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Nutrien's Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Record Potash Volumes
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 13:46
Core Insights - Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) reported profits of $1,229 million or $2.50 per share for Q2 2025, a significant increase from $392 million or 78 cents in the same quarter last year, with adjusted earnings per share at $2.65, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.40 [1] - Sales rose approximately 2.8% year over year to $10,438 million, although this figure fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10,610.1 million [1] Segment Highlights - The Nutrien Ag Solutions (Retail) segment saw a 1% decline in sales year over year, totaling $7,959 million, missing the estimate of $8,591.6 million [2] - The Potash division experienced a 31% year-over-year sales increase, reaching $991 million, exceeding the estimate of $677.8 million, with record sales volumes driven by strong demand in North America and major offshore markets [3] - The Nitrogen segment reported sales of $1,260 million, up approximately 23% year over year, surpassing the estimate of $996.5 million, supported by strong demand and higher production [4] - The Phosphate segment generated sales of $396 million, a 1% increase year over year, exceeding the estimate of $362.9 million, despite lower production volumes earlier in the year [5] Financial Overview - At the end of the quarter, NTR had cash and cash equivalents of $1,387 million, a 38% increase year over year, while long-term debt rose nearly 10.7% to $10,405 million [6] - Cash provided by operating activities was reported at $2,538 million for the quarter [6] Guidance and Outlook - The company projects retail adjusted EBITDA for 2025 to be between $1.65 billion and $1.85 billion, anticipating stronger sales in North America and improved conditions in Australia and Brazil [7] - Potash sales volume guidance has been raised to 13.9–14.5 million tons, while nitrogen sales volumes are forecasted at 10.7–11.2 million tons, considering planned turnarounds [8] - Phosphate sales volumes are expected to be between 2.35–2.55 million tons, supported by improved operating rates [9] - Capital expenditures are projected at $2–$2.1 billion, which is below last year's level [9] Price Performance - Nutrien's shares have increased by 22.2% over the past year, outperforming the industry average rise of 15.6% [11]
Nutrien(NTR) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-07 14:00
Financial Performance Highlights - Nutrien's upstream NPK sales volumes reached 139 million tonnes in the first half of 2025[14] - Retail expenses decreased by 6%[14] - Capital expenditures decreased by 18% from $879 million to $724 million[12] - Share buybacks increased by 49% from $253 million to $527 million[12] Retail Segment - Q2 2025 Retail Adjusted EBITDA increased from $1128 million to $1149 million[17] - Q2 2025 YTD Retail Adjusted EBITDA decreased from $1205 million to $1195 million[23] Potash Segment - Q2 2025 Potash sales volumes increased by 12% from 36 million tonnes to 40 million tonnes[29] - Q2 2025 YTD Potash sales volumes increased by 6% from 70 million tonnes to 74 million tonnes[36] - Q2 2025 average net selling price increased by 17% from $212/mt to $248/mt[29] - Q2 2025 YTD average net selling price increased by 4% from $225/mt to $235/mt[36] Nitrogen Segment - Q2 2025 Nitrogen sales volumes increased by 7% from 282 million tonnes to 302 million tonnes[42] - Q2 2025 YTD Nitrogen sales volumes increased by 3% from 533 million tonnes to 549 million tonnes[48] - Q2 2025 average net selling price increased by 13% from $343/mt to $387/mt[42] - Q2 2025 YTD average net selling price increased by 9% from $335/mt to $365/mt[48] Guidance - The company increased its 2025 full-year Potash sales volume guidance range from 136-144 million tonnes to 139-145 million tonnes[53]
Compared to Estimates, Nutrien (NTR) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 00:31
Core Insights - Nutrien reported revenue of $10.44 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, a year-over-year increase of 2.8% and an EPS of $2.65 compared to $2.34 a year ago, indicating positive growth in earnings [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.61 billion, resulting in a surprise of -1.62%, while the EPS exceeded expectations by +10.42% against a consensus estimate of $2.40 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Potash sales volumes reached 3,989 KTon, surpassing the average estimate of 3,613.10 KTon [4] - Nitrogen sales volumes totaled 3,017 KTon, exceeding the average estimate of 2,947.19 KTon [4] - The average selling price per tonne for phosphate (industrial and feed) was $821.00, higher than the estimated $754.85 [4] - Retail sales (Nutrient Ag Solutions) amounted to $7.96 billion, below the estimated $8.4 billion, reflecting a -1.4% change year-over-year [4] - Nitrogen sales were reported at $1.41 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $1.25 billion, representing a +19% year-over-year change [4] - Phosphate sales were $449 million, slightly above the average estimate of $436.29 million, with a year-over-year change of -0.4% [4] - Potash sales reached $1.09 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $892.38 million, indicating a +29.8% year-over-year change [4] - Net sales for potash were $991 million, exceeding the average estimate of $794.77 million, reflecting a +31.1% year-over-year change [4] - Net sales for nitrogen were $1.26 billion, above the average estimate of $1.08 billion, representing a +22.6% change year-over-year [4] - Net sales for phosphate were $396 million, slightly below the average estimate of $418.63 million, with a +0.5% year-over-year change [4] Stock Performance - Nutrien's shares have returned -3.7% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.5% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Stay Ahead of the Game With Nutrien (NTR) Q2 Earnings: Wall Street's Insights on Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-08-01 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Nutrien (NTR) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.40 per share, a 2.6% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $10.61 billion, reflecting a 4.5% year-over-year growth [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 14.2%, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial forecasts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions to the stock, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Sales- Retail (Nutrient Ag Solutions)- Total' to reach $8.40 billion, a year-over-year increase of 4.1% [5]. - The consensus estimate for 'Sales- Nitrogen' is $1.25 billion, indicating a 4.9% increase from the previous year [5]. - 'Sales- Potash' is estimated at $892.38 million, reflecting a 6.7% year-over-year change [5]. - 'Sales- Phosphate' is expected to be $436.29 million, showing a decline of 3.3% from the prior year [6]. Sales Volumes - 'Potash - Sales volumes - Total' is projected at 3,613 thousand tons, up from 3,563 thousand tons year-over-year [6]. - 'Nitrogen - Sales volumes - Total' is expected to reach 2,947 thousand tons, compared to 2,818 thousand tons in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Phosphate - Sales volumes - Total' is forecasted at 575 thousand tons, down from 584 thousand tons year-over-year [8]. - 'Potash - Sales volumes - North America' is estimated at 1,004 thousand tons, compared to 914 thousand tons in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Nitrogen - Sales volumes - Ammonia' is projected to be 738 thousand tons, up from 698 thousand tons year-over-year [10]. Price Projections - The average selling price per tonne for 'Phosphate - Industrial and feed' is expected to be $755, down from $830 year-over-year [7]. - The average selling price per tonne for 'Phosphate - Total' is projected at $651, compared to $667 in the previous year [8]. Stock Performance - Nutrien shares have decreased by 1.4% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of 2.3% [11].
Linde to Supply Gas to Major Low-Carbon Ammonia Project
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 13:21
Group 1 - Linde plc has entered a long-term agreement to supply industrial gases to Blue Point Number One, a joint venture for a low-carbon ammonia plant in Louisiana, which will produce 1.4 million metric tons of low-carbon ammonia annually [1][5] - Linde will invest over $400 million to build and operate a new air separation unit (ASU) for the Blue Point project, expected to be the largest along the Mississippi River corridor, with operations starting in 2029 [2][8] - The new ASU will be Linde's third advanced unit supporting an autothermal reforming ammonia plant, enhancing its industrial gas network in a region with increasing demand for decarbonization and clean energy [3] Group 2 - Stakeholders, including CF Industries' COO, emphasize Linde's critical role in establishing a reliable low-carbon ammonia supply chain, highlighting its expertise [4] - The Blue Point ammonia facility is positioned to significantly contribute to the global demand for clean ammonia, which is essential for decarbonizing energy and industrial sectors [5]
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) BMO 2025 Farm to Market Conference (Transcript)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-15 20:04
Company Overview - Nutrien Ltd. is the world's largest fertilizer producer and has a significant farm center business, with a strong influence in potash and nitrogen markets [1]. Market Outlook - The company has a positive outlook for 2025, indicating robust demand for crop inputs during the North American spring season, with approximately 95 million acres of corn expected to be planted in the U.S. [6]. - Strong field activity and planting progress reports from the U.S. suggest a healthy demand environment for Nutrien's products [6]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Nutrien is experiencing favorable supply-demand dynamics across all three key nutrients: potash, nitrogen, and phosphate, leading to firming prices in these markets [7].
Nutrien's Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates in Q1, Down Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-13 12:35
Core Insights - Nutrien Ltd. reported a profit of $19 million or 2 cents per share for Q1 2025, a significant decline from $165 million or 32 cents in the same quarter last year [1] - Adjusted earnings per share were 11 cents, down from 46 cents a year ago, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 33 cents [1] - Sales fell approximately 5.4% year over year to $5,100 million, also below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5,322.3 million [1] Segment Performance - Nutrien Ag Solutions (Retail) segment sales decreased by 7% year over year to $3,090 million, missing the estimate of $4,076.6 million [2] - Potash division sales declined by 8% year over year to $744 million, exceeding the estimate of $501.4 million [3] - Nitrogen segment sales were $954 million, up around 5% year over year, beating the estimate of $671.9 million [4] - Phosphate segment sales fell by approximately 18% year over year to $360 million, surpassing the estimate of $253.6 million [5] Financial Overview - At the end of the quarter, Nutrien had cash and cash equivalents of $895 million, an increase of about 80.4% year over year [6] - Long-term debt rose to $10,908 million, up nearly 22.4% year over year [6] Guidance - The company reiterated its 2025 guidance, expecting retail adjusted EBITDA to range from $1.65 billion to $1.85 billion [7] - Sales volumes are projected to be between 13.6-14.4 million tons of potash, 10.7-11.2 million tons of nitrogen, and 2.35-2.55 million tons of phosphate [7] - Depreciation and amortization are expected to total between $2.35 billion and $2.45 billion, with finance costs projected to range from $0.65 billion to $0.75 billion [7] Stock Performance - Nutrien's shares have decreased by 1.4% over the past year, contrasting with a 7.5% increase in the industry [8]
Nutrien (NTR) Q1 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 02:00
Core Insights - Nutrien reported a revenue of $5.1 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a 5.4% decline year-over-year and a surprise of -4.18% compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.32 billion [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) was $0.11, significantly lower than the $0.46 reported in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of -66.67% against the consensus estimate of $0.33 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Nutrien's stock has returned +20.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +10.6% change, and currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [3] - Potash sales volumes totaled 3,402 KTon, exceeding the five-analyst average estimate of 3,255.3 KTon [4] - Nitrogen sales volumes were reported at 2,469 KTon, slightly below the five-analyst average estimate of 2,473.23 KTon [4] - The average selling price per tonne for phosphate (industrial and feed) was $817, surpassing the five-analyst average estimate of $777.8 [4] - Total sales for Retail (Nutrient Ag Solutions) were $3.09 billion, lower than the $3.49 billion estimated by six analysts, marking a -6.6% change year-over-year [4] - Potash sales amounted to $861 million, exceeding the six-analyst average estimate of $783.90 million, but reflecting a -7.1% year-over-year change [4] - Phosphate sales were reported at $405 million, below the $435.19 million estimated by six analysts, representing an -18.8% change year-over-year [4] - Nitrogen sales reached $1.07 billion, surpassing the six-analyst average estimate of $972.08 million, with a year-over-year increase of +4.5% [4] - Net sales for Potash were $744 million, exceeding the five-analyst average estimate of $665.54 million, but showing an -8.5% year-over-year change [4] - Net sales for Nitrogen were reported at $954 million, above the $848.02 million estimated by five analysts, reflecting a +4.7% year-over-year change [4] - Retail sales for crop nutrients were $1.19 billion, significantly lower than the $1.61 billion estimated by four analysts, indicating an -8.8% year-over-year change [4]
Why Nutrien (NTR) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 14:46
Group 1: Zacks Style Scores Overview - Zacks Style Scores are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, helping investors identify stocks with the best chances of outperforming the market over the next 30 days [2][3] - Each stock is assigned a rating of A, B, C, D, or F based on its characteristics, with A being the highest score indicating the best chance of outperforming [3] - The Style Scores are categorized into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] Group 2: Value Score - The Value Score focuses on identifying stocks that are trading under their true value using ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow [3] Group 3: Growth Score - The Growth Score evaluates a company's financial strength and future outlook by analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] Group 4: Momentum Score - The Momentum Score helps investors capitalize on upward or downward trends in stock prices or earnings outlook by analyzing one-week price changes and monthly percentage changes in earnings estimates [5] Group 5: VGM Score - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores to identify companies with attractive value, strong growth forecasts, and promising momentum, serving as a useful indicator alongside the Zacks Rank [6] Group 6: Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock-rating model that uses earnings estimate revisions to assist investors in building successful portfolios [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have produced an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] Group 7: Stock Example - Nutrien Ltd. - Nutrien Ltd. is a leading integrated provider of crop inputs and services, operating over 2,000 retail locations globally and producing three crop nutrients: potash, nitrogen, and phosphate [12] - Nutrien has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of A, with a Value Style Score of A due to a forward P/E ratio of 15.12, making it attractive for value investors [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nutrien's fiscal 2025 earnings has increased by $0.01 to $3.72 per share, with two analysts revising their earnings estimates upwards in the last 60 days [13][14]
Insights Into Nutrien (NTR) Q1: Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-02 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Nutrien (NTR) is expected to report a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $0.33, reflecting a 28.3% decline year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $5.32 billion, a decrease of 1.2% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.5% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and stock performance [3]. Sales and Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Sales- Retail Total' to reach $3.49 billion, marking a 5.6% increase from the year-ago quarter [4]. - 'Sales- Nitrogen' is expected to be $972.08 million, down 5.4% year-over-year [5]. - 'Sales- Potash' is forecasted at $783.90 million, indicating a 15.4% decline from the prior year [5]. - 'Sales- Phosphate' is estimated at $435.19 million, reflecting a 12.8% decrease from the previous year [5]. Volume and Pricing Estimates - 'Tonnes Sold - Potash - Total' is projected at 3,255.30 KTon, down from 3,413 KTon year-over-year [6]. - 'Tonnes Sold - Nitrogen' is expected to be 2,473.23 KTon, slightly down from 2,507 KTon [6]. - The average selling price for 'Phosphate - Industrial and feed' is estimated at $777.80 per tonne, down from $848 per tonne in the same quarter last year [7]. - The average selling price for 'Phosphate - Total' is projected at $614.19 per tonne, compared to $689 per tonne a year ago [7]. - 'Average Selling Price per Tonne - Nitrogen - Solutions, nitrates and sulphates' is expected to be $220.56 per tonne, down from $226 per tonne [8]. - 'Average Selling Price per Tonne - Nitrogen - Urea and ESN' is estimated at $410.89 per tonne, compared to $432 per tonne last year [8]. - 'Average Selling Price per Tonne - Nitrogen - Ammonia' is forecasted at $417.19 per tonne, slightly up from $403 per tonne [9]. - 'Tonnes Sold - Phosphate' is expected to be 569.00 KTon, down from 620 KTon in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Nutrien shares have returned +11.9%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a -0.5% change [9]. - Nutrien currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [10].