ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab Equities Morning Expresso – Australasia Tuesday, 13 August 2024 Australasia Marcus Curley Analyst marcus.curley@ubs.com +64-9-913 4750 Today's Notes INDUSTRIALS Carsales.com.au - Good outlook into FY25e JB Hi-Fi - FY24 Result: JB Aust EBIT margin 'base' raised Aurizon - FY24 result: Capital flexibility preserved FINANCIALS Australian Banks - Capital returns are possibly mispriced RESOURCES Alcoa Corporation - Initiate coverage on AAI.AU Buy rated A$58/sh Be ...

ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab First Read CSL FY24: Largely in line, but looking closely at Behring core gross margin ONE LINER Largely inline result except for a c.60-bps miss for Behring core gross margin, which we think will attract questions (at CC it looked in line). KEY NUMBERS 1. Revenue $14,800m +11% (+11% CC), in line with consensus 2. Underlying gross margin 54.1%, 65bps ahead of consensus 3. NPATA $2,907m +11% (+15% CC), -5% below consensus RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS 1. Behring revenu ...

ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab First Read James Hardie Industries UBS SnapShot: 1Q-25 Result ONE LINER: 1Q beat, 2Q soft but +ve FY25 NPAT guide unchanged (ex lower end tax -50bps) 1Q-25 KEY NUMBERS: 1) Group underlying NPAT US$178m vs UBSe US$170m (vs consensus US$167m). 2) Group underlying EBIT US$236m vs UBSe US$230m. 3) North American volumes of 752mmsf vs UBSe 764mmsf, 2% behind. 4) North American EBIT of US$227m vs UBSe US$229m, implies a margin of 31.2% vs UBSe 31.7%. 5) APAC volu ...

ab 12 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab JB Hi-Fi FY24 Result: JB Aust EBIT margin 'base' raised FY24 Result: Above mkt & UBSe with Jul-24 trading mixed (strong in JB Aust) JBH FY24 sales/EBIT/NPAT -0.4%/-15.8%/-16.4% vs pcp with NPAT (A$439m) above Visible Alpha (mkt) (A$423m) and UBSe (A$409m). JB Aust, The Good Guys (TGG) and JB NZ EBIT above mkt & UBSe. Jul-24 LFL sales mixed: JB Aust +5.2% (+2.3% 2yr stack); TGG +2.7% (-9.3% 2yr stack); and JB NZ -4.9% (+5.1% 2yr stack). We revise FY25E/26E E ...

ab 12 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab Powered by YES UBS Evidence Lab Equities Australia Transportation Services 12-month rating Neutral | --- | --- | |------------------------------|------------------| | 12m price target | A$3.40 | | | Prior : A$3.70 | | Price (12 Aug 2024) | A$3.30 | | RIC: AZJ.AX BBG: AZJ AU | | | Trading data and key metrics | | | 52-wk range | A$4.02-3.30 | | Market cap. | A$6.07b/US$4.01b | | Shares o/s | 1,841m (ORD) | | Free float | 100% | | Avg. daily volume ('000) | 6 ...

Global Research and Evidence Lab 12 August 2024 UBS Stock Update Recent changes to UBS ratings, price targets & EPS Equities Australia Luke Brown, CFA Analyst luke.brown@ubs.com +61-2-9324 3620 Recent changes to UBS ratings, price targets and EPS The UBS Stock Update lists all recent rating, price target and earnings per share changes made by our research analysts. Rating & Price Target Change Stack AIG Akos BEN each Eroy CEA .6 HH SunnaryRCPrevious Plice I Buy (hom Newsk), PT RaisedMTAX30.00 ALAX Pay Yom N ...

ab 12 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab Australian Banks Capital returns are possibly mispriced | --- | --- | |-------------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | Equities | | | | | | Australasia | | | Financial | | Dividends/buybacks/excess capital an underpin for Aussie bank share prices? We analyse how much excess capital the banks carry and if this is potentially a further underpin to share price performance, especially in the context of valuations which we continue to view as rich relative to h ...

ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab Equities Prices: Iron Ore 62% cfr Qingdao -0.5% $99/dmt; HCC prem LV -1.2% $212/t; Thermal Coal NEWC +0.5% $147/t; Spodumene CIF China -4.7% $810/t; Li Carbonate Battery Grade, CIF China 0.0% $12000/t; Li Hydroxide Battery Grade, CIF China +0.9% $11600/t; Cu +1.8% $4.04/lb; Al +0.1% $1.02/lb; Ni +1.3% $7.30/lb; Au +1.2% $2504/oz; Brent +2.9% $82/bbl; WTI 0.0% $77/bbl; AUDUSD 0.6586; AUDEUR 0.6025; AUDGBP 0.5159; AUDJPY 96.95 Bulks: Iron Ore -0.5% to US$99/t ...

ab 13 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab First Read Swire Properties MSCI deletion as expected; good opportunity may have emerged What's new? In this morning, MSCI announced to delete Swire Properties (Swire) from the MSCI index and the changes will be effective at the close of 30 Aug. The deletion was in-line with our previous expectation, as its free float adjusted market cap has fallen below the required relative threshold size. UBS index team forecast US$127mn (or 69.6mn shares) will be sold o ...

ab 12 August 2024 Global Research and Evidence Lab Beach Energy Limited FY24 result: FCF must support capital returns & growth Another frustrating reserve d/grade but FCF can support growth and divs Beach Energy's (BPT) FY24 NPAT beat consensus estimates by 7%; however the financial performance was overwhelmed by another material reserve downgrade. Reserves at the new Enterprise gas field in the VIC Otways saw an 11mmboe reserve revision (-27% to the implied VIC Otway reserve), following new flow data indic ...