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Why Netflix Buying Warner Bros. Discovery Is A Bad Bet For Investors
ZeroHedge· 2025-12-19 23:50
Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) by Netflix is facing significant scrutiny and skepticism from various stakeholders, raising concerns about its viability and potential risks for investors [2][3][6][10]. Group 1: Industry Concerns - The Writers Guild of America and prominent political figures, including Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, have expressed concerns regarding the Netflix-WBD deal, emphasizing that it is primarily about growth and job support [1]. - Industry skepticism is prevalent, with former WarnerMedia CEO Jason Kilar stating that selling WBD to Netflix could effectively reduce competition in Hollywood, which could be cited in regulatory memos [6]. - Filmmaker James Cameron warned that the acquisition would be a "disaster," highlighting Netflix's dismissal of theatrical film distribution, reinforcing concerns about platform dominance [7]. Group 2: Regulatory and Legal Challenges - The deal is expected to face antitrust scrutiny, which could delay or prevent its closure, leading to increased financing uncertainty and potential risks for investors [3][4][9]. - Netflix has hired a prominent antitrust lawyer, indicating the anticipated scrutiny and potential challenges the acquisition may face [4]. - President Trump has indicated a preference for a buyer willing to acquire the entire company, including CNN, which Netflix has shown no interest in, while Paramount has made a higher all-cash offer for WBD [8]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The nature of Netflix's stock-heavy transaction introduces timeline risks that could extend the review process into years, contrasting with all-cash deals that typically clear regulatory reviews more quickly [9]. - Markets tend to react negatively to uncertainty, and the prevailing sentiment among investors is to back deals that are more likely to close, making the Netflix acquisition appear less favorable [10].
Netflix Stock Went from Boom to Bust This Year: How to Play the Stock for 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 19:30
Core Viewpoint - Netflix has experienced significant volatility in its stock performance throughout the year, initially seen as a safe investment but later facing challenges due to market dynamics and a controversial acquisition [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Netflix's stock was outperforming tech peers in the first four months of the year but later traded flat before crashing after its Q3 2025 earnings report [1][2]. - The stock is currently up only around 6% for the year, significantly trailing the S&P 500 Index, and has fallen almost 30% from its 2025 highs, entering bear market territory [6]. Group 2: Acquisition of Warner Bros. - Netflix's proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. is valued at an enterprise value of $82.7 billion, marking the largest deal in the company's history [4]. - Paramount has made a counteroffer of $30 per share in cash, exceeding Netflix's offer of $27.75 in cash and stock [4]. - The acquisition is expected to face regulatory scrutiny due to its size, with concerns raised by Disney's CEO regarding the potential pricing power it would grant Netflix [5]. Group 3: Analyst Reactions - Following the announcement of the WBD acquisition, several sell-side analysts downgraded Netflix's stock, citing the deal as "expensive" and "very risky" [7]. - Pivotal Research downgraded Netflix from "Buy" to "Hold," lowering its target price from $160 to $105 [7]. - Huber Research double-downgraded the stock from "Overweight" to "Underweight," slashing its target price from $137.50 to $92 [7]. - Rosenblatt downgraded Netflix from "Buy" to "Neutral," reducing its target price from $152 to $105, indicating an extended period of uncertainty for the company [7].
X @TechCrunch
TechCrunch· 2025-12-19 18:15
Netflix is betting on podcasts to become the new daytime talk show https://t.co/bRs1eV4wFD ...
Netflix is betting on podcasts to become the new daytime talk show
TechCrunch· 2025-12-19 18:13
Core Insights - Netflix is expanding into the podcasting space by signing exclusive video rights deals with iHeartMedia, Barstool Sports, and Spotify, with potential talks with SiriusXM, aiming to compete with YouTube [1][2][17] - The podcasting industry is experiencing a shift towards video content, with YouTube reporting over 700 million hours of podcast viewership on living room devices in 2025, up from 400 million in the previous year [2] - There is skepticism among podcasters regarding the long-term value of video podcasts, with concerns about a potential podcast bubble similar to what occurred after Spotify's aggressive acquisitions [4][13] Industry Dynamics - The move by Netflix is seen as a strategic attempt to dominate content creation and distribution, particularly targeting YouTube as a competitor [5][17] - Podcasters express ambivalence towards video formats, with many preferring audio content, indicating a disconnect between audience preferences and corporate strategies [8][9] - The podcasting landscape is marked by a tension between independent creators and large tech companies, with concerns about consolidation leading to fewer resources for smaller creators [14][15] Future Outlook - Analysts predict that Netflix may eventually pursue high-profile podcast creators with significant deals, potentially reshaping the podcasting landscape [17] - The cultural shift towards consuming podcasts as background content is seen as an opportunity for Netflix to capture a new audience segment [18] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with both Netflix and Spotify making aggressive moves to test new value propositions in the podcasting space [16]
Netflix CEO on the success of "Emily in Paris"
Microsoft· 2025-12-19 17:00
Content Overview - The document promotes Microsoft's YouTube channel and other social media platforms [1] - The document encourages viewers to subscribe to Microsoft's YouTube channel [1] - The document provides links to Microsoft's LinkedIn, Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram accounts [1] Marketing & Branding - The document uses hashtags like EmilyInParis, Netflix, storytelling, and CulturalImpact, suggesting a focus on entertainment and cultural trends [1] - The document directs users to Microsoft's website for more information about the company, its technology, and its mission [1]
Netflix acquires gaming avatar maker Ready Player Me
TechCrunch· 2025-12-19 17:00
Core Insights - Netflix is shifting its gaming strategy to focus on TV games and has acquired Ready Player Me, an avatar-creation platform, to enhance its gaming experience for subscribers [1][5] - The acquisition aims to allow Netflix users to carry their avatars across different games, enhancing user engagement and personalization [1][5] Acquisition Details - The financial terms of the acquisition were not disclosed, but Ready Player Me had previously raised $72 million from various investors [2] - The team from Ready Player Me, consisting of around 20 members, will join Netflix, including the founders [3] Strategic Shift in Gaming - Netflix's initial gaming strategy involved mobile games, but it is now pivoting towards more interactive and engaging experiences on TV [6][11] - The company has faced mixed results with its gaming strategy, leading to changes in leadership and a focus on different game types, including party games and narrative-driven titles [11][13] Future Plans - Ready Player Me will cease its current services by January 31, 2026, as Netflix integrates its technology [3] - Netflix has plans to release new titles, including a FIFA game in time for the 2026 World Cup, as part of its expanded gaming lineup [14] Interactive Features - Netflix is also exploring interactive features, such as real-time voting for live content, to enhance viewer engagement [15] - This move aligns with trends in the TV industry towards more interactive experiences, although it remains to be seen if Netflix can successfully transition its brand perception from passive viewing to interactive gaming [15]
WBD拒绝派拉蒙收购要约,坚持与奈飞交易
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 16:04
华纳兄弟探索公司(WBD)称派拉蒙天空之舞(PSKY)每股30美元的敌意收购要约为"虚幻",重申其 计划将影视制作和流媒体资产出售给奈飞(NFLX),该交易尚待股东投票和监管审查。 来源:环球市场播报 ...
2 Growth Stocks That Have Beaten the Market in Just 2 of the Past 5 Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-19 09:25
Group 1: Market Overview - The S&P 500 has nearly doubled since December 2020, despite a bear market in 2022 and a brief sell-off earlier this year [1] - Investor patience has been tested over the past five years, but business fundamentals are driving stock prices higher over time [2] Group 2: Netflix Performance - Netflix stock has increased 24,000% since 2005 but has underperformed the market since 2020, with an 80% rise compared to the S&P 500's 99% gain [4] - The stock saw a steep decline in 2022 due to subscriber losses but has surged 218% since then [5] - Netflix has over 300 million paying households and operates in more than 190 countries, indicating significant growth potential [7] - Analysts expect Netflix's revenue to increase by 15% in 2025, with $10 billion in net profit on $43 billion in total revenue over the last year [8] - The company is investing in content expansion and has launched an advertising-supported subscription tier to boost subscriber growth [9] - Analysts predict Netflix's earnings per share will grow at an annualized rate of approximately 24% for the foreseeable future [10] Group 3: Amazon Performance - Amazon's stock has only beaten the market in two of the past five years, underperforming the S&P 500 in 2021, 2022, and 2025 [12] - Amazon's non-retail services, including cloud computing and advertising, account for 59% of its revenue and generate the majority of its profit [13] - Amazon reported a net profit of $76 billion over the past year, with total net sales growth trending higher [15][16] - The stock is trading at a price-to-cash-flow ratio of 18, significantly lower than its previous 10-year average of 27 [17] - Analysts predict Amazon's earnings to grow at an annualized rate of 18% over the next several years [18]
安期货晨会纪要-20251219





Xin Yong An Guo Ji Zheng Quan· 2025-12-19 04:01
Core Insights - US core inflation unexpectedly eased to a four-year low, raising questions among economists about the reliability of the data due to a prior government shutdown [8][14] - ByteDance has signed an agreement to establish a joint venture in the US with majority ownership by American investors [8][14] Market Performance - The A-share market opened lower but closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.16% at 3876.37 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell 1.29% and the ChiNext Index dropped 2.17% [1] - The Hong Kong market also saw fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 0.12% at 25498.13 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.73% [1][5] Economic Indicators - The US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.6% year-on-year in November, while the overall CPI increased by 2.7% [14] - The report indicated that core CPI only increased by 0.2% over the last two months, with declines in hotel, leisure, and clothing prices limiting the overall increase [14] Corporate Developments - TikTok announced the establishment of a joint venture with US investors, which will operate independently and manage US data protection and algorithm security [8][14] - China has reportedly ordered 7 million tons of US soybeans, achieving over half of the procurement target set during the Trump administration [8][14]
Wells Fargo's Investment Bankers Are Having Their Best Year Ever
WSJ· 2025-12-19 02:00
Core Insights - The bank is focusing on hiring top talent to secure significant deals, including the bid for Warner Bros. by Netflix [1] Group 1 - The strategy to attract high-caliber professionals is aimed at enhancing the bank's capabilities in handling large transactions [1] - The involvement in major deals indicates the bank's growing influence and competitiveness in the investment banking sector [1]