Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current trading status of three stocks—MercadoLibre, Rocket Companies, and On Holding—highlighting their positions in relation to their 52-week highs and the implications for investors in a bear market context [1][2]. Group 1: MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI) - MercadoLibre is currently trading at $2,161.11, which is 79% of its 52-week high of $2,645.22, indicating potential for bullish momentum [3][4]. - The stock has shown a year-to-date performance of 23.6%, with a decline in short interest by 13.8%, suggesting a possible shift in market sentiment [3][4]. - The consensus price target for MercadoLibre is $2,810.88, representing a 33.7% upside from the current price, with some analysts projecting even higher targets [5][6]. Group 2: Rocket Companies Inc. (RKT) - Rocket Companies is trading at $17.89, which is 76% of its 52-week high of $22.56, reflecting bearish market conditions influenced by housing market indicators [8][9]. - The consensus price target for Rocket is $17.12, but some analysts predict a potential rise to $25 per share, indicating a significant upside opportunity [9][10]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 is projected to be 12 cents, a substantial increase from the current 4 cents, suggesting potential undervaluation [11]. Group 3: On Holding (ONON) - On Holding is trading at $41.72, which is 65% of its 52-week high of $64.05, primarily affected by tariff concerns related to its exposure to China [14][15]. - The consensus price target for On Holding is $63.65, indicating a potential upside of 53.5%, supported by a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 92.2x [15][16]. - The market's confidence in On Holding's brand strength and growth trajectory could lead to a closing of the valuation gap if strong Q4 results are delivered [16].

Group 1 - The REIT Forum offers exclusive investment ideas and access to subscriber-only portfolios [1] - Amrita leads a family office fund in Vancouver focused on sustainable, growth-driven companies that maximize shareholder equity [2] - The Pragmatic Optimist newsletter, co-founded by Amrita, emphasizes portfolio strategy, valuation, and macroeconomics [2] Group 2 - Amrita has experience in high-growth supply-chain start-ups and has worked with venture capital firms to enhance user acquisition [2] - The newsletter has been recognized as a top finance newsletter and aims to simplify financial literacy and macroeconomic concepts [2]

Group 1 - The article discusses the investment strategy of a boutique family office fund led by Amrita, focusing on sustainable, growth-driven companies that aim to maximize shareholder equity [2] - Amrita has a background in high-growth supply-chain start-ups and has experience working with venture capital firms, which has contributed to her ability to maximize returns for clients [2] - The newsletter "The Pragmatic Optimist," co-founded by Amrita, emphasizes democratizing financial literacy and simplifying complex macroeconomic concepts for better understanding [2] Group 2 - The REIT Forum is mentioned as a source for exclusive investment ideas and subscriber-only portfolios [1]

Core Insights - StockKey Inc. is introduced as a new contributing analyst on Seeking Alpha, focusing on investment ideas and market trends [1] - The professional investor at StockKey Inc. has 9 years of experience in navigating market cycles and emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis and strategic decision-making [2] Company Overview - StockKey Inc. operates as a financial platform aimed at uncovering long-term investment opportunities [2] - The company’s focus areas include technology, financial services, energy, and emerging high-growth industries [2] Investment Approach - The investment strategy combines solid fundamentals with a thematic perspective, identifying opportunities during shifting market narratives [2] - The analyst aims to provide clear and actionable analysis to assist readers in making informed investment decisions [2]

Core Viewpoint - Rocket Companies, Inc. (NYSE: RKT) is currently rated as a Hold, indicating a cautious stance on the stock due to speculative positioning and significant risks involved [1]. Company Analysis - The company is focusing on long-term strategies, but these efforts are seen as largely speculative at this time [1]. - The analysis highlights the importance of a comprehensive and fundamental approach to investment, suggesting that there may be hidden opportunities within the company [1]. Analyst Background - The analyst has over a decade of experience in the stock market and a strong background in political economics, providing a unique perspective on macroeconomic impacts on assets [1]. - The analyst dedicates significant time to data analysis and writing for financial platforms, indicating a commitment to thorough research [1].

Core Viewpoint - Rocket Companies, Inc. (NYSE: RKT) is currently rated as a Hold, indicating a cautious stance on the stock due to speculative positioning and significant risks involved [1]. Company Analysis - The company is focusing on long-term strategies, but these efforts are seen as largely speculative at this time [1]. - The analysis highlights the importance of a comprehensive and fundamental approach to investment, suggesting that there may be hidden opportunities within the company [1]. Analyst Background - The analyst has over a decade of experience in the stock market and a strong background in political economics, providing insights into macroeconomic impacts on assets [1]. - The analyst dedicates significant time to data analysis and writing for financial platforms, indicating a commitment to thorough research [1].

Core Insights - Rocket Companies, Inc. will release its third quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, followed by a conference call at 4:30 p.m. ET to discuss the results [1] - The company operates a fintech platform that includes various businesses such as mortgage, real estate, title, and personal finance [3] Company Overview - Founded in 1985, Rocket Companies is based in Detroit and includes brands like Rocket Mortgage, Redfin, Mr. Cooper, Rocket Homes, Rocket Close, Rocket Money, and Rocket Loans [3] - The company leverages insights from over 160 million client calls annually and possesses 30 petabytes of data, positioning itself as a leader in AI-driven homeownership solutions [4] - Rocket Mortgage has been recognized for exceptional client satisfaction, ranking 1 in primary mortgage origination and servicing by J.D. Power 23 times, the highest among mortgage lenders [4]

Core Insights - Rocket Companies, Inc. is facing stock pressure post-merger with Mr. Cooper Group, as investors evaluate cost synergies against a slowdown in mortgage origination [1] - The merger positions the combined entity as the largest mortgage originator and servicer in the U.S., with potential for increased loan volume and stabilized earnings due to lower interest rates [1] Company Developments - On October 1, Rocket Companies completed the acquisition of Mr. Cooper, with Mr. Cooper shareholders building long-term positions in Rocket [2] - Some investors are leveraging Rocket's liquidity to capitalize on gains from Mr. Cooper amid index-related flows [2] Analyst Perspectives - BTIG analyst Eric Hagen maintains a Buy rating on Rocket Companies with a price target of $25, noting a 25% decline from its high on September 17 and a 15% drop since the merger [3] - Hagen indicates that Mr. Cooper holders are generally favoring long-term positions in Rocket, while some are utilizing Rocket's liquidity for immediate gains [4] Market Context - The removal of Mr. Cooper from the S&P SmallCap 600 may have introduced technical noise, as approximately 30% of its float was in passive ETFs [5] - Recent trends show a fading rally in mortgage finance, with limited catalysts to push mortgage rates below the 6% mark, and potential government shutdown concerns affecting new originations [6] Future Outlook - The analyst anticipates two additional Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, which could stabilize mortgage rates, although there are concerns about equity valuations if inflation fears resurface [7] - Valuations may stabilize or improve despite higher mortgage rates, but significant recapture gains will require stronger borrower incentives for refinancing [8] - The 2026 EPS forecast is set at 61 cents, assuming half of the merger synergies are realized next year, with projected originations of $170 billion, total revenue of $9 billion, and operating expenses of $7 billion [8] Stock Performance - As of the latest check, Rocket Companies' shares were trading up by 1.88% at $16.57 [9]

Core Insights - Rocket Companies, Inc. is facing stock pressure post-merger with Mr. Cooper Group, as investors evaluate cost synergies against a slowdown in mortgage origination [1] - The merger positions the combined entity as the largest mortgage originator and servicer in the U.S., with potential for increased loan volume and stabilized earnings due to lower interest rates [1] Company Developments - The acquisition of Mr. Cooper was completed on October 1, with Mr. Cooper shareholders building long-term positions in Rocket Companies [2] - Analysts note that Rocket's liquidity is being utilized by some investors to monetize gains from Mr. Cooper amid index-related flows [2][4] Analyst Ratings and Forecasts - BTIG analyst Eric Hagen maintains a Buy rating on Rocket Companies, with a price target of $25, citing an attractive entry point after a 25% drop from its September 17 high [3] - The stock has decreased 15% since the merger closed, and Mr. Cooper's average daily volume has been significantly lower compared to Rocket Companies [4] Market Conditions - The mortgage finance sector has seen a decline in momentum, with few catalysts to push mortgage rates below the 6% mark, and a potential government shutdown may impact new originations [6] - Expectations remain for two additional Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, which could stabilize mortgage rates, although equity valuations may be at risk if inflation concerns resurface [7] Financial Projections - Analyst forecasts for 2026 include an EPS of 61 cents, assuming half of the merger synergies are realized, with projected originations of $170 billion, total revenue of $9 billion, and operating expenses of $7 billion [8] - The pro forma shares post-merger are estimated at 2.8 billion, with a distribution of 35% Class A and 65% Class L shares [5]

Group 1 - Rocket Companies Inc. has experienced a decline in stock performance, dropping 4.83% to close at $16.94, marking a three-day losing streak following the completion of its $14.2 billion acquisition of Mr. Cooper Group [1][2] - The merger with Mr. Cooper Group, a leading home loan and mortgage service provider in the US, has resulted in Rocket Companies' shares losing 13.5% over the past three trading days [2] - A leadership change at Rocket Mortgage, with Mr. Cooper CEO Jay Bray becoming the new president and CEO, may have contributed to the stock's decline [3] Group 2 - The acquisition will lead to the rebranding of Mr. Cooper and its servicing functions under the Rocket umbrella [4]