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生物医药行业:“全链条支持创新”,中国促进生物医药产业发展新政及其影响
Deloitte· 2025-02-23 09:29
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the Chinese biopharmaceutical industry, driven by government support and innovation initiatives [4][35][69]. Core Insights - The Chinese biopharmaceutical industry has experienced rapid growth over the past decade, but faced challenges in recent years due to economic slowdowns and external pressures. However, a recovery is anticipated in 2024, supported by new government policies [4][8][69]. - The "full-chain support for innovation" policy introduced by the Chinese government aims to provide comprehensive support for the entire value chain of the biopharmaceutical industry, enhancing the innovation environment and encouraging investment [4][35][70]. - The report highlights the increasing R&D capabilities of domestic companies, with a significant rise in the number of drug candidates and clinical trial approvals, indicating a robust pipeline for future growth [19][25][34][69]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The overall scale of the biopharmaceutical industry in China has shown rapid growth until 2021, followed by a downturn starting in 2022, but signs of recovery are evident in 2024 [8][9]. - The financing landscape for the life sciences and health care sector has faced challenges, with a significant decline in both the number and scale of financing projects since 2022 [13][14]. 2. Government Policies - The "full-chain support for innovation" policy framework was launched in 2024, focusing on funding support, talent development, and streamlining regulatory processes to enhance the industry's growth [38][42]. - Local governments have also introduced specific measures to align with the central government's strategy, providing targeted support for innovation in biopharmaceuticals [40][41]. 3. R&D and Innovation - The report notes a substantial increase in the number of drug candidates in development, positioning China as the second-largest market for innovative drug R&D globally [20][21]. - The approval rates for new drug applications (INDs and NDAs) have significantly increased, laying a solid foundation for market expansion [25][26]. 4. Corporate Strategies - Multinational companies are adapting their strategies to leverage government support, focusing on local R&D collaborations and optimizing their product portfolios to compete effectively in the Chinese market [54][59]. - Domestic biopharmaceutical companies are actively seeking to expand their international presence through cross-border licensing agreements and local government support [60][61]. 5. Future Outlook - The report concludes that despite current pressures, the biopharmaceutical industry in China is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by government initiatives and the increasing innovation capabilities of local companies [69][70].
2025科技、传媒和电信行业预测
Deloitte· 2025-02-21 08:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the TMT industry Core Insights - The TMT industry is expected to experience a significant leap by 2025, largely driven by the rapid adoption of generative AI, highlighting the urgent need to bridge key gaps to unlock current potential [2][4] - Key gaps identified include balancing generative AI infrastructure investment with commercialization, addressing gender disparities in AI usage, managing energy consumption in AI data centers, and tackling public trust issues regarding deepfake content [2][4] Summary by Sections Key Gaps for 2025 - Generative AI data centers face a power and sustainability gap, with projected power demand increasing sharply while seeking low-carbon energy solutions [4] - Gender disparity in generative AI usage persists, with women less likely to use AI tools compared to men, although this gap is expected to close in certain markets by 2025 [4][6] - Trust issues surrounding deepfake content generated by AI are leading to decreased consumer confidence, necessitating reliable detection and labeling of such content [4] - Film production companies are cautious about using generative AI for content creation due to intellectual property concerns, despite a desire to leverage AI for efficiency [4] New Developments - The report introduces new sections focusing on ten micro-predictions, reviewing previous themes and exploring emerging trends in the TMT sector [5] - The rise of autonomous generative AI agents is anticipated, with 25% of companies deploying pilot projects by 2025 [9] - The streaming video market is experiencing a shift as consumers bundle subscriptions, leading to a decrease in the number of individual services [7][15] - Cloud spending is projected to reach $825 billion by 2025, with the adoption of "FinOps" strategies expected to save companies approximately $21 billion [11] Emerging Trends - The report highlights the increasing importance of generative AI in cybersecurity, with professionals exploring its dual role in creating threats and developing solutions [24] - Chiplet technology is expected to drive significant growth in advanced packaging revenue, projected to increase from $7 billion in 2021 to $16 billion by 2025 [25] - The telecommunications sector is modernizing its business and operational support systems, with the global market expected to reach $70 billion by 2025 [26] Sustainability and Energy Consumption - AI data centers are projected to consume approximately 2% of global electricity by 2025, with significant growth anticipated by 2030 [33] - The demand for water in AI data centers is expected to rise dramatically, necessitating the exploration of liquid cooling technologies to reduce energy consumption [47][48]
2025全球汽车消费者研究报告(英)2025
Deloitte· 2025-02-17 10:15
2025 Global Automotive Consumer Study Key Findings: Global Focus Markets January 2025 2025 Global Automotive Consumer Study | Key Findings: Global Focus Markets 2025 Global Automotive Consumer Study | Key Findings: Global Focus Markets Dear reader, The global automotive industry is undergoing a tremendous amount of change at an unprecedented pace. At the center of this change sits a consumer with rapidly evolving expectations of the mobility experience. Brand loyalty is taking center stage as emerging manuf ...
2025年全球汽车消费者研究
Deloitte· 2025-02-06 07:50
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the automotive industry. Core Insights - The global automotive industry is undergoing significant transformation driven by evolving consumer expectations for mobility experiences and increasing brand loyalty, with emerging manufacturers posing a threat to traditional players [2][3]. - While the growth momentum for electric vehicle (EV) sales has slowed, the long-term demand for zero-emission transportation remains clear [2]. - The integration of software-defined vehicles is reshaping every aspect of the automotive value chain, prompting manufacturers to rethink vehicle design, manufacturing, sales, and driving [2]. - Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and connected vehicle functionalities are enhancing safety and engagement in mobility [2]. - Artificial intelligence is advancing the development of next-generation autonomous fleets, shifting consumer preferences from ownership to Mobility as a Service (MaaS) solutions [2]. Summary by Sections Vehicle Electrification - Interest in Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) remains stable in most markets, while interest in Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) and hybrid vehicles is increasing [12]. - Consumers are seeking solutions that reduce fuel costs and emissions without relying on charging infrastructure [12]. Future Vehicle Intentions - There is a rising trend of consumers planning to switch brands for their next vehicle purchase, indicating a need for stronger customer relationships, especially in developing markets like China [13]. - Concerns about the safety of autonomous vehicles persist, with over half of consumers in India, the UK, and the US expressing worries [14]. Connectivity - Many young consumers in markets like India and Southeast Asia show interest in MaaS over traditional vehicle ownership, with a significant portion driving daily [15]. Mobility as a Service (MaaS) - The report highlights a growing interest in MaaS solutions among younger demographics, particularly in regions with high vehicle usage [15]. Charging Infrastructure and Consumer Preferences - Most consumers prefer to charge their EVs at home, with a significant number planning to install home chargers [24][30]. - The majority of surveyed consumers prioritize fast charging times and accessibility when considering EV charging experiences [34]. Payment Preferences - Consumers across various markets prefer familiar payment methods, such as credit/debit cards, for public EV charging [38].
2025年银行业及资本市场展望2025
Deloitte· 2025-02-05 03:05
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the banking industry Core Insights - The banking industry faces significant challenges in adapting to a low-growth, low-interest-rate environment, with management under pressure due to economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions [5][8] - Non-interest income is expected to become a key growth driver as net interest income faces downward pressure due to rising deposit costs [5][14] - The implementation of AI-driven banking strategies is seen as a potential accelerator for technological modernization [67][70] Summary by Sections 2025 Macroeconomic Changes Impacting Global Banking - The US economy is projected to experience a soft landing with GDP growth of 1.5% in 2025, influenced by consumer spending and rising unemployment [5] - Inflation is expected to approach the 2% target, leading to potential interest rate cuts [5][6] Basel III "Final" Rule Proposals Impact - The new Basel III proposals aim to lower capital requirements, potentially strengthening the overall performance of the banking sector [35][36] - The proposals suggest a tiered regulatory approach based on bank size, impacting capital requirements for large banks [35][36] Increasing Non-Interest Income - Banks are encouraged to diversify their revenue streams by focusing on non-interest income, which has historically accounted for about 35% of total income [47][48] - Strategies include enhancing retail banking services, expanding payment services, and improving wealth management offerings [48][49] Retail Banking - Service fees from retail banking are a significant source of non-interest income, but regulatory pressures may limit future growth [51] - Banks should consider innovative pricing strategies and service bundling to enhance fee income [51] Payment Services - Payment companies are facing challenges from declining transaction margins and increased regulatory scrutiny [53] - Strategies to increase fee income include enhancing transaction security and offering additional value-added services [54] Wealth Management - Wealth management firms are under pressure to reduce fees while enhancing service offerings to retain clients [58][63] - Emphasizing personalized consulting services and integrating additional financial planning services can help increase revenue [63] Investment Banking and Capital Markets - Capital market revenues are expected to rise due to increased M&A activity and demand from private equity firms [65] - Banks are exploring unconventional methods to enhance service fees, such as increasing breakage fees and targeting smaller transactions [65] AI-Driven Banking Strategy - The adoption of AI technologies is anticipated to transform banking services and improve profitability [69][70] - Addressing technological debt and modernizing data infrastructure are critical for successful AI implementation [71][72]
2025年银行业及资本市场展望:适应低增长低利率环境,以业务创新和成本管控夯实可持续增长根基
Deloitte· 2025-01-21 06:24
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the banking industry Core Insights - The banking industry faces significant challenges in adapting to a low-growth, low-interest-rate environment, with management under pressure due to economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions [5][31] - Non-interest income is expected to become a key growth driver as net interest income faces downward pressure due to rising deposit costs [5][14] - The implementation of AI-driven banking strategies is seen as a potential accelerator for technological modernization [67][70] Summary by Sections 2025 Macroeconomic Changes Impacting Global Banking - The U.S. economy is projected to grow at 2.7% in 2024 but slow to 1.5% in 2025, with inflation pressures easing [5] - Consumer debt reached a record high of $17.7 trillion, impacting consumer spending [5] - The Federal Reserve may lower interest rates three to four times in 2025, with the effective federal funds rate expected to fall to between 3.5% and 3.75% [5][6] Basel III "Final" Rule Proposals Impact on Banking - The new Basel III proposals aim to reduce capital requirements, potentially strengthening the overall performance of the banking sector [35] - Global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) may see an increase in common equity tier 1 capital by 9% under the new rules [35][36] - The proposals suggest a more lenient regulatory environment, which could lead to increased merger and acquisition activity among smaller banks [35][36] Increasing Non-Interest Income in 2025 - Banks are encouraged to focus on increasing non-interest income due to anticipated declines in net interest income [47][48] - Strategies include bundling services in retail banking, expanding payment services, and enhancing wealth management offerings [48][50][57] Investment Banking and Capital Markets - Capital market revenues are expected to rise due to a recovery in M&A activity and increased demand from private equity firms [65] - Banks are exploring unconventional methods to enhance service fee income, such as increasing contract termination fees [65] AI-Driven Banking Strategy Implementation - The adoption of AI technologies is projected to significantly enhance profitability in the banking sector, with potential profits reaching $2 trillion by 2028 [69] - Banks must address technological debt to fully leverage AI capabilities and modernize their infrastructure [70][71]
AI时代的抉择:以“信”筑基,行稳“智”远
Deloitte· 2025-01-21 02:56
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of establishing trustworthy AI solutions through effective governance, highlighting that over 90% of organizations in the Asia-Pacific region need to improve their AI governance practices [4][9][35]. Summary by Sections Report Overview - The report aims to provide insights for executives and technology leaders in the Asia-Pacific region to improve governance structures and develop more trustworthy AI solutions [4][6]. Addressing Risks of Rapid AI Adoption - The rapid adoption of AI is transforming the business landscape in the Asia-Pacific region, with AI investment expected to quadruple to $117 billion by 2030 [12]. - Over half of technology workers believe their organizations cannot effectively manage AI-related risks, with concerns primarily around security vulnerabilities (86%), monitoring (83%), and privacy (83%) [9][12][15]. - The report indicates that more than a quarter of organizations experienced an increase in AI-related incidents over the past year [10]. Path to Excellent AI Governance - The Deloitte High Trust AI Framework outlines seven essential elements for establishing trustworthiness in AI solutions: transparency, explainability, fairness, neutrality, robustness, reliability, privacy protection, security, accountability, and responsibility [5][19]. - The report introduces the AI Governance Maturity Index, which assesses organizations' AI governance maturity across five pillars: organizational structure, policies and principles, procedures and controls, talent and skills, and monitoring, reporting, and evaluation [24][26]. Current State of AI Governance in the Asia-Pacific Region - Less than 10% of organizations in the Asia-Pacific region have the necessary governance structures for trustworthy AI, with 91% of organizations at either "beginner" or "developing" levels [35][36]. - The report highlights significant improvement opportunities in the "policies and principles" and "procedures and controls" areas, where 31% and 23% of organizations are at the "beginner" level, respectively [35][38]. Benefits of Excellent AI Governance - Organizations can gain substantial benefits from improving AI governance maturity, including increased trust in AI outputs, enhanced organizational reputation, and accelerated deployment of AI solutions [79][80]. - Effective AI governance can lead to a higher likelihood of using AI solutions across various business areas, with mature organizations using AI tools significantly more than those at lower maturity levels [83][84].
2024中国高科技高成长50强及明日之星报告:逐新求质,超越增长
Deloitte· 2025-01-20 00:09
Investment Rating - The report emphasizes the importance of "new quality productivity development" in building a modern industrial system, indicating a positive outlook for high-tech and high-growth companies in China [2][3]. Core Insights - The theme of the 2024 Deloitte China High-Tech High-Growth 50 and Tomorrow's Stars project is "Pursuing New Quality, Surpassing Growth," encouraging companies to integrate disruptive technological innovations with new industries, models, and formats [2][3]. - The report highlights that 2024's top 50 companies experienced a slight decline in revenue scale compared to 2023, with 44% of the companies having revenue exceeding 100 million [3][29]. - The life sciences sector leads the industry distribution, accounting for 39% of the top companies, surpassing hardware and software sectors [3][36]. Summary by Sections 1. Project Background - The Deloitte High-Tech High-Growth project has a 30-year history and aims to recognize and celebrate outstanding companies in China that demonstrate continuous growth and innovation [9][10]. - The project includes various rankings, such as the National 50 and Regional 20, with participants automatically becoming candidates for higher accolades [10][18]. 2. Overview of the 2024 Top 50 and Tomorrow's Stars - The report lists 100 companies, with Beijing, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou accounting for 59% of the total [3][21]. - The average three-year revenue growth rate for the top 50 companies is 588%, showing a significant decline from previous years [29][30]. 3. CEO Survey Analysis - A majority of the top 50 and Tomorrow's Stars companies plan to invest heavily in artificial intelligence and machine learning, with over 50% of their revenue allocated to R&D [71][75]. - The report indicates that 81% of the top 50 companies and 71% of Tomorrow's Stars have R&D personnel accounting for over 40% of their workforce [71][72]. 4. Pursuing New Quality, Surpassing Growth - The report discusses the need for companies to focus on innovation and growth amidst global economic uncertainties, with 80% of CEOs planning to revise their business strategies to enhance AI integration [100].
“2024德勤中国高科技高成长50强及明日之星”榜单揭晓
Deloitte· 2025-01-17 00:08
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry but emphasizes the importance of technological innovation and high-quality growth in the high-tech sector [2][3]. Core Insights - The theme of the 2024 Deloitte China High-Tech High-Growth 50 and Rising Stars project is "Pursuing New Quality, Surpassing Growth," which encourages companies to integrate disruptive technological innovations with new industries, models, and formats to achieve high-quality growth [2][3]. - The report highlights that the top 50 high-tech high-growth companies in China have seen a slight decline in revenue scale compared to 2023, with 44% of these companies having revenue exceeding 100 million [3][29]. - The life sciences sector leads the industry distribution, accounting for 39% of the top companies, surpassing hardware and software sectors [3][36]. Summary by Sections 1. Project Background - The Deloitte High-Tech High-Growth project has a 30-year history and aims to recognize and celebrate outstanding companies in China that demonstrate continuous growth, innovation, and social responsibility [2][3]. 2. Overview of the 2024 Top 50 and Rising Stars - A total of 100 companies were listed, with Beijing, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou accounting for 59% of the total [3]. - The report indicates that 66% of the Rising Stars have more than 40% of their workforce in R&D, and 30% have over 100 patents [3][60]. 3. CEO Survey Analysis - The survey reveals that 71% of the top 50 companies and 68% of the Rising Stars have over 40% of their employees in R&D [71]. - Companies face challenges in developing new quality productivity, particularly in terms of high R&D costs and funding pressures [71]. 4. Industry Distribution - The life sciences sector has seen a significant increase in representation, reaching 36%, while the internet sector has declined in prominence [36][45]. - In the secondary industry classification, biotechnology/formulations and semiconductors/components are the top two sectors [38][49]. 5. Revenue Growth and Financial Performance - The average three-year revenue growth rate for the top 50 companies is 588%, a noticeable decline from the previous year [29][30]. - The top 10 companies experienced a significant drop in average growth rate to 1408% from 5111% in 2023 [29]. 6. Geographic Distribution - The concentration of top companies in Beijing, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou has increased to 70% [34]. - The report notes a trend of rising companies from the Greater Bay Area and Yangtze River Delta regions [61][89]. 7. Future Trends and Challenges - Companies are increasingly focusing on sustainable development and green technologies, with 58% of the top 50 companies implementing employee environmental training [75][76]. - The report indicates a strong demand for financing, with over 80% of companies planning private financing, primarily in the range of 100 million to 500 million [82][86].
开放创新的亚洲繁荣发展的世界
Deloitte· 2025-01-10 08:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains an optimistic outlook for the Asian economy, predicting growth acceleration in 2018 despite previous concerns about a slowdown [12][16]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that domestic conditions in major Asian economies, such as China and India, are increasingly favorable for economic growth due to structural reforms and stability [12][20]. - Infrastructure spending is highlighted as a key driver for both short-term economic activity and long-term productivity growth across the region [25][31]. - The ongoing global demand recovery is expected to provide significant momentum for trade-driven economies in Asia, benefiting exports [32][46]. Summary by Sections Domestic Conditions - Many Asian economies are experiencing a rebound in domestic demand, with internal trade being a major driver of export growth [13][20]. - Structural reforms in countries like India and China are yielding positive results, enhancing the overall business environment [20][21]. Infrastructure Investment - Governments across Asia are committing substantial funds to infrastructure projects, particularly in transportation, which will stimulate economic activity [25][34]. - China's Belt and Road Initiative is a significant infrastructure project aimed at improving trade links between Asia and Europe, with several agreements already signed [25][73]. Global Demand Recovery - The global economy is showing signs of recovery, with over 75% of economies experiencing growth, which is expected to accelerate [32][33]. - The report notes that the revival of global trade is benefiting Asian manufacturers, with increased demand for exports [46][47].