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ODP Corp. (ODP) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 22:46
Group 1: Stock Performance - ODP Corp. (ODP) shares decreased by 4.53% to $17.29, which was less than the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.13% [1] - Over the last month, ODP's shares increased by 0.67%, outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 1.63% but underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 3.55% [1] Group 2: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - ODP Corp. is projected to report earnings of $0.33 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 41.07%, with revenue expected to be $1.57 billion, down 8.39% from the prior-year quarter [2] - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $3.03 per share and revenue of $6.58 billion, indicating changes of -8.18% and -5.83% respectively from last year [3] Group 3: Analyst Estimates and Rankings - Recent changes to analyst estimates for ODP Corp. are important as they reflect short-term business trends and analysts' confidence in performance [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, currently ranks ODP Corp. as 1 (Strong Buy) [6] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - ODP Corp. is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 5.99, significantly lower than the industry average of 13.17, indicating a discount [7] - The company's PEG ratio is 0.43, compared to the Retail-Miscellaneous industry's average PEG ratio of 2.63 [7] Group 5: Industry Context - The Retail-Miscellaneous industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 57, placing it in the top 24% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
Is The ODP Corporation (ODP) a Great Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 14:46
While the proven Zacks Rank places an emphasis on earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find strong stocks, we also know that investors tend to develop their own individual strategies. With this in mind, we are always looking at value, growth, and momentum trends to discover great companies.Of these, perhaps no stock market trend is more popular than value investing, which is a strategy that has proven to be successful in all sorts of market environments. Value investors use fundamental analysis and ...
ODP Corp. (ODP) Shows Fast-paced Momentum But Is Still a Bargain Stock
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 13:50
Group 1: Momentum Investing Overview - Momentum investing contrasts with the traditional "buy low and sell high" strategy, focusing instead on "buying high and selling higher" to capitalize on fast-moving stocks [1] - Identifying the right entry point for trending stocks can be challenging, as they may lose momentum if future growth does not justify their high valuations [1] Group 2: ODP Corp. Analysis - ODP Corp. has shown significant price momentum, with a four-week price change of 17%, indicating growing investor interest [3] - The stock has gained 8.7% over the past 12 weeks, demonstrating its ability to deliver positive returns over a longer timeframe [4] - ODP has a Momentum Score of B, suggesting it is an opportune time to invest in the stock [5] - The stock has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to upward revisions in earnings estimates, which typically attract more investors [6] - ODP is trading at a low Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.07, meaning investors pay only 7 cents for each dollar of sales, indicating a reasonable valuation [6] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - ODP is highlighted as a strong candidate for investment, with potential for further price appreciation [7] - There are additional stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, suggesting a broader opportunity for investors [7] - Zacks Premium Screens offer various strategies to identify winning stock picks based on different investing styles [8]
ODP vs. TSCO: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 16:46
Core Viewpoint - ODP Corp. is currently positioned as a more attractive investment option compared to Tractor Supply based on valuation metrics and earnings outlook [3][7]. Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Outlook - ODP Corp. holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive earnings estimate revision trend, while Tractor Supply has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3]. - The improving earnings outlook for ODP is a significant factor in its favorable ranking [7]. Group 2: Valuation Metrics - ODP has a forward P/E ratio of 5.31, significantly lower than Tractor Supply's forward P/E of 24.15 [5]. - The PEG ratio for ODP is 0.38, while Tractor Supply's PEG ratio is 2.71, suggesting ODP is undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth [5]. - ODP's P/B ratio is 0.61, compared to Tractor Supply's P/B of 11.93, further indicating ODP's relative undervaluation [6]. - These valuation metrics contribute to ODP receiving a Value grade of A, while Tractor Supply has a Value grade of C [6].
How Much Upside is Left in ODP Corp. (ODP)? Wall Street Analysts Think 93.15%
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 14:56
Shares of ODP Corp. (ODP) have gained 18.5% over the past four weeks to close the last trading session at $16.05, but there could still be a solid upside left in the stock if short-term price targets of Wall Street analysts are any indication. Going by the price targets, the mean estimate of $31 indicates a potential upside of 93.2%.The average comprises three short-term price targets ranging from a low of $17 to a high of $41, with a standard deviation of $12.49. While the lowest estimate indicates an incr ...
Why ODP Corp. (ODP) Might be Well Poised for a Surge
ZACKS· 2025-05-12 17:25
ODP Corp. (ODP) could be a solid addition to your portfolio given a notable revision in the company's earnings estimates. While the stock has been gaining lately, the trend might continue since its earnings outlook is still improving.Analysts' growing optimism on the earnings prospects of this office supply retailer is driving estimates higher, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term s ...
ODP or TSCO: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-12 16:45
Investors interested in Retail - Miscellaneous stocks are likely familiar with ODP Corp. (ODP) and Tractor Supply (TSCO) . But which of these two stocks offers value investors a better bang for their buck right now? We'll need to take a closer look.Everyone has their own methods for finding great value opportunities, but our model includes pairing an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system with a strong Zacks Rank. The Zacks Rank favors stocks with strong earnings estimate revision ...
Wall Street Analysts See an 80.44% Upside in ODP Corp. (ODP): Can the Stock Really Move This High?
ZACKS· 2025-05-12 15:00
ODP Corp. (ODP) closed the last trading session at $17.18, gaining 27.9% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $31 indicates an 80.4% upside potential.The mean estimate comprises three short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $12.49. While the lowest estimate of $17 indicates a 1.1% decline from the current price level, the most optimistic analyst expects the ...
The ODP (ODP) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated total revenue of $1.7 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting a 9% decline compared to the same quarter last year, but showing improvement in year-over-year trends compared to prior quarters [20] - Adjusted EBITDA was $76 million, down from $91 million in the previous year, while adjusted free cash flow increased significantly to $45 million from $17 million [23][25] - GAAP operating loss was $32 million compared to a GAAP operating income of $41 million in the prior year [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consumer division, Office Depot, reported sales of $838 million, down 11% year-over-year, but showed improved trends with a 500 basis point improvement in same-store sales [25][26] - ODP Business Solutions reported revenue of $852 million, down 8% year-over-year, but showed slight improvement compared to the previous quarter [28] - The supply chain business, VARE, achieved over 85% year-over-year revenue growth from third-party customers, with third-party revenue reaching $17 million, up 89% [12][33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is expanding into the hospitality market, which is valued at $16 billion, and has established partnerships with major suppliers to support this initiative [14][15] - The onboarding of new business contracts has been slower than anticipated, but progress is being made, particularly in the hospitality sector [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its "Optimize for Growth" plan, which aims to reduce fixed costs, enhance B2B capabilities, and decrease reliance on retail [7][17] - The strategy includes leveraging core strengths to expand into higher growth segments such as hospitality and supply chain services [7][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in improving trends within the consumer business and anticipates better performance in the B2B segment in the second half of the year [40][41] - The company is actively managing potential tariff impacts and has diversified its sourcing strategy to mitigate risks [37][68] Other Important Information - The company closed nine retail stores as part of its restructuring plan and is focused on optimizing cash flow and margin dollars [18][52] - The balance sheet remains solid, with total liquidity of $653 million and total debt of $262 million [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights into retail momentum and sales strategies - Management highlighted four key strategies driving improved performance: enhanced customer engagement, a new merchandising strategy, daily performance management, and targeted sales promotions [45][46][48] Question: Future pace of store closures - The company will evaluate store closures based on cash flow optimization and margin generation, with a focus on maintaining strong performance [51][52] Question: Onboarding delays for new contracts - Delays are attributed to longer lead times in the hospitality sector and the complexity of onboarding large contracts like CoreTrust [55][56] Question: Categories strengthening in retail - Management noted success in non-tariff categories and a shift to a more value-oriented merchandising strategy [63][64] Question: Impact of tariffs on business - The company believes it has mitigated most tariff impacts through strategic sourcing and pricing adjustments [66][68] Question: Converting new business pipeline into revenue - New leadership and a rigorous management system are being implemented to enhance conversion rates for new business opportunities [89][90]
The ODP (ODP) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated total revenue of $1.7 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting a 9% decline compared to the same quarter last year, but showing improvement in year-over-year trends compared to prior quarters [19] - Adjusted EBITDA was $76 million, down from $91 million in the previous year, while adjusted free cash flow increased significantly to $45 million, more than double the $17 million generated in the same period last year [21][23] - GAAP operating loss was $32 million, compared to a GAAP operating income of $41 million in the prior year, primarily due to restructuring expenses and asset impairments [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consumer division, Office Depot, reported sales of $838 million, down 11% year-over-year, but showed a 500 basis point improvement in same-store sales compared to the previous year [23][24] - ODP Business Solutions reported revenue of $852 million, down 8% year-over-year, impacted by cautious business conditions and a large customer loss from the previous year [26] - The supply chain business, VARE, achieved over 85% year-over-year revenue growth from third-party customers, highlighting strong demand for its services [12][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is expanding into the hospitality market, which is valued at $16 billion, and has established partnerships with major suppliers to support this initiative [14][15] - The onboarding of new business contracts, including a significant contract with CoreTrust, is ongoing, with expectations for these to contribute more meaningfully in the second half of the year [11][27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its "Optimize for Growth" plan, which aims to realign its organizational structure and reduce fixed costs while enhancing its B2B pivot and expanding into higher growth segments [7][16] - The strategy includes reducing reliance on retail and increasing operational flexibility, with a focus on capitalizing on core strengths in supply chain and distribution [7][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in improving trends within the consumer business and anticipates better performance in the B2B segment as new customers are onboarded and the hospitality sector gains traction [36][39] - The company is actively monitoring the evolving tariff situation and has taken proactive measures to mitigate potential impacts, including diversifying sourcing strategies [35][66] Other Important Information - The company closed nine retail stores as part of its restructuring plan and eliminated areas of corporate support to reduce costs [17] - Total liquidity at the end of the quarter was $653 million, consisting of $185 million in cash and $468 million in available credit [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights into retail momentum and sales strategies - Management highlighted four key strategies driving improved performance: enhanced customer engagement, a revised merchandising strategy, a daily management system, and targeted sales promotions [42][44][46] Question: Future pace of store closures - The company will evaluate store closures based on optimizing cash flow and margin dollars, with ongoing assessments of store performance [49][50] Question: Onboarding delays for new contracts - Delays are attributed to longer lead times in the hospitality sector and the complexity of onboarding large contracts like CoreTrust [52][54] Question: Categories strengthening in retail - Management noted success in non-tariff categories and a shift to a more value-oriented merchandising strategy, which has improved sales [61][62] Question: Impact of tariffs on business - The company believes it has mitigated most tariff impacts through strategic sourcing and pricing adjustments, with ongoing monitoring of the situation [64][66] Question: Converting new business pipeline into revenue - New leadership and a rigorous management system are being implemented to enhance the conversion of the business pipeline into revenue [88][90] Question: Update on stock buyback - Management reassured that they continually evaluate stock repurchase opportunities, reflecting confidence in the company's future [93]