Group 1 - Revolve Group, Inc. (NYSE: RVLV) has experienced continued growth in the ecommerce apparel sector, benefiting from an increase in ecommerce's share of the apparel retail market [1] - The company has successfully gained new customers, indicating a recovery from the post-Covid growth hiccup [1] - However, the growth narrative is accompanied by uncertainties, particularly due to the impact of tariffs on the business [1]

Group 1 - Revolve Group, Inc. is a next-generation fashion retailer targeting Millennial and Generation Z consumers, offering a curated selection of apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, and home products [2][3] - The company operates through two segments: REVOLVE, which features premium brands, and FWRD, which focuses on luxury brands, leveraging a single platform for sales [3] - Upcoming investor presentations will be held at various conferences, including Baird Global Consumer, Technology and Services Conference, TD Cowen Future of the Consumer Conference, and William Blair Growth Stock Conference [5]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Companies Involved - **Industry**: Lifestyle & Growth Platforms - **Companies Mentioned**: - SharkNinja (SN) - YETI Holdings (YETI) - Acushnet (GOLF) - Revolve (RVLV) Core Insights and Arguments - **Tariff Impact**: - In Q1, tariffs led to a 60 basis points decline in adjusted gross margin (GM) to 50.2% for the companies involved, with potential gross costs amounting to hundreds of millions [7] - Estimated gross cost of $100 million due to a 145% tariff on China-sourced products and a 10% tariff on goods from other countries, resulting in a net 450 basis points decline in GM [7] - Tariffs expected to indirectly reduce top-line growth by 300 basis points due to a softer consumer environment and supply chain disruptions [7] - **Mitigation Strategies**: - Companies are diversifying supply chains, aiming for 90% of US volume to be sourced outside of China by Q2, leveraging suppliers in Southeast Asia and building strategic inventory in the US [7] - Cost reductions through supplier concessions, value engineering opportunities (over 1500 identified), selective pricing, and operational expense optimization [7] - Acushnet plans to offset over 50% of the gross tariff impact this year, with further relief expected in FY26 [7] - Revolve is engaging in cost-sharing discussions with manufacturing partners and diversifying sources outside of China, although this is a long-term strategy [7] Additional Important Insights - **Company Valuations and Price Targets**: - **Acushnet Holdings Corp.**: Price target of $75 based on ~13x 2026E EV/EBITDA; risks include slowing industry growth and adverse weather [8] - **Revolve Group, Inc.**: Price target of $24 based on ~30x FY26 P/E; downside risks include economic weakness and competition [9] - **SharkNinja Inc.**: Price target of $175 based on ~19x FY26E EV/EBITDA; risks include supply chain headwinds and increased competition [10] - **YETI Holdings, Inc.**: Price target of $53 based on ~18x FY26E EPS; risks include competition and economic weakness [11] - **Inventory Exposure**: - Approximately 22% of Revolve's FY24 inventory purchases are directly exposed to tariffs, with management anticipating a GM reduction of 240 basis points due to tariffs and shifts in consumer demand [7] - **Strategic Focus**: - Companies are focusing on managing inventory levels tightly, reducing safety stocks, and pausing non-critical capital expenditures to preserve cash flow and minimize risk [7] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the impact of tariffs, mitigation strategies, company valuations, and strategic focuses of the involved companies.

Core Insights - Revolve Group's stock declined by 10.40% following the release of its quarterly results, which were in line with expectations but included a lowered gross margin guidance for the year [1] - The fashion industry is currently under pressure, and while Revolve's results were solid, the lowered guidance and slower growth in early Q2 contributed to the stock sell-off [1] Financial Performance - In Q1, Revolve's revenue increased by 10% to $296.7 million, slightly missing estimates of $297.8 million [3] - Gross margin decreased from 52.3% to 52%, while operating income surged by 57% to $14.7 million due to modest growth in marketing and selling costs [3] - Earnings per share rose from $0.15 to $0.16, beating consensus estimates by one cent [3] Future Outlook - Co-CEO Michael Mente expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate current economic challenges and gain market share, despite uncertainties related to the global economy and trade war [4] - The company reported that net sales in April slowed to mid-single-digit growth, although international performance was stronger [4] - For the full year, Revolve revised its gross margin outlook down from 52.4%-52.9% to 50%-52%, influenced by current tariff levels [5] - If the trade war eases, Revolve could see potential upside, especially as its stock has fallen over 50% from its peak late last year [5]

Core Insights - Revolve Group reported revenue of $296.71 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a 9.7% increase year-over-year and a surprise of +0.24% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $296 million [1] - The company's EPS was $0.16, up from $0.15 in the same quarter last year, with an EPS surprise of +23.08% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.13 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total orders placed were 2.31 million, matching the four-analyst average estimate [4] - Average order value was $295, lower than the estimated $305.48 by four analysts [4] - Active customers reached 2.7 million, slightly above the three-analyst average estimate of 2.69 million [4] - Geographic Net Sales for the Rest of the World were $57.47 million, below the estimated $59.35 million but showing an 11.7% increase year-over-year [4] - Geographic Net Sales in the United States were $239.24 million, exceeding the estimate of $236.04 million and representing a 9.2% year-over-year increase [4] - Net Sales for FWRD were $42.31 million, below the five-analyst average estimate of $45.23 million, with a year-over-year change of +3.2% [4] - Net Sales for REVOLVE were $254.40 million, surpassing the $250.39 million average estimate and showing a +10.8% change year-over-year [4] - Gross profit for FWRD was $15.50 million, slightly below the three-analyst average estimate of $15.99 million [4] - Gross profit for REVOLVE was $138.79 million, slightly above the three-analyst average estimate of $138.58 million [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Revolve Group have returned -2.8% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11.5% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Performance - Revolve Group reported quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13 per share, and showing an increase from $0.15 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 23.08% [1] - The company posted revenues of $296.71 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.24% and increasing from $270.58 million year-over-year [2] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.19 on revenues of $306.58 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.67 on revenues of $1.22 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Revolve Group is mixed, leading to a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Textile - Apparel industry, to which Revolve Group belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 24% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact investor sentiment and stock performance [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net sales of $297 million, a year-over-year increase of 10% [32] - Operating income increased by 57% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 45% [8][36] - Cash and cash equivalents exceeded $300 million for the first time, increasing by $44 million or 17% in just three months [40][31] - The gross margin was 52%, a decrease of 30 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to a lower mix of net sales at full price and deeper markdowns [34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - REVOLVE segment net sales increased by 11% year-over-year, while FORWARD segment net sales increased by 3% [33] - The product return rate decreased by nearly three points year-over-year, contributing to operational efficiencies [10] - The mix of owned brand net sales as a percentage of REVOLVE segment net sales increased year-over-year for the first time in two and a half years [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic net sales increased by 9% year-over-year, while international net sales increased by 12% [33] - Active customers increased by 6% year-over-year, reaching 2.7 million [33] - The company noted a shift in consumer behavior towards more accessible price points, impacting average order value [34][60] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on long-term investments in AI technology, international expansion, and building owned brands [8][12] - The REVOLVE Festival was highlighted as a successful brand-building event, generating significant marketing impact and consumer engagement [21][24] - The company is exploring physical retail opportunities, with plans to open a permanent store in Los Angeles [26][28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly regarding tariffs [11] - The leadership team expressed confidence in navigating through current uncertainties, citing a strong track record during previous turbulent periods [12][46] - The company is moderating internal revenue growth expectations for the full year due to declining consumer confidence [48][76] Other Important Information - The company generated $45 million in operating cash flow in the first quarter, significantly strengthening its balance sheet [10][38] - The company has no debt and has increased its cash and cash equivalents balance fourfold over the last five years [40] - The company is actively working on tariff mitigation strategies, including diversifying manufacturing sources and optimizing logistics [44][45] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you clarify the gross margin guidance related to tariffs? - Management confirmed that the low end of the gross margin guidance assumes elevated tariff rates with their best estimate of mitigation efforts [56][57] Question: How quickly can the company pivot to third-party sourced inventory? - Management indicated that while they can flex inventory sourcing, the focus remains on owned brand expansion, with diversification efforts expected to take longer [58][59] Question: Is the company seeing any impact on customer traffic and conversion trends due to tariffs? - Management noted a shift to more accessible price points is impacting average order value, reflecting consumer sentiment [60][61] Question: Are there plans to increase promotional activities to stimulate demand? - Management stated that while they are seeing a shift to more accessible price points, they are not changing their markdown strategy in response to market conditions [70][71] Question: What feedback is the company receiving from third-party brands regarding price increases? - Management reported that they are seeing some price increases from third-party brands but have not yet received significant customer pushback [79][80]

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 Form 10-Q (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 or ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to . Commission File Number: 001-38927 REVOLVE GROUP, INC. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 46-1640160 (State or other jurisdic ...

Revolve Group (RVLV) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 06, 2025 04:30 PM ET Speaker0 Good morning, afternoon, evening. My name is Danica, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Revolve's First Quarter twenty twenty five Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Thank you. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Eric Rander ...

Financial Performance - Net sales increased by 10% year-over-year, from $270.6 million in Q1 2024 to $296.7 million in Q1 2025[11] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 45% year-over-year, from $13.3 million in Q1 2024 to $19.3 million in Q1 2025[11] - Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 160 basis points year-over-year, reaching 6.5% in Q1 2025[11] - Net income increased by 5% year-over-year, from $10.9 million in Q1 2024 to $11.4 million in Q1 2025, Q1 2024 included an insurance recovery equivalent to $2.1 million, net of tax[11] - Diluted EPS (GAAP) increased by 7% year-over-year, from $0.15 in Q1 2024 to $0.16 in Q1 2025, Q1 2024 EPS included an insurance recovery equivalent to $0.03 per share[25] Segment and Geographic Performance - REVOLVE net sales increased by 11% year-over-year, from $229.6 million in Q1 2024 to $254.4 million in Q1 2025[13] - FWRD net sales increased by 3% year-over-year, from $41.0 million in Q1 2024 to $42.3 million in Q1 2025[13] - U S net sales increased by 9% year-over-year, from $219.1 million in Q1 2024 to $239.2 million in Q1 2025[13] - International net sales increased by 12% year-over-year, from $51.4 million in Q1 2024 to $57.5 million in Q1 2025[13] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - Free cash flow increased by 17% year-over-year, from $36.7 million in Q1 2024 to $42.8 million in Q1 2025[30] - Cash and cash equivalents increased by $44 million, or 17% quarter-over-quarter, reaching $300.8 million in Q1 2025[30]