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China Property_ Nov NBS_ Widen Completion_REI Decline; Weak Starts; Less Price Drop (1)
BSR· 2024-12-19 16:37
Expect de-stocking cycle in 2025-27E; sales resilient in Dec but cooler in 1Q25E — Nov sales were more resilient than expected after policies & we expect Dec sales likely posting mild "tail bounce" in T1 & good T2 cities, but potentially cooling down in 1Q25E. We see property destocking cycle & price stabilization could continue in 2025-27E, thus est. continued REI decline in '25E. With new starts and land sales both at new lows since 2005, we see likely further downside to new home market size (resi GFA so ...
Connectors (TEL _ APH)_November '24 was another strong month; UBS Evidence Lab inside
BSR· 2024-12-19 16:37
Source: UBS Evidence Lab (>Access Dataset) Figure 15: Units of Inventory per Listed Product 50 100 150 200 250 - Oct-19 Dec-19Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20 Aug-20 Oct-20 Dec-20Feb-21 Apr-21 Jun-21 Aug-21 Oct-21 Dec-21Feb-22 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22Feb-23 Apr-23 Jun-23 Aug-23 Oct-23 Dec-23Feb-24 Apr-24 Jun-24 Aug-24 Oct-24 Dec-24 Source: UBS Evidence Lab (>Access Dataset) Figure 12: Electronic Component Pricing through Distribution (Indexed Jan '21) Connectors (TEL / APH) 16 December 2024 ab 4 更多资料加入知识星球:水木 ...
China Property_ Nov NBS_ Widen Completion_REI Decline; Weak Starts; Less Price Drop
BSR· 2024-12-19 16:37
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 China Property Expect de-stocking cycle in 2025-27E; sales resilient in Dec but cooler in 1Q25E — Nov sales were more resilient than expected after policies & we expect Dec sales likely posting mild "tail bounce" in T1 & good T2 cities, but potentially cooling down in 1Q25E. We see property destocking cycle & price stabilization could continue in 2025-27E, thus est. continued REI decline in '25E. With new starts and land sales both at new lows since 2005, we see likely further d ...
US Softlines Retail_UBS Evidence Lab inside_ China Online Sales Growth Rates Still Choppy (1)
BSR· 2024-12-15 16:05
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: YES Powered by UBS Evidence Lab ab 12 December 2024 Global Research | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
US Softlines Retail_UBS Evidence Lab inside_ China Online Sales Growth Rates Still Choppy
BSR· 2024-12-15 16:04
shuinu9870 shuinu9870 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: shuinu9870 更多一手调研纪要和研报数据加V: YES Powered by UBS Evidence Lab ab 12 December 2024 Global Research | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
2024年SBS橡胶不一样的一年
BSR· 2024-11-09 14:16
嗯大家下午好嗯我是金莲创商机产品部橡胶组先生青今天给大家分享的是2024年SBS橡胶不一样的一年那么首先第一部分呢是中国SBS供需分析及变化那么首先我们来看一下一个供需表这是2020年到2024年的一个 整体的一个表那整体上来看呢产能和出口呢是呈现了一个增长进口呢是近五年呢是呈现了一个先逸后扬的一个趋势然后产量和表现消费量呢是在2020年到2023年高位震荡之后呢然后2024年呈现了一个减少的一个局面 下面我们具体的来看一下我们先来看产能的一个情况说产能之前呢闹不开的就是近几年的一个新线装置那么2020年到2024年的一个新增的一个具体情况呢2020年增加了四万吨是金海晨光的然后2021年呢是有17万吨它包括古雷石化的十万吨然后茂名动合的三万吨 以及合泽科信的四万吨但是这个四万吨呢是他有一个试车然后在2022年的时候他又那个从SBS改回到了这个顺晶装置所以2022年来说的话他的这个产能的话算是一个减少那么2023年呢这个增加的产能呢是12.5万吨他包括海南巴林的12万吨 然后还有安徽百号圣的他的一个0.5万吨的一个SBS最后呢是2024年新增了是22.5万吨他包括金山80的14万吨浮华鲁华的按SBS来算的话是 ...
The CSO at a Crossroads: Three Paths Forward for Sustainability Leaders
BSR· 2024-10-18 00:18
1 The CSO at a Crossroads Three Paths Forward for Sustainability Leaders B Table of Contents 31 Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Letter from the President and CEO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1. The Sustainability Field Has Matured After Periods of Rapid Growth and Turbulence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | 20 Years of Slow Ev ...
Between Two Worlds: Sustainable Business in the Turbulent Transition
BSR· 2024-09-20 00:18
Between Two Worlds Sustainable Business in the Turbulent Transition 01 04 The Climate and Nature Crises Intensified 20 Social Cohesion and Democracy Came Under Strain 22 The Evolution of Sustainable Business 03 Contents Reflections and Insights 02 The Changing Context for Sustainable Business Climate Came to Be Seen as a Material Risk for Business and Finance, with Nature Following Close Behind 34 Business and Human Rights Matured While Justice and Equity Emerged as New Concerns 36 Sustainability Disclosure ...
不良贷款ABS概况及信用风险研究
BSR· 2024-07-27 12:22
各位在线观看的朋友们,大家下午好。我是新世纪评级结构融资部的郝伟。非常高兴今天有这样的机会与大家进行线上的交流。今天我们会议的主题是 不良贷款ABS的概况及信用风险研究。2023年以来,信贷ABS的发行总量呈小幅下降的态势,然而不良贷款的ABS发行单数和规模却连续保持了较大的增幅。具体看年度数据,2023年银行电视厂新发行的信贷ABS产品中,近6成是NPL产品, 那么由此可见,银行发行不良ADS的需求是十分旺盛的。今天就NPL产品,我的分享将分为以下几个方面。第一,银行业的不良资产现状分析。第二,介绍不良资产的储值方式。第三,再看一下2024年新发行产品的特征和趋势。 第四,最后一个部分,我们再看一下目前存量的NPL产品它的回收表现如何。下面我们就进行到第一部分,银行业不良资产的现状分析。先看第一张图,这张图是我国近年来商业银行关注类和不良类贷款的余额和占比情况。 占比方面近年来关注和不良贷款的比例均比较平稳但是从规模上来看从2021年起全行业关注类的规模明显增加同时不良类的贷款规模小幅增长此外还需要考虑到的是关注和不良类贷款占比比较平稳其中一个方面的原因是分母当中 信貸規模是隨著新增貸款而逐漸增大的。而近年 ...
Navigating the Rollbacks in Protection of Reproductive and LGBTQI+ Rights in the US
BSR· 2024-06-21 00:17
Navigating the Rollbacks in Protection of Reproductive and LGBTQI+ Rights in the United States A Guide for Financial Institutions JUNE 2024 Table of Contents Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 I . Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Objec ...