Core Insights - The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) has experienced a decline of approximately 11% in its stock value over the past year, indicating poor performance in the market [1] Company Performance - The company is facing challenges due to cautious consumer behavior and a lack of growth across its operations [1]

Core Insights - The J. M. Smucker Company is a well-established player in the food and beverage industry, known for brands like Meow Mix, Folgers, Jif, and Smucker's, operating in various segments including U.S. Retail Pet Foods, U.S. Retail Coffee, and U.S. Retail Consumer Foods [1] - The consensus price target for SJM has shown a modest upward trend, increasing from approximately $117.83 last year to $120 last month, indicating growing confidence among analysts in SJM's market position and future performance [2][6] - Despite the positive trend in price targets, SJM is expected to report a decline in its second-quarter earnings, which may influence investor sentiment and market performance in the short term [3][6] - Citigroup analyst Wendy Nicholson has set a price target of $131 for SJM, reflecting optimism about the company's potential to overcome current challenges and capitalize on its strong brand portfolio [4][6] - The upcoming earnings report for SJM will be crucial in determining its stock performance and aligning with analyst expectations, as US stock futures are experiencing a downturn [5]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content or key points related to a company or industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - J.M. Smucker has forecasted annual profit below analysts' estimates due to a surge in coffee costs, which is expected to squeeze its margins, resulting in a 3% decline in shares of the food maker [1] Company Summary - J.M. Smucker anticipates that rising coffee costs will negatively impact its profit margins, leading to a forecast that falls short of analysts' expectations [1] - The company's shares experienced a 3% drop following the announcement of the profit forecast [1] Industry Summary - The food industry, particularly companies involved in coffee production and sales, may face challenges due to increasing raw material costs, which could affect profitability and stock performance [1]

Core Insights - The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results with a year-over-year decline in earnings, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate, while net sales increased and exceeded expectations due to strong demand for its flagship brands [1][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were $2.10 per share, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.12 and down 24% from $2.76 in the prior-year quarter [2] - Net sales reached $2,330.1 million, a 3% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,322 million; excluding noncomparable sales from last year, net sales grew 5% [3] - Adjusted gross profit decreased by 10% due to high commodity costs, tariffs, and adverse volume/mix, partially offset by improved net price realization [4] - Adjusted operating income fell 20% year-over-year to $394.3 million, driven by lower gross profit and increased selling, distribution, and administrative (SD&A) expenses [4] Segment Performance - U.S. Retail Coffee segment sales increased by 21% to $848.9 million, with net price realization up 27%, while volume/mix declined by 6%; segment profit decreased by 24% to $154.3 million [5] - U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads segment sales decreased by 5% to $461.1 million, with volume/mix negatively impacting sales by 8 percentage points; segment profit fell 12% to $102.1 million [6] - U.S. Retail Pet Foods segment sales dropped by 7% to $413.2 million, with volume/mix having an 8-percentage-point adverse impact; segment profit grew by 2% to $124.4 million [7] - Sweet Baked Snacks segment sales were $256.1 million, down 19% year-over-year, with segment profit plummeting 69% to $21.8 million [8] - International and Away From Home segment net sales increased by 9% to $350.8 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $345 million [9] Guidance and Outlook - For fiscal 2026, SJM anticipates net sales growth of 3.5-4.5%, revised from the previous 3-5% estimate, including a $134.7 million impact from divestitures [14] - Comparable net sales are expected to increase by approximately 5-6%, down from the earlier 4.5-6.5% range, reflecting higher net price realization but offset by volume/mix declines [15] - Adjusted EPS for fiscal 2026 is now projected to be in the range of $8.75-$9.25, compared to the previous estimate of $8.50-$9.50 [16]

Core Insights - Smucker (SJM) reported revenue of $2.33 billion for the quarter ended October 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 2.6% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.32 billion by 0.34% [1] - The company's EPS for the same period was $2.10, down from $2.76 a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of -0.94% compared to the consensus estimate of $2.12 [1] Revenue Performance - U.S. Retail Coffee net sales reached $848.9 million, surpassing the average estimate of $811.56 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 20.6% [4] - U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads net sales were $461.1 million, below the average estimate of $495.48 million [4] - U.S. Retail Pet Foods net sales totaled $413.2 million, slightly below the average estimate of $421.08 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 7.2% [4] - International and Away From Home net sales were $350.8 million, exceeding the average estimate of $345 million, with a year-over-year increase of 9.3% [4] - Sweet Baked Snacks net sales were $256.1 million, above the average estimate of $247.79 million, but showed a significant year-over-year decline of 18.8% [4] Segment Profit Analysis - Segment profit for Sweet Baked Snacks was $21.8 million, below the average estimate of $35.32 million [4] - Segment profit for U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads was $102.1 million, compared to the average estimate of $114.33 million [4] - Segment profit for U.S. Retail Pet Foods was $124.4 million, exceeding the average estimate of $112.5 million [4] - Segment profit for International and Away From Home was $76.4 million, surpassing the average estimate of $71.31 million [4] - Segment profit for U.S. Retail Coffee was $154.3 million, slightly above the average estimate of $150.56 million [4] Stock Performance - Smucker's shares have returned -0.5% over the past month, compared to a -1.2% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a sequential acceleration in comparable net sales growth, with a projected top line growth of 4% on a reported basis and about 5.5% comparable growth year over year [40][68] - The second quarter segment profit margin in coffee was 18.2%, with expectations for slight improvement in the third quarter but not surpassing 20% [37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales in the sweet baked snacks segment exceeded expectations, with improved performance noted in convenience stores and a focus on a streamlined portfolio [7][20] - The sweet baked snacks bottom line did not meet expectations due to costs absorbed during the transition of the bakery network, but improvements are anticipated in the third and fourth quarters [20][21] - The pet portfolio is expected to see low single-digit growth in the third and fourth quarters, driven by the Milk-Bone and Meow Mix brands [25][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a $75 million impact from coffee tariffs in the third quarter, which will be a headwind for fiscal 2026 but a tailwind for fiscal 2027 [10][16] - The spreads portfolio, particularly peanut butter, faced challenges in the second quarter, contributing to a reduced net sales expectation for frozen handhelds and spreads [27][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to investing in long-term brand health, with marketing dollars projected to increase year-over-year, maintaining about 5.5% of net sales [18] - A three-pronged plan to strengthen the portfolio by eliminating 25% of SKUs has shown positive results, particularly for core brands [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to deliver financial outlooks for the fiscal year while advancing long-term objectives to increase shareholder value [70] - The company expects to see acceleration in growth across various segments, with a focus on innovation and marketing support [41][48] Other Important Information - The company is on track to achieve $975 million in free cash flow this fiscal year, supporting $500 million in debt repayment [62] - The pace of innovation has accelerated across various product lines, with notable advancements in Uncrustables and pet snacks [61] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on sweet baked goods performance - Management noted that the improvement in sweet baked snacks is sustainable, with a focus on core brands and a successful relaunch of Susie Q's [7] Question: Impact of tariffs on coffee pricing - The majority of the $0.50 tariff impact is related to green coffee tariffs, which will be a tailwind for fiscal 2027 [10] Question: SG&A guidance and marketing plans - Marketing investments will increase year-over-year, with a focus on growth brands while managing discretionary spending [18] Question: Profit results in sweet baked snacks - The second quarter's profit results did not meet expectations due to transitional costs, but improvements are expected in subsequent quarters [20] Question: Expectations for pet treats - Management anticipates strong growth for Milk-Bone in the third quarter, supported by marketing campaigns and innovation [24] Question: Reduced net sales expectation for frozen handhelds - The reduction is primarily driven by the spreads portfolio, with Uncrustables still on track for significant growth [27][30] Question: Coffee margin expectations - Coffee margins are expected to improve slightly in the third quarter but will not exceed 20% [37] Question: Tariff impact confirmation - The $75 million tariff expense is confirmed to be entirely due to coffee tariffs [58]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a sequential acceleration in comparable net sales growth, with a projected top line growth of 4% on a reported basis and about 5.5% comparable growth year over year [40][68] - The second quarter segment profit margin in coffee was 18.2%, with expectations for slight improvement in the third quarter but not surpassing 20% [37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales in the sweet baked snacks segment exceeded expectations, with improved performance noted in convenience stores and a focus on a more streamlined portfolio [7][20] - The sweet baked snacks bottom line did not meet expectations due to costs absorbed during the transition of the bakery network, but improvements are anticipated in the third and fourth quarters [20][21] - The pet portfolio is expected to see low single-digit growth in the third and fourth quarters, driven by brands like Milk-Bone and Meow Mix [25][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a strong lap in the third quarter for the pet treats category, particularly for Milk-Bone, which is expected to return to growth [22] - The frozen handheld and spreads segment is projected to see a reduction in net sales expectations by over $80 million for the full year, primarily driven by the spreads portfolio [27][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to investing in the long-term health of its brands, with marketing dollars projected to increase year-over-year, maintaining about 5.5% of net sales [18] - A three-pronged plan to strengthen the portfolio by eliminating 25% of SKUs has been implemented, leading to improved performance in core brands [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to deliver financial outlook for the fiscal year while advancing long-term objectives to increase shareholder value [70] - The company expects to benefit from a tariff-off environment in fiscal 2027, which should provide a tailwind to the coffee portfolio [42][43] Other Important Information - The company is on track to generate $975 million in free cash flow this fiscal year, supporting $500 million in debt repayment [62] - The pace of innovation across various product lines has accelerated, with notable advancements in Uncrustables and pet snacks [61] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on sweet baked goods performance - Management noted that the improvement in sweet baked snacks is sustainable, with a focus on core brands and a successful relaunch of Susie Q's [7] Question: Impact of tariffs on coffee pricing - The majority of the $0.50 tariff impact is related to green coffee tariffs, which will be a tailwind in fiscal 2027 [10][16] Question: SG&A guidance and marketing plans - Marketing investments will increase year-over-year, with a focus on growth brands while managing discretionary spending [18] Question: Profit results in sweet baked snacks - The second quarter's bottom line for sweet baked snacks did not meet expectations due to transition costs, but improvements are expected in subsequent quarters [20] Question: Expectations for pet treats in the back half - Management anticipates strong growth for Milk-Bone in the third quarter, supported by marketing efforts and innovation [22][24] Question: Reduced net sales expectation for frozen handheld and spreads - The reduction is primarily driven by the spreads portfolio, with Uncrustables still on track for significant growth [27][28] Question: Coffee margin expectations - Coffee margins are expected to improve slightly in the third quarter but will not exceed 20%, with a target of over 20% in the fourth quarter [37] Question: Elasticity and pricing in coffee - The current outlook for the coffee portfolio includes 16% year-over-year growth, with pricing offset by a decline in volume mix [45] Question: Innovation pace and its impact - The pace of innovation has accelerated, with significant contributions from new products across various categories [61]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a second quarter segment profit margin in coffee of 18.2% with expectations for slight improvement in the third quarter but not surpassing 20% [41] - The company anticipates a net $0.50 impact from tariffs in fiscal year 2026, which will transition to a tailwind in fiscal year 2027 [11][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales in the Sweet Baked Snacks segment exceeded expectations, with a focus on core brands leading to improved performance [6][7] - The Sweet Baked Snacks bottom line did not meet expectations due to costs associated with the transition of the bakery network [21] - The pet portfolio is expected to see low single-digit growth in the third and fourth quarters, driven by brands like Milk Bone and Meow Mix [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is seeing strong growth in the away-from-home segment, contributing to overall sales momentum [45] - The Uncrustables brand is projected to reach $1 billion in sales by the end of the fiscal year, with low double-digit growth anticipated in the second half [54] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to investing in long-term brand health, with marketing dollars projected to be up year over year [19] - A three-pronged plan to strengthen the portfolio by eliminating 25% of SKUs has been implemented, leading to improved performance in core brands [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to deliver financial outlook for the fiscal year while advancing long-term objectives to increase shareholder value [75] - The company expects to see benefits from tariff relief in fiscal year 2027, contributing positively to the bottom line [48] Other Important Information - The company is focused on innovation across various segments, with notable advancements in Uncrustables and pet snacks [65] - The company aims to reduce net debt to EBITDA from around four times to three times by fiscal year 2027 [67] Q&A Session Summary Question: How sustainable is the improvement in Sweet Baked Snacks? - Management noted that the improvement is sustainable due to a focused portfolio and strong brand performance [6][8] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on coffee pricing? - The majority of the $0.50 tariff impact is related to green coffee, which will be a tailwind in fiscal year 2027 [11][17] Question: What are the expectations for marketing plans and SG&A? - Marketing investments will increase year over year, while SG&A spend has been sharpened across the network [19] Question: What is the outlook for the pet treats category? - Management expects a strong lap in the third quarter, with Milk Bone anticipated to return to growth [23][24] Question: How is the company addressing pricing in the current environment? - The company is committed to holding prices and providing value across its broad portfolio [71] Question: What is the expected growth for Uncrustables? - Uncrustables is expected to achieve low double-digit growth in the second half, supporting its path to $1 billion in sales [54] Question: How is the company managing innovation? - The pace of innovation has accelerated, with significant developments in various product lines [65] Question: What is the company's strategy for debt reduction? - The company plans to generate $975 million in free cash flow this fiscal year to support debt paydown [67]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a sequential acceleration in comparable net sales growth, with a projected top line growth of 4% on a reported basis and approximately 5.5% on a comparable basis year-over-year [38][64] - The coffee segment demonstrated an 18.2% profit margin in Q2, with expectations for slight improvement in Q3 but not surpassing 20% [34][41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales in the sweet baked snacks segment exceeded expectations, with improved performance noted in convenience stores and a focus on a streamlined portfolio [5][18] - The pet treats category is expected to see low single-digit growth in the third and fourth quarters, driven by the Milk-Bone and Meow Mix brands [22][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a $75 million impact from coffee tariffs in Q3, which will be absorbed in the current fiscal year but expected to provide a tailwind in FY 2027 [14][39] - The spreads portfolio, particularly peanut butter, faced challenges in Q2, contributing to a reduction in net sales expectations for frozen handhelds and spreads [24][25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to investing in long-term brand health, with marketing spending projected to be about 5.5% of net sales [16] - A three-pronged plan focusing on portfolio strengthening through SKU rationalization has been implemented, with a notable relaunch of the Susie Q's brand [5][6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to deliver financial outlooks for the fiscal year while advancing long-term objectives to increase shareholder value [64] - The company noted that the current fiscal year has been impacted by tariff-related costs, but a stabilizing commodity environment is expected to benefit future earnings [39][62] Other Important Information - The company is on track to achieve a billion-dollar brand status for Uncrustables by the end of the fiscal year, with continued innovation and marketing support [27][44] - The closure of the Indianapolis facility is expected to yield a $30 million annual run rate impact, with $10 million benefiting the fourth quarter [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: How sustainable is the improvement in sweet baked goods? - Management noted that the improvement is supported by a focused portfolio strategy and the relaunch of key brands, indicating a sustainable trend [5][6] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on coffee pricing? - The majority of the $0.50 tariff impact is related to green coffee, which is expected to be a tailwind in FY 2027 [9][14] Question: What are the expectations for marketing plans and SG&A? - Marketing spending will increase year-over-year, with a focus on growth brands while managing discretionary spending [16] Question: How is the company addressing competition in the pet treats category? - Management highlighted ongoing marketing efforts and innovation as key strategies to regain market share in the pet treats segment [20][21] Question: What is the outlook for Uncrustables and the frozen handheld segment? - Uncrustables is expected to achieve low double-digit growth in the second half of the year, supported by innovation and marketing [44][27] Question: How does the company view pricing strategies in the current environment? - The company maintains a broad portfolio that allows for varying degrees of value, with a commitment to holding prices where possible [60] Question: What is the long-term outlook for debt reduction? - The company aims to generate $975 million in free cash flow this fiscal year, supporting a $500 million debt repayment [56]