Core Viewpoint - The energy sector is currently presenting potential investment opportunities, particularly through acquisitions, with BP being a notable target for major companies like Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and Shell [2][5]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) has underperformed the S&P 500 index by as much as 20% over the past 12 months, indicating a potential catch-up opportunity for the industry [3][4]. - Valuation multiples, particularly price-to-book (P/B) ratios, have declined over the past year, leading to cyclically cheap levels for major industry players [4]. Group 2: Acquisition Insights - BP's potential acquisition price could reach up to $160 billion, which is double its current market capitalization, suggesting a potential 100% upside for shareholders if the acquisition is approved [6]. - Exxon Mobil is positioned as a likely winner in the bidding for BP due to its strong balance sheet and fewer regulatory hurdles compared to competitors [7]. Group 3: Alternative Investment Opportunities - Transocean Ltd. is highlighted as a strong investment opportunity, having seen a 54.5% decline in stock price over the past year, which may have priced in worst-case scenarios [11][12]. - Analysts at BTIG Research have reiterated a Buy rating on Transocean with a price target of $5 per share, indicating confidence in its recovery potential [13].

Core Viewpoint - The analysis emphasizes the undervaluation of Transocean's stock and aims to highlight potential investment opportunities within the company's fundamentals, including financials, fleet, backlog, and management [1]. Financials - The article suggests that Transocean's financial performance is a critical aspect to consider when evaluating its stock value [1]. Fleet - The company's fleet is highlighted as a significant factor in its operational capabilities and overall valuation [1]. Backlog - The backlog of contracts is mentioned as an important indicator of future revenue and stability for Transocean [1]. Management - The management team's effectiveness is noted as a key element influencing the company's performance and investor confidence [1].

I am mostly a trader engaging in both long and short bets intraday and occasionally over the short- to medium term. My historical focus has been mostly on tech stocks but over the past couple of years I have also started broad coverage of the offshore drilling and supply industry as well as the shipping industry in general (tankers, containers, drybulk). In addition, I am having a close eye on the still nascent fuel cell industry.I am located in Germany and have worked quite some time as an auditor for Pric ...

Core Viewpoint - Transocean Ltd. reported a narrower adjusted net loss in Q1 2025 compared to estimates, but the loss was wider than the previous year, primarily due to increased costs and expenses [1]. Financial Performance - Total adjusted revenues reached $906 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $886 million and reflecting an 18.7% increase from $763 million in the prior year [2]. - The ultra-deepwater floaters contributed 73% to net contract drilling revenues, while harsh environment floaters accounted for 27% [3]. - Revenues from ultra-deepwater floaters were $658 million, and from harsh environment floaters were $248 million, compared to $569 million and $194 million in the previous year [4]. Revenue Efficiency and Day Rates - Revenue efficiency improved to 95.5%, up from 93.5% in the previous quarter and 92.9% year-over-year [5]. - Average day rates increased to $443,600 from $408,200 in the year-ago quarter, although it fell short of the model prediction of $446,300 [6]. - Fleet utilization rate rose to 63.4%, up from 53.7% in the prior year [7]. Costs and Capital Expenditures - Total costs and expenses were reported at $844 million, an 11% increase from $760 million in the previous year [8]. - Operating and maintenance expenses rose to $618 million from $523 million, while general and administrative expenses decreased to $50 million from $52 million [9]. - Capital investments for the quarter were $60 million, with cash used in operating activities amounting to $26 million, resulting in a negative free cash flow of $34 million [10]. Balance Sheet and Debt - As of March 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents stood at $263 million, with long-term debt at $5.9 billion and a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 36.8% [11]. Guidance - For Q2 2025, contract drilling revenues are expected to be between $970 million and $990 million, with O&M expenses projected between $610 million and $630 million [12]. - For the full year, contract drilling revenues are anticipated to be between $3.85 billion and $3.95 billion, with a reduction in capital expenditure guidance from $130 million to $115 million [13].

Core Viewpoint - Transocean's latest quarterly earnings report revealed disappointing financial results, leading to a decline in stock price, but the company remains optimistic about its future prospects [1][4]. Financial Performance - The company reported first-quarter revenue of $906 million, which is a nearly 5% decline year-over-year [2]. - On an adjusted basis, Transocean experienced a net loss of $65 million, or $0.10 per share, compared to a profit of $27 million in the same quarter last year [2][3]. - Analysts had anticipated revenue of just under $885 million and a narrower net loss of $0.09 per share, indicating that the actual results fell short of expectations [3]. Operational Challenges - Transocean attributed the revenue decline to operational issues, including one rig needing contract preparation and mobilization, while another rig was idle between contracts [3]. Future Outlook - CEO Jeremy Thigpen expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate uncertain macroeconomic conditions and highlighted ongoing discussions with customers about future opportunities [4]. - Despite the disappointing quarterly results, the company is viewed as capable of improving performance moving forward [4].

TABLE OF CONTENTS UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q For the transition period from _____ to _____ Commission file number 001-38373 Transocean Ltd. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Switzerland 98-0599916 (Mark one) ☑ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 193 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Transocean reported an adjusted EBITDA of $244 million on contract drilling revenues of $906 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 27% [9][23] - The company experienced a net loss attributable to controlling interest of $79 million, equating to a net loss of $0.11 per diluted share [23] - Cash flow from operating activities was $26 million, while free cash flow was negative $34 million due to $60 million in capital expenditures [23][24] - Total liquidity at the end of the first quarter was approximately $1.3 billion, including $263 million in unrestricted cash [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Contract drilling revenues exceeded guidance primarily due to higher utilization on the Transocean Spitzbergen and Transocean Endurance [23] - Average daily revenue was approximately $444,000, with operating and maintenance expenses at $618 million, which was within guidance [23][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. Gulf is expected to see up to six programs commence in the second and third quarters of 2026, with three expected to come from public tenders [15] - In Brazil, Petrobras is increasing its rig count and has released tenders for upcoming projects, indicating a strong market outlook [16] - The company anticipates growth in West Africa, with multi-year opportunities expected to arise in 2026 [60] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Transocean is focused on converting its $7.9 billion backlog into revenue and cash to create sustainable value for shareholders [22] - The company is committed to delivering safe, reliable, and efficient operations while optimizing performance and maximizing shareholder returns [6][22] - Management emphasized the importance of deepwater drilling and the strategic shift among European majors towards oil and gas investments [11][14] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that market volatility has not materially impacted business operations, with no planned programs delayed or canceled [13] - The outlook for deepwater drilling remains positive, with projections indicating a 40% increase in deepwater investment by 2029 [14][86] - Management expressed confidence in the future of offshore drilling, citing strong fundamentals and increasing offshore drilling activity [21][88] Other Important Information - The company has identified approximately $100 million in cash cost savings for 2025, with a similar amount expected for 2026 [34][70] - There are no significant costs associated with achieving these savings, which primarily come from renegotiating contracts and utilizing local crews [72] Q&A Session Summary Question: Timing of contract announcements - Management expects several contract announcements throughout the year, particularly in the second half, with a focus on long-term awards [44] Question: Day rates for upcoming contracts - There may be near-term pressure on day rates for short-term work, but long-term contracts are expected to remain stable [46][47] Question: Implications of Shell awards from Noble - Management believes there are still opportunities with Shell, as they anticipate additional demand in the Gulf of Mexico [54] Question: Activity assumptions for West Africa - Management sees potential growth in West Africa, with expectations for multi-year opportunities starting in 2026 [60] Question: Cost savings details - Management confirmed $100 million in identified savings for 2025, with a similar expectation for 2026, primarily from operational efficiencies [70] Question: Status of idle and cold stacked vessels - The company is actively looking for opportunities for its idle vessels and continues to assess its cold stacked fleet [76][78]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $244 million on $906 million of contract drilling revenues, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 27% [10] - The net loss attributable to controlling interest was $79 million, or a net loss of $0.11 per diluted share [25] - Cash flow from operating activities was $26 million, with free cash flow of negative $34 million reflecting $60 million of capital expenditures [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Contract drilling revenues exceeded guidance due to higher than anticipated utilization on specific rigs, with average daily revenue approximately $444,000 [26] - Operating and maintenance expenses were $618 million, within guidance range, but included a $34 million non-cash charge related to a customer dispute [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects up to six programs to commence in the U.S. Gulf in the second and third quarters of 2026, with three expected to come from public tenders [16] - In Brazil, Petrobras is expected to increase its rig count to over 30 active rigs by the end of the year, with ongoing tenders for new programs [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on converting its $7.9 billion backlog to revenue and cash to create sustainable value for shareholders [24] - Management emphasized the importance of deepwater drilling, with projections indicating a 40% increase in deepwater investment by 2029 [15] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that market and commodity volatility has not materially impacted the business, and no planned programs have been delayed or canceled [14] - The outlook for deepwater drilling remains positive, supported by third-party projections and a strategic shift among major operators towards oil and gas investments [12][15] Other Important Information - The company has identified approximately $100 million in cash cost savings expected to be realized in 2025, with a similar amount anticipated for 2026 [34] - The projected liquidity at year-end 2025 is forecasted to be between $1.45 billion and $1.55 billion [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Timing of contract announcements - Management expects several contract announcements over the summer and into the end of the year, with the second half of the year potentially being prolific for long-term awards [45] Question: Expected day rates for upcoming contracts - There may be near-term pressure on day rates for short-term work, but long-term contracts are expected to remain stable [48][49] Question: Implications of Shell awards from Noble - Management believes there are still opportunities with Shell, and they are taking a long-term view on rates and contracts [56][59] Question: Activity assumptions for West Africa - Management sees potential growth in West Africa, with expectations for multi-year opportunities and increased rig demand in the region [61] Question: Cost savings details - The company anticipates $100 million in cost savings for 2025 and a similar amount for 2026, primarily through renegotiation of contracts and operational efficiencies [68] Question: Status of idle and cold stacked vessels - The company is actively looking for opportunities for its idle vessels and continues to assess its cold stacked fleet on a quarterly basis [74][76]

Core Viewpoint - Transocean reported a quarterly loss of $0.10 per share, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.12, indicating a 16.67% earnings surprise [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $906 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.28%, compared to $767 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Transocean has exceeded consensus EPS estimates two times and topped revenue estimates twice [2] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.02 on revenues of $963.5 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.06 on revenues of $3.86 billion [7] Group 2: Stock Performance - Transocean shares have declined approximately 37.9% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of 6.1% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The Oil and Gas - Drilling industry, to which Transocean belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 13% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact investor sentiment [5]

Financial Performance - Contract drilling revenues for Q1 2025 were $906 million, a decrease of $46 million sequentially from Q4 2024, but an increase of $143 million year-over-year from Q1 2024[3] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $244 million, down $79 million sequentially from Q4 2024, but up $45 million year-over-year from Q1 2024[1] - Net loss attributable to controlling interest was $79 million, or a loss of $0.11 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $98 million in Q1 2024[1] - Total contract drilling revenues for Q1 2025 were $906 million, a decrease of 4.8% from $952 million in Q4 2024, but an increase of 18.7% from $763 million in Q1 2024[29] - Adjusted net loss for Q1 2025 was $65 million, compared to an adjusted net income of $27 million in Q4 2024[33] - The net loss for Q1 2025 was $79 million, resulting in a loss margin of 8.7%[35] - The profit margin for Q1 2025 was (14.5)%, compared to a profit margin of 0.7% in Q4 2024[35] - Contract drilling revenues for the full year 2024 were $3,524 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $1,148 million[35] Expenses and Costs - Operating and maintenance expenses increased to $618 million in Q1 2025 from $579 million in Q4 2024, primarily due to unfavorable legal outcomes and increased costs related to a rig in the shipyard[4] - General and administrative expenses decreased to $50 million in Q1 2025 from $56 million in Q4 2024, mainly due to reduced legal and professional fees[5] - The effective tax rate for Q1 2025 was (95.8)%, down from 89.0% in the prior quarter, primarily due to lower operating income[7] - The effective tax rate for Q1 2025 was (95.8)%, significantly impacted by discrete items[37] - Adjusted income (loss) before income taxes for Q1 2025 was $(40) million, with an income tax expense of $39 million[37] Cash Flow and Debt - Cash provided by operating activities was $26 million in Q1 2025, a decrease of $180 million compared to the prior quarter[8] - Cash flows from operating activities generated $26 million in Q1 2025, a recovery from a cash outflow of $86 million in Q1 2024[27] - Year-to-date cash provided by operating activities was $26 million, while capital expenditures totaled $60 million, resulting in a free cash flow of $(34) million[41] - Total debt repayments for Q1 2025 amounted to $210 million, contributing to a levered free cash flow of $(244) million[41] - The company repaid $210 million in outstanding debt during the quarter, improving its balance sheet[9] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets decreased to $19,019 million as of March 31, 2025, down from $19,371 million at December 31, 2024, representing a decline of 1.8%[25] - Total current liabilities slightly decreased to $1,656 million as of March 31, 2025, from $1,663 million at December 31, 2024[25] - Long-term debt decreased to $5,936 million as of March 31, 2025, down from $6,195 million at December 31, 2024, reflecting a reduction of 4.2%[25] - Unrestricted and restricted cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 were $691 million, down from $716 million at the end of Q1 2024[27] Operational Metrics - Average daily revenue for ultra-deepwater floaters increased to $443,600 in Q1 2025, up from $428,200 in Q4 2024, reflecting a growth of 4.0%[29] - Total fleet average rig utilization was 63.4% in Q1 2025, down from 66.8% in Q4 2024, indicating a decline of 3.4 percentage points[29] - Capital expenditures for Q1 2025 were $60 million, up from $29 million in the prior quarter, related to capital upgrades for certain rigs[8] - The backlog as of April 2025 was reported at $7.9 billion[1] Impairment and Losses - The company reported a loss on impairment of assets totaling $772 million for the full year 2024[35]