行 业 研 究 / 建 筑 装 饰 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 [Table_Title] 建筑装饰行业周报 政策稳中求进，关注低位央企和转型AI 算力等业务企业机会 1）主线一：推荐建筑央企。推荐【中国铁建】、【中国中铁】、【中国 交建】、【中国建筑】、【中国能建】、【中国电建】、【中国中冶】，关注 【中国化学】、【中材国际】、【中钢国际】、【中工国际】、【北方国际】。 2）主线二：推荐高景气赛道产业链重点企业。隧道掘进设备行业： 推荐【铁建重工】、【中铁工业】，关注【五新隧装】；民爆行业：推荐 【易普力】，【高争民爆】，关注【雅化集团】、【保利联合】等；岩土 工程行业：推荐【中岩大地】。 3）主线三：关注顺周期及布局转型 AI/机器人等新质生产力方向的优 质标的机会。推荐【罗曼股份】，关注【海南华铁】、【宁波建工】、【深 城交】、【鸿路钢构】、【深圳瑞捷】、【金诚信】。 【风险提示】 2025 年 03 月 09 日 [Table_Summary] 【投资要点】 2）3 月进入业绩披露期，关注业务布局高景气赛道、业绩表现较优的 建筑企业。本周浦东建设、安徽建工等景气区域地方国企公告经营情 况。浦东建设 2 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.41% at 3379.83 points, while the Shenzhen Component rose 0.33% and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.19%[1] - The Hang Seng Index fell slightly by 0.01% to 23782.14 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index up 1.39% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 0.35%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 3070.34 million HKD[1] Economic Policies - The U.S. will impose a 25% tariff on all imported steel and aluminum, with no exemptions for trade partners[3] - Ukraine is prepared to accept a U.S. proposal for a 30-day ceasefire with Russia, contingent on military aid and intelligence sharing[3][8] Corporate Developments - Avatr Technology, a Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer, plans to raise 7.8 billion HKD through a Hong Kong IPO, with a potential launch in May[4] - China National Railway plans to issue 30 billion RMB in bonds, which was oversubscribed by 0.68 times[9] Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 151,000 in February, with an unemployment rate of 4.1%[11] - China's PPI year-on-year decreased by 2.2% in February, while CPI fell by 0.7%[11] Market Sentiment - Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers indicated a nearly 50% chance of a recession in the U.S. this year due to various policy measures undermining confidence[8]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the real estate industry, with a year-on-year increase in land acquisition by major companies [10][11]. Core Insights - The total land acquisition amount for the top 100 real estate companies reached 199.86 billion yuan in January-February 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.7% [11]. - The Yangtze River Delta has emerged as the leading city cluster for land acquisition, with the top 10 companies in this region acquiring 51.98 billion yuan worth of land [24]. - Major companies such as China Resources Land, Poly Developments, and China Jinmao topped the list in terms of new value added from land acquisitions, with 46.5 billion yuan, 30.5 billion yuan, and 28.3 billion yuan respectively [13]. Summary by Sections Land Acquisition Rankings - China Resources Land ranked first in land acquisition amount with 23.2 billion yuan, followed by China Jinmao with 12.9 billion yuan and Greentown China with 12.2 billion yuan [3][4]. - The top companies in terms of land area acquired include Hengnan Development Group and Haixing County Xinggang Construction Development, with 1.22 million square meters and 860,000 square meters respectively [3]. Year-on-Year Growth - The report highlights that the total land acquisition amount for key real estate companies has shown a positive year-on-year trend, indicating a recovery in market sentiment [10][11]. - The increase in land acquisition is attributed to local governments actively releasing quality land in core areas, which has boosted companies' willingness to acquire land [11][12]. Special Debt and Land Recovery - The issuance of special bonds for land recovery has accelerated, with Guangdong Province being the first to issue such bonds, amounting to approximately 30.7 billion yuan, primarily aimed at acquiring idle land [14]. - The report emphasizes the expectation that various types of real estate companies will benefit from these initiatives, which are crucial for stabilizing the real estate market [14][20]. Regional Insights - In the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China Resources Land and other major companies have been active in land acquisition, with significant amounts reported [22]. - The report notes that state-owned enterprises and local government-backed companies remain dominant in land acquisition, while private enterprises are selectively increasing their land reserves in key areas [28].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the construction materials sector, indicating expected performance above the market index by over 10% [1][52]. Core Views - The construction materials sector is experiencing an upward trend due to the approaching construction peak season and accelerated infrastructure funding, with a historical high in policy funding expected in 2025 [1]. - The report highlights the ongoing high demand for coal chemical projects in Xinjiang, with over 700 billion yuan in investments planned for 2025, indicating a robust outlook for leading companies in this sector [1]. - The report suggests a gradual recovery in demand for construction materials as the peak season approaches, with a focus on fiscal policy and real estate policy effects [3]. Summary by Sections Construction Materials - Cement prices increased by 0.7% week-on-week, with a 7% rise in shipment rates in key regions, indicating a slow recovery in demand [2][21]. - Glass prices decreased by 2.07% week-on-week, reflecting weak demand and slow processing plant operations [2][28]. - The fiberglass market shows a slight price increase, with the average price for non-alkali yarn rising by 0.63% week-on-week [2][35]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on resilient consumer building material leaders such as Sanke Tree, Beixin Building Materials, and others, while also highlighting opportunities in cement and glass sectors [3][6]. - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring fiscal policy and real estate market developments for potential investment opportunities [3][6]. Market Trends - The construction materials index outperformed the market index by 4.6% during the last reporting period, with a 30.2% increase over the past six months [11]. - The report notes that the construction sector is currently facing insufficient effective demand, with low leverage willingness among residents and enterprises [3][6].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for investment, suggesting a "moderate recovery + structural transition" in the economy for 2025 [57]. Core Insights - The 2025 government work report emphasizes the need to boost consumption, enhance investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand comprehensively [5][57]. - Key development goals include a GDP growth target of around 5%, a focus on employment, and a commitment to ecological improvement [5][7]. - The report outlines a proactive fiscal policy with a total new government debt scale of 11.86 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.9 trillion yuan from the previous year [5][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Overview of the 2025 Government Work Report - The report sets a GDP growth target of approximately 5%, with urban unemployment around 5.5% and over 12 million new urban jobs [5]. - It highlights the implementation of a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy [5]. 2. Interpretation of the 2025 Government Work Report Consumption - Durable goods consumption is expected to double from 150 billion yuan in 2024 to 300 billion yuan [13]. - The report aims to enhance service consumption in health, elderly care, and childcare sectors [13]. - New consumption models will be promoted, focusing on digital, green, and intelligent consumption [13]. Fixed Asset Investment - The report emphasizes the need for effective investment, with a proposed central budget investment of 735 billion yuan for 2025 [29]. - It encourages private investment in major infrastructure and social welfare projects [30]. - The focus will be on digital economy innovation, particularly in AI and 5G applications [31][32]. Government Purchases - The report outlines plans to expand high-quality public services in education and healthcare, including reforms in public hospitals and medical services [36]. Net Exports - The report aims to stabilize foreign trade and investment, promoting service trade innovation and encouraging foreign investment in various sectors [41]. 3. Investment Guidance from the 2025 Government Work Report - The report identifies key investment directions, including technology innovation, green economy, consumption upgrades, and infrastructure [57][68]. - It highlights the importance of supporting strategic emerging industries, particularly in aerospace, low-altitude economy, and biomanufacturing [59]. - The green economy is emphasized, with a focus on renewable energy, energy storage technologies, and carbon capture [60]. - Consumption upgrades are targeted to stimulate domestic demand, with specific measures to enhance consumer confidence and spending [61][62].

Group 1: Education Industry - The government work report emphasizes the importance of education and aims to enhance educational inclusivity through a three-year action plan for building a strong education system [30][31] - Key initiatives include gradually implementing free preschool education, expanding high school enrollment, and promoting vocational education integration [31] - Recommended stocks in the education sector include Xueda Education, Action Education, New Oriental, and others, which are expected to benefit from the government's focus on educational inclusivity [30] Group 2: Home Appliance Industry - The government plans to issue 1.3 trillion yuan in long-term special bonds to support consumer goods replacement programs, with 300 billion yuan allocated specifically for appliance upgrades [33][34] - The expected increase in subsidies for appliance replacement is anticipated to drive stable growth in demand for home appliances, benefiting companies with strong digital capabilities and mature channel layouts [34] - Recommended companies in the home appliance sector include Midea Group, Boss Electric, and Hisense, which are expected to gain from the favorable policies [35] Group 3: Construction Industry - The government aims to implement a more proactive fiscal policy, with a deficit rate set at 4% and plans to issue 1.3 trillion yuan in long-term special bonds to support infrastructure projects [38][39] - The construction sector is expected to benefit from improved liquidity and increased funding sources due to the government's monetary policy adjustments [37] - Recommended low-valuation state-owned enterprises in the construction sector include China Communications Construction and China State Construction Engineering [40] Group 4: Pharmaceutical Industry - The report highlights the integration of AI in healthcare, significantly enhancing service efficiency and quality across various medical applications [42][43] - Companies like Aier Eye Hospital and Meinian Health are expected to benefit from advancements in AI technology that streamline clinical processes and improve patient care [42] - The focus on AI-driven healthcare solutions is anticipated to lead to cost reductions and improved operational efficiency for healthcare providers [42] Group 5: Agricultural Industry - The government emphasizes food security and the importance of maintaining arable land quality, with a focus on increasing crop yields through technology [46][47] - Leading seed companies are expected to benefit from the government's push for agricultural innovation and technology application [46] - The report outlines plans to stabilize grain planting areas while enhancing productivity through advanced agricultural practices [47]

以下文章来源于中国工程机械工业协会 ，作者宣传工作部 中国工程机械工业协会 . 中国工程机械工业协会是经中华人民共和国民政部正式批准登记注册的全国性工程机械行业组织，是由工程机械行业的制造企业、科研设计检测单位、高等 院校、维修、使用、流通单位及其它有关工程机械行业的企事业单位自愿联合组成的具有法人地位的社会团体。 春回大地，盛会启航。2025年2月28日，备受瞩目的中国（北京）国际工程机械、建材机械及矿山机械展览会在北京隆重举行BICES 2025媒 体用户代表座谈会。行业精英、用户代表与主流媒体齐聚一堂，共绘行业发展新蓝图，共谋展会创新新篇章，共话产业升级新机遇，为工程 机械行业高质量发展注入新动能。 中国工程机械工业协会（以下简称协会）会长苏子孟，协会秘书长兼北京天施华工国际会展有限公司（简称会展公司）董事长吴培国，中工工程机 械成套有限公司（简称中工成套）副总经理李英、中国国际贸易促进委员会机械行业分会会长助理高军等主办单位、承办单位领导，国家川藏铁路 技术创新中心、中国中铁股份有限公司、中国铁建设备集采中心、中国建筑集团有限公司、中国路桥工程有限责任公司、北京建工集团有限责任公 司、中国建筑土木建设 ...

行业周报 | 建筑装饰 证券研究报告 | 行业评级 | 推荐（维持） | | --- | --- | | 报告日期 | 2025 年 03 月 02 日 | 相关研究 【兴证建筑】周观点：俄乌冲突缓和信 号不断，利好国际工程企业（2025.2.15- 2025.2.21）-2025.02.23 【兴证建筑】周观点：化债节奏加快、 专项债发行前置，开复工节奏有望提速 （2025.2.8-2025.2.14）-2025.02.16 【兴证建筑】周观点：节后建筑开复工 节奏偏慢，静待财政发力效果显现 （2025.2.1-2025.2.7）-2025.02.09 分析师：黄杨 S0190518070004 huangyang@xyzq.com.cn 分析师：李明 S0190524060003 liming22@xyzq.com.cn 周观点："化债"再融资专项债"行行万亿 ，债目专金 到位率持续改善（2025.2.22-2025.2.28） 投专要点： ⚫ 投资策略： 主线一：化债有望驱动建筑央企经营质量改善。1）新一轮化债的驱动力度和作用方式， 可以类比于 2014 年"一带一路"行情和 2016 年的 PPP 行 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 03 02 年 月 日 建筑装饰 新疆煤化工蓬勃起势，重视产业链龙头投资机会。新疆对外是"一带一路" 桥头堡，对内是西部大开发等重大战略核心区域，持续受各类政策资源倾 行业走势 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-03 2024-07 2024-10 2025-02 建筑装饰 沪深300 作者 分析师 何亚轩 执业证书编号：S0680518030004 邮箱：heyaxuan@gszq.com 分析师 程龙戈 执业证书编号：S0680518010003 邮箱：chenglongge@gszq.com 分析师 廖文强 持续推荐国际工程与新疆煤化工，关注下周两会增量政策 本周核心观点：当前我们持续推荐国际工程与新疆煤化工投资机会：1） 国际工程：本周美乌领导人会面虽有波折，但俄乌停战大趋势明确。乌克 兰战后重建需求巨大（未来十年资金需求预计 5240 亿美元），乌方也表 示需要中国帮助重建，我国国际工程龙头竞争优势突出，且在当地已有业 务布局，有望重点受益；另一方面"一带一路"战略在中美博弈加剧背景 下有望加力推进，今年可能召 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating is "Outperform" (maintained rating) [5] Core Viewpoints - Increased focus on cyclical infrastructure and international engineering sectors, with significant improvement in funding sources such as special bonds. The physical volume of infrastructure is expected to accelerate, particularly after the Two Sessions, which may catalyze market performance in these sectors [1][14] - The construction industry is showing signs of recovery, with a construction PMI of 52.7%, indicating expansion. The physical workload in infrastructure is improving, supported by favorable weather and project commencement post-Spring Festival [14][20] - The report suggests a focus on three main investment themes: 1) Infrastructure + debt reduction + value enhancement; 2) Potential high elasticity in cyclical engineering; 3) Thematic investment opportunities in low-altitude economy, Belt and Road Initiative, and construction transformation [20][24] Summary by Sections Section 1: Current Market Conditions - As of February 27, 2025, the funding availability rate for 13,532 construction sites is 49.1%, showing a year-on-year increase. The construction activity index has risen, indicating a recovery in the construction sector [2][13] - The issuance of new special bonds has accelerated, with a total of 589.11 billion yuan issued, a year-on-year increase of over 180 billion yuan. Infrastructure remains the primary focus, accounting for over 50% of the funding allocation [2][14] Section 2: Market Performance - The construction index rose by 1.25% during the week of February 24-28, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell by 1.89%. Notable stock performances included HanJia Design (+32.74%) and Chengbang Co. (+22.71%) [3][17] Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of infrastructure investment driven by real demand in water conservancy, railways, and urban infrastructure, with expected growth rates of 7.0% and 2.0% for broad and narrow definitions of infrastructure, respectively [20][24] - Recommendations include focusing on companies benefiting from debt reduction policies and those with high exposure to cyclical engineering opportunities, such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, and China Communications Construction [20][24]