Financial Data and Key Metrics - The company issued its earnings release at approximately 7 a m Eastern Time, with the release and accompanying presentation available on the Investor section of the company's website [3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics - No specific data or metrics related to individual business lines were provided in the content Market Data and Key Metrics - No specific data or metrics related to individual markets were provided in the content Company Strategy and Industry Competition - No specific information on company strategy or industry competition was provided in the content Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management will make forward-looking statements during the call, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially [4] Other Important Information - The call is being webcast, and an archive of today's remarks will be available on the company's website [3] Q&A Session Summary - No specific questions or answers from the Q&A session were provided in the content

Financial Performance - Net sales increased by 10.6% to $341.3 million, driven by the OWYN acquisition[10, 26] - Gross margin was 38.2%, exceeding estimates[10] - Adjusted EBITDA grew by 13.1%[10] - Net income was $38.1 million, compared to $35.6 million in the previous year[10] Brand Performance - Total Simply Good Foods Q1 retail takeaway increased approximately 8%[9] - Quest Q1 retail takeaway increased 10%, with Snacks and Bars increasing about 19% and 1% respectively[11] - Atkins Q1 retail takeaway declined 4%, an improvement from the previous quarter's 5% decline[14] - OWYN's retail takeaway increased by 67%, with measured channels growing by 39% and unmeasured channels by 81%[17] Outlook and Strategy - The company reaffirms its fiscal year 2025 outlook, expecting net sales growth in the 4-6% range and Adjusted EBITDA growth slightly greater than the net sales increase[10] - The company anticipates fiscal year 2025 combined interest income and GAAP interest expense of approximately $23-25 million[32] - The company expects higher ingredient and packaging costs to pressure gross margin in fiscal year 2025[35]

Company Performance - Simply Good Foods reported quarterly earnings of $0.49 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.46 per share, and up from $0.43 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 6.52% [1] - The company posted revenues of $341.27 million for the quarter ended November 2024, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.95%, compared to $308.68 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Simply Good Foods has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times but has topped consensus revenue estimates only once [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Simply Good Foods shares have declined approximately 5.7% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 0.5% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is mixed, with current consensus EPS estimates at $0.41 for the coming quarter and $1.90 for the current fiscal year, with revenues expected to be $353.07 million and $1.46 billion respectively [7] Industry Context - The Food - Confectionery industry, to which Simply Good Foods belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 4% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Simply Good Foods' stock performance [5]

The Simply Good Foods Company Reports Fiscal First Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Reaffirms Fiscal Year 2025 Outlook Denver, CO, January 8, 2025, - The Simply Good Foods Company (Nasdaq: SMPL) ("Simply Good Foods," or the "Company"), a developer, marketer and seller of branded nutritional foods and snacking products, today reported financial results for the thirteen weeks ended November 30, 2024. The acquisition of Only What You Need, Inc. ("OWYN") was completed on June 13, 2024. Therefore, the Company' ...

Core Insights - The Simply Good Foods Company reported a net sales increase of 10.6% to $341.3 million for the first quarter ended November 30, 2024, primarily driven by the acquisition of OWYN [3][7] - The company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2025 outlook, expecting net sales growth of 8.5% to 10.5% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 4% to 6% [14][15] Financial Performance - Net income for the first quarter was $38.1 million, up from $35.6 million in the same period last year [6][7] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 13.1% to $70.1 million compared to $62.0 million in the prior year [10][7] - Gross profit rose to $130.5 million, reflecting a gross margin of 38.2%, a 90 basis points increase year-over-year [5][7] Sales and Market Trends - Retail takeaway for Simply Good Foods increased by approximately 8%, with Quest and OWYN brands showing growth rates of about 10% and 67%, respectively [4][2] - Legacy Simply Good Foods' net sales remained stable compared to the previous year, impacted by shipment timing [3] Operating Expenses - Operating expenses totaled $75.9 million, an increase of $12.6 million from the previous year, largely due to the inclusion of OWYN and higher employee-related costs [8][7] - Selling and marketing expenses rose to $33.0 million, while general and administrative expenses increased to $38.1 million [8] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of November 30, 2024, the company had cash of $121.8 million and a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 0.8x [12][13] - Cash flow from operations was approximately $32.0 million, down from $47.5 million in the prior year, primarily due to higher working capital needs related to the OWYN acquisition [12] Outlook - The company anticipates continued organic sales growth driven by volume and has strong marketing plans in place for the upcoming year [14] - Input cost inflation is expected, but the company aims to offset these costs through productivity and cost-saving initiatives [14]

Core Insights - Simply Good Foods (SMPL) is positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, having consistently surpassed earnings estimates in recent quarters [1][2] - The company reported earnings of $0.50 per share for the most recent quarter, exceeding the expected $0.48 per share, resulting in a surprise of 4.17% [2] - Analysts have become increasingly optimistic about Simply Good Foods' earnings prospects, as indicated by a positive Earnings ESP of +5.50% [6] Earnings Performance - The average surprise for Simply Good Foods over the last two quarters was 4.17%, with both quarters reporting earnings of $0.50 per share against an estimate of $0.48 [2][3] - The company's positive earnings surprise history has led to higher earnings estimates from analysts [3] Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank - Simply Good Foods has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), which, when combined with a positive Earnings ESP, suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat [6] - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [4] Future Outlook - The next earnings report for Simply Good Foods is expected to be released on January 9, 2025 [6] - The Earnings ESP metric is crucial for predicting earnings performance, as it compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate [5][7]

Group 1 - The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) has recently experienced a "golden cross" event, indicating a potential bullish breakout as its 50-day simple moving average has crossed above its 200-day simple moving average [1] - A successful golden cross event consists of three stages: the stock price bottoms out, the shorter moving average crosses above the longer moving average, and the stock maintains upward momentum [1] - SMPL has moved 17.7% higher over the last four weeks, suggesting it may be on the verge of a breakout [1] Group 2 - The earnings outlook for SMPL is positive, with one upward revision in earnings estimates over the past 60 days and no downward revisions [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMPL has also increased, reinforcing the bullish case for the stock [2] - Given the positive technical factors and earnings estimate movements, investors may want to monitor SMPL for potential gains in the near future [2]

Financial Performance - The Simply Good Foods Company reported a significant increase in net sales, driven by strong performance across its brands, with a year-over-year growth of 15%[21]. - In fiscal year 2024, sales to Walmart Inc. represented approximately 31% of consolidated sales, while sales to Amazon accounted for approximately 18%[50]. - International net sales represented approximately 2.5% of total net sales for the fifty-three weeks ended August 31, 2024[68]. - OWYN products accounted for approximately 2.5% of total net sales for the fifty-three weeks ended August 31, 2024[68]. Growth Strategy - The OWYN brand, acquired in June 2024, is expected to contribute to the company's growth strategy, with anticipated synergies projected to enhance overall profitability[9]. - The acquisition of Quest Nutrition in November 2019 and OWYN in June 2024 is part of the company's strategy to strengthen its market position in the nutritional snacking category[24]. - The company is actively seeking acquisition opportunities to complement its existing portfolio and expand into adjacent snacking categories[57]. - The company aims to leverage its platform to expand in the fragmented nutritional snacking category, identifying significant growth opportunities through disciplined acquisitions[34]. Product Innovation - The company aims to innovate and expand its product portfolio to meet consumer demand for higher protein products and new product forms[33]. - Simply Good Foods plans to innovate and expand its product offerings, focusing on higher protein products and new flavors to meet changing consumer preferences[33]. - The company maintains in-house research and development capabilities, allowing for rapid product innovation and market introduction[55]. - The company is committed to ongoing product innovation, focusing on enhancing existing products and expanding into adjacent snacking categories[52]. Market Trends - The company emphasizes the rising trend of snacking occasions, with consumers increasingly seeking convenient and healthy options, which aligns with its product offerings[22]. - Consumer trends indicate a growing preference for protein-rich snacks, which the company aims to capitalize on through innovative product development[22]. - The nutritional snacking category is expected to grow due to rising consumer demand for convenient, healthy snacks, with trends favoring smaller, more frequent meals[22]. - The company’s brands are well-aligned with consumer mega trends, including a shift towards low-carb and low-sugar diets[27]. Distribution and Marketing - The company aims to expand its distribution channels, focusing on major retail outlets and e-commerce platforms to reach a broader customer base[23]. - Approximately 77% of Quest's gross sales and 83% of Atkins' gross sales in the U.S. were through mass retail, grocery, and convenience store channels for the fifty-three weeks ended August 31, 2024[35]. - E-commerce sales accounted for approximately 22% of Quest's gross sales and 17% of Atkins' gross sales for the same period, indicating a growing online presence[35]. - The company plans to enhance its marketing efforts to attract first-time buyers and expand household penetration beyond its core historic buyers[36]. Operational Challenges - The company faces risks related to supply chain constraints and inflationary pressures, which could impact its operational performance and margins[13]. - The company actively manages the cost of packaging supplies and sources ingredients through competitive bidding[62]. - The company relies on contract manufacturers for production, allowing for a flexible and asset-light business model[61]. Corporate Social Responsibility - The company completed a pay equity audit every fiscal year to evaluate pay practices[88]. - In 2023, the company provided four separate $20,000 grants through the Quest for Impact program[100]. - The company secured at least 500,000 meals for Feeding America through its participation in Walmart's campaign[101]. - Over 110 employees volunteered for Community Impact Day, focusing on nutrition security[102]. Employee Engagement and Diversity - As of August 31, 2024, the company employed 316 employees globally, with approximately 95% based in the United States[83]. - During fiscal year 2024, 99% of employees held career discussions with their managers for development and career progression[86]. - The company has established a Diversity, Equity, Inclusion and Belonging Council to oversee DEI&B initiatives and ensure a positive workplace culture[87]. - The overall representation of Black or African American employees is 8% among total employees, with 1 in the executive/senior officials and managers category[92]. Business Model - The company maintains an asset-light business model, focusing on innovation and marketing while generating consistent free cash flow driven by strong gross margins[31]. - The company emphasizes its asset-light business model, which allows for significant flexibility and robust free cash flow generation over time[31]. - The company holds an ISO 22000 certification for its U.S. operations, excluding OWYN, first obtained during fiscal year 2022[69]. Community Impact - The Spark and Spoon project will impact over 28,000 kids and teens across Denver, providing nutrition education and healthy lifestyle programs[103]. - The company advocates for more inclusive Dietary Guidelines to address health equity for underserved populations[91].

Core Insights - Quest has launched a new campaign titled "Sweet on Protein," which introduces its Bake Shop line of protein-rich baked goods, aimed at satisfying sweet cravings without compromising flavor [2][3][4]. Campaign Overview - The "Sweet on Protein" campaign is an extension of the previous "It's Basically Cheating" initiative and will be promoted across various platforms, including film, digital, social media, and out-of-home advertising [2][3]. - The campaign features new products such as protein-rich Blueberry Muffins, Chocolate Chip Muffins, and Chocolate Brownies, emphasizing nostalgic indulgence while maintaining a focus on protein content [3][4]. Strategic Partnerships - This campaign marks the first major initiative under Simply Good Foods' partnership with Publicis Groupe's SG1, which will handle creative development, media planning, public relations, and digital strategies for Quest and Atkins brands [4][5]. Product Availability - The Quest Bake Shop line is available nationally at major retailers, including Amazon, Walmart, Target, and Kroger, indicating a strong distribution strategy [5]. Company Background - Simply Good Foods Company, headquartered in Denver, Colorado, focuses on nutritious snacking and aims to lead the healthy lifestyle movement through innovation and investment opportunities in the snacking sector [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the investment philosophy focused on identifying mispriced securities through understanding the financial drivers of small cap companies, utilizing DCF model valuation to assess risk-to-reward dynamics [1]. Group 1 - The investment strategy is centered on small cap companies across US, Canadian, and European markets [1]. - The methodology allows for flexibility beyond traditional investment styles, incorporating value, dividend, and growth investing perspectives [1]. - The approach aims to uncover potential investment opportunities by analyzing a company's financials comprehensively [1].