Super Micro's Performance & Forecast - Super Micro is expected to face deferred procurement again in Q2 2025, aligning with previous predictions [1] - Revenue shortfall stems from specification changes from a major new customer, delaying revenue recognition [1] - The current quarter's financial report may continue to be under pressure [1] AI Server Market Dynamics - There are three main types of AI servers: ASIC (e g, Google TPU servers), Nvidia GB200/300 NVL72, and lower-end Nvidia servers (e g, x86 HGX series) [1] - The primary growth drivers in the AI server industry are ASIC and NVL72, with demand originating from CSPs (Cloud Service Providers) [1]

I'm a full time value investor and writer who enjoys using classical value ratios to pick my portfolio. My previous working background is in private credit and CRE mezzanine financing for a family office. I'm also a fluent Mandarin speaker in both business and court settings, previously serving as a court interpreter. I have spent a good chunk of my adult working life in China and Asia. I have worked with top CRE developers in the past including The Witkoff Group , Kushner Companies, Durst Organization and ...

And right now we are 2 minutes away from the end of the trading day. Romaine Bostick alongside Sonali Basak taking you through to that closing bell. It's a global simulcast.It started Carol Massar in the radio Matt Miller buyer side. Tim Stenovec has the day off. Welcome to our audiences across our Bloomberg platforms, including our partnership with YouTube.A bit of a pullback Carol Massar from that rebound rally we saw yesterday. And a lot of that seems to have to do with the economic data. Listen, Matt ke ...

Well, Super Micro and Skywar's earnings are out. One's dropping, one's popping. Christina Parts Neville has the numbers.Christina. >> Yeah, let's start with Super Micro, the one dropping. This is an AI server assembler.Uh, for their earnings report, they came in at 5.76% billion. Uh, that was a miss with 41 cents adjusted for EPS earnings per share, a threecent miss compared to what the street was anticipated. They were hit by what analysts are saying, competition.Dell, HPE stealing some market share for th ...

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool. ...

Core Insights - Digi Power X Inc has secured a significant $50 million investment from a single institutional investor, which will facilitate the company's transition from bitcoin mining to tier three AI data centers [1][4][6] Financial Position - The investment increases the company's cash position to over $30 million, with no long-term debt, indicating a strong financial condition for a micro-cap company [2][7] - The funds will be utilized to expand the deployment of NeoCloud tier three AI infrastructure and accelerate the manufacturing and global distribution of ARMS 200 modular data center pods [9] Strategic Focus - The company is transitioning its legacy bitcoin mining assets to develop tier three AI data centers, leveraging proprietary technologies such as the ARMS 200 modular data center platform and NeoCloud GPU-as-a-service infrastructure [3][6] - The investment reflects growing interest in Digi Power X's scalable AI infrastructure strategy, which is supported by advanced Nvidia chips [8][6] Future Plans - The financing will support the transition of the Alabama asset from a bitcoin mining operation to a tier three AI data center for high-performance computing [9] - The investor has expressed strong support and commitment, indicating potential for future long-term financing opportunities [9]

Market Overview & Strategy - Investors should avoid stocks where long and short positions are roughly equal, as these "battleground" stocks exhibit high volatility (around 50%) and significant drawdown (up to 65%), resulting in negative risk-reward [4] - Identifying battleground stocks like Archer, Kohl's, and C3 AI is crucial, and portfolio allocation should be carefully considered [5] Short Interest & Volatility - Stocks with short interest significantly exceeding long positions, such as Rivian and Super Micro, are prone to sharp declines upon negative news [6] - Increased short interest in the energy sector indicates bets on falling energy prices [7] Potential Short Squeeze - Apache is highlighted as a potential short squeeze candidate due to high borrow costs and substantial short interest; a stock price increase could trigger a significant squeeze [8] Individual Stock Call - S3 Partners generally refrains from making individual stock calls unless a strong correlation exists between short interest and price action [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "In-Line" [8] Core Insights - Total server shipments grew by 22% year-over-year (y/y) in 1Q25, primarily driven by cloud demand for both AI and general servers [1][2] - AI server shipments are expected to continue growing sequentially throughout 2025 [1][15] - High-end server shipments saw significant growth, increasing by 491% y/y in 1Q25, indicating strong demand for AI servers [12][13] Summary by Sections Overall Market Performance - Global server shipments totaled 3.9 million units in 1Q25, reflecting a slight decrease of 1% quarter-over-quarter (q/q) but a robust increase of 22% y/y [2] - The US market outperformed other regions with a 43% y/y growth in shipments, while Western Europe experienced a decline of 7% y/y [11] Segment Analysis - High-end servers outperformed with a 491% y/y growth, followed by mid-range servers at 143% y/y and entry-level servers at 12% y/y [12] - In terms of value, high-end servers rose by 679% y/y, while mid-range and entry-level servers increased by 179% y/y and 12% y/y, respectively [13] Vendor Performance - ODM direct shipments increased by 50% y/y in 1Q25, with a market share of 47.4%, up 10 percentage points from the previous quarter [14][15] - Major vendors like Dell, HP, and Lenovo saw declines in market share, with Dell at 9.1% and Lenovo at 4.9% [15] Stock Implications - Preference for ODMs/OEMs over components, with specific companies highlighted for investment potential including Giga-Byte, Hon Hai, and Quanta [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is In-Line [8] Core Insights - Total server shipments grew 22% year-over-year (y/y) in 1Q25, primarily driven by cloud demand for both AI and general servers [1][2] - AI server shipments are expected to continue growing sequentially throughout 2025 [1][15] - High-end server shipments saw significant growth of 491% y/y in 1Q25, indicating strong demand for AI servers [12][13] Summary by Sections Overall Market Performance - Global server shipments totaled 3.9 million units in 1Q25, reflecting a slight decrease of 1% quarter-over-quarter (q/q) but a robust increase of 22% y/y [2] - The US market outperformed with shipments up 43% y/y, while Western Europe saw a decline of 7% y/y [11] Segment Analysis - High-end servers grew 491% y/y, mid-range servers increased 143% y/y, and entry-level servers rose 12% y/y [12] - The aggregate ODM direct shipments reached 1,857k units, marking a 50% y/y increase [4][14] Vendor Performance - ODM direct market share increased to 47.4% in 1Q25, up 10 percentage points from the previous quarter [15] - Major vendors like Dell, HP, and Lenovo experienced declines in market share, with Dell at 9.1% and Lenovo at 4.9% [15] Stock Implications - Preference for ODMs/OEMs over components, with specific recommendations for companies such as Giga-Byte, Hon Hai, and Quanta [7]

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