Key Takeaways Annaly is set to report Q3 earnings after market close on Oct. 22, 2025. Consensus sees NII at $447M and EPS of 72 cents per share, both up year over year. Tighter MBS spreads and slower prepayments likely aided book value gains. Annaly Capital Management Inc. (NLY) is scheduled to report third-quarter 2025 results on Oct. 22, after market close. The company’s results are expected to reflect year-over-year increases in earnings and net interest income (NII) in the quarter to be reported.In the ...

Market Overview - The bull market experienced a pause last week due to concerns in the U.S. regional banking sector, with two banks revealing issues related to bad and fraudulent loans, raising fears of deeper systemic problems [1] Investment Strategy - The current market conditions may prompt investors to consider defensive plays, particularly dividend stocks, which are generally more stable and less volatile compared to riskier asset classes [2] Company Profile: Annaly Capital (NLY) - Annaly Capital is a leading mortgage REIT and diversified capital manager based in New York, primarily investing in mortgage-related assets, including agency mortgage-backed securities and other real estate credit instruments [4][5] - The company's agency MBS portfolio is its main revenue generator, with a total portfolio valued at $89.5 billion as of the end of Q2, where $79.5 billion is invested in the Agency MBS strategy, accounting for 89% of total assets [6] Financial Performance - In the last quarter, Annaly Capital generated an adjusted EPS of $0.73, surpassing analysts' expectations by $0.02, which is sufficient to cover its dividend of $0.70 [7] - The company offers a dividend yield of 13.6%, significantly higher than the sector average of 3.3% [7]

Group 1 - The service offers features such as model portfolios with buy/sell alerts, preferred and baby bond portfolios for conservative investors, and dividend and portfolio trackers [1] - The service emphasizes community and education, promoting the idea that investors should not invest alone [1] Group 2 - The article mentions that recommendations are closely monitored, with Buy and Sell alerts being exclusive to members [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks REIT and Equity Trust industry is experiencing volatility in mortgage rates due to macroeconomic uncertainty, leading to earnings pressure in the near term [1] Industry Overview - The Zacks REIT and Equity Trust industry consists of mortgage REITs (mREITs) that invest in and originate mortgages and mortgage-backed securities (MBS), providing mortgage credit for homeowners and businesses [3] - mREITs typically focus on either residential or commercial mortgage markets, with some investing in both through asset-backed securities [3] - Agency securities, backed by the federal government, are considered safer investments, limiting credit risks [3] - Key revenue metrics for mREITs include net interest margin, which is the spread between interest income on mortgage assets and funding costs [3] Current Challenges - The industry is facing dividend cuts as book values erode due to tightened mortgage spreads and expected higher interest rates, leading to earnings pressure for highly leveraged mREITs [4] - A conservative investment approach is likely to impede returns, as mREITs prioritize risk and liquidity management over growth [5] - Despite a recent Federal Reserve rate cut, mortgage rates remain below the 52-week average of 6.71%, which is driving renewed interest in purchase applications and refinancing activities [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks REIT and Equity Trust industry ranks 185, placing it in the bottom 24% of 243 Zacks industries, indicating underperformance in the near term [7] - The industry's current-year earnings estimate has decreased by 8.1% over the last year, reflecting a negative earnings outlook [8] - Over the past year, the industry has declined by 6.2%, while the broader Zacks Finance sector rose by 17.1% and the S&P 500 grew by 18.2% [10] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a trailing 12-month price-to-book (P/BV) ratio of 1.00X, compared to the S&P 500's 8.8X [13] - The Zacks Finance sector's trailing 12-month P/BV is 4.32X, indicating that the REIT and Equity Trust industry is trading at a significant discount [15] Company Highlights - **Annaly Capital Management (NLY)**: Focuses on prudent asset selection and effective capital allocation, with a diversified investment strategy that includes Agency MBSs and non-agency assets [17][18]. The company's 2025 earnings are estimated at $2.89 per share, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase [19] - **Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI)**: Engages in originating and managing commercial mortgage loans, benefiting from a robust origination pipeline and disciplined capital recycling strategy [22][23]. The company's 2025 earnings estimates are $1.04 per share, indicating a 141.9% year-over-year increase [24] - **Ellington Financial (EFC)**: Invests in a diverse array of financial assets, including residential and commercial mortgage loans, and employs dynamic hedging strategies to manage risks [27][29]. The company's 2025 earnings estimates are $1.74 per share, reflecting a 19.2% year-over-year growth [30]

Core Insights - Dividend stocks can provide passive income and stability, but their reliability varies significantly among different companies [1] - Annaly Capital (NYSE: NLY) offers a high dividend yield of 13.3%, while Realty Income (NYSE: O) provides a more stable yield of 5.7% with a history of consistent dividend increases [2][8] Group 1: Company Overview - Annaly Capital is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and uses leverage to enhance returns [7][8] - Realty Income focuses on commercial properties, primarily single-tenant buildings, and earns rental income that supports its growing dividend payout [9] Group 2: Dividend Characteristics - REITs like Annaly and Realty Income are required to distribute at least 90% of taxable income as dividends, making them attractive for dividend investors [4] - Realty Income has a track record of raising its dividend for 31 consecutive years, indicating a stable income stream for investors [9]

Core Points - Annaly Capital Management, Inc. has announced the dates for its third quarter 2025 financial results and conference call [1] Summary by Category Company Information - The financial results for the third quarter of 2025 will be released on a specified date, followed by a conference call to discuss the results [1]

Core Insights - Dividend yields are historically low, with the S&P 500 yielding less than 1.2%, yet some stocks offer significantly higher yields, such as Annaly Capital Management at 13.4% [1][2] Group 1: Annaly Capital Management - Annaly Capital Management has a dividend yield of 13.4%, which is notably high for a real estate investment trust (REIT) where the average yield is around 4% [2] - The company specializes in residential mortgage financing, investing in mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by government agencies and other residential mortgage loans, providing multiple revenue streams [3] - Annaly employs leverage to enhance returns, with earnings available for distribution increasing from $0.66 per share in Q3 of the previous year to $0.73 per share in Q2 of 2025, allowing for a dividend increase from $0.65 to $0.70 per share [4] Group 2: Western Midstream Partners - Western Midstream Partners offers a dividend yield of 9.5%, attributed to its structure as a master limited partnership (MLP) [5] - The MLP owns energy midstream assets, generating stable cash flow from long-term contracts, with expected free cash flow between $1.3 billion and $1.5 billion for the year [6] - The company plans to increase its distribution at a low-to-mid single-digit annual rate, supported by capital spending and potential acquisitions, including a $2 billion purchase of Aris Water Solutions [7] Group 3: Pfizer - Pfizer has a dividend yield of 6.3% and has consistently paid dividends for 347 consecutive quarters, increasing payments for over 15 years [8] - The high yield is partly due to concerns over an impending "patent cliff," with the loss of exclusivity for drugs generating over $17 billion in annual sales by 2028 [9] - To address this challenge, Pfizer is cutting costs, investing in R&D, and making acquisitions, including a $43 billion purchase of Seagen and a $1.3 billion investment in a potential cancer immunotherapy [10][11]

Core Insights - During market turbulence, investors often seek dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and offer substantial dividends [1] Group 1: Company Ratings and Analyst Insights - MFA Financial, Inc. has a dividend yield of 15.00%, with UBS analyst Douglas Harter maintaining a Neutral rating and raising the price target from $10 to $10.5, while JMP Securities analyst Mikhail Goberman cut the price target from $12 to $11 [7] - AGNC Investment Corp. has a dividend yield of 14.63%, with UBS analyst Brock Vandervliet maintaining a Neutral rating and raising the price target from $9.5 to $9.75, while Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Bose George increased the price target from $9.5 to $10 [7] - Annaly Capital Management, Inc. has a dividend yield of 13.31%, with UBS analyst Douglas Harter maintaining a Neutral rating and raising the price target from $20 to $21, while Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Bose George increased the price target from $20.5 to $21.5 [7]

Core Insights - During market turbulence, investors often seek dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and offer substantial dividends [1] Company Summaries MFA Financial, Inc. (NYSE:MFA) - Dividend Yield: 15.00% - UBS analyst Douglas Harter maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $10 to $10.5 on September 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 68% [7] - JMP Securities analyst Mikhail Goberman maintained a Market Outperform rating and reduced the price target from $12 to $11 on July 17, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 76% [7] - Recent News: Announced a dividend of 36 cents per share on September 11 [7] AGNC Investment Corp. (NASDAQ:AGNC) - Dividend Yield: 14.63% - UBS analyst Brock Vandervliet maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $9.5 to $9.75 on September 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 67% [7] - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Bose George maintained an Outperform rating and increased the price target from $9.5 to $10 on July 10, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 70% [7] - Recent News: Declared a monthly common stock dividend of 12 cents per share for September on September 11 [7] Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NYSE:NLY) - Dividend Yield: 13.31% - UBS analyst Douglas Harter maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $20 to $21 on September 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 68% [7] - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Bose George maintained an Outperform rating and increased the price target from $20.5 to $21.5 on July 25, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 70% [7] - Recent News: Announced a third-quarter common stock dividend of 70 cents per share on September 10 [7]

Core Viewpoint - Annaly Capital Management (NLY) is experiencing mixed performance, with a recent stock price increase but underperformance over the past month compared to broader market indices. The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show significant growth in both EPS and revenue compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Company Performance - In the latest trading session, NLY closed at $21.04, reflecting a +1.06% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.59% [1] - Over the past month, NLY shares have depreciated by 0.81%, underperforming the Finance sector's gain of 1.64% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.72% [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show an EPS of $0.72, indicating a 9.09% growth year-over-year [2] - Revenue is projected to be $447 million, representing a substantial increase of 3235.82% compared to the same quarter last year [2] Annual Projections - For the annual period, Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $2.89 per share and revenue of $1.4 billion, reflecting increases of +7.04% and +463.37% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for NLY are crucial as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates these estimate changes, currently ranks NLY at 3 (Hold) [6] Valuation Metrics - NLY is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 7.2, which is below the industry average Forward P/E of 8.79 [7] - The company has a PEG ratio of 4.93, compared to the average PEG ratio of 3.95 for REIT and Equity Trust stocks [8] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry is currently ranked 205 out of over 250 industries, placing it in the bottom 18% of all industries [8] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [9]