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Is ExxonMobil's Premium Price Justified on Permian & Guyana Presence?
ZACKS· 2025-09-17 18:16
Core Insights - Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 7.36X, which is higher than the industry average of 4.33X [1] - The company is generating significant earnings from its upstream operations, particularly in offshore Guyana and the Permian Basin [4][5] - XOM is targeting an increase in earnings by $20 billion by 2030 and aims to achieve cost savings of $18 billion compared to 2019 [6][7] - The company has a low debt-to-capitalization ratio of 12.6%, which is favorable compared to the industry average of 22.9% [8] Company Performance - XOM produced 650,000 barrels per day from its Guyana resources and expects to reach 1.7 million oil equivalent barrels per day by the end of the decade [4] - In the Permian Basin, XOM anticipates production to surge to 2.3 million oil equivalent barrels per day by the end of the decade [5] - Despite positive developments, XOM's stock gained only 3.7% in the past year, underperforming the industry average increase of 8.3% [11] Investment Considerations - Investors are currently paying a premium for XOM due to its upstream assets, but there are concerns regarding its dependence on the Permian Basin [9][12] - The company is expected to generate a profit of $3 billion from project start-ups in 2025, assuming stable prices and margins [6] - XOM's strong balance sheet allows it to navigate unfavorable business environments effectively [8]
Fed cuts interest rates for first time this year amid weakening labor market
Fox Business· 2025-09-17 18:15
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced the first interest rate cut of the year as policymakers lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25-basis-points, as signs of a weakening labor force outweighed elevated inflation. Following the central bank's decision to cut rates for the first time since December 2024, the federal funds rate will sit at a new range of 4% to 4.25%. The cut comes after the Fed left rates unchanged at its first five meetings this year amid economic uncertainty.Policymakers have been m ...
Nvidia: You’ll Regret Not Selling Here (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-17 18:15
The price of Nvidia Corporation’s (NASDAQ: NVDA ) stock hasn’t moved much since we last covered the company before it released its Q2 results last month. Although the recent earnings report was relativelyBears of Wall Street is a community of asset managers and traders who take a pragmatic approach to valuing companies. Bears of Wall Street provide unique research with a bearish sentiment on overvalued or weak companies with declining businesses and poor growth perspectives - companies whose likely deprecia ...
Noteworthy Wednesday Option Activity: NVDA, COIN, ZTS
Nasdaq· 2025-09-17 18:15
Among the underlying components of the S&P 500 index, we saw noteworthy options trading volume today in NVIDIA Corp (Symbol: NVDA), where a total of 1.8 million contracts have traded so far, representing approximately 184.5 million underlying shares. That amounts to about 100.3% of NVDA's average daily trading volume over the past month of 183.9 million shares. Particularly high volume was seen for the $170 strike put option expiring September 19, 2025 , with 137,269 contracts trading so far today, represen ...
Mortgages, Crypto And Bonds: Here’s How Consumers May Benefit From Lower Interest Rates
Forbes· 2025-09-17 18:13
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has decided to lower interest rates for the first time in months, which is expected to lead to lower mortgage rates, bond yields, and potentially boost cryptocurrency prices in the coming weeks [1]. Interest Rate Changes - The Federal Reserve's policymaking panel has reduced interest rates from a range of 4.25% to 4.5% to a new range of 4% to 4.25% [2]. Impact on Mortgage Rates - Average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates decreased to 6.35% from 6.5%, marking the lowest level since October 2024. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage rates also fell to 5.5% from 5.6% [3]. - Historical data shows that when the Fed lowered rates to near zero during the pandemic, 30-year mortgage rates reached record lows between 2.7% and 3% by the end of 2020 [3]. - Consumers who refinanced their mortgages in 2020 saved approximately $5.3 billion annually due to lower rates [3]. Treasury Bonds Response - Long-term Treasury yields are expected to decline as interest rates are lowered, which typically results in lower borrowing costs for consumers across various loan types [4]. - During the pandemic, 10-year Treasury yields fell to an all-time low of 0.5% when the Fed pushed rates to near zero [4]. Cryptocurrency Market Reaction - Lower interest rates may encourage investment in riskier assets like cryptocurrencies, as traditional savings accounts and bonds yield less [5]. - Historical trends indicate that the price of bitcoin surged from about $5,000 in March 2020 to around $69,000 by November 2021 as interest rates fell [5]. - The impact of new rate cuts on cryptocurrencies remains uncertain, especially as the industry has recently benefited from looser regulations [5]. Background Context - The decision to ease monetary policy follows pressure from President Donald Trump, who criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell for being "TOO LATE" in implementing significant rate cuts [6]. - Wall Street had anticipated this interest rate reduction due to stronger-than-expected jobs data and rising inflation, which remains above the Fed's 2% target [6]. - The Fed's dual mandate includes maintaining full employment and stabilizing inflation, with recent signals indicating a potential adjustment in policy stance due to shifting economic risks [6].
Gold prices finds new momentum as the Fed cuts rates; signals more easing through 2026
KITCO· 2025-09-17 18:13
Neils ChristensenNeils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more than a decade of reporting experience working for news organizations throughout Canada. His experiences include covering territorial and federal politics in Nunavut, Canada. He has worked exclusively within the financial sector since 2007, when he started with the Canadian Economic Press. Neils can be contacted at: 1 866 925 4826 ext. 1526 nchristensen at kitco.com @Neils_cShareDisclaimer: The views expressed ...
Amphenol: After Huge Rally, AI Upside Is Already Priced In (NYSE:APH)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-17 18:11
If you enjoyed this, consider Ian's Insider Corner to enjoy access to similar initiation reports for all the new stocks that we buy. Membership also includes an active chat room, weekly updates, and my responses to your questions.You might think that making basic electronic goods such as cables, wiring, and switches would not be an especially glamorous business. ButIan leads the investing group Ian's Insider Corner . Features of the group include: the Weekend Digest which covers everything from new ideas to ...
Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL): AI Hyperscaler At A Discount
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-17 18:11
Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ: DUOL ) is a known consumer app which gamifies language learning for its users. The company is known for its catchy marketing campaigns featuring Duo the owl, which were also featured atI either put my money into low cost funds or in single stocks that (I think) are asymmetric bets. My portfolio is roughly 50/50 between the two. I like to write about Macro and Fundamentals, with the (painful) awareness that Momentum and Sentiment are what really matters. That’s the reason I never try ...
Can FTNT Stock Recover From YTD Drop on AI Security Push? How to Play
ZACKS· 2025-09-17 18:11
Key Takeaways FTNT stock is down 15.56% YTD despite solid execution on AI and cloud security initiatives.Q2 revenues grew 14% to $1.63B, with non-GAAP operating margin reaching 33%.Management raised 2025 billings outlook to $7.325B-$7.475B, implying 13% growth.Fortinet's (FTNT) journey through 2025 presents a paradox that encapsulates the broader cybersecurity sector dynamics. While the stock has declined 15.56% year to date, the company continues to execute on its ambitious artificial intelligence and clou ...
Meta Platforms vs. Snap: Which Social Media Stock Has an Edge?
ZACKS· 2025-09-17 18:11
Core Insights - Meta Platforms (META) and Snap (SNAP) are leveraging AI to enhance user engagement and attract advertisers, leading to increased advertising revenue growth [1][2][6] Digital Advertising Growth - Global ad spending is projected to grow 4.9% to $992 billion by 2025, with digital ad spending expected to rise 7.9% to $678.7 billion [2] - META's advertising revenue for Q3 2025 is estimated at $48.44 billion, reflecting over 21% growth year-over-year [5] Meta Platforms' Performance - META's AI initiatives, including the Andromeda machine learning system, have improved ad targeting, resulting in a 5% increase in ad conversions on Instagram and 3% on Facebook in Q2 2025 [2] - Engagement metrics show a 5% increase in time spent on Facebook and 6% on Instagram, with video engagement on Instagram rising over 20% year-over-year [3] - META AI has surpassed 1 billion monthly active users and is available in over 200 countries [4] - Earnings estimates for META in 2025 are projected at $28.13 per share, indicating a 17.9% increase from 2024 [10] Snap's Performance - Snap's advertising platform saw a 39% year-over-year growth in commerce-driven ad volume in Q2 2025, with new ad formats improving conversion rates [6] - Snap's daily active users reached 469 million, an 8.6% increase year-over-year, with a subscriber base for Snapchat+ nearing 16 million [7][8] - Earnings estimates for Snap in 2025 remain steady at 25 cents per share, suggesting a 13.79% decline from 2024 [11] Stock Performance and Valuation - META shares have appreciated 33% year-to-date, while SNAP shares have declined by 28.1% [12] - META is trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 8.99X, compared to SNAP's 2.06X, indicating that both stocks are considered overvalued [15] Conclusion - Both META and SNAP are positioned to benefit from increasing digital ad spending, but META's larger user base, AI advancements, and rising earnings estimates provide it with a competitive advantage over SNAP [18]