Global vaccine market report 2024
WHO· 2024-12-20 01:40
Industry Overview - The global vaccine market in 2023 stabilized at approximately 7 billion doses, a significant decrease from 2022 due to reduced COVID-19 vaccine procurement [87] - The financial value of the global vaccine market grew by 15% CAGR over the past five years, driven by higher-priced adult vaccines in high-income countries and novel RSV vaccines [88] - COVID-19 vaccines accounted for the highest global financial value at US$20 billion, representing 27% of the total market value in 2023 [88] Manufacturing and Supply - The global vaccine market remains highly concentrated, with the top 10 manufacturers accounting for 73% of vaccine dose volumes and 85% of global financial value [89] - Manufacturers affiliated with the DCVMN sold over 50% of vaccine doses globally, representing 11% of global financial value, while IFPMA-affiliated manufacturers accounted for 85% of financial value [89] - Pfizer and the Serum Institute of India (SII) are outliers in terms of financial value and volume, with SII returning to its pre-pandemic position as the largest volume manufacturer with 22% of the global market [38][90] Vaccine-Specific Dynamics - Rotavirus vaccine volumes grew by 5% from 2022 and 29% from 2019, driven by increased demand and availability, particularly in MICs [116] - HPV vaccine volumes increased by 18% from 2022 and over 50 million doses since 2019, with a 16% CAGR, largely due to growing procurement in China [116] - Seasonal influenza vaccine volumes grew by 32% from 2019 to 2023, driven by expanded use in countries like China [107] Regional Supply Security - The WHO African and Eastern Mediterranean regions rely heavily on vaccines manufactured outside their regions, with less than 5% of vaccines procured in 2023 produced locally [3][92] - The WHO South-East Asia region self-supplied 87% of vaccines procured, with India providing 84% of the region's doses and self-supplying 99% of its own procurements [93] - The WHO Western Pacific region self-supplied 66% of vaccines procured, with China providing 54% of the region's doses and self-supplying 90% of its own procurements [93] Procurement and Pricing - Self-procuring middle-income countries (MICs) accounted for 40% of global vaccine volumes, while pooled procurement initiatives (UNICEF and PAHO) represented 36% [134] - High-income countries (HICs) dominated the financial value, representing 72% of the market's value in 2023, up from 65% in 2022 [134] - Vaccine prices remained relatively stable, with tiered pricing based on country income levels, and pooled procurement mechanisms offering lower prices [135] Regulatory Landscape - As of 2023, 34 vaccine-producing countries have reached ML 3 or higher for vaccine manufacturing, with no new countries achieving this milestone in 2023 [9][136] - The WHO collaborative registration procedure for prequalified vaccines expanded to 67 countries and one regional economic community as of August 2024 [58] - Efforts to enhance regulatory capacity in countries planning to produce vaccines are ongoing, with some achieving ML 3 for medicines regulation [10]
Sudan conflict – Situation in refugee-hosting countries, Multi-country External Situation Report #7, covering the reporting period November 2024
WHO· 2024-12-20 01:40
Industry Overview - The ongoing conflict in Sudan has driven a large influx of refugees into surrounding countries, including Chad, South Sudan, Egypt, Libya, Ethiopia, and the Central African Republic [1] - Nearly 12.0 million people have been displaced, with almost 2.5 million displaced into neighboring countries [2] - The report focuses on the health situation and WHO's regional response in refugee-hosting countries, excluding Sudan itself [3] Chad - Chad is at the center of the Sudan refugee crisis, with over 935,000 Sudanese refugees/asylum seekers entering since April 2023 [5] - Refugees live in formal and informal camps across nine health districts, facing challenges in accessing essential health services due to difficult physical access, limited medical supplies, and a lack of health workers [5] - Health concerns include chickenpox, malaria, acute jaundice syndrome, hepatitis E, and measles, with significant case numbers reported across various districts [7] Ethiopia - Ethiopia has received over 179,700 refugees and returnees from Sudan as of November 2024, with concerns over insecurity, shortages of supplies, and inadequate water and latrine facilities [25] - Malaria cases are increasing among both refugees and host communities in the Amhara region [25] - Health services are provided by Health Cluster partners, local health facilities, and mobile health and nutrition teams [27] South Sudan - South Sudan has received over 886,000 refugees and returnees since April 2023, with the majority crossing through the Wunthow (Joda) point of entry [84] - The ongoing cholera outbreak is linked to the influx of returnees and refugees, with 1,427 cases and 14 deaths reported between September and December 2024 [84] - WHO has shipped 22 metric tons of cholera kits and four tents to Malakal, providing resources to treat 2,200 individuals [85] Egypt - Egypt has received 1.2 million new arrivals from Sudan as of November 2024, with 569,629 Sudanese registered with UNHCR [95] - WHO Egypt has provided coverage for 2,261 health services for Sudanese refugees, including management of injuries, renal dialysis, and caesarean sections [96] - Despite being certified malaria-free, Egypt has reported 20 malaria cases among Sudanese refugees in 2024 [96] Libya - As of November 2024, 125,020 health certificates have been issued, predominantly to adult male Sudanese refugees, indicating a rapid increase in refugee influx to southern Libya [97] Central African Republic - As of November 2024, six affected districts have reported at least one outbreak, with an ongoing hepatitis E epidemic affecting Vakaga [63] - A total of 239 suspected cases of hepatitis E have been reported, with 84 laboratory-confirmed cases and five deaths [64] Operational Challenges - Key challenges include resource mobilization gaps, inadequate early warning and response systems, limited health service delivery, health worker shortages, and insecurity [68] - The funding gap significantly hampers operations, with limited availability of water and supplies increasing the risk of outbreaks such as cholera and hepatitis E [68] Next Steps - Continued support for health emergency preparedness and response, including surveillance, rapid response teams, WASH, and case management [69] - Financial and logistical support to restock drug supplies, diagnostic kits, and IPC/WASH supplies at points of entry [69] - Capacity building of health workers and EMTs at health facilities and points of entry serving host communities and refugees [69]
WHO Global Market Study on RSV Immunization Products
WHO· 2024-12-20 01:40
Industry Overview - Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is a leading cause of infant mortality and hospitalization, with over 95% of RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infections and 97% of RSV-associated childhood deaths occurring in low- and middle-income countries (LICs and MICs) [92] - RSV also causes significant morbidity and mortality in older adults, with over 30,000 adults older than 60 years dying from RSV annually in high-income countries (HICs) [92] - Prevention through passive immunization with monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and maternal vaccines, or active immunization with adult vaccines, plays a crucial role in reducing RSV-related morbidity and mortality [92] Market Dynamics - The RSV immunization market is dual, with demand and supply expected for the same products in both HICs and countries with limited resources [14] - Commercialization strategies have prioritized HICs and some upper-middle-income countries (UMICs) due to higher demand predictability and profitability [65] - Demand from HICs is expected to expand quickly across all populations by 2030, while demand in LICs and LMICs is expected to evolve at a much slower pace, with inclusion into National Immunization Programmes (NIPs) likely beginning 6-8 years later than HICs [97] Supply and Demand Analysis - Global programmatic dose requirement (PDR) for all RSV vaccines and mAbs is forecasted to increase from less than 50 million doses in 2024 to peak at ~170 million doses annually in 2040 [69] - HICs are likely to account for ~70-80% of PDR for all RSV products in the medium-term, while LICs and MICs could make up to ~75% of PDR by 2040 due to progressive adoption and implementation of RSV immunization programmes [69] - PDR for maternal RSV vaccine and infant mAbs is forecasted to grow to annual volumes of ~58 million and ~17 million doses, respectively, by 2040, representing ~36% of global PDR across the forecast timeframe [70] Key Players and Products - Currently, there are three authorized RSV vaccines for older adults and one maternal vaccine indicated during pregnancy to protect young infants [63] - The maternal vaccine is available from one supplier (Pfizer's ABRYSVO), and the same vaccine also has an indication for older adults [12] - For infant mAbs, products are available from only one to two suppliers (Sanofi AstraZeneca's BEYFORTUS and AstraZeneca's SYNAGIS), with limited potential for manufacturing scale-up [12] Pricing Analysis - Public market prices in the US are $395 for RSV mAb, $221 for maternal vaccine, and $175-196 for adult vaccines [81] - In other countries, available sources show a broader price range for mAbs in the public sector, with HICs prices varying between $231 and $730 per dose [83] - Maternal and adult vaccines have more limited price ranges, between $205 and $234 per dose and $175 and $196, respectively [83] Future Outlook - The current and future manufacturer base is not sufficiently diversified, with a limited number of suppliers for RSV mAbs and maternal vaccines [43] - Licensing and technology transfer could positively alter the supply ecosystem, supporting regional manufacturing, ensuring supply security, and enhancing supplier diversity and competition [43] - Efforts to accelerate equitable access will require actions on both the demand and supply side, including generation of comprehensive evidence base, engagement with developers and manufacturers, and financial support for countries with limited budgets [46]
The Business Case for LC3
RMI· 2024-12-20 00:18
Industry Investment Rating - LC3 is rated as a transformative opportunity for the cement industry, offering significant financial and environmental benefits [18][19] Core Report Findings - LC3 demonstrates a compelling route to decarbonization with strong financial performance and significant emissions reductions [20] - LC3 production can reduce operating expenses by up to 33% due to lower calcination temperatures and reduced fuel use [20] - LC3 avoids emissions up to 32% compared with traditional cement blends and over 40% compared with OPC [23] - LC3's payback periods can range from a few months to 10 years, depending on regional factors and capital requirements [21] Regional Analysis North America - LC3 is gaining traction in the US, supported by DOE funding and "buy clean" policies [66][68] - Prescriptive standards in North America pose challenges to LC3 adoption, but performance-based standards like ASTM C1157 are gaining traction [66][67] Europe - Europe's progressive standards and the EU's Green Deal are accelerating LC3 adoption [72][73] - EN 197-5 permits the use of LC3-50, positioning it as a viable low-carbon alternative to traditional cement [73] Latin America - Latin America is becoming a favorable market for LC3, with Brazil leading in low-carbon cement innovation [79] - Outdated prescriptive standards in some countries still present challenges for LC3 adoption [83] Africa - Africa's push to modernize standards could enable broader LC3 adoption, with early promise in South Africa and Kenya [84][87] - LC3 offers a cost-effective solution in regions with high clinker import costs due to limited limestone availability [88] Economic and Environmental Benefits - LC3 production can reduce operating expenses by up to 33%, with cost efficiency stemming from lower calcination temperatures [120] - LC3 avoids emissions up to 32% compared with traditional cement blends, with potential global CO₂ emissions reductions of 500 million tons annually [133] - LC3's payback periods can be as short as a few months in favorable regions, with IRRs boosted by carbon taxes [124][127] Barriers and Challenges - Materials sourcing and adherence to standards are key challenges for LC3 adoption [137][138] - LC3's physical properties, such as early strength and water demand, differ from OPC, requiring project-specific considerations [146] - Capital expenditures for LC3 can range from $5 to $110 million, but cost per ton of CO₂ abated is favorable [148] Strategic Insights - LC3 unlocks opportunities for new technologies and business models, such as electric kilns and modular production [25][163] - Early adopters of LC3 will gain a competitive edge through cost savings and government incentives [156] - Investments in kiln retrofits, new clay calciners, and performance-based standards are critical for scaling LC3 adoption [164] Conclusion - LC3 is a scalable, profitable, and immediate low-carbon solution available for industry-wide adoption now [168] - Embracing LC3 will position early adopters to thrive in a rapidly evolving market and significantly reduce global CO₂ emissions [169]
Connectors (TEL _ APH)_November '24 was another strong month; UBS Evidence Lab inside
BSR· 2024-12-19 16:37
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for both Amphenol Corp (APH) and TE Connectivity PLC (TEL) with price targets of $88 and $175 respectively [67][71]. Core Insights - The electronic component inventory levels in the US have decreased approximately 4% year-over-year, indicating stabilization in the market [27]. - Connector pricing has shown a year-to-date increase of about 17% and a year-over-year increase of approximately 19% in the fourth quarter of 2024 [41][71]. - The report highlights that TEL and APH account for around 74% of unit inventory available on distributor websites, a significant increase from approximately 55% pre-pandemic [6][71]. Summary by Sections Inventory and Pricing Trends - Distributor dollar inventory decreased by 1% month-over-month, while unit inventory was down about 2% month-over-month but up 6% year-over-year in November [71]. - Connector dollar inventories are down approximately 40% from their peak but have shown relative sequential strength recently [34][71]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that electronic component pricing and availability can impact global supply chains, inflation, and cost of goods sold (COGS) inputs [9]. - The industrial destock headwind for TEL and APH is expected to continue to abate, potentially leading to a solid exit rate into 2025 [71]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that inventory comparisons for distributors will become easier in the first half of 2025, with current inventory levels still remaining below trend [71]. - The report raises EPS forecasts for APH to $2.29 and $2.58 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting slightly higher sales driven by a revised end-market view [71].
Hireology+AHLA: Understanding Hotel Food and Beverage Job Seeker Priorities
美国饭店业协会(ahla)· 2024-12-19 03:28
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the hotel food and beverage industry Core Insights - The hotel food and beverage job market is facing challenges in hiring qualified employees, with 91% of respondents indicating that hiring is somewhat or extremely challenging [3] - Job seekers prioritize salary, schedule flexibility, and career growth opportunities when considering job offers [8][9] - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding job seeker preferences to attract and retain talent in the hotel food and beverage sector [5] Summary by Sections Job Seeker Priorities - Salary is the most important factor for job seekers (40%), followed by schedule flexibility (14%) and career growth opportunities (13%) [8] - When presented with multiple job offers meeting salary expectations, job seekers are motivated by benefits such as fulfilling work, good culture, and easy commutes [9][10] - Hotel restaurants are preferred work environments for 28% of job seekers, with younger generations showing a higher preference for hotel restaurants [11] Factors Influencing Job Applications - Key reasons for not applying to hotel food and beverage jobs include lower salaries (45%), limited career growth (30%), and less flexible hours (28%) [13][16][17] - Inclusivity towards bilingual workers can enhance job applications, with 32% of respondents more likely to apply if a supervisor is bilingual [13] Hiring Process Efficiency - Speed in the hiring process is crucial, with 64% of job seekers abandoning applications that take too long [33] - A significant majority (88%) prefer to be interviewed within a week of applying, with younger generations desiring even quicker responses [35][36] Mobile Communication and Applications - 63% of job seekers primarily use smartphones for job searches, and 85% are open to communicating via text to expedite the hiring process [47][51] - Mobile-friendly job applications are essential, as 58% of job seekers have abandoned applications due to complexity on mobile devices [49] Job Search Channels - Job boards are the primary source for job seekers, with 30% applying to 16 or more jobs [62][63] - Company websites are crucial for understanding employer culture, with 40% of job seekers relying on them for information [69] Employee Referrals - A strong majority (84%) of job seekers are more likely to apply if a trusted friend recommends the company, highlighting the effectiveness of employee referral programs [83][87] Job Seeker Loyalty - Many hotel food and beverage workers express loyalty, with 36% expecting to stay with their next employer for over eight years [93] - Key factors influencing job changes include salary, career growth, and work-life balance [96][100] Recommendations for Operators - Operators are advised to enhance employee benefits, simplify hiring processes, and leverage technology for scheduling and communication to attract and retain talent [19][39][57][104]
Winter Travel Intent Poll
美国饭店业协会(ahla)· 2024-12-19 03:28
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the travel industry Core Insights - A majority of respondents (52%) plan to take overnight trips for leisure in the next four months, with 45% of that group likely to stay at hotels [4][5] - Inflation is negatively impacting travel behaviors, with 56% of respondents less likely to stay in hotels due to inflation [6][34] - Sustainability is a significant factor for travelers, with 66% indicating it is important when traveling, and 57% more likely to stay at hotels with sustainability certifications [7][54] Upcoming Travel - 52% of adults plan to spend one or more nights away from home for leisure travel in the next four months [12] - 23% of employed adults expect to travel overnight for business, with 59% of that group likely to stay at hotels [14][20] - Nearly half (47%) of respondents are likely to travel overnight for family excursions, while 37% are likely to take romantic getaways [24][25] - Compared to fall/winter 2023, 25% of adults are more likely to stay in hotels or take overnight leisure trips [31] Lodging & Hotel Features - High-speed Wi-Fi is the most important technology for hotel selection, followed by keyless entry or mobile check-in and check-out [44] - The top three ranked technologies for hotel selection include high-speed Wi-Fi, keyless entry, and in-room smart devices [46] Sustainability - 66% of respondents consider sustainability important while traveling, with 27% stating it is very important [51] - 57% are more likely to stay at a hotel with a sustainability certification or label [54]
Future Planning: 5 Key Evolving Trends In Hospitality Entering 2025
美国饭店业协会(ahla)· 2024-12-19 03:28
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the hospitality industry. Core Insights - The hospitality industry is expected to see significant advancements in AI technology, enhancing guest experiences, operational efficiency, and revenue management as it moves towards 2025 [4][32]. - Empowering guests through choice and control over their in-room entertainment is becoming increasingly important, with a focus on providing a mix of content options [11][33]. - Leveraging data analytics for personalized guest experiences is crucial for cultivating customer loyalty and improving satisfaction [19][33]. - In-room entertainment platforms are identified as key revenue drivers, offering opportunities for hotels to enhance profitability while providing convenience to guests [24][33]. - Sustainability initiatives powered by AI are gaining traction, helping hotels manage resources more efficiently and encouraging eco-friendly behaviors among guests [27][33]. Summary by Sections Artificial Intelligence - AI is transitioning from a buzzword to practical applications in hospitality, focusing on enhancing guest experiences and operational efficiency [4][10]. - Successful AI implementation requires identifying specific problems to solve and balancing technology with human interaction [7][8]. - AI tools can automate administrative tasks, improve inventory management, and enhance revenue management through predictive analysis [10][33]. Guest Empowerment - Guests increasingly desire control over their entertainment options, with 87% watching live TV, 72% using premium channels, and 66% accessing on-demand content [15][16]. - Simplifying access to personal streaming services and ensuring intuitive casting options are essential for guest satisfaction [16][11]. Data Utilization - Accurate data collection and analysis are vital for delivering personalized experiences, with hotels needing to overcome challenges related to outdated systems [21][23]. - AI can create detailed guest profiles to offer tailored recommendations, enhancing satisfaction and loyalty [19][33]. In-Room Entertainment - In-room entertainment platforms are crucial for driving revenue, allowing hotels to promote services and amenities effectively [24][33]. - Connectivity and cybersecurity are critical for maximizing the potential of in-room entertainment systems [26][33]. Sustainability - AI-driven sustainability initiatives are essential for improving energy and resource management while maintaining guest comfort [27][30]. - Hotels are exploring renewable energy sources and eco-friendly practices to attract environmentally conscious travelers [30][31].
Managing Competing Sectoral Demands for Energy Resources
国际交通论坛· 2024-12-19 00:28
CPB Corporate Partnership Board Managing Competing Sectoral Demands for Energy Resources Transitioning to Sustainable Transport Case-Specific Policy Analysis | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|------------------|------------------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | Managing | Competing | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Sectoral | Demands | | | | | | | | for | | Energy Resources | | | | Transitioning to | | | | | Sustainable | Transport | | Case-Specific Policy Analysis The International Transport Forum The Internat ...
Enhancing employee experience
理特咨询· 2024-12-18 00:53
Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the Middle Eastern banking sector [1][2][3] Core Viewpoints - The Middle Eastern banking sector is undergoing significant transformation due to technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and evolving consumer expectations [1] - Employee experience (EX) is a critical factor for the future success of banks in the region, yet it has received less attention compared to other business drivers [1] - Prioritizing EX is no longer optional, as it directly influences organizational performance, customer satisfaction, and financial outcomes [3][6] EX Trends in the Middle East - Middle Eastern banks are increasingly focusing on enhancing engagement, promoting gender equality, and integrating technology-driven solutions [8] - Flexible work environments, enhanced communication tools, and secure whistleblowing policies are becoming standard practices [8] - There is a strong emphasis on gender diversity, with banks increasing female representation and supporting employees with disabilities [8] - Continuous feedback mechanisms, such as engagement surveys, are used to refine employee-centric strategies [8] - Digital transformation is shaping EX, with smart onboarding processes and digital transactions reducing administrative burdens and increasing productivity [10] Case Studies - National Bank of Kuwait (NBK) has successfully merged digital banking with traditional services, focusing on employee development through targeted training and educational programs [12] - Emirates NBD leverages AI and ML to personalize EX, offering tailored learning paths and comprehensive wellness programs [33] - Alinma Bank emphasizes employee empowerment, diversity, and well-being, with a focus on gender inclusivity and professional growth [47] Best Practices for Enhanced EX - Onboarding is critical for shaping an employee's connection to the bank's culture [17] - Continuous learning and development improve retention and performance [17] - Well-being programs promote a strong sense of belonging and reduce turnover [17] - Recognizing employee contributions maximizes engagement and aligns organizational purpose with employee values [17] - Strategic alignment between workplace culture and company strategy is essential for long-term success [50] Near-Future Trends - AI and automation will play a central role in transforming EX, including personalized learning programs and predictive analytics [35] - Sustainability is becoming a business imperative, with banks integrating ESG principles into their EX strategies [36] - Demand for enhanced digital experiences is growing, especially among younger employees, requiring investments in cutting-edge digital tools [36] Recommendations for ME Banks - ME banks must adopt a bold, forward-thinking approach to enhancing employee satisfaction and performance [50] - Strategic alignment, people-centric initiatives, and holistic workplace design are key to improving EX [50][51] - Authenticity, continuity, and effective change management are essential for building a positive work culture [52][53] Conclusion - Enhanced EX is a must-have for Middle Eastern banks to remain competitive and drive innovation [56] - Digital transformation, continuous learning opportunities, and well-being initiatives are critical for cultivating a healthier, more productive workforce [56][57] - Promoting diversity and inclusion, along with a clearly articulated organizational purpose, fosters loyalty and a sense of belonging among employees [58]