Sabre Corporation (NASDAQ:SABR) is one of the Oversold Software Stocks to Buy Now. On September 8, the company announced a new agreement with next-generation corporate booking platform Travelin.Ai, which would be gaining access to SabreMosaic Travel Marketplace, including traditional airfares, NDC offers, low-cost carrier content, and lodging options, as well as Sabre’s Lodging AI capabilities. The ability for TMCs (travel management companies) and their corporate customers to book business trips with leis ...

Core Insights - Sabre Corporation is launching agentic solutions for travel, leveraging its travel data cloud to enable AI-driven retailing in the travel industry [1][2][7] Group 1: Agentic Solutions and APIs - The new agentic-ready APIs are powered by a proprietary Model Context Protocol (MCP) server, which acts as a universal translator for AI agents in travel technology [2][6] - These APIs will facilitate real-time shopping, booking, servicing, and optimization of travel, moving agentic AI from concept to practical application [2][3] Group 2: Customer Pain Points and Use Cases - The initial focus of these capabilities will be on flights, hotels, and post-booking services, addressing common customer pain points that consume time and patience [3][4] - Potential applications include an IROPS Call-Centre Proxy Agent for rebooking, a Hotel Ops Agent for confirming late arrivals, and an Expense Filing Agent for managing receipts [4] Group 3: Sabre IQ and Data Utilization - Sabre IQ serves as the systemic AI layer, utilizing Large Language Model (LLM) technology to enhance understanding and interaction in natural language [5][6] - The AI layer is supported by Sabre's Travel Data Cloud, which contains over 50 petabytes of travel intelligence, providing a rich foundation for AI capabilities [5] Group 4: Integration and Business Value - The new agentic capabilities are integrated into SabreMosaic, allowing seamless adoption by airlines, agencies, and developers without compromising scale or trust [6] - This integration aims to automate complex workflows, reduce servicing costs, and enhance opportunities for personalized offers, ultimately delivering real business value [6][7]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that direct airline connections in corporate travel may not deliver the promised benefits and can lead to unexpected costs and complexities [1][8] Misconceptions about Direct Airline Connections - **Misconception 1 - Cheaper fares? Almost never**: Direct connections are often marketed as the cheapest option, but a Sabre analysis found that SabreMosaic Travel Marketplace provided equal or lower fares in over 90% of searches, with 41% being cheaper than direct [3][11] - **Misconception 2 - More content direct? Think again**: Airlines claim that direct NDC APIs offer richer content, but they use the same NDC APIs provided to Sabre, leading to content fragmentation and visibility issues for travel managers [4][11] - **Misconception 3 - A smoother experience? Not for corporates**: Direct connects are presented as modern solutions, but they create inconsistent booking experiences, which can be problematic for corporate travel that requires reliability and compliance [5][11] - **Misconception 4 - Built for the future? Not at scale**: Airlines promote direct connects as future-ready, but they cannot handle the scale of business travel effectively, risking visibility and access to all available fares [6][11] SabreMosaic Travel Marketplace - The SabreMosaic Travel Marketplace integrates content from 38 NDC airlines, over 150 low-cost carriers, and more than 420 EDIFACT carriers, providing corporate buyers with a comprehensive and consistent platform [10]

Core Insights - Sabre Corporation has entered into a new agreement with Travelin.Ai, a next-generation corporate booking platform [1] - The agreement allows Travelin.Ai to access the SabreMosaic Travel Marketplace, which includes traditional airfares, NDC offers, low-cost carrier content, lodging options, and Sabre's Lodging AI capabilities [1] Company Summary - Sabre Corporation is a leading global travel technology company [1] - The partnership with Travelin.Ai enhances Sabre's offerings in the corporate travel sector [1] Industry Summary - The agreement signifies a trend towards integrating advanced technology in corporate travel booking platforms [1] - Access to a diverse range of travel options and AI capabilities may improve efficiency and user experience in the travel industry [1]

Core Insights - Sabre Corporation has renewed a long-term partnership with oneworld, enhancing its PRISM platform's role in corporate travel data and analytics [1][3] - PRISM is utilized by over 30 airlines and alliances, processing over 13 million tickets monthly from more than 4,500 sources across 160+ countries [2] - The renewal signifies Sabre's commitment to providing insight-driven travel technology solutions and positions the company for further expansion within the oneworld network [3] Company Overview - Sabre Corporation is a leading technology provider in the travel industry, headquartered in Southlake, Texas, serving customers in over 160 countries [4] - The company focuses on harnessing speed, scale, and insights to empower airlines, hoteliers, and agencies in retailing, distributing, and fulfilling travel [4] Partnership Details - The partnership with oneworld involves 14 major airlines, enhancing the travel experience for frequent flyers through various benefits [5] - PRISM's capabilities include over 350 reports, automated peer analysis, and a patented decision science framework, enabling airlines to optimize their corporate sales programs [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The turnaround story for Sabre (NASDAQ: SABR) is perceived to be running out of time, leading to a downgrade of the stock [1]. Group 1 - Sabre's stock was downgraded due to concerns about its turnaround potential [1]. - The article suggests that the company may face challenges in achieving its turnaround goals [1]. Group 2 - The author has a background as a hedge fund analyst and has conducted extensive research in Latin American markets [2]. - The focus is on identifying high-quality compounders and growth stocks at reasonable prices in both the US and developed markets [2].

Core Insights - Sabre Corporation (SABR) shares fell nearly 35.7% following weaker-than-expected Q2 2025 results, missing all prior management guidance [1][9] - The company reported an adjusted loss of 2 cents per share, compared to a Zacks Consensus Estimate of break-even earnings, although the loss narrowed from 6 cents in the previous year [1][2] Financial Performance - Sabre's Q2 2025 revenues were $687.2 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $705.3 million and reflecting a 1% year-over-year decline [2][9] - Distribution revenues decreased by 1% to $546 million, impacted by lower air bookings and a slight decrease in average booking fees, partially offset by increased hotel distribution bookings [3] - IT Solutions revenues were $141 million, down 2% year-over-year, attributed to customer demigrations, though offset by increased license fee revenues [4] - Normalized adjusted EBITDA was $127.2 million, improving from $120 million year-over-year but falling short of the previous guidance of approximately $140 million [5] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - As of the end of June, Sabre had cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaling $447 million, down from $672 million in the previous quarter [6] - Cash used in operating activities during Q2 amounted to $218 million, resulting in negative free cash flow of $240 million [6] Updated Guidance - For FY25, Sabre now expects pro-forma revenues to grow in the low single-digit percentage range, a reduction from earlier expectations of double-digit growth [7] - Pro-forma adjusted EBITDA is now forecasted between $530 million and $570 million, down from approximately $630 million previously [8] - The company anticipates generating pro-forma free cash flow in the range of $100-$140 million, a decrease from earlier forecasts of over $200 million [8] Q3 Outlook - Sabre has initiated guidance for Q3, expecting pro-forma revenue growth in the low-to-mid single-digit percentage range and pro-forma adjusted EBITDA between $140 million and $150 million [10]

Core Insights - Sabre reported revenue of $687.15 million for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a 10.4% decline year-over-year and a surprise of -2.58% compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $705.31 million [1] - The company's EPS was -$0.02, an improvement from -$0.05 in the same quarter last year, with no EPS surprise against the consensus estimate of $0 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Travel Solutions - Air Bookings were 75.53 million, below the average estimate of 79.36 million [4] - Total Bookings in Travel Solutions reached 90.3 million, compared to the estimated 94.61 million [4] - Passengers Boarded in Travel Solutions totaled 171.35 million, slightly below the estimate of 173.95 million [4] - Lodging, Ground and Sea Bookings were 14.76 million, compared to the average estimate of 15.25 million [4] - Distribution Revenue in Travel Solutions was $545.77 million, below the estimate of $567.37 million, marking a year-over-year change of -0.9% [4] - Overall Revenue for Travel Solutions was $687.15 million, compared to the estimated $708.09 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of -1.1% [4] - IT Solutions Revenue within Travel Solutions was $141.38 million, slightly above the estimate of $140.72 million, with a year-over-year change of -2.1% [4] Stock Performance - Sabre's shares have returned -6.3% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.2% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of $687 million, a decrease of 1% year on year [19] - Normalized adjusted EBITDA increased by 6% year on year, with a normalized adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of approximately 120 basis points to around 19% [21] - Total debt was reduced by over $1 billion, or nearly 20%, and the company expects to reduce year-end 2025 net leverage by approximately 50% compared to year-end 2023 [7][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Air distribution bookings declined by 1% year on year, with growth strategies contributing eight points of growth offset by a nine-point decline in the base business [8][9] - Hotel distribution bookings grew by 2% in the quarter, with the attachment rate to air bookings improving by 100 basis points to 34% [10] - In IT Solutions, passengers boarded increased by 1% year on year, contributing to normalized adjusted EBITDA growth of 6% [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The operating environment remains challenging, particularly affecting air distribution bookings, which fell short of expectations [8] - The GDS industry experienced a decline in corporate bookings relative to leisure, impacting overall GDS volumes [9] - The company has a higher exposure to corporate and government travel, which has underperformed compared to leisure travel [41][62] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on generating free cash flow and deleveraging the balance sheet while driving sustainable growth through innovative technology solutions [5][18] - The transformation into a modern, open travel marketplace is underway, with significant progress in multi-source content and NDC connections [12][55] - The company anticipates a six-month delay in launching a new multi-source low-cost carrier solution due to execution delays [16][56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the incremental industry weakness observed in June and July, leading to a revised outlook for air distribution bookings growth [14][15] - The company expects the GDS industry trends to stabilize over time, despite current challenges [14] - Management remains optimistic about the long-term growth potential, citing strong demand for new business initiatives [18][60] Other Important Information - The company closed the sale of its Hospitality Solutions business on July 3, 2025, with proceeds primarily used to pay down debt [22][25] - Pro forma free cash flow was reported as negative $2 million for the quarter, with cash on the balance sheet exceeding $600 million post-sale [22][25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why was the prior guidance so optimistic given the consistent headwinds? - Management noted that while growth strategies remained constant, market conditions changed, leading to a more cautious outlook [34][35] Question: Is the middle scenario of guidance considered the base case? - Management indicated that they have not provided a weighting on the scenarios but believe the current trading environment aligns more with the middle scenario [36][37] Question: What factors are causing the decline in GDS bookings? - Management highlighted that corporate travel impacts GDS bookings more significantly than leisure travel, and current market conditions are temporary rather than structural [40][41] Question: What is the strategy for NDC agreements and growth? - The company has 38 live NDC connections and is focused on integrating various content types to enhance its offerings [54][67] Question: How does the company expect to manage operating costs moving forward? - Management emphasized strong cost discipline and anticipated reductions in technology expenses due to ongoing transformation initiatives [47][49]

Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue was $687 million, a decrease of 1% year-over-year[17, 33] - Normalized Adjusted EBITDA increased by 6% year-over-year to $127 million[19, 34] - Hotel B2B Distribution saw a 4% year-over-year growth in Gross Booking Value (GBV), reaching approximately $5 billion in Q2 2025[22] - Digital Payments platform processed approximately $5 billion in gross spend during Q2 2025, representing a 44% year-over-year increase[22] Bookings and Passengers - Total distribution bookings reached 90 million, down 1% year-over-year[17] - Air distribution bookings totaled 76 million, a decrease of 1% year-over-year[17, 18] - Hotel distribution bookings increased by 2% year-over-year[17, 19] - Passengers boarded increased by 1% year-over-year, reaching 171 million[17] Debt and Cash Flow - The company paid down over $1 billion of debt year-to-date, reducing gross debt to approximately $43 billion and net debt to approximately $37 billion[16] - The company expects to reduce year-end 2025 pro forma net leverage by approximately 50% from year-end 2023[16, 44] - Pro forma free cash flow was negative $2 million for Q2 2025[34] - The company expects approximately $100 million to $140 million in pro forma free cash flow for full year 2025[36] Outlook - The company anticipates air distribution bookings growth in the second half of 2025 to be between +4% and +10%[25]