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Rivian Hasn't Stopped Losing Money on Its EVs, but Is It a Buy Anyway?
247Wallst· 2026-02-13 16:37
Core Insights - Rivian has reported its first consolidated gross profit of $144 million in 2025, marking a significant improvement from a loss of over $1.3 billion in 2024, driven by cost reductions and software revenue [1] - Despite this milestone, Rivian continues to face challenges with a $3.6 billion net loss in 2025 and expects adjusted EBITDA losses between $1.8 billion and $2.1 billion for 2026 [1] - The company is betting on the upcoming R2 midsize SUV, which is expected to launch in Q2 2026 at a starting price of $45,000, targeting a delivery growth of 47% to 59% in 2026 [1] Financial Performance - Rivian's automotive gross profit remained negative at $432 million for 2025, indicating ongoing losses on vehicle sales [1] - The stock has seen a decline of 82% from its IPO price of $78, closing at $14, and has delivered losses across various time frames, including a 29% drop year-to-date in 2026 [1] - The company anticipates pressure on automotive gross profit in the first half of 2026 due to the ramp-up of R2 production, with expectations for improvement later in the year [1] Market Context - The global EV market has cooled, with a 3% year-over-year decline in sales in January 2026, and significant drops in North America (33%) and China (20%) [1] - Rivian's R2 SUV aims to compete with Tesla's Model Y, but the company may have missed the optimal launch timing due to the current market conditions [1] - Overall new-vehicle sales are projected to decline by 2.4% in 2026, influenced by economic headwinds and policy uncertainties [1] Technological Developments - Rivian is venturing into AI hardware with its in-house Rivian Autonomy Processor (RAP1), which will debut on the R2, enhancing its advanced driver-assistance and autonomy features [1] - The RAP1 chip offers 2.5 times better performance per watt compared to previous Nvidia processors, supporting Rivian's goal of achieving Level 4 autonomy by the end of the year [1]
RIVN Revs Up Production, ROKU Record Subscriptions, PINS Misses Earnings
Youtube· 2026-02-13 15:30
Rivian - Rivian's shares increased significantly following better-than-expected quarterly results, reporting an adjusted loss of 54 cents per share, which was less than market expectations [1][2] - Revenue for the quarter was reported at $1.29 billion, surpassing the anticipated $1.04 billion, indicating a positive performance on both top and bottom lines [2] - The company forecasts a substantial delivery ramp for its R2 SUV, expecting to deliver between 62,000 to 67,000 vehicles, representing a 47% to 59% increase over 2025 [3] - The R2 is projected to be the majority of Rivian's volume by 2027, with an expected starting price of around $45,000 [4][5] Roku - Roku's shares rose over 11% after reporting earnings of 53 cents per share, significantly exceeding the expected 27 cents [6][8] - Revenue for Roku was reported at $1.395 billion, reflecting a 16% increase year-over-year, with record subscription signups during the holiday quarter [7][8] - The company is focusing on bundling as a growth strategy and is positioning itself as a central hub for subscriptions, with management forecasting double-digit platform growth [8][9] - Roku's advertising segment has shown improvement, with the Roku channel now being the second-largest free ad-supported channel behind YouTube [10] Pinterest - Pinterest reported a double miss on earnings, with adjusted EPS at 67 cents, below the expected 69 cents, and revenue at $1.319 billion, missing the forecast of $1.329 billion [11][12] - The company attributed its poor performance to tariffs, claiming they negatively impacted spending from major retail advertisers [12][13] - Pinterest's guidance for Q1 revenue is weak, projecting between $951 million to $971 million, lower than the market expectation of $980 million [13] - Despite strong user growth, the monetization through advertising has not met expectations, leading to a significant drop in shares, down more than 20% [14]
Rivian Stock Disaster Continues
247Wallst· 2026-02-13 14:02
Core Viewpoint - Investors reacted positively to Rivian's new quarterly results and sales forecasts for the year [1] Group 1 - Rivian reported strong quarterly results that exceeded market expectations [1] - The company provided optimistic sales forecasts for the current year, indicating growth potential [1]
Rivian surges as upcoming affordable SUV powers EV delivery forecast
Reuters· 2026-02-13 13:51
Core Viewpoint - Rivian's stock surged by 24% following its projection that the introduction of more affordable models, particularly the R2 SUV starting at nearly $45,000, will attract more buyers and boost deliveries in 2026 [1][1][1] Company Summary - Rivian plans to launch the R2 model in the second quarter of this year, which is a significant price reduction from its high-end R1 family of vehicles [1][1] - The company anticipates a 53% increase in deliveries in 2026, projecting between 62,000 and 67,000 vehicles, compared to previous estimates of 64,130 vehicles [1][1] - Despite being unprofitable, Rivian's stock rose over 48% last year due to optimism surrounding the R2 model, although it has faced a 29% decline this year amid subdued overall EV sentiment [1][1] Industry Summary - The electric vehicle industry is shifting towards lower-priced models to stimulate demand after the expiration of a $7,500 federal tax break [1][1] - Competitors like Ford and General Motors are also focusing on affordable EVs, with Ford developing a $30,000 model and GM reintroducing the Bolt EV at just under $30,000 [1][1] - Other luxury brands, such as Lucid, are launching cheaper variants to adapt to the changing market dynamics [1][1]
Rivian Shares Climb After Q4 Results Top Estimates
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 13:46
Core Insights - Rivian Automotive stock is experiencing significant strength, with shares trading 26.64% higher at $17.74 [9] Financial Performance - Rivian reported an adjusted loss of 54 cents, which was better than the consensus estimate of a 68 cent loss [2] - The company generated revenue of $1.28 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.27 billion [2] - Automotive revenue was $839 million, a decrease of 45% year-over-year from $1.520 billion, primarily due to a $270 million drop in regulatory credit sales and lower vehicle deliveries [3] - Software and services revenue increased by 109% year-over-year to $447 million from $214 million, driven by enhanced vehicle electrical architecture and software development services from a joint venture with Volkswagen Group [4] Production and Deliveries - Rivian produced 10,974 vehicles and delivered 9,745 vehicles during the fourth quarter [4] Analyst Ratings - Rivian holds a consensus Buy rating with an average price target of $16.57 [5] - Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu upgraded the stock from Hold to Buy and raised the price target from $16 to $23 following the earnings release [5] Market Outlook - The stock is currently trading 10.6% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) but 4% below its 50-day SMA, indicating a mixed short-term outlook [6] - Over the past 12 months, shares have increased by 5.26%, and they are closer to their 52-week highs than lows, suggesting relatively strong performance [6] - The RSI is at 32.39, indicating neutral territory, while MACD is above its signal line, suggesting bullish momentum [7] Momentum Analysis - Rivian's Benzinga Edge score indicates moderate momentum with a score of 60.9, suggesting the stock is performing reasonably well but may not be fully capitalizing on bullish trends in the electric vehicle market [8]
Rivian (RIVN) stock soars 20% after earnings
Finbold· 2026-02-13 10:48
Core Viewpoint - Rivian reported stronger-than-expected Q4 results, achieving its first annual gross profit, which led to a significant increase in its stock price after hours [1][2]. Financial Performance - Rivian's Q4 revenue was $1.29 billion, surpassing the expected $1.26 billion, while the loss per share was $0.54, better than the anticipated $0.68 [2]. - The company achieved its first annual gross profit of $144 million, with Q4 contributing $120 million [2]. Stock Market Reaction - Following a decline of over 5% during the February 12 session, Rivian's stock rebounded by nearly 20% in after-hours trading, reaching a price of $16.77 [1][3]. Future Outlook - Rivian's guidance for 2025 includes expectations to ship between 62,000 and 67,000 vehicles, indicating a potential annual delivery growth of up to 59% [5]. - Despite the positive outlook, the company anticipates operating at a loss in the current year, which poses risks to investors [6]. Analyst Ratings and Market Sentiment - Wall Street analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating for Rivian, with a price target of $17.75, which is above the recent trading price but reflects cautious sentiment [8][11]. - The only recent rating revision was bearish, with Mizuho Securities assigning a 'Sell' rating while raising the price forecast from $10 to $11 [11].
Elliott reiterates call against Toyota Industries tender offer, shares hit record
Reuters· 2026-02-13 01:24
Core Viewpoint - Elliott Investment Management opposes the tender offer from Toyota Motor for Toyota Industries, claiming the offer price is too low and detrimental to minority shareholders [1]. Group 1: Tender Offer Details - Toyota Motor initially offered 16,300 yen per share for Toyota Industries, later increasing the bid to 18,800 yen in January [1]. - The tender offer was set to close on Thursday, with 33.1% of shares tendered two and a half hours before the deadline [1]. - To succeed, the bid requires acceptance from 42.01% of minority shareholders, excluding Toyota Motor's 24.66% stake [1]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the tender offer extension, Toyota Industries shares surged, reaching a record high of 20,355 yen per share [1].
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2026-02-13 01:00
Core Insights - Rivian Automotive reported a revenue of $1.29 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 25.8% [1] - The company's EPS for the same period was -$0.54, slightly worse than the -$0.52 reported a year ago [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26 billion, resulting in a surprise of +2.11% [1] - Rivian delivered an EPS surprise of +21.51%, compared to the consensus EPS estimate of -$0.69 [1] Performance Metrics - Rivian's delivery volume was 9,745 units, slightly below the four-analyst average estimate of 9,821 [4] - Revenue from software and services was $447 million, surpassing the average estimate of $397.28 million based on five analysts [4] - Automotive revenue was $839 million, which fell short of the average estimate of $861.1 million from five analysts [4] - Gross profit from software and services was $179 million, exceeding the average estimate of $149.21 million from three analysts [4] - Gross profit from automotive was -$59 million, better than the average estimate of -$145.74 million from three analysts [4] Stock Performance - Rivian Automotive shares have returned -15.7% over the past month, compared to a -0.3% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Reports Q4 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-02-13 00:45
分组1 - Rivian Automotive reported a quarterly loss of $0.54 per share, better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.69, representing an earnings surprise of +21.51% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.29 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.11%, but down from $1.73 billion year-over-year [2] - Rivian shares have declined approximately 25.1% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 1.4% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.69 on revenues of $1.34 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$2.32 on revenues of $6.57 billion [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Automotive - Domestic is in the top 36% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]
Rivian was saved by software in 2025
TechCrunch· 2026-02-12 23:17
Core Insights - Rivian's total revenue for 2025 reached $5.38 billion, marking an 8% increase from $4.97 billion in 2024, despite a 15% decline in automotive revenue to $3.8 billion due to lower vehicle deliveries and a drop in regulatory credit sales [2][3] Revenue Breakdown - Automotive revenue fell to $3.8 billion, influenced by a $134 million decrease in regulatory credit sales and reduced vehicle deliveries, although higher average selling prices provided some offset [2] - Software and services revenue surged over threefold to $1.55 billion, primarily driven by a joint venture with Volkswagen Group [3] Joint Venture with Volkswagen - The joint venture with Volkswagen, established in 2024 and valued at up to $5.8 billion, resulted in a $1 billion payout in 2025 after Rivian met certain milestones [4] - Rivian is expected to receive an additional $2 billion from Volkswagen through 2027, contingent on the successful completion of winter testing and other terms [5] Future Product Launches - Rivian plans to launch the R2 SUV by June 2026, which is designed to be cheaper to produce and more affordable for customers, addressing the company's historical losses on vehicle production [8] - The R2 SUV is anticipated to further reduce costs, with Rivian aiming to deliver between 62,000 and 67,000 vehicles in 2026, representing a potential 59% increase from 2025 [11] Financial Performance and Projections - Rivian reported a net loss of $3.6 billion in 2025, with expectations of an adjusted net loss between $1.8 billion and $2.1 billion for 2026 [12] - Capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion [12]