Stitch Fix (SFIX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call June 10, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company Participants Cherryl Valenzuela - Head of Investor RelationsMatt Baer - Chief Executive OfficerDavid Aufderhaar - Chief Financial OfficerDana Telsey - CEO and Chief Research Officer Conference Call Participants Aneesha Sherman - AnalystDylan Carden - Research AnalystDavid Bellinger - Director & Senior Analyst Operator Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q3 FY twenty twenty five Stitch Fix Earnings Conference Call. A ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 revenue reached $325 million, reflecting a 0.7% year-over-year increase and a 4.1% quarter-over-quarter increase [20] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $11 million, representing a margin of approximately 3.4%, up 130 basis points year-over-year but down 170 basis points quarter-over-quarter [22] - Gross margin was 44.2%, down 130 basis points year-over-year and down 30 basis points quarter-over-quarter [21] - Revenue per active client for the quarter was $542, up 3.2% year-over-year and up 1% quarter-over-quarter [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The women's business and overall fixed channel returned to revenue growth, while the men's business and freestyle channel also saw growth [6] - Average Order Value (AOV) grew by 10% year-over-year, with improvements in items per fix, keep rate, and Average Unit Retail (AUR) [7] - Notable growth in athleisure for both women's and men's clients, with sneakers up 35% year-over-year [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Active clients at the end of Q3 were 2.4 million, down 10.6% year-over-year and down 0.8% quarter-over-quarter, marking the lowest sequential decline in three years [20] - New client growth has been achieved for two consecutive quarters, with new clients spending more, as evidenced by the highest 90-day Lifetime Value (LTV) in three years [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning from the build phase to the growth phase of its transformation strategy, focusing on cementing its position as a retailer of choice for apparel and accessories [12] - Strategic investments are being made in client acquisition and reengagement, as well as strengthening the product assortment [23] - The company aims to leverage its unique value proposition and AI capabilities to gain market share [13][45] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating external challenges, including a dynamic macroeconomic environment and tariff pressures [14] - The company does not expect significant cost impacts from tariffs for the remainder of the fourth quarter [15] - Future guidance indicates a stronger Q4 than previously anticipated, with total revenue expected between $298 million and $300 million [24] Other Important Information - The company generated $16 million of free cash flow in Q3 and ended the quarter with $242 million in cash and no debt [22] - Inventory management has improved, with net inventory flat year-over-year and up 4.4% quarter-over-quarter [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on core consumer behavior and guidance for Q4 - Management noted strong performance in AOV and engagement metrics, with larger fixes resonating well with clients [32][34] - They expect a slight sequential decline in active clients due to normal seasonality but remain confident in revenue growth [37] Question: Potential share gain opportunities in the current macro environment - Management believes the current macro environment presents an opportunity for share gain, emphasizing the adaptability of their service [52] - They do not anticipate price increases during the fiscal year and are focused on creating value for clients [54] Question: Sustainability of AOV increases - AOV growth is driven by larger fixes and a focus on client engagement, with expectations for continued strength [70] - Tougher comparisons are anticipated in FY 2026 due to the strong performance in the current year [71] Question: Active client growth and advertising spend - Management does not foresee the need to increase ad spend to achieve active client growth, citing improvements in client reengagement [74] - They are focused on quality client acquisition and maximizing lifetime value [60]

Stitch Fix, Inc. SFIX released its third-quarter results after Tuesday's closing bell. Here's a look at the key figures from the quarter. The Details: Stitch Fix reported quarterly losses of six cents per share, which beat the analyst consensus estimate of losses of 11 cents per share. Quarterly revenue came in at $325.02 million, beating the $314.44 million consensus estimate.Read Next: These Are The 3 Hottest Stock Market Themes Trending NowFor the third quarter, Stitch Fix reported:Active clients of 2,35 ...

Exhibit 99.1 Stitch Fix Announces Third Quarter of Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results SAN FRANCISCO, June 10, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Stitch Fix, Inc. (NASDAQ: SFIX), the leading online personal styling service, today announced its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, ended May 3, 2025. "Stitch Fix delivered strong third quarter results, marked by our overall return to year-over-year revenue growth," said Matt Baer, CEO, Stitch Fix. "Our performance, which exceeded expectations, is ...

Core Insights - Stitch Fix, Inc. reported strong third quarter results for fiscal year 2025, achieving year-over-year revenue growth and exceeding expectations, attributed to the strength of its value proposition and disciplined execution of strategy [2][3] Financial Highlights - Net revenue for the third quarter was $325 million, a 0.7% increase year-over-year [6] - Active clients decreased to 2.353 million, down 0.8% quarter-over-quarter and 10.6% year-over-year [6] - Revenue per active client (RPAC) increased to $542, a 3.2% rise year-over-year [6] - Gross margin was 44.2%, a decrease of 130 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to lower product margins [6] - The company reported a net loss of $7.4 million, with a net loss margin of 2.3% and diluted loss per share of $0.06 [6][19] Financial Outlook - For Q4 2025, net revenue is projected to be between $298 million and $303 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 6.7% to 5.2% [4] - The full fiscal year 2025 net revenue is expected to be between $1.254 billion and $1.259 billion, representing a year-over-year decline of 6.2% to 5.9% [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 is anticipated to be between $3 million and $7 million, with a margin of 1.0% to 2.3% [4] Cash Flow and Liquidity - The company generated $20.5 million in net cash from operating activities and reported free cash flow of $16 million for the third quarter [6] - As of the end of the quarter, Stitch Fix had $242.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, with no debt [6] Operational Metrics - The company expects fourth quarter gross margin to be at the lower end of the 44% to 45% range, with full fiscal year 2025 gross margin projected to be in the middle of that range [7] - Advertising expenses as a percentage of revenue for the full fiscal year 2025 are expected to be at the high end of the 8% to 9% range [7]

Core Insights - Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in revenues for Q3 fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $315.3 million, reflecting a 2.3% decrease from the previous year [1] - The company is expected to report a narrower loss per share of 12 cents, compared to a loss of 15 cents in the same quarter last year [2] - The company has experienced a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 48.9% on average, with a significant beat of 54.6% in the last reported quarter [2] Performance Influencers - A challenging macroeconomic environment, including shifts in customer demand and tariff-related issues, is likely to negatively impact Stitch Fix's quarterly performance [3] - The company faces difficulties in customer acquisition and retention, with a projected decline of 10.8% in active clients year-over-year for Q3 [4] - Competition from major retailers and economic pressures are additional challenges to the company's growth [3] Financial Projections - Management previously projected revenues between $311 million and $316 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 3.6% to 2.1% [4] - Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $7 million and $10 million, with a margin of 2.3% to 3.2% [4] - The gross margin is anticipated to increase by 90 basis points year-over-year to 44.5%, benefiting from improved product margins [6] Strategic Initiatives - Stitch Fix is enhancing customer experiences through AI-driven personalization and reimagining product assortments to align with evolving client preferences [5] - The company's Freestyle drive is providing a distinct shopping experience, which is seen as a positive development [5] - Management is focused on cost efficiencies, which are likely to contribute to improved profitability [6]

Core Insights - Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) has shown strong upward momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, closing at $4.17, which reflects positive market sentiment and investor confidence in its financial health and growth prospects [1][3] Performance Overview - Over the past year, SFIX shares have surged by 81.3%, significantly outperforming the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry's decline of 2.1%, as well as the broader Retail-Wholesale sector and S&P 500 index growth of 16.2% and 9.3%, respectively [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company's client-first strategy has improved customer engagement and loyalty, with requests for the same stylist reaching a five-year high, indicating increased trust [6] - Personalization efforts have resulted in six consecutive quarters of growth in average order value (AOV), supported by better alignment between customer preferences and product offerings [7] - The focus on exclusive in-house brands and expansion into underpenetrated segments, particularly in men's apparel, is enhancing competitive positioning and margin control [8] Challenges - Despite the increase in AOV, Stitch Fix is struggling with client retention, as the decline in the active user base poses risks to long-term revenue potential [9] - The company projects fiscal third-quarter revenues between $311 million and $316 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 3.6-2.1%, and expects full-year revenues between $1.23 billion and $1.24 billion, a decrease of 6.9-5.8% [10] Conclusion - Stitch Fix is making progress through AI-driven personalization and operational improvements, contributing to strong recent price performance. However, challenges with a declining active client base and intense market competition may hinder sustained revenue growth [11]

SAN FRANCISCO, May 20, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Stitch Fix, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFIX), the leading online personal styling service, today announced that it will release financial results for its third quarter fiscal year 2025 ended May 3, 2025 after market close on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. Following this, Stitch Fix will hold a conference call at 2:00 p.m. PT / 5:00 p.m. ET to discuss its financial results and outlook. The call will be hosted by Matt Baer, CEO, and David Aufderhaar, CFO. A live webcast of the call ...

Economic Overview - U.S. consumer confidence has declined for the fifth consecutive month in April, with the Consumer Confidence Index dropping to 86, a decrease of 7.9 points from the previous month, falling short of market expectations [1][2] - This is the weakest level recorded in almost five years, indicating growing unease among consumers due to economic pressures such as trade tensions, rising tariffs, and fears over job security [2] Consumer Spending Impact - The Federal Reserve and financial markets are closely monitoring the decline in consumer sentiment, as consumer spending accounts for approximately 70% of U.S. GDP, suggesting that changes in spending patterns could significantly impact future economic growth [3] Company Adaptation Strategies - Companies like Sprouts Farmers Market, The Gap, Chewy, and Stitch Fix are better positioned to navigate the current economic challenges due to their solid business models and focus on value and essentials [4] Sprouts Farmers Market - Sprouts Farmers Market is focusing on product innovation, targeted marketing, and competitive pricing to expand its customer base and meet evolving consumer preferences, particularly in the health food segment [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a growth of 12.3% in sales and 28.8% in earnings per share (EPS) for the current financial year compared to the previous year [9] The Gap - The Gap is leveraging its broad brand portfolio and enhancing operational efficiency while driving digital transformation and investing in product innovation to maintain competitiveness [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate suggests a growth of 1.5% in sales and 7.7% in EPS for the current financial year compared to the previous year [11] Chewy - Chewy is enhancing its position in the online pet retail market through innovation and customer loyalty initiatives, such as the Autoship program, which secures predictable revenues [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a growth of 4.5% in sales and 18.3% in EPS for the current financial year compared to the previous year [13] Stitch Fix - Stitch Fix is improving its inventory management and expanding private brand offerings to enhance profitability while focusing on personalized client experiences [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate suggests a growth of 64.7% in the bottom line for the current financial year compared to the previous year [15]

Core Viewpoint - Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) has shown significant stock performance, with a 38.2% increase over the past year, contrasting with a 10% decline in the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry [1][2]. Performance Metrics - The company has outperformed the broader Retail-Wholesale sector and the S&P 500 index, which grew by 9.1% and 4.6% respectively during the same period [2]. - Average order value (AOV) has increased for six consecutive quarters, with a 9% year-over-year rise in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, and a notable 16% spike on January 25 [9]. - Revenue per active client rose to $537, reflecting a 4.3% increase from the previous year [9]. Valuation Insights - Stitch Fix is currently trading at a low price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.31, compared to the industry and sector ratios of 1.28 and 1.43 respectively, indicating potential for attractive entry points for investors [5]. - The company's Value Score of B further emphasizes its investment appeal [5]. Operational Efficiency - Gross margin reached 44.5% in the fiscal second quarter, up 110 basis points from the prior year, attributed to higher AOV and improved product margins [10]. - Contribution margin was reported at 33%, exceeding the historical range of 25-30% for the fourth consecutive quarter [11]. Client Engagement and Personalization - Stitch Fix's client-first approach has led to increased engagement, with customer requests for the same stylist reaching a five-year high [8]. - Keep rates for new styles have increased by 7% year over year, indicating a stronger product-market fit [12]. Market Expansion and Brand Differentiation - The company has revitalized underperforming segments, particularly men's and Freestyle categories, with cashmere sales growing by 400% year-over-year [13]. - New in-house brands like The Commons have emerged as top revenue drivers, enhancing customer appeal and improving margins [14]. Investment Opportunity - Stitch Fix is positioned for sustainable growth through ongoing business transformation, operational efficiency, and brand differentiation, making it an attractive option for investors seeking long-term value [15].