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Stitch Fix Rises 38% in a Year: Is the Stock Still a Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-04-22 13:55
Core Viewpoint - Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) has shown significant stock performance, with a 38.2% increase over the past year, contrasting with a 10% decline in the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry [1][2]. Performance Metrics - The company has outperformed the broader Retail-Wholesale sector and the S&P 500 index, which grew by 9.1% and 4.6% respectively during the same period [2]. - Average order value (AOV) has increased for six consecutive quarters, with a 9% year-over-year rise in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, and a notable 16% spike on January 25 [9]. - Revenue per active client rose to $537, reflecting a 4.3% increase from the previous year [9]. Valuation Insights - Stitch Fix is currently trading at a low price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.31, compared to the industry and sector ratios of 1.28 and 1.43 respectively, indicating potential for attractive entry points for investors [5]. - The company's Value Score of B further emphasizes its investment appeal [5]. Operational Efficiency - Gross margin reached 44.5% in the fiscal second quarter, up 110 basis points from the prior year, attributed to higher AOV and improved product margins [10]. - Contribution margin was reported at 33%, exceeding the historical range of 25-30% for the fourth consecutive quarter [11]. Client Engagement and Personalization - Stitch Fix's client-first approach has led to increased engagement, with customer requests for the same stylist reaching a five-year high [8]. - Keep rates for new styles have increased by 7% year over year, indicating a stronger product-market fit [12]. Market Expansion and Brand Differentiation - The company has revitalized underperforming segments, particularly men's and Freestyle categories, with cashmere sales growing by 400% year-over-year [13]. - New in-house brands like The Commons have emerged as top revenue drivers, enhancing customer appeal and improving margins [14]. Investment Opportunity - Stitch Fix is positioned for sustainable growth through ongoing business transformation, operational efficiency, and brand differentiation, making it an attractive option for investors seeking long-term value [15].
Why Stitch Fix Could be an Undervalued Gem: Key Factors to Consider
ZACKS· 2025-04-07 16:50
Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) stands out as a compelling value play within the Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry, trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 0.30, down from the industry and the Retail-Wholesale sector's averages of 1.26 and 1.36, respectively. This undervaluation highlights its potential for investors seeking attractive entry points in the retail space. SFIX Looks Attractive From a Valuation Standpoint Image Source: Zacks Investment Research In the past six months, the SFIX stock has g ...
Down -34.82% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in Stitch Fix (SFIX)
ZACKS· 2025-03-21 14:55
Core Viewpoint - Stitch Fix (SFIX) has experienced a significant decline of 34.8% over the past four weeks, but it is now in oversold territory, suggesting a potential turnaround as analysts expect better earnings than previously predicted [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Technical Indicators - The stock has been under heavy selling pressure, leading to its current oversold status, indicated by an RSI reading of 25.01, which suggests that selling may be exhausting [5] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that helps identify whether a stock is oversold, with readings below 30 typically indicating this condition [2][3] Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Analyst Consensus - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for SFIX has increased by 12%, indicating strong agreement among analysts regarding improved earnings for the current year [6] - SFIX holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the potential for a turnaround [7]
Stitch Fix Moves In The Right Direction But The Stock Remains A Hold
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-15 07:44
Group 1 - The core investment strategy focuses on long-only investment, evaluating companies from an operational and buy-and-hold perspective, rather than market-driven dynamics [1] - The articles emphasize understanding the long-term earnings power of companies and the competitive dynamics within their industries [1] - The majority of recommendations will be holds, indicating a cautious approach to investment opportunities, with only a small fraction of companies deemed suitable for buying at any given time [1] Group 2 - The articles aim to provide important information for future investors and introduce a healthy skepticism towards a generally bullish market [1] - There is a clear distinction made between the author's opinions and professional investment advice, highlighting the need for readers to conduct their own due diligence [2][3]
Stitch Fix (SFIX) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why
ZACKS· 2025-03-14 17:05
Stitch Fix (SFIX) appears an attractive pick, as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.The sole determinant of the Zacks rating is a company's changing earnings picture. The Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years is tracked by the system.The power ...
Stitch Fix: Problems Appear Fixed
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-13 18:06
If you'd like to learn more about how to best position yourself in under valued stocks mispriced by the market to end Q1, consider joining Out Fox The Street .Stitch Fix, Inc. (NASDAQ: SFIX ) has faced a couple of tough years since the Covid boost. The new management team appears to have fixed some product problems and now has key parts of the business back inAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SFIX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrot ...
Stitch Fix(SFIX) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-03-12 20:15
Financial Performance - For the three and six months ended February 1, 2025, the company reported net revenue of $312.1 million and $630.9 million, representing year-over-year decreases of 5.5% and 9.2%, respectively[87]. - Net loss from continuing operations for the three and six months ended February 1, 2025, was $6.6 million and $12.9 million, respectively, compared to losses of $35.0 million and $61.1 million for the same periods in the prior year[89]. - Revenue decreased by $18.3 million (5.5%) and $64.3 million (9.2%) for the three and six months ended February 1, 2025, respectively, primarily due to a 15.5% decrease in active clients[114]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the three months ended February 1, 2025, was $15.9 million, compared to $4.4 million for the three months ended January 27, 2024[95]. - Free Cash Flow for the six months ended February 1, 2025, was $(9.5) million, slightly worse than $(9.2) million for the same period last year[96]. Client Metrics - The number of active clients decreased to approximately 2,371,000 as of February 1, 2025, down 15.5% from 2,805,000 active clients as of January 27, 2024[87][98]. - Net revenue per active client increased to $537 as of February 1, 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.3% from $515[99]. Cost Management - Selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A) decreased by $33.6 million (18.5%) and $67.6 million (18.3%) for the three and six months ended February 1, 2025, respectively[116]. - SG&A as a percentage of revenue decreased to 47.4% and 47.8% for the three and six months ended February 1, 2025, compared to 54.9% and 53.1% for the same periods in the prior year[117]. - The company continues to evaluate operating costs and optimize its marketing strategy to position itself for profitability[92]. Restructuring and Charges - The company recorded additional restructuring charges of $0.2 million and $1.2 million for the three and six months ended February 1, 2025, as part of the ongoing restructuring plan[90]. - The company is focused on improving client retention and conversion rates to address challenges in acquiring and retaining active clients[88]. Economic Environment - The macroeconomic environment, including inflation and recessionary concerns, poses risks to consumer discretionary spending and overall business performance[100]. Cash and Investments - The company had $113.2 million in cash and cash equivalents and $116.6 million in investments as of February 1, 2025[120]. - The company entered into a $50.0 million revolving credit facility on December 4, 2023, with $31.3 million in excess availability as of February 1, 2025[121]. - Cash used in operating activities from continuing operations for the six months ended February 1, 2025, was $1.9 million, with a net loss of $12.9 million adjusted by non-cash charges of $45.5 million[127]. - Cash used in investing activities from continuing operations for the six months ended February 1, 2025, was $39.0 million, primarily due to purchases of securities available-for-sale totaling $96.6 million[129]. - Cash used in financing activities from continuing operations for the six months ended February 1, 2025, was $8.2 million, primarily for tax withholding payments related to restricted stock units[131]. Other Financial Information - Interest income increased by 13.7% for the six months ended February 1, 2025, compared to the same period last year[113]. - The company made no repurchases of Class A common stock during the three and six months ended February 1, 2025, with $120.0 million remaining available under the share repurchase program[125]. - The company plans to repatriate remaining UK cash into the U.S. within 12 months, which may be subject to taxes and local restrictions[120]. - There were no material changes to contractual obligations and other commitments during the three months ended February 1, 2025[132]. - There have been no significant changes to critical accounting policies and estimates disclosed in the 2024 Annual Report[134]. - No material changes in market risk were reported during the three months ended February 1, 2025[135].
Stitch Fix Earnings: Back From The Dead
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-12 08:16
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their business narrative is shifting towards increased profitability [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience in analyzing companies, particularly in the tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - Michael leads the investing group Deep Value Returns, which offers insights through a concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [2] - The Deep Value Returns group provides support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and kind community accessible via chat [2]
Stitch Fix(SFIX) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-11 22:51
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q2 revenue of $312.1 million, down 5.5% year-over-year and 2% quarter-over-quarter, but above guidance due to sustained strength in Average Order Value (AOV) which was up 9% year-over-year and 4% quarter-over-quarter [31][38] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was $15.9 million, representing a margin of 5.1%, up 380 basis points year-over-year and 90 basis points quarter-over-quarter [38] - Gross margin for Q2 was 44.5%, up 110 basis points year-over-year, driven primarily by AOV upside and improved product margins [35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The men's business and Freestyle channel returned to year-over-year revenue growth, with men's clients responding positively to enhancements in assortment and marketing [10][16] - The women's category saw growth led by dresses and denim, with workwear dresses generating over 60% positive year-over-year sales comp [16] - New private brands, The Commons and Montgomery Post, performed well, with The Commons becoming a top five revenue brand in men's [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Active clients ended the quarter at 2.4 million, down 16% year-over-year and down 2.6% quarter-over-quarter, but the company is focused on returning to client growth [33][34] - The company noted that January was a particularly strong month, indicating positive momentum in client engagement and spending [32][55] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a transformation strategy aimed at enhancing client experience through improved inventory management, AI merchandising tools, and personalized stylist relationships [9][12][20] - Investments in Freestyle, the personalized direct e-commerce platform, are expected to complement the fixed offering and capture greater wallet share [21][60] - The company is strategically positioned to mitigate potential impacts from tariffs, with a task force in place to manage tariff-related challenges [66][68] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate the macroeconomic environment and does not expect tariffs to impact client prices or margins in the second half of the fiscal year [26][40] - The company raised its annual revenue and EBITDA guidance based on strong Q2 performance and positive trends observed in early Q3 [41][106] Other Important Information - The company ended Q2 with net inventory of $109.6 million, down 13% year-over-year and down 8% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting improved inventory management [38] - Free cash flow was negative $19 million in Q2, in line with expectations due to timing of working capital requirements [39] Q&A Session Summary Question: Customer demographics and market size - Management highlighted that clients span various household income levels and emphasized the value proposition of Stitch Fix in addressing consumer shopping challenges [46][49] - Freestyle is seen as critical for expanding the total addressable market (TAM) and capturing greater wallet share [56][60] Question: Impact of tariffs on pricing and brand mix - Management discussed a tariff mitigation strategy and the ability to shift within their brand portfolio to protect profitability [66][68] - The focus remains on being client-led in balancing private and national brands based on demand [70][72] Question: Outlook for gross margins and trends - Management indicated that gross margins are expected to remain in the 44% to 45% range for the full year, with typical seasonality affecting Q2 [82] - Positive trends in February and March were noted, with expectations for continued momentum [84][90] Question: AOV and active client growth - Management acknowledged that while AOV has been strong, it may present challenges for future growth due to tougher comps [99][100] - There is a focus on both active client growth and increasing spend per client for sustainable long-term growth [102][103]
Stitch Fix(SFIX) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-03-11 22:05
SFIX: NASDAQ / March 11, 2025 1 Safe harbor statement This presentation is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an oer, commitment, promise or obligation on behalf of Stitch Fix, Inc. ("Stitch Fix" or the "Company") to sell securities or deliver any products, services, functionalities or other features. This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. All statements other than statements of historical fact could be de ...