Core Viewpoint - Strategy (MSTR) has formally responded to MSCI's proposal to exclude companies with digital asset holdings representing 50% or more of total assets from MSCI Global Investable Market Indexes, arguing that such a move is unjust and detrimental to the industry [1][4]. Group 1: Company Positioning - Strategy asserts that it operates as a digital asset treasury company (DAT) that utilizes digital assets as productive capital rather than merely tracking price movements [2]. - The company emphasizes that it builds bitcoin-backed credit instruments, manages an active corporate treasury program, and maintains a global enterprise analytics software business, indicating a diversified operational model [2]. - Strategy claims that investors are buying into the company's strategy and management, not just a passive investment in bitcoin [2]. Group 2: Response to MSCI Proposal - The company argues that the proposed 50% threshold for exclusion is arbitrary and unworkable, noting that other industries with concentrated reserves, such as oil and real estate, remain eligible for MSCI indices [3]. - Strategy contends that the proposal injects policy views into index construction at a time when federal policy is shifting to support digital asset innovation, warning that exclusion could lead to significant passive capital outflows and hinder American competitiveness [4]. - The company urges MSCI to extend the consultation period and provide a more detailed rationale for any proposed changes, highlighting the potential negative impact on the expansion of new financial technologies [4]. Group 3: Company Structure - Strategy is organized as a conventional operating company and does not have a fund or exchange-traded product (ETP) structure [5]. - The company is not classified as an investment company under applicable laws and does not create fund-like tax treatment for investors [5]. - Strategy has a long history as an operating software business, reinforcing its identity as a traditional operating entity rather than an investment fund [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company Strategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) is open to selling Bitcoin to fund dividend payments if necessary, marking a shift in its previous stance on Bitcoin retention [1][3]. Group 1: Company Strategy - CEO Phong Le stated that selling Bitcoin would be considered if the company's trading value fell below the net asset value (mNAV) of its Bitcoin holdings, emphasizing that this would be a last resort [1][2]. - The ultimate goal of the company is to maximize Bitcoin per share, and selling Bitcoin to pay dividends is seen as more accretive under certain conditions [2]. Group 2: Market Position - The company currently holds 650,000 BTC valued at $56.5 billion, representing the largest corporate Bitcoin holdings [5]. - The company's mNAV has recently compressed to 0.99, indicating that it is now valued below its Bitcoin holdings, which reflects a decline in the digital asset treasury trade's appeal [6]. Group 3: Leadership Comments - Michael Saylor, the company's Chair, addressed skepticism regarding the company's willingness to sell Bitcoin for dividends, asserting that it is possible to sell a small fraction of its holdings to cover dividend payments while still increasing Bitcoin holdings [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the stark contrast between the significant drop in Strategy's stock price and the continued bullish outlook from most analysts, indicating a potential disconnect between market performance and analyst sentiment [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - Strategy's stock price plummeted by 60%, resulting in a market cap loss of $73 billion, yet only 3 out of 19 analysts changed their stance to bearish, with 15 maintaining a "buy" rating [1]. - Among the analysts with "buy" ratings, 12 provided target prices, with a median target price of approximately $485, suggesting an implied upside of over 150% from the recent closing price of $189 [1]. - The highest target price from Benchmark Co. analyst Mark Palmer is $705, indicating a potential increase of nearly four times the current stock price [1]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Comparisons - The optimistic sentiment towards Strategy is particularly pronounced among large U.S. companies, with its median target price indicating the highest potential upside in the Nasdaq 100 index [3]. - Strategy's stock price premium has significantly decreased, now only 1.2 times the value of Bitcoin, compared to previous peaks where it was over 2.5 times [7]. - Analyst Gus Gala previously downgraded Strategy to "sell" due to intense market competition but later adjusted the rating to "neutral" after the stock's decline [6][8]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Bitcoin Correlation - Analysts believe that Bitcoin will rebound strongly, similar to past trends, which could significantly boost the value of Strategy's cryptocurrency assets [2]. - Palmer predicts Bitcoin prices could soar over 140% to $225,000 by the end of 2026, which would likely drive Strategy's stock price higher as well [8][9]. - Despite some analysts lowering their target prices, they remain optimistic about the stock's potential for recovery in the next 12 months [8].

Market Outlook - The market is currently in a bullish phase, with a year-end target of 7,000 and a projection of reaching 8,000 to 8,400 by the end of next year [1] - The transition year ahead will see a shift from Fed influence back to Wall Street determining the credit cycle [5] Federal Reserve Policy - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower the Fed funds rate to 2.75%, which is considered the neutral rate, and the current hawkish sentiment is viewed as misguided [2][4] - There is an anticipation of the Fed increasing its balance sheet, with estimates ranging from 25 billion to 40 billion per month, which is not classified as quantitative easing (QE) [6] Investment Opportunities - Interest rate-sensitive sectors such as regional banks and homebuilders are highlighted as potential areas for investment, having already corrected from their exponential moving averages [7] - The AI sector and the "Magnificent Seven" stocks are also seen as promising, but a broader market rally is necessary for sustained growth [13] Bitcoin and MicroStrategy - Bitcoin is viewed as a buying opportunity, especially as it has recently dropped from 457 to 155, with current trading around 180 [9][12] - MicroStrategy is considered a misunderstood stock, with its balance sheet being transparent due to blockchain technology, contrasting with traditional financial institutions [11] Economic and Political Factors - The combination of monetary and fiscal policies, along with potential supply-side policies from political figures, could contribute to a strong market performance next year [14][15] - The midterm election cycle is expected to have a different impact than previously anticipated, with no significant corrections predicted [15]

MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares closed comfortably in the green on Dec. 9 as Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap – rallied ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. BTC pushed past $94,000 this morning as investors grew more optimistic that the U.S. central bank will deliver a “hawkish cut” on Thursday. More News from Barchart Despite today’s gain, MicroStrategy stock remains down over 50% versus its year-to-date high in mid-July. www.barchart.com Is It Worth Buying Mic ...

Core Viewpoint - MicroStrategy is intensifying its Bitcoin acquisition strategy despite a significant decline in its stock price, which has dropped over 50% in the last six months [1] Group 1: Bitcoin Acquisition Strategy - The company acquired 10,624 Bitcoin for $962.7 million at an average price of $90,615 per coin, increasing total holdings to 660,624 Bitcoin valued at $49.35 billion [1] - This purchase signifies a return to aggressive buying after a period of smaller acquisitions due to adverse market conditions [2] Group 2: Funding and Financial Position - The recent acquisition was primarily funded through the sale of $928.1 million in common stock and an additional $34.9 million from preferred stock sales [2] - MicroStrategy has established a $1.44 billion cash reserve to manage dividend payments on preferred stock and interest on debt, indicating a shift in funding strategy [5] Group 3: Market Performance and Leadership - The stock hit a 52-week low of around $155 but has since recovered to $190, remaining below recent highs [4] - Executive Chairman Michael Saylor is actively promoting Bitcoin to sovereign wealth funds and institutional investors [4] Group 4: Investment Risks and Strategy Changes - MicroStrategy holds approximately 3.1% of the total Bitcoin supply, making it vulnerable to significant risks if market conditions worsen [6] - CEO Phong Le has acknowledged the possibility of selling Bitcoin under certain crisis conditions, marking a departure from the company's previous "never-sell" philosophy [7] - The company's mNAV is nearing the critical 0.9 danger zone, raising concerns about potential forced sales if stock value falls below Bitcoin holdings [7] Group 5: Preferred Securities - MicroStrategy has issued four preferred securities in 2025, raising $6.7 billion, with the largest being the U.S. IPO of the year [8] - These preferred instruments provide tax-deferred dividends as a return of capital, expected to continue for at least 10 years due to the company's negative taxable earnings profile from its Bitcoin strategy [8]

Andrew Tate, the former kickboxing champion and controversial online personality, just can't keep himself out of the world of crypto trading. Tate, who suffered a complete wipeout of his entire trading balance on the crypto derivatives exchange Hyperliquid last month, is not new to digital assets. Related: Andrew Tate predicts Bitcoin will crash to $26K before its biggest move The controversial personality who gained notoriety over the charges of rape and human trafficking in Europe has often promoted cry ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent purchase of approximately 10,600 BTC by MicroStrategy, valued at nearly one billion dollars, has sparked debate in the crypto community regarding the lack of price movement in Bitcoin despite the significant acquisition [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Large institutional purchases, such as MicroStrategy's, typically occur through Over-The-Counter (OTC) desks rather than public exchanges, which prevents immediate market reactions [3]. - The nature of OTC trades allows for substantial transactions to be executed without impacting public liquidity pools, thus avoiding slippage and leaving no visible trace on price charts [4]. - The ability of MicroStrategy to absorb large amounts of Bitcoin privately indicates the depth of liquidity in the market at current supply levels [4]. Group 2: Supply and Demand - MicroStrategy's acquisition of 10,000 BTC represents only about 0.05% of the circulating supply, which diminishes its impact on market prices when sourced through negotiated block trades [5]. - The accumulation of Bitcoin by corporations can continue unnoticed during sideways market conditions, with retail traders often unaware until after the transactions are settled [5]. Group 3: Perception vs. Impact - Critics argue that MicroStrategy's strategy may focus more on creating a bullish sentiment through promotional announcements rather than having a direct impact on Bitcoin's price [6].

Core Insights - Strategy Inc. (MSTR) is recognized for its aggressive Bitcoin strategy, but its long-term fundamentals are rooted in its software and enterprise analytics businesses, with subscription services emerging as a key driver for stability and growth [1] Software Business Performance - Growth in the software business is uneven, with declines in product support and other services offsetting subscription gains, indicating pressure on parts of the legacy software portfolio [2] - Despite challenges, the software business maintains strong profitability, supported by healthy margins, making subscription services a stabilizing force amid Bitcoin-driven earnings volatility [3] Subscription Services Growth - In Q3 2025, subscription service revenues increased by 65.4% year-over-year to $46.0 million, representing approximately 36% of total revenues, reflecting the growing adoption of cloud-based analytics offerings [4][11] - The shift towards subscription services is strategically important as recurring revenues provide greater visibility and stability compared to one-time license sales [4] Future Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects modest revenue growth of about 2.1% in 2025 and 4.9% in 2026, suggesting that steady growth in subscription services could enhance the software segment's contribution to long-term growth [5] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Microsoft (MSFT) and Salesforce (CRM) leverage strong subscription-based platforms for steady recurring revenue through cloud and analytics services [6] - Microsoft’s Power BI poses a significant competitive threat to MSTR, offering an intuitive interface and integration across its ecosystem, making it attractive for small and medium-sized businesses [7] - Salesforce competes by unifying analytics and CRM through its Tableau-powered ecosystem, enhancing customer relationships and sales processes [8] Stock Performance and Valuation - MSTR shares have declined by 49.7% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Finance sector's 11.7% gain, and lagging behind competitors like Microsoft, which rose by 10.1% [9] - MSTR currently has a Value Score of F, trading at a Price/Book ratio of 1.01X compared to the sector's 4.24X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MSTR's 2025 earnings is $78.04 per share, indicating a recovery from a previous loss of $6.72 per share [16]

Core Viewpoint - The company has transformed from a software firm into the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, indicating a significant strategic pivot towards cryptocurrency investment [1] Group 1: Company Transformation - The company has made a substantial commitment to Bitcoin, effectively betting its entire business model on the digital asset [1] - This shift highlights the growing trend of corporations diversifying their portfolios to include cryptocurrencies as a significant asset class [1] Group 2: Industry Implications - The company's position as the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin may influence other firms to consider similar investments, potentially impacting the overall market dynamics of cryptocurrency [1] - This transformation reflects a broader trend in the industry where traditional companies are increasingly integrating digital assets into their financial strategies [1]