Core Insights - The analyst has over a decade of experience in global markets, focusing on macroeconomic analysis, portfolio management, and equity research [1] - The current role involves leading multi-asset strategies and managing equity portfolios, combining top-down macro insights with bottom-up stock selection [1] - The research emphasizes economic cycles, monetary policy, and systemic risks, with a specialization in growth stocks while maintaining a broad perspective across all equity styles [1] Company and Industry Analysis - The analyst utilizes Bloomberg Terminal, advanced Excel models, and quantitative tools for valuation, risk monitoring, and sector analysis [1] - The goal is to share high-conviction ideas, focusing on undercovered names, contrarian opportunities, and the geopolitical and macro forces influencing capital flows [1] - The analysis is designed to be rigorous, strategic, and actionable for both retail and institutional investors [1]

I aim to provide alpha-generating investment ideas. I am an independent investor managing my family's portfolio, primarily via a Self Managed Super Fund. You can expect my articles to deliver a clearly structured, evidence-based thesis. But first and foremost, I encourage readers to judge me on my performance.I have a generalist approach as I explore, analyze and invest in any sector so long there is perceived alpha potential vs the S&P500. The typical holding period ranges between a few quarters to multipl ...

Group 1: Tesla - A group of Tesla shareholders and state officials are urging investors to reject CEO Elon Musk's $1 trillion pay plan [3] - Tesla's Q3 deliveries report has received positive feedback [3] Group 2: Google - Google plans to invest $4 billion in Arkansas to construct a new data center on over 1,000 acres in West Memphis, powered by Entergy [4] Group 3: Labor Market - The U.S. federal government shutdown has postponed the release of key economic reports, leading market participants to seek alternative data sources [5] - The Chicago Fed's real-time unemployment forecast for September 2025 is 4.34%, slightly up from 4.32% in August and 4.09% in September 2024 [5] - Job cuts reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas through September 2025 total 946.4K, compared to 609.2K through September 2024 [6] - ADP private sector employment data shows a decline of 32K jobs in September, a significant drop from a revised gain of 54K in August [6] - August JOLTS data indicates job openings at 7.227 million, a slight increase from 7.208 million in July [7] - Initial jobless claims' four-week moving average is 237.5K as of September 20, compared to 225.3K a year ago [7] Group 4: Market Reactions - FICO shares have surged while credit reporting stocks have declined following a shift in the licensing model [9] - Edison (EIX) shares fell after the cancellation of a California grid upgrade grant [9] - Occidental (OXY) shares dropped amid analyst criticism regarding the OxyChem sale [10] - Boeing (BA) has delayed the 777X program and plans to replace striking workers in St. Louis [10] - Applied Materials (AMAT) shares fell due to new export rules affecting sales to China [10]

the market on close. I'm Marley Caden here in Chicago alongside Sam Bodis at the New York Stock Exchange. We'll close our show how we do every day with some final thoughts on the session.Of course, we did not get our usual unemployment numbers today and we will not get our non-farm payrolls report tomorrow with the government closure still in effect. What we did get was some data that continues to show a softening labor market. The Chicago Fed released data that says that the unemployment rate remained unch ...

Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC) stock continued its impressive rally, rising 3.9% on Thursday, bringing its total monthly gain to more than 50%. INTC stock is climbing. See the real-time price action here. Government's Intel Stake SurgesThe surge has also significantly increased the value of the U.S. government's controversial 10% equity stake in Intel, which now stands at roughly $16 billion, according to CNBC. Read Next: Tesla, Rivals Brace For EV Market ‘Collapse’—Thanks To TrumpThe federal government first en ...

AMD is reportedly in talks to contract with Intel Foundry, the latest show of support for the ailing chipmaker. David Paul Morris / Bloomberg via Getty Images Close Key Takeaways Intel (INTC) was down and out, and then the White House flipped a switch and made it one of the hottest stocks on Wall Street. Semafor yesterday reported chip designer Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) was in early talks to become an Intel Foundry customer. The report noted it was unclear how much of AMD's business would go to Intel ins ...

Signage outside the Intel headquarters in San Jose, California, US, on Thursday, Sept. 18, 2025.Shares of U.S. chipmaker Intel climbed 3% Thursday, putting the monthly gain over 50%.The surge pushed the stock past $37, hiking the value of the U.S. government's 10% stake in Intel to roughly $16 billion. The Trump administration negotiated an $8.9 billion investment in Intel common stock in August, purchasing 433.3 million shares at $20.47 per share.Press secretary Karoline Leavitt celebrated the surge with a ...

Well, I would say Taiwan just threw some cold water on the Trump administration semiconductor ambitions. Why is that. Because Vice Premier Chang Lee Chung, Taiwan's tariff negotiator, returned from Washington and pretty much made it clear they never discussed commerce secretary Lutnik's 50 50 chip production split.And there they also would quote not agree to such conditions. And this really matters because Secretary Lutnik has been threatening companies with the choice. manufacture one chip domestically for ...

Core Insights - Intel has experienced significant volatility in its stock price, with a notable increase of approximately 60% recently, outperforming the semiconductor ETF, tech sector, and broader market [1][2][3] Technical Analysis - The long-term chart indicates a potential breakout from a prolonged downtrend, with significant historical events like the dot-com bubble and COVID-19 being highlighted [2] - A recent breakout above the 26.50 level led to a substantial upward movement, followed by a period of low volatility and subsequent price increases [3][4] - Current price movements are contained within a defined white channel, suggesting a structured trading range [3] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows bullish patterns, although a slight bearish divergence is noted as the RSI is overbought despite recent price increases [5] Expected Price Movements - The expected price movement for Intel by October 17th is approximately ±12.9%, with key support levels identified around 32 and 29 [6][7] - The upper resistance level is projected at about 37.71, indicating potential price targets for traders [7] Options Strategy - A bullish call vertical strategy is proposed, involving buying a 35 strike call and selling a 45 strike call, which allows for limited risk exposure while maintaining upside potential [10][11][12] - The cost of this strategy is approximately $2.70 per spread, requiring the stock to exceed 37.70 for profitability, representing a 5% increase from the current price [13][14] - This approach provides flexibility, allowing for exit prior to expiration if the desired price movement occurs [15]

Group 1 - Intel shares increased by 7% recently, reflecting a significant rise of 40% over the past month, indicating strong investor interest and potential profitability [1] - The U.S. government's emerging industrial policy is influencing the semiconductor industry, particularly benefiting companies like Intel and AMD, as they seek to establish foundry capabilities in the U.S. [1] - Intel faces challenges in manufacturing, particularly in achieving 2 nanometer technology to compete with TSMC, and will need more customers to increase production volume [1] Group 2 - AMD's market cap previously reached $270 billion while Intel was below $100 billion, but Intel is now catching up due to external factors rather than its own advancements [1] - There is speculation that AMD may be seeking partnerships to avoid tariffs and enhance its market position, indicating a strategic shift in the industry [2] - Nvidia is facing potential antitrust scrutiny as it navigates complex contract relationships and chip allocation, which could impact its market dynamics [3][4] Group 3 - Nvidia has contracts that allow it to resell up to 50% of the capacity it allocates to large hyperscalers, raising questions about the depth of its contractual relationships [4][6] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a chip shortage, complicating the allocation process among major players like Nvidia, Tesla, and others [5] - The government may play a role in supporting Intel's growth by providing contracts that could exempt companies from tariffs, indicating a strategic alignment between government policy and corporate interests [1]