdaq achieved its fourth closing high of the year [2] - For the week, the S&P 500 index increased by 1.7%, the Nasdaq by 1.6%, and the Dow by 2.3% [2] Group 3: Sector Performance - Technology stocks generally rose, with Nvidia increasing by 1.33% to a historical high of $159.34, bringing its market capitalization to $3.89 trillion [3] - Chinese concept stocks showed mixed results, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 0.40% [6] - The solar panel sector saw significant gains, with companies like Xuri Sheng Technology rising over 19% and Daqo New Energy ADR increasing over 7% [6] Group 4: Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payrolls for June showed an increase of 147,000 jobs, significantly above expectations, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.1% [9] - The ISM non-manufacturing PMI for June reported at 50.8, exceeding expectations of 50.5, indicating continued growth in the services sector [10] - Industrial orders in the U.S. for May increased by 8.2%, marking the largest growth since 2014 [11]

Core Viewpoint - The "Irrational Exuberance Index" developed by Barclays has surpassed the warning threshold of 10.7%, indicating a resurgence of speculative trading in the U.S. stock market, reminiscent of past market bubbles [1][2]. Group 1: Market Indicators - The "Irrational Exuberance Index" has reached a monthly average of 10.7%, the first time it has crossed the double-digit threshold since February, with a historical average of around 7% [1]. - The index is based on derivatives market data, volatility indicators, and options market sentiment signals, and has previously peaked during the late 1990s internet bubble and the 2021 retail trading frenzy [1]. - The market is currently characterized by speculative trading, with significant increases in popular concept stocks and traditional fundamental analysis becoming less effective [2]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Performance - Optimism in the market is driven by expectations of trade agreements between the U.S. and major partners, as well as speculation that the Trump administration may delay tariff implementation [2]. - The SPAC issuance has rebounded significantly, with the number of new SPACs in 2025 already exceeding the total for the previous two years [2]. - The ARK Innovation ETF has recorded one of its highest annual gains, with specific sectors showing extreme performance: Bitcoin-related stocks surged by 78%, quantum computing stocks rose by 69%, and meme stocks averaged a 44% increase [2]. Group 3: Risk and Recommendations - The index readings indicate overly exuberant investor sentiment, which poses a risk of increased market volatility [2]. - There is a strong correlation between the index and net borrowing positions in margin accounts, reflecting high retail participation [2]. - Despite the presence of bubble signals, timing the market remains challenging, and historical trends suggest bubbles can last longer than expected [2].

Group 1: Stock Market Performance - The US stock market showed mixed results with the Dow Jones up by 0.14%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 fell by 0.29% and 0.09% respectively [1] - Bitcoin-related stocks saw gains, with Circle rising over 12% and Coinbase increasing by more than 3% [1] - Chinese concept stocks experienced declines, with Huya dropping over 7% and other companies like Bilibili, JD.com, Douyu, Li Auto, and Xpeng falling by more than 2% [1] Group 2: Economic Developments - The largest "Triple Witching" event in history is set to occur, with potential implications for the US stock market, as options worth up to $6.5 trillion are set to expire [2] - President Trump has called for a 250 basis point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve, criticizing Chairman Powell for delaying action that he claims is costing the US billions [3] Group 3: Corporate News - The European Investment Bank is expected to announce a funding plan of up to €70 billion (approximately $75 billion) to support technology companies in areas such as supercomputing, AI, and robotics over the next three years [4] - The European Court's chief legal advisor supports a previous antitrust ruling against Google, recommending a fine of €4.12 billion (approximately ¥34.1 billion) [5] - Berkshire Hathaway has underperformed the broader market, with its Class A shares dropping over 10% since May 3, contrasting sharply with the strong rebound of the S&P 500 [6] - Tesla has initiated a significant project in Shanghai, with a total investment of ¥4 billion for its first grid-side energy storage project in mainland China [7]

Group 1 - The major U.S. stock indices opened higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.05%, Nasdaq up 0.23%, and S&P 500 up 0.13% [1] - Warner Bros. Discovery saw a significant increase of over 8% as the company announced plans to split into two media companies [1] - Bitcoin reached a price of $107,000, leading to a rise in related stocks, with Circle increasing by over 23% and Strategy up by over 1% [1]