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SMCI Sees Earnings Surge, Analysts Remain Mixed on Outlook
Youtube· 2026-02-04 16:30
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro's stock has surged by over 12% following strong earnings, driven by record revenue from AI demand, despite mixed analyst reactions and ongoing margin pressures [2][3][5]. Financial Performance - Super Micro reported record revenue of $12.7 billion, a 123% year-over-year increase, significantly surpassing the expected $10.4 billion [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) came in at 69 cents, exceeding analyst expectations of 49 cents [4]. Margin and Challenges - The company is facing near-term margin pressure, with a gross margin of 6.3% for the December quarter, down from 9.3% in the previous quarter [5][6]. - Analysts noted that competition and margin pressures remain challenges, with some price targets being lowered due to these factors [6][7]. Analyst Reactions - Mazuo raised its price target from $31 to $33 but maintained a neutral rating, while NEM lowered its target from $51 to $40, indicating some upside potential [6][7]. - Barclays also reduced its price target from $43 to $38, maintaining an equal weight rating, citing gross margin pressures [8][9]. Market Context - The stock's recent surge is not in line with the broader tech sector, which is experiencing pressure, and analysts express skepticism about the sustainability of this upward movement [2][15]. - Concerns were raised about the impact of rising memory prices on Super Micro's margins, particularly in the context of the AI boom and its effects on the company's legacy enterprise server segment [10].
Super Micro Computer Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2026-02-04 16:11
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings of 69 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 40.8% and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 16.9% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $12.68 billion for the same quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 21.42% and marking a significant year-over-year growth of 122.8% [2] Financial Performance - Revenues from OEM Appliance and Large Data Center segments, which constitute approximately 84% of total revenues, reached $10.7 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 151% and a sequential rise of 210% due to strong hyperscale AI deployments [3] - The Enterprise/Channel segment, accounting for around 16% of total revenues, generated $2 billion, reflecting a 42% year-over-year increase and a 29% sequential rise [3] Geographic Breakdown - The United States contributed 86% of total sales, with a year-over-year increase of 184% and a sequential increase of 496%, driven by large-scale AI infrastructure rollouts [4] - Asia represented 9% of revenues, up 53% year-over-year but down 49% sequentially [4] - Europe contributed 3% of revenues, down 63% year-over-year, while the Rest of the World accounted for 2%, up 77% from the prior-year quarter [4] Margins and Expenses - SMCI's non-GAAP gross margin was 6.4%, down from 11.9% a year ago, attributed to an unfavorable customer and product mix, higher freight and expedite costs, and large-scale shipments of new AI platforms [5] - Non-GAAP operating expenses were $241 million, representing 1.9% of revenues, which is a 6.5% increase year-over-year [5][6] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - As of December 31, 2025, total cash and cash equivalents were $4.1 billion, slightly down from $4.2 billion at the end of the previous quarter [7] - The company reported an operating cash outflow of $24 million during the quarter and a negative free cash flow of $45 million [7] Future Guidance - For the third quarter of fiscal 2026, SMCI expects net sales to be $12.3 billion, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $10.28 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 123.4% [8] - The company anticipates non-GAAP diluted EPS of 60 cents, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at 61 cents, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 96.8% [8] - For fiscal 2026, SMCI raised its revenue outlook to $40 billion, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $36.55 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 66.35% [8]
Super Micro Computer shares jump on Q2 results, upbeat outlook
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2026-02-04 15:55
About this content About Emily Jarvie Emily began her career as a political journalist for Australian Community Media in Hobart, Tasmania. After she relocated to Toronto, Canada, she reported on business, legal, and scientific developments in the emerging psychedelics sector before joining Proactive in 2022. She brings a strong journalism background with her work featured in newspapers, magazines, and digital publications across Australia, Europe, and North America, including The Examiner, The Advocate, ...
SMCI stock's post-earnings rally may be a ‘trap' — smart money says sell
Invezz· 2026-02-04 15:25
SMCI stock's post-earnings rally may be a 'trap' - smart money says sell false### Choose your country### Choose preferred languagePopular languagesEnglish (USA) [Deutsch] [Español] [Français] [Português]All available languagesEnglish (USA) [English (UK)] [English (Australia)] [English (Canada)] [English (New Zealand)] [English (South Africa)] [English (Ireland)] [English (Singapore)] [English (Nigeria)] [English (Pakistan)] [English (India)] [eština] [Deutsch] [Dansk] [Español] [Français] [Italiano] [] [Mel ...
US stocks edge up as Lilly, Super Micro earnings cushion software jitters
The Economic Times· 2026-02-04 14:36
Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 opened flat and the Dow slightly higher, influenced by positive earnings from Eli Lilly and Super Micro Computer, while investors remained cautious on software and cloud stocks after a recent selloff [1] Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 175.92 points, or 0.40%, reaching 49,439.32 [1] - The S&P 500 rose by 2.91 points, or 0.04%, to 6,920.72 [1] - The Nasdaq Composite decreased by 63.55 points, or 0.27%, to 23,191.63 [1] Company Highlights - Eli Lilly reported upbeat results, contributing to the positive market sentiment [1] - Super Micro Computer also posted strong earnings, further supporting the market's upward movement [1]
Super Micro: The $12B AI Illusion — A Record Beat Is A Major Red Flag (NASDAQ:SMCI)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 14:09
Group 1 - The article discusses the author's personal experience with Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), highlighting a previous investment decision that resulted in a small loss at an average price of approximately $42 [1] - The author expresses a commitment to providing insights for both beginners and advanced readers, aiming for clarity and well-reasoned perspectives on market analysis [1] - The author operates a YouTube channel named "The Market Monkeys," where stock analyses are shared, indicating an engagement with a broader audience [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific financial data or performance metrics related to Super Micro Computer, Inc. or the broader industry [2][3]
Super Micro: The $12B AI Illusion -- A Record Beat Is A Major Red Flag
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 14:09
Group 1 - The article discusses the author's personal experience with Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), highlighting a previous investment decision that resulted in a small loss at an average price of approximately $42 [1] - The author expresses a commitment to providing insights for both beginners and advanced readers, aiming for clarity and a well-reasoned perspective on market analysis [1] - The author also operates a YouTube channel named "The Market Monkeys," where stock analyses are shared, indicating a broader engagement with the investment community [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific financial data or performance metrics related to Super Micro Computer, Inc. or the broader industry [2][3]
SMCI Stock Rallies 11% as AI Boom Boosts Earnings. This Remains a Worry for Super Micro.
Barrons· 2026-02-04 10:10
Core Insights - SMCI shares have faced challenges, but recent results may alleviate some investor concerns [1] Company Performance - The latest financial results indicate a potential recovery for SMCI, which was previously a favorite in the artificial intelligence sector [1] Market Reaction - Investor sentiment may improve following the release of these results, suggesting a possible turnaround for the company's stock performance [1]
Super Micro Computer: Blowout Earnings Confirm Bullish Case (NASDAQ:SMCI)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 07:04
Super Micro Computer ( SMCI ) has just released its FQ2 2026 earnings, and it was a really strong quarter, which helped the share price to rebound to approximately $32. We hadWith a decade at a Big 4 audit firm specializing in the banking, mining, and energy sectors, I bring a strong foundation in finance and strategy. Currently, I serve as the Head of Finance for a leading owner and operator of retail real estate, where I oversee complex financial operations and strategy. I’ve been an active investor in th ...
Super Micro Computer: Blowout Earnings Confirm Bullish Case
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 07:04
分组1 - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) reported strong earnings for FQ2 2026, leading to a share price rebound to approximately $32 [1] - The company has shown resilience and growth potential in its financial performance, indicating a positive outlook for investors [1] 分组2 - The article emphasizes the importance of thorough research and a long-term investment perspective in navigating market cycles [1]