Ranpak (PACK)
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Ranpak Holdings: Its Catalyst And Valuation Justify Upside (NYSE:PACK)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-07 07:11
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Ranpak Holdings: Its Catalyst And Valuation Justify Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-07 07:11
Group 1 - Crude Value Insights provides an investment service and community focused on the oil and natural gas sectors, emphasizing cash flow and companies that generate it [1] - The service offers subscribers access to a model account with over 50 stocks, detailed cash flow analyses of exploration and production (E&P) firms, and live chat discussions about the sector [1] Group 2 - A two-week free trial is available for new subscribers, promoting engagement with the oil and gas market [2]
Ranpak Holdings Corp. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:PACK) 2025-11-01
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-01 23:11
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Ranpak (PACK) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-10-30 15:41
Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, net revenue increased to $99.6 million, up 8.0% from $92.2 million in Q3 2024, with a constant currency increase of 4.4%[141] - Cost of sales rose to $65.2 million, reflecting a 12.8% increase compared to $57.8 million in the same quarter last year[141] - Gross profit remained stable at $34.4 million, with no percentage change year-over-year[141] - Selling, general and administrative expenses increased to $29.6 million, a rise of 2.8% from $28.8 million[141] - The company reported a net loss of $10.4 million in Q3 2025, compared to a net loss of $8.1 million in Q3 2024, representing a 28.4% increase in loss[141] - EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $11.9 million, down 5.6% from $12.6 million in Q3 2024[141] - AEBITDA increased to $21.4 million, up 8.1% from $19.8 million year-over-year[141] - Net revenue for Q3 2025 was $99.6 million, an increase of $7.4 million or 8.0% from $92.2 million in Q3 2024, with a constant currency increase of 4.4%[143] - North America net revenue increased by 10.9% to $44.7 million, driven by void-fill and automation sales, despite a decrease in cushioning sales[154] - Europe/Asia net revenue rose by 5.8% to $54.9 million, attributed to increases in automation and wrapping sales, partially offset by a decline in void-fill sales[155] Cost and Expenses - Cost of sales for Q3 2025 rose to $65.2 million, a 12.8% increase from $57.8 million in Q3 2024, driven by a 9.5% rise in production costs[145] - SG&A expenses increased by 2.8% to $29.6 million, primarily due to a $2.1 million rise in professional services fees[146] - Cost of sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 totaled $188.9 million, an increase of $23.4 million or 14.1% compared to $165.5 million in 2024[163] - SG&A expenses increased by $3.3 million or 3.9% to $87.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[164] - Depreciation and amortization expense rose by $2.1 million or 8.4% to $27.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[165] - Interest expense increased by $4.9 million or 23.6% to $25.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[167] Net Loss and EBITDA - EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 was $37.2 million, a decrease of $20.1 million or 35.1% compared to $57.3 million in 2024[172] - Net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 was $28.8 million, an increase of $18.1 million or 169.2% compared to a net loss of $10.7 million in 2024[161] - North America segment EBITDA fell by 63.9% to $3.0 million, primarily due to a non-recurring gain in Q3 2024 and increased professional services fees[157] - Europe/Asia segment EBITDA increased by 107.0% to $8.9 million, driven by higher net revenue[158] - Segment EBITDA for North America was $11.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, down $6.3 million or 36.2% from $17.4 million in 2024[176] - Segment EBITDA for Europe/Asia decreased to $26.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, a decline of $13.8 million or 34.6% from $39.9 million in 2024[177] Revenue Drivers - The increase in net revenue was driven by a 5.4% increase in sales volume of paper consumable products and a 2.2% increase in automated equipment sales[162] - Automation revenue surged by 63.0% to $11.9 million, while void-fill and wrapping revenues increased by 4.8% and 9.0%, respectively[143] - Over a third of net revenue in 2024 was attributed to e-commerce sectors, indicating a seasonal sales pattern with peak revenue in Q4[133] Tax and Foreign Currency - Income tax benefit for Q3 2025 was $4.2 million, with an effective tax rate of 28.1%, up from $2.5 million and 23.2% in Q3 2024[152] - Foreign currency gain for the nine months ended September 30, 2025 was $5.0 million, an increase of $3.9 million from $1.1 million in 2024[168] - The company experienced a foreign currency loss of $5.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to a loss of $1.1 million in 2024, marking a significant increase of 354.5%[181] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2025, were $49.9 million, which, along with cash flows from operations, is expected to cover current liquidity needs[182] - The company reported a net cash provided by operating activities of $3.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, a significant decrease from $34.9 million in the same period of 2024, primarily due to a non-recurring patent litigation settlement[192] - Net cash used in investing activities increased to $27.6 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $24.7 million in 2024, reflecting investments in production equipment and machinery[193] - The company experienced a net cash used in financing activities of $5.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, up from $2.3 million in 2024, due to principal payments on term loans and other financing arrangements[194] - The company had no outstanding amounts under its $50.0 million revolving credit facility as of September 30, 2025, indicating strong liquidity management[186] - The company remains in compliance with all debt covenants as of September 30, 2025, ensuring financial stability[186] Capital Expenditures and Inventory - The company anticipates an increase in capital expenditures, primarily related to production and maintenance of PPS systems at end-user facilities[183] - The company is evaluating its inventory requirements and adjusting according to volume forecasts, which may impact future capital requirements[185] - The company is evaluating alternative suppliers to mitigate the impact of tariffs on capital expenditures related to equipment sourced from Asia[132] Adjustments and Impairments - Adjustments related to M&A, restructuring, and severance costs increased to $11.6 million in 2025 from $5.6 million in 2024, reflecting a rise of 107.1%[181] - The company recorded a non-cash impairment loss of $0.2 million in 2025, down from $0.9 million in 2024, indicating a decrease of 77.8%[181] Debt and Financing - As of September 30, 2025, the company had $412.0 million in total debt, a slight decrease from $415.7 million as of December 31, 2024, with short-term debt remaining relatively stable at $5.9 million[186] - The Term Facility matures in December 2031, with an interest rate of 8.80% as of September 30, 2025, reflecting the company's borrowing costs[187] - The company had $5.9 million committed to outstanding letters of credit, leaving a net availability of $44.1 million under the Revolving Facility as of September 30, 2025[188] - The company’s cash and cash equivalents decreased to $49.9 million at the end of the period from $76.1 million at the beginning, indicating a cash outflow trend[191]
Ranpak (PACK) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net revenue increased by 4.4% year-over-year on a constant currency basis, with a 5.3% increase excluding the non-cash impact of warrants [10][20] - Gross profit declined by 3.8% on a constant currency basis, but increased by 3.2% due to higher sales and improved margins in both North America and Europe [21] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 3.5% for the quarter or 7.6% excluding non-cash foreign impact [18][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automation revenue increased by 56% on a constant currency basis, with expectations to achieve full-year automation revenue of $40 to $45 million [11][18] - North America saw a 10.9% increase in sales, driven by large e-commerce accounts and a 140% increase in automation revenue [12][20] - Cushioning was the only area in North America that experienced a decline year-over-year, while wrapping showed solid contributions [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe and Asia-Pacific, combined revenue decreased by 0.6% on a constant currency basis, driven by 2.5% volume headwinds [20] - North America continued to show strong volume growth, while Europe faced a more challenging operating environment [11][16] - Asia-Pacific production is ramping up, but destocking activity has offset growth this year [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company entered into a strategic partnership with Walmart, potentially generating up to $700 million in spend over 10 years [5][6] - Focus on expanding PPS relationships beyond void fill to maximize Walmart's warrant vesting [15] - Plans to enhance margin profiles and drive growth through automation and innovative product offerings [19][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in automation growth and the potential for Walmart to become a significant customer [10][39] - The outlook for North America remains strong, while Europe is expected to stabilize and improve over time [16][29] - The company aims to achieve $800 million in revenue organically within the next five years, with automation contributing at least 15% [30][41] Other Important Information - The company expects to end the year with approximately $65 to $70 million in cash, down from previous expectations due to lower sales in Europe [24][22] - Capital expenditures for the quarter were $7.8 million, with a focus on minimizing impacts from evolving tariff landscapes [25][22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on automation and regional performance - Management confirmed strong automation performance globally, with North America showing robust volumes while Europe and Asia-Pacific are inconsistent [34] Question: Gross margin recovery and future expectations - Management indicated that there is still room for improvement in gross margins, with ongoing cost initiatives expected to yield further benefits [36] Question: Walmart partnership ramp-up expectations - Management expects a gradual ramp-up in contributions from the Walmart partnership, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 and beyond [38][39] Question: Long-term revenue and EBITDA margin targets - Management confirmed a target of $800 million in revenue over the next five years, with a goal of achieving over 25% EBITDA margin [41] Question: Volume expectations for Q4 - Management anticipates consistent volumes in North America, while Europe and Asia-Pacific may see slight declines year-over-year [46] Question: Cash flow and CapEx guidance - Management expects to generate $15 to $20 million in free cash flow next year, with CapEx projected at around $35 million [54][55]
Ranpak (PACK) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-30 12:30
Financial Performance - Net revenue increased by 80% compared to the prior year, or 44% on a constant currency basis[15] - Global sales of automation equipment increased by 630% compared to the prior year, or 562% on a constant currency basis[15] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 81% (35% on a constant currency basis), including a 400 bps non-cash headwind for the provision of warrants in revenue ($08 million)[15] - Gross margin decreased by 28% year-over-year to 345% (344% on a constant currency basis) due to increased production costs and product mix[15] - Year-to-date net revenue increased by 56% on a constant currency basis[29] - Year-to-date Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 78% on a constant currency basis[29] Regional Performance - North America revenue increased by 109% due to increased volumes from e-commerce activity among large enterprise accounts[15] - EMEA/APAC revenue increased by 58% (decreased 06% on a constant currency basis) driven by increased automation equipment sales and stronger Euro to USD exchange rates[15] - Volumes in Europe/APAC were down by 25% due to a challenging environment and uncertainty from tariffs and de-stocking in APAC[17] Strategic Agreements - Agreement with Walmart is anticipated to be transformative to Automation and implies, based on expectations and current paper pricing, potential spend of $700 million over 10 years, to achieve full vesting[22] - Potential spend for maximum vesting with Amazon is $400 million excluding the cost of paper related to pre-existing NOAM business lines[32]
Ranpak (PACK) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-10-30 11:36
Exhibit 99.1 Ranpak Holdings Corp. Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results CONCORD TOWNSHIP, Ohio, October 30, 2025 – Ranpak Holdings Corp. (NYSE: PACK) ("Ranpak" or "the Company"), a leading provider of environmentally sustainable, systems-based, product protection and end-of-line automation solutions for e-commerce and industrial supply chains, today reported its third quarter 2025 financial results. Omar Asali, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, commented, "Our third quarter was a major stepping ...
Ranpak Holdings Corp (PACK) Declined in Q2 Despite Strong Demand
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 13:51
Market Overview - The U.S. equity market experienced a significant recovery in Q2 2025, rising 23% from its low to end the quarter at a record high [1] - U.S. large-cap stocks gained 11.1% during the quarter, with growth stocks outperforming value stocks [1] - The Meridian Contrarian Fund achieved a net return of 16.42% in Q2 2025, surpassing the Russell 2500 Index's return of 8.59% and the Russell 2500 Value Index's return of 7.29% [1] Company Focus: Ranpak Holdings Corp. (NYSE:PACK) - Ranpak Holdings Corp. specializes in paper-based protective packaging solutions, catering to e-commerce and industrial supply chains [2][3] - The stock of Ranpak Holdings Corp. saw a one-month return of -3.03% and a 52-week decline of 20.37%, closing at $5.12 per share with a market capitalization of $431.953 million on September 25, 2025 [2] - The company is recognized for its environmentally friendly products, which are more sustainable compared to traditional packaging materials [3] Investment Insights - Despite recent stock declines due to higher input and logistics costs, the underlying demand for Ranpak's products remains strong [3] - The company is expected to recover margins and expand due to ongoing automation initiatives and a secular shift away from plastics towards paper [3] - Ranpak Holdings Corp. was held by 21 hedge fund portfolios at the end of Q2 2025, a decrease from 23 in the previous quarter, indicating a potential shift in investor interest [4]
Wall Street Analysts Predict a 35.8% Upside in Ranpak Holdings (PACK): Here's What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-09-01 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Ranpak Holdings Corp (PACK) has shown a significant price increase of 52.2% over the past four weeks, with a mean price target of $7.17 indicating a potential upside of 35.8% from the current trading price of $5.28 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of three short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $2.57, where the lowest estimate is $5.00 (5.3% decline) and the highest is $10.00 (89.4% increase) [2] - A low standard deviation among price targets suggests a strong agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement direction [9] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Sentiment - There is increasing optimism among analysts about PACK's earnings prospects, as indicated by a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions, which correlates with potential stock price increases [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has risen by 15.8% over the past month, with no negative revisions [12] - PACK holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] Caution on Price Targets - While price targets are often sought after, they can mislead investors, and reliance solely on them may not yield favorable returns [3][10] - Analysts may set overly optimistic price targets due to business incentives, which can inflate expectations [8]
Why Fast-paced Mover Ranpak Holdings (PACK) Is a Great Choice for Value Investors
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 13:50
Group 1: Momentum Investing Overview - Momentum investing contrasts with the traditional "buy low and sell high" strategy, focusing instead on "buying high and selling higher" to capitalize on fast-moving stocks [1] - Identifying the right entry point for trending stocks can be challenging, as they may lose momentum if future growth does not justify their high valuations [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Investing in bargain stocks that have recently shown price momentum may be a safer approach [2] - The Zacks Momentum Style Score is useful for identifying strong momentum stocks, while the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen helps find attractively priced fast-moving stocks [2] Group 3: Ranpak Holdings Corp (PACK) Analysis - Ranpak Holdings Corp (PACK) has shown a price increase of 16.3% over the past four weeks, indicating growing investor interest [3] - Over the past 12 weeks, PACK's stock gained 34.8%, demonstrating its ability to deliver positive returns over a longer timeframe [4] - PACK has a beta of 2.7, suggesting it moves 170% higher than the market in either direction, indicating fast-paced momentum [4] Group 4: Performance Metrics - PACK has a Momentum Score of A, suggesting it is an opportune time to invest in the stock [5] - The stock has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) due to upward trends in earnings estimate revisions, which attract more investor interest [6] - Currently, PACK is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.99, indicating it is reasonably valued at 99 cents for each dollar of sales [6] Group 5: Additional Opportunities - Besides PACK, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, presenting further investment opportunities [7] - Zacks offers over 45 Premium Screens tailored to different investing styles, which can help identify potential winning stocks [8]