Workflow
Goldman Sachs
icon
Search documents
SaaS Markets Have Crashed in 2026. But Is Private Credit the Even Bigger Risk?
SaaStr· 2026-02-20 15:10
Core Insights - The software stock market has entered a bear phase in 2026, with significant declines in valuations and market capitalizations, raising concerns about the private credit market's exposure to software companies [1][2][52] - The private credit market, valued at $3 trillion, has a substantial portion tied to software, with estimates indicating that 20-35% of private credit deals involve SaaS companies [8][9] - The potential for widespread defaults in private credit could have far-reaching implications for the entire financial ecosystem supporting B2B operations, including venture debt and M&A activities [7][52] Market Performance - The IGV index has dropped over 23% year-to-date, with $285 billion in market cap lost in a single day, and software price-to-sales ratios have decreased from 9x to 6x [1] - Major software IPOs have seen drastic declines, with Figma down over 80% from its peak and Navan down 60% since its IPO [5][27] Private Credit Exposure - Private credit's exposure to software companies is estimated between $600 billion and $750 billion, raising concerns about the reliability of debt repayment [2][52] - The private credit market has financed over $440 billion in software acquisitions from 2015 to 2025, with many loans now under stress due to changing market conditions [9][10] Distressed Debt Levels - As of early February, $46.9 billion in US tech company loans are trading at distressed levels, with a record $25 billion of software-sector loans below the distress threshold [15][16] - The average EBITDA multiples for software companies have collapsed from 30x at the end of 2022 to approximately 16x today, indicating a significant reduction in collateral value for loans [21] Risk of Defaults - Default rates for US private credit could reach 13% if AI disruption accelerates, significantly higher than projected high-yield default rates [30] - The interconnectedness of private credit and the broader financial system poses risks, as tightening credit conditions could lead to a cascade of defaults across the software sector [36][50] Structural Issues - The private credit market operates differently from public equity markets, with illiquid loans often held to maturity and valued by lenders themselves, which can delay the recognition of problems [34] - The potential for a "doom loop" scenario exists, where missed payments lead to markdowns, triggering redemption requests that funds may struggle to meet [37][50] Industry Outlook - The SaaSpocalypse reflects a broader concern about the sustainability of software companies in an AI-driven market, where traditional revenue models may no longer hold [6][52] - The private credit market's heavy reliance on software companies, combined with the current economic climate, suggests a challenging environment ahead for both lenders and borrowers [52][53]
X @Wu Blockchain
Wu Blockchain· 2026-02-20 05:41
According to The Wall Street Journal, pardoned Binance founder Changpeng Zhao returned to the U.S. for the first time since his 2024 release, attending a crypto summit hosted by Trump family–backed World Liberty Financial at Mar-a-Lago in February 2026. Zhao interacted with Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., later posting on X that he “learned a lot.” Attendees included Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, NYSE President Lynn Martin, Kevin O’Leary, Coinbase founder Brian Armstrong, Senator Bernie Moreno, and Nick ...
X @BSCN
BSCN· 2026-02-19 18:26
🚨THE TRUMP FAMILY HELD A CRYPTO SUMMIT AND THE GUEST LIST IS WILD!CZ (@cz_binance). Goldman Sachs. Nicki Minaj (@NICKIMINAJ). Brian Armstrong (@brian_armstrong) 300 VIPs.No cameras. No livestream.Here's everything that actually happened inside Mar-a-Lago 👇 https://t.co/JgG3zoMmSOBSCN (@BSCNews):https://t.co/hTlsXLoV2Z ...
Blue Owl Plunges After Halting Redemptions On Private Credit Retail Fund
ZeroHedge· 2026-02-19 15:50
Things are getting from bad to worse for Private Credit giant Blue Owl Capital.The last time we looked at the firm's precarious liquidity situation about a month ago, we found that the Blue Owl BDC would allow for 17% redemptions as investors, burned by both the tumbling stock price and the company's massive exposure to ticking private credit time bombs, were storming for the exit. Blue Owl BDC Allows for 17% Redemptions as Investors Storm Exit: BBG— zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 7, 2026One month later, it ...
5 Dividend-Paying Giants Have Been on Goldman Sachs Conviction List the Longest
247Wallst· 2026-02-19 13:18
Core Insights - Goldman Sachs Conviction List features top stock picks for institutional and high-net-worth clients, highlighting companies with strong growth and income potential [1][2] - Five dividend-paying companies have been on the Conviction List for extended periods, all rated as Buy by Goldman Sachs [1] Company Summaries - **Bank of America (NYSE: BAC)**: - Dividend yield of 2.06% - Target price set at $67 - On the Conviction List for 362 days - Operates in Global Markets, Global Banking, Global Wealth & Investment Management, and Consumer Banking segments [1][2] - **Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ)**: - Dividend yield of 2.10% - Target price set at $250 - On the Conviction List for 275 days - Focuses on pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, and medical devices across Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments [1][2] - **Huntington Ingalls Industries (NYSE: HII)**: - Dividend yield of 1.33% - Target price set at $425 - On the Conviction List for 214 days - Engages in designing and constructing military ships and offers various naval nuclear support services [1][2] - **Duke Energy (NYSE: DUK)**: - Dividend yield of 3.37% - Target price set at $141 - On the Conviction List for 214 days - Operates in Electric Utilities and Infrastructure and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segments [1][2] - **Kontoor Brands (NYSE: KTB)**: - Dividend yield of 3.09% - Target price set at $84 - On the Conviction List for 214 days - A global lifestyle apparel company with brands like Wrangler and Lee [1][2]
X @CoinMarketCap
CoinMarketCap· 2026-02-19 08:37
LATEST: 🏦 Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon revealed he owns a small amount of Bitcoin, describing his position as "very little" while saying he is still studying how BTC behaves. https://t.co/jqWAkSpkZ6 ...
Does he realize what he just said? (bitcoin news)
Altcoin Daily· 2026-02-18 22:55
I've never been more bullish on Bitcoin in my life. I've never been more bullish on a cryptocurrency in my life. >> What is the status of the market structure regulation that that you famously blocked.>> Do you does Goldman Sachs buy Bitcoin. >> Something interesting is happening today with Bitcoin that affects you if you hold cryptocurrency. >> Until until 10 minutes ago, the regulatory structure was extremely prohibiting prohibitive on what we could do as principle.That regulatory structure is evolving. > ...
Why U.S. stocks are off to the worst start since 1995*
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-18 21:42
US stocks are seeing their worst start to the year since 1995. That's versus global markets. >> It's not just that the US is down slightly, is that the rest of the world is up sharply.>> For the rest of the world to continue to outperform the US, they were going to have to have some fundamental follow-through. And frankly, that's not what we're getting quite yet. US stocks are seeing their worst start to the year since 1995.That's versus global markets. And it's according to data from Goldman Sachs. We got ...
X @aixbt
aixbt· 2026-02-18 21:35
canton CC burn/mint ratio jumped from 0.15 to 0.65 in six months. 15m tokens burned daily, 14% of market cap annually. broadridge runs $365b daily repo volume through the network and every settlement burns CC. $2.6b FDV with goldman, jpmorgan, dtcc as validators and zero VC token overhang. the deflationary math gets violent if treasury tokenization launches in 2026 ...
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, once a crypto skeptic, now says he owns Bitcoin
New York Post· 2026-02-18 21:27
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, previously a cryptocurrency skeptic, disclosed owning a small amount of Bitcoin, describing it as "very little, but some" [1] - Solomon emphasized that traditional finance and cryptocurrency should not be viewed as rivals, stating that tokens will be "super important" in the future [2][4] - Under Solomon's leadership, Goldman Sachs has increased its involvement in cryptocurrency by launching trading desks and custody services for institutional clients [2][4] Group 2 - The attitude of Wall Street towards digital currencies has shifted, particularly under the second Trump administration, which has adopted a light-touch approach to crypto regulation [6] - Bitcoin operates without the involvement of banks or governments, allowing for anonymous transactions, which has contributed to its popularity among users seeking privacy [7] - Bitcoin is generated by "miners" who verify transactions through complex mathematical puzzles, receiving Bitcoin as a reward for their efforts [8]