Core Viewpoint - Shopify is expected to report strong revenue and earnings growth in its first-quarter 2025 results, driven by an expanding merchant base and international growth. Group 1: Financial Expectations - Shopify anticipates revenue growth at a mid-twenties percentage rate year-over-year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues at $2.33 billion, indicating a 25.24% increase from the previous year [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings is set at 26 cents per share, reflecting a 30% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter GMV is pegged at $75 billion, suggesting a 23% year-over-year growth [4] Group 2: Growth Drivers - Shopify's growth is attributed to a strong increase in its merchant base, with a cumulative GMV of $1 trillion processed in Q4 2024, marking a 25.7% year-over-year increase [3] - The growing usage of Shop Pay and new product launches, such as Shopify Balance for Plus and next-day payouts, are expected to enhance cash flow management and merchant adoption [4] - Subscription solutions revenues are estimated at $621 million, indicating a 21.5% year-over-year growth, while Merchant Solutions revenues are expected to reach $1.71 billion, suggesting a 26.7% increase [5] Group 3: Market Position and Valuation - Shopify shares have declined 7.5% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's decline of 7.6% and the Internet Services industry's drop of 11.3% [6] - Despite the decline, Shopify's stock is trading at a premium with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 11.1X, compared to the industry average of 4.88X [10] - Shopify commands 12% of the U.S. ecommerce market and is experiencing rapid growth in Europe and Japan, indicating a strong long-term outlook [13] Group 4: Strategic Partnerships - Shopify's partnerships with major companies like Amazon and Roblox are expected to enhance its merchant base and provide access to extensive fulfillment networks [15] - The expansion of Shopify Tax in the UK and EU, along with the introduction of Tap to Pay in multiple countries, is seen as a positive development for growth [14] - Collaborations with platforms such as TikTok, Snap, and YouTube are anticipated to further expand Shopify's reach and capabilities [14]

DoorDash, Inc. (DASH) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.44 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.40 per share. This compares to loss of $0.06 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 10%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.34 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.33, delivering a surprise of -2.94%.Over the last four quarters, the company has surp ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q4 revenue of $76.5 million, down 13% year-over-year, but at the upper end of the outlook range [27] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $6.5 million, compared to $8.8 million in the prior year [34] - Full year 2024 adjusted EBITDA was $35.1 million, up from $28.7 million in 2023 [35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ticketing revenue declined 10% to $70.4 million, primarily due to paid ticket volume recovery from the impacts of organizer fees [28] - Marketplace revenue decreased 35% to $6 million, attributed to the loss of organizer fees, partially offset by a 35% increase in Eventbrite Ads revenue [28][14] - Total ticketing volume was 72 million in Q4, representing a 2% year-over-year growth, driven by an 8% increase in free ticket volume [29][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Free ticket volume grew 8% in Q4, indicating a significant recovery and a 25 percentage point improvement from Q3 [12] - Paid ticket volume totaled 21.6 million in Q4, also a 10% decline, but an improvement from the 14% decline reported in Q3 [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on three strategic areas for 2025: expanding consumer reach, deepening creator engagement, and strengthening marketplace monetization [16] - A redesigned Eventbrite app is being rolled out to enhance event discovery and consumer engagement [17] - The company aims to exit 2025 as a stronger, more scalable business despite guiding to lower revenue due to structural changes in revenue mix [15][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views 2025 as a transition year, expecting to see continued recovery in ticketing trends and growth in Eventbrite Ads [39] - The elimination of organizer fees is expected to result in a $20 million revenue headwind compared to 2024, but management believes this will set the foundation for long-term growth [39][40] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to scale efficiently and drive stronger growth in 2026 and beyond [16][41] Other Important Information - The company ended Q4 with cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaling $465 million, down from $531 million at the end of Q3 [36] - Total debt at the end of Q4 was $241 million, with a focus on managing debt maturities in the upcoming year [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on TikTok partnership and conversion rates - Management highlighted that the TikTok partnership is crucial for event discovery and ticket sales, with ongoing efforts to improve conversion rates through native ticket integration [45][46] Question: Annual outlook and EBITDA margin guidance - Management explained that the mid-single digit EBITDA margin guidance reflects the impact of the $20 million reduction in organizer fees and other cost factors [50][52] Question: Free ticket activity and its impact on revenue growth - Management indicated that free ticket activity is a leading indicator for paid ticket volume growth, with ongoing improvements in creator retention and consumer engagement [66][70] Question: Capital allocation strategy regarding share repurchases and debt management - Management stated that a balanced approach will be taken for capital allocation, focusing on managing debt maturities while executing the share buyback program [79][80] Question: Building consumer loyalty and engagement - Management emphasized the importance of app users for driving loyalty and engagement, with initiatives like the HITLIST feature to enhance event discovery [88][90] Question: Strategies to win back high-volume creators - Management noted that since reintroducing the free tier, there has been stronger engagement with creators, supported by improved marketing tools and account management strategies [111][112]

Company Overview - Eventbrite aims to be the indispensable marketplace for live experiences[7] - The company is a scaled and trusted events marketplace with a large consumer audience, averaging 89 million monthly users and 270 million free and paid tickets in 2024[13] - Over 47 million events were held on the platform in 2024[17] Financial Performance & Metrics - Q4 2024 paid ticket volume was 216 million, a 10% year-over-year decrease, but improved 4 percentage points from Q3[64] - Q4 2024 net revenue was $765 million, a 13% year-over-year decline[64] - Q4 2024 net loss was $84 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $65 million[64] - For FY 2024, Eventbrite's gross booking value was $33 billion[26] - FY 2024 net revenue was $3251 million[67] Growth Strategy - The company focuses on strategic inventory, elevating visibility and discoverability, developing self-sign-on features, and monetizing its network to drive growth[42] - Eventbrite is focused on returning to revenue growth, driven by simplified pricing and packaging, and Eventbrite Ads adoption[54] - 49% of total tickets sold were influenced by Eventbrite-driven demand in Q4 2024[39] 2025 Outlook - The company anticipates Q1 2025 net revenue to be in the range of $71 million to $74 million[70] - Full year 2025 net revenue is expected to be in the range of $295 million to $310 million, impacted by the elimination of organizer fees, resulting in an approximately $20 million revenue headwind compared to 2024[71, 72]