Core Insights - The J. M. Smucker Company is a well-established player in the food and beverage industry, known for brands like Meow Mix, Folgers, Jif, and Smucker's, operating in various segments including U.S. Retail Pet Foods, U.S. Retail Coffee, and U.S. Retail Consumer Foods [1] - The consensus price target for SJM has shown a modest upward trend, increasing from approximately $117.83 last year to $120 last month, indicating growing confidence among analysts in SJM's market position and future performance [2][6] - Despite the positive trend in price targets, SJM is expected to report a decline in its second-quarter earnings, which may influence investor sentiment and market performance in the short term [3][6] - Citigroup analyst Wendy Nicholson has set a price target of $131 for SJM, reflecting optimism about the company's potential to overcome current challenges and capitalize on its strong brand portfolio [4][6] - The upcoming earnings report for SJM will be crucial in determining its stock performance and aligning with analyst expectations, as US stock futures are experiencing a downturn [5]

Operator Good morning and welcome to the J. M. Smucker Company's Fiscal 2026 Second Quarter Earnings Question and Answer session. This conference call is being recorded, and all participants are in a listen-only mode. Please limit yourselves to two questions and re-queue a few additional questions. I will now turn the call over to Crystal Beiting, Vice President, Investor Relations and Financial Planning and Analysis. Thank you. You may begin. Crystal Beiting Good morning, and thank you for joining our Fisc ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a second quarter segment profit margin in coffee of 18.2% with expectations for slight improvement in the third quarter but not surpassing 20% [41] - The company anticipates a net $0.50 impact from tariffs in fiscal year 2026, which will transition to a tailwind in fiscal year 2027 [11][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales in the Sweet Baked Snacks segment exceeded expectations, with a focus on core brands leading to improved performance [6][7] - The Sweet Baked Snacks bottom line did not meet expectations due to costs associated with the transition of the bakery network [21] - The pet portfolio is expected to see low single-digit growth in the third and fourth quarters, driven by brands like Milk Bone and Meow Mix [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is seeing strong growth in the away-from-home segment, contributing to overall sales momentum [45] - The Uncrustables brand is projected to reach $1 billion in sales by the end of the fiscal year, with low double-digit growth anticipated in the second half [54] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to investing in long-term brand health, with marketing dollars projected to be up year over year [19] - A three-pronged plan to strengthen the portfolio by eliminating 25% of SKUs has been implemented, leading to improved performance in core brands [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to deliver financial outlook for the fiscal year while advancing long-term objectives to increase shareholder value [75] - The company expects to see benefits from tariff relief in fiscal year 2027, contributing positively to the bottom line [48] Other Important Information - The company is focused on innovation across various segments, with notable advancements in Uncrustables and pet snacks [65] - The company aims to reduce net debt to EBITDA from around four times to three times by fiscal year 2027 [67] Q&A Session Summary Question: How sustainable is the improvement in Sweet Baked Snacks? - Management noted that the improvement is sustainable due to a focused portfolio and strong brand performance [6][8] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on coffee pricing? - The majority of the $0.50 tariff impact is related to green coffee, which will be a tailwind in fiscal year 2027 [11][17] Question: What are the expectations for marketing plans and SG&A? - Marketing investments will increase year over year, while SG&A spend has been sharpened across the network [19] Question: What is the outlook for the pet treats category? - Management expects a strong lap in the third quarter, with Milk Bone anticipated to return to growth [23][24] Question: How is the company addressing pricing in the current environment? - The company is committed to holding prices and providing value across its broad portfolio [71] Question: What is the expected growth for Uncrustables? - Uncrustables is expected to achieve low double-digit growth in the second half, supporting its path to $1 billion in sales [54] Question: How is the company managing innovation? - The pace of innovation has accelerated, with significant developments in various product lines [65] Question: What is the company's strategy for debt reduction? - The company plans to generate $975 million in free cash flow this fiscal year to support debt paydown [67]

Market Overview - The stock market experienced a strong finish in 2024, driven by optimism around potential tax cuts and a robust M&A environment, but sentiment shifted in early 2025 due to concerns over tariffs, AI spending, and consumer health [2][3] - A remarkable recovery occurred in the second quarter of 2025, with U.S. equities approaching all-time highs, primarily led by large-cap technology and growth stocks, especially those related to AI and semiconductors [3] Fund Performance - Ariel Focus Fund gained +4.75% for the three-month period ending June 30, 2025, outperforming its primary Russell 1000 Value Index, which rose +3.79%, but lagged behind the S&P 500, which jumped +10.94% [4] - Key contributors to the fund's performance included Oracle Corporation, Mosaic Company, and Resideo Technologies, while J.M. Smucker Company, APA Corporation, and Core Laboratories were the largest detractors [4][10][12] Company Insights - Oracle Corporation's shares reached an all-time high of over $245, driven by a potential $30 billion annual cloud contract with OpenAI and a doubling of its backlog, highlighting its strong long-term positioning in AI-driven enterprise software [6] - Mosaic Corporation's stock rose +35.88% due to favorable trade dynamics and a renewed focus on cost discipline, benefiting from increased demand for fertilizers driven by economic growth in developing countries [7][8] - Resideo Technologies rebounded with a +24.63% gain, supported by its leadership in smart home technology, despite challenges from a sluggish U.S. housing market [9] Challenges Faced - J.M. Smucker Company faced a -16.28% decline, primarily due to disappointing results from Hostess Brands, which saw a -14% drop in comparable revenue [10] - APA Corporation and Core Laboratories experienced declines of -11.62% and -23.09%, respectively, amid concerns about the energy sector's future despite ongoing demand for oil and gas [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The J.M. Smucker Co. has filed a federal lawsuit against Trader Joe's, alleging that the latter has copied its Uncrustables frozen sandwiches, claiming that the similarities in design and packaging infringe on Smucker's intellectual property rights [1][2]. Group 1: Lawsuit Details - Smucker's lawsuit was filed in Ohio federal court, asserting that Trader Joe's round, crustless sandwiches with crimped edges closely imitate Uncrustables [1]. - The company does not object to other brands selling similar products but insists that Trader Joe's cannot use Smucker's intellectual property for such sales [2]. - Smucker claims that Trader Joe's packaging design violates its trademarks, specifically citing the use of similar blue lettering and imagery [5]. Group 2: Customer Confusion - The lawsuit argues that the similarities between the products have already led to customer confusion, referencing a social media post where a user mistakenly believed Trader Joe's sandwiches were produced by Smucker [7]. Group 3: Legal Demands - Smucker is seeking restitution and a court order for Trader Joe's to destroy the infringing sandwich products and their packaging [8].

Core Insights - The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) is a leading American manufacturer of branded food and beverage products with a market cap of $11.5 billion, operating through four primary segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, and Sweet Baked Snacks [1][2] Company Performance - SJM has been trading 13.9% below its 52-week high of $125.42, reached on November 26 of the previous year, and has surged 11% over the last three months, underperforming the Nasdaq Composite's 15% rise during the same period [3] - Year-to-date, SJM has declined 1.9%, while the Nasdaq Composite has risen by 16.9%. Over the past year, SJM has seen a decline of 9.2%, trailing the Nasdaq's 25.6% rise [4] Financial Results - In the fiscal 2026 first-quarter earnings released on August 27, SJM reported net sales of $2.11 billion, a slight decrease from the same quarter last year. The adjusted EPS was $1.90, down 22% year-over-year due to higher commodity costs, unfavorable volume/mix, and derivative losses [5] - Both the top line and bottom line did not meet market expectations, with cash flow weakening significantly. Operating activities resulted in a $10.6 million outflow compared to a $172.9 million inflow in the prior year, and free cash flow was negative at $94.9 million, a notable decline from the $49.2 million generated in the same quarter last year [5]

Company Overview - The J. M. Smucker Company (NYSE: SJM) is known for its iconic American food brands, including Jif, Folgers, Smucker's, and Uncrustables [1] - The company is expanding its growth potential through recent acquisitions, notably Hostess Brands, which is recognized for its snack products [1] Analyst Background - The analyst has over 10 years of experience researching companies across various sectors, including commodities and technology [1] - The analyst has researched more than 1000 companies and has transitioned from writing a blog to creating a value investing-focused YouTube channel [1] - The analyst expresses a particular interest in metals and mining stocks, while also being comfortable with consumer discretionary/staples, REITs, and utilities [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance for fiscal year 2026 at the midpoint of $9, which reflects a decline year-over-year when excluding impacts from coffee inflation and tariffs [10][32] - The adjusted EPS was impacted by $0.80 from green coffee inflation and $0.25 from tariffs, indicating a cautious outlook for the upcoming fiscal year [10][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Sweet Baked Snacks segment is expected to see a decline in segment profit on a comparable basis, contributing an additional $0.20 impact to the adjusted EPS [11] - The company is focusing on core brands like Donuts and Cupcakes for growth, emphasizing the need for innovation and marketing investments in these areas [20][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The coffee segment is experiencing a net pricing increase of around 20% for fiscal year 2026, with a negative volume impact of approximately 10% due to price elasticity of demand [14][37] - The away-from-home coffee business is expected to see high single-digit pricing increases, indicating a strong focus on recovering costs in this segment [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to investing in key growth platforms, particularly around brands like Cafe Bustelo and Uncrustables, to support long-term growth [10][102] - A strategic focus on optimizing the portfolio and enhancing brand building efforts is emphasized, particularly in the Sweet Baked Snacks and coffee segments [22][102] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the importance of ongoing marketing investments to support growth platforms and indicated a cautious approach to guidance due to external factors impacting profitability [11][62] - The company remains optimistic about stabilizing the Hostess brand and believes that focusing on core products will drive future growth [25][80] Other Important Information - The company reported free cash flow of $817 million for fiscal year 2025, which was below expectations due to higher inventory balances and green coffee inflation [99] - Fiscal year 2026 free cash flow guidance is set at $875 million, with expectations of improved management of working capital and lower capital expenditures [99] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of higher green coffee costs on EPS growth - Management confirmed that higher green coffee costs and tariffs have significantly impacted the EPS outlook, leading to a more subdued forecast for fiscal year 2026 [10][32] Question: Details on SKU and display rationalizations for Hostess - Management indicated a focus on core brands like Donuts and Cupcakes, emphasizing the need for clarity and optimization in the product portfolio [20][22] Question: Pricing strategy for the coffee segment - The company is implementing pricing across the entire coffee portfolio, with a significant focus on recovering costs associated with green coffee inflation and tariffs [37] Question: Long-term growth outlook for Hostess - The long-term growth rate for the Sweet Baked Snacks portfolio has been revised from 4% to 3%, reflecting a more cautious outlook based on category performance [32] Question: Free cash flow guidance and debt management - Management outlined that the anticipated free cash flow for fiscal year 2026 will be used for debt paydown and dividend payments, with a combination of generated cash and excess cash from the balance sheet [99]