Core Viewpoint - Transocean Ltd. has exercised a two-well option for the Transocean Spitsbergen in Norway, expected to start in Q1 2026, contributing approximately $100 million in backlog [1] Company Overview - Transocean is a leading international provider of offshore contract drilling services, focusing on technically demanding sectors, particularly ultra-deepwater and harsh environment drilling [2] - The company operates the highest specification floating offshore drilling fleet globally, owning or having partial ownership in 32 mobile offshore drilling units, which include 24 ultra-deepwater floaters and eight harsh environment floaters [3]

It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Transocean (RIG) . Shares have added about 18.6% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Transocean due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?It tur ...

Transocean Ltd. (RIG) has officially commenced operations for British energy major BP p.l.c. (BP) in the Gulf of America (formerly the U.S. Gulf of Mexico). This milestone marks the beginning of a significant ultra-deepwater drilling project to further tap into the region’s hydrocarbon potential.During the first quarter of 2025, Transocean, currently carrying a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), reported total adjusted revenues of $906 million, which increased 18.7% from the prior-year figure of $763 million. The improv ...

Core Viewpoint - The energy sector is currently presenting potential investment opportunities, particularly through acquisitions, with BP being a notable target for major companies like Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and Shell [2][5]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) has underperformed the S&P 500 index by as much as 20% over the past 12 months, indicating a potential catch-up opportunity for the industry [3][4]. - Valuation multiples, particularly price-to-book (P/B) ratios, have declined over the past year, leading to cyclically cheap levels for major industry players [4]. Group 2: Acquisition Insights - BP's potential acquisition price could reach up to $160 billion, which is double its current market capitalization, suggesting a potential 100% upside for shareholders if the acquisition is approved [6]. - Exxon Mobil is positioned as a likely winner in the bidding for BP due to its strong balance sheet and fewer regulatory hurdles compared to competitors [7]. Group 3: Alternative Investment Opportunities - Transocean Ltd. is highlighted as a strong investment opportunity, having seen a 54.5% decline in stock price over the past year, which may have priced in worst-case scenarios [11][12]. - Analysts at BTIG Research have reiterated a Buy rating on Transocean with a price target of $5 per share, indicating confidence in its recovery potential [13].

Core Viewpoint - The analysis emphasizes the undervaluation of Transocean's stock and aims to highlight potential investment opportunities within the company's fundamentals, including financials, fleet, backlog, and management [1]. Financials - The article suggests that Transocean's financial performance is a critical aspect to consider when evaluating its stock value [1]. Fleet - The company's fleet is highlighted as a significant factor in its operational capabilities and overall valuation [1]. Backlog - The backlog of contracts is mentioned as an important indicator of future revenue and stability for Transocean [1]. Management - The management team's effectiveness is noted as a key element influencing the company's performance and investor confidence [1].

I am mostly a trader engaging in both long and short bets intraday and occasionally over the short- to medium term. My historical focus has been mostly on tech stocks but over the past couple of years I have also started broad coverage of the offshore drilling and supply industry as well as the shipping industry in general (tankers, containers, drybulk). In addition, I am having a close eye on the still nascent fuel cell industry.I am located in Germany and have worked quite some time as an auditor for Pric ...

Core Viewpoint - Transocean Ltd. reported a narrower adjusted net loss in Q1 2025 compared to estimates, but the loss was wider than the previous year, primarily due to increased costs and expenses [1]. Financial Performance - Total adjusted revenues reached $906 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $886 million and reflecting an 18.7% increase from $763 million in the prior year [2]. - The ultra-deepwater floaters contributed 73% to net contract drilling revenues, while harsh environment floaters accounted for 27% [3]. - Revenues from ultra-deepwater floaters were $658 million, and from harsh environment floaters were $248 million, compared to $569 million and $194 million in the previous year [4]. Revenue Efficiency and Day Rates - Revenue efficiency improved to 95.5%, up from 93.5% in the previous quarter and 92.9% year-over-year [5]. - Average day rates increased to $443,600 from $408,200 in the year-ago quarter, although it fell short of the model prediction of $446,300 [6]. - Fleet utilization rate rose to 63.4%, up from 53.7% in the prior year [7]. Costs and Capital Expenditures - Total costs and expenses were reported at $844 million, an 11% increase from $760 million in the previous year [8]. - Operating and maintenance expenses rose to $618 million from $523 million, while general and administrative expenses decreased to $50 million from $52 million [9]. - Capital investments for the quarter were $60 million, with cash used in operating activities amounting to $26 million, resulting in a negative free cash flow of $34 million [10]. Balance Sheet and Debt - As of March 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents stood at $263 million, with long-term debt at $5.9 billion and a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 36.8% [11]. Guidance - For Q2 2025, contract drilling revenues are expected to be between $970 million and $990 million, with O&M expenses projected between $610 million and $630 million [12]. - For the full year, contract drilling revenues are anticipated to be between $3.85 billion and $3.95 billion, with a reduction in capital expenditure guidance from $130 million to $115 million [13].

Core Viewpoint - Transocean's latest quarterly earnings report revealed disappointing financial results, leading to a decline in stock price, but the company remains optimistic about its future prospects [1][4]. Financial Performance - The company reported first-quarter revenue of $906 million, which is a nearly 5% decline year-over-year [2]. - On an adjusted basis, Transocean experienced a net loss of $65 million, or $0.10 per share, compared to a profit of $27 million in the same quarter last year [2][3]. - Analysts had anticipated revenue of just under $885 million and a narrower net loss of $0.09 per share, indicating that the actual results fell short of expectations [3]. Operational Challenges - Transocean attributed the revenue decline to operational issues, including one rig needing contract preparation and mobilization, while another rig was idle between contracts [3]. Future Outlook - CEO Jeremy Thigpen expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate uncertain macroeconomic conditions and highlighted ongoing discussions with customers about future opportunities [4]. - Despite the disappointing quarterly results, the company is viewed as capable of improving performance moving forward [4].

TABLE OF CONTENTS UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q For the transition period from _____ to _____ Commission file number 001-38373 Transocean Ltd. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Switzerland 98-0599916 (Mark one) ☑ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 193 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Transocean reported an adjusted EBITDA of $244 million on contract drilling revenues of $906 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 27% [9][23] - The company experienced a net loss attributable to controlling interest of $79 million, equating to a net loss of $0.11 per diluted share [23] - Cash flow from operating activities was $26 million, while free cash flow was negative $34 million due to $60 million in capital expenditures [23][24] - Total liquidity at the end of the first quarter was approximately $1.3 billion, including $263 million in unrestricted cash [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Contract drilling revenues exceeded guidance primarily due to higher utilization on the Transocean Spitzbergen and Transocean Endurance [23] - Average daily revenue was approximately $444,000, with operating and maintenance expenses at $618 million, which was within guidance [23][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. Gulf is expected to see up to six programs commence in the second and third quarters of 2026, with three expected to come from public tenders [15] - In Brazil, Petrobras is increasing its rig count and has released tenders for upcoming projects, indicating a strong market outlook [16] - The company anticipates growth in West Africa, with multi-year opportunities expected to arise in 2026 [60] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Transocean is focused on converting its $7.9 billion backlog into revenue and cash to create sustainable value for shareholders [22] - The company is committed to delivering safe, reliable, and efficient operations while optimizing performance and maximizing shareholder returns [6][22] - Management emphasized the importance of deepwater drilling and the strategic shift among European majors towards oil and gas investments [11][14] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that market volatility has not materially impacted business operations, with no planned programs delayed or canceled [13] - The outlook for deepwater drilling remains positive, with projections indicating a 40% increase in deepwater investment by 2029 [14][86] - Management expressed confidence in the future of offshore drilling, citing strong fundamentals and increasing offshore drilling activity [21][88] Other Important Information - The company has identified approximately $100 million in cash cost savings for 2025, with a similar amount expected for 2026 [34][70] - There are no significant costs associated with achieving these savings, which primarily come from renegotiating contracts and utilizing local crews [72] Q&A Session Summary Question: Timing of contract announcements - Management expects several contract announcements throughout the year, particularly in the second half, with a focus on long-term awards [44] Question: Day rates for upcoming contracts - There may be near-term pressure on day rates for short-term work, but long-term contracts are expected to remain stable [46][47] Question: Implications of Shell awards from Noble - Management believes there are still opportunities with Shell, as they anticipate additional demand in the Gulf of Mexico [54] Question: Activity assumptions for West Africa - Management sees potential growth in West Africa, with expectations for multi-year opportunities starting in 2026 [60] Question: Cost savings details - Management confirmed $100 million in identified savings for 2025, with a similar expectation for 2026, primarily from operational efficiencies [70] Question: Status of idle and cold stacked vessels - The company is actively looking for opportunities for its idle vessels and continues to assess its cold stacked fleet [76][78]