Group 1: Stock Performance - Canada Goose (GOOS) closed at $8.30, with a +0.97% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.44% [1] - The stock has increased by 19.48% over the past month, surpassing the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 9.15% and the S&P 500's gain of 10.62% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Earnings - Canada Goose is set to announce its earnings on May 21, 2025, with analysts expecting earnings of $0.16 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 14.29% [2] - The consensus estimate anticipates revenue of $262.86 million, indicating a 1.02% decline from the same quarter last year [2] Group 3: Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Canada Goose indicate positive sentiment towards the company's business operations and profit generation capabilities [3] Group 4: Zacks Rank and Performance - Canada Goose currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate having increased by 1.18% in the past month [5] - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with 1 stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988 [5] Group 5: Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 9.56, which is below the industry average of 13.81 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.64, compared to the Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry's average PEG ratio of 1.4 [6] Group 6: Industry Context - The Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry ranks in the bottom 40% of all industries, with a current Zacks Industry Rank of 149 [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Insights - The article compares Canada Goose (GOOS) and Deckers (DECK) to determine which stock offers better value for investors [1] Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while Deckers has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - GOOS has a forward P/E ratio of 9.72, significantly lower than DECK's forward P/E of 17.16, suggesting GOOS may be undervalued [5] - The PEG ratio for GOOS is 0.65, compared to DECK's 1.13, indicating GOOS has a better expected EPS growth relative to its price [5] - GOOS has a P/B ratio of 2.22, while DECK's P/B ratio is 6.39, further supporting the notion that GOOS is more attractively valued [6] - GOOS has a Value grade of A, whereas DECK has a Value grade of C, highlighting the relative undervaluation of GOOS [6] Conclusion - Overall, GOOS shows stronger estimate revision activity and more attractive valuation metrics than DECK, making it a more appealing option for value investors [7]

Group 1: Stock Performance - Canada Goose (GOOS) closed at $8.33, reflecting a +1.96% change from the previous trading day's close, while trailing the S&P 500's gain of 2.51% [1] - Over the past month, shares of Canada Goose have decreased by 5.22%, compared to the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 6.97% and the S&P 500's loss of 8.86% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Financial Results - Canada Goose is projected to report earnings of $0.16 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 14.29% [2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue is $262.86 million, which represents a decline of 1.02% from the previous year [2] Group 3: Analyst Estimates and Ratings - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Canada Goose reflect short-term business trends, with upward revisions indicating analysts' positive outlook on the company's operations [3] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks Canada Goose at 2 (Buy), with a historical average annual return of +25% for stocks rated 1 since 1988 [5] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a Forward P/E ratio of 9.5, which is below the industry average Forward P/E of 12.4 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.64, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.24, indicating a favorable valuation relative to expected earnings growth [6] Group 5: Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which includes Canada Goose, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 146, placing it in the bottom 42% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth against a backdrop of a warm winter, with active share buybacks reflecting management's confidence [3][5] - Adjustments to earnings forecasts for FY25-27 have been made, with EPS projected at 0.30, 0.35, and 0.40 RMB respectively [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for FY23A was 16,774 million RMB, with a projected increase to 25,545 million RMB in FY25E, reflecting a 10.0% year-on-year growth [4][8] - Operating profit is expected to rise from 2,826 million RMB in FY23A to 4,762 million RMB in FY25E, indicating an 8.3% growth [4][8] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 2,139 million RMB in FY23A to 3,515 million RMB in FY25E, a 14.3% increase [4][8] - The company’s gross margin is projected to remain stable around 59% over the forecast period [4][8] Market Position and Strategy - The company is enhancing its brand presence in Northeast China through strategic collaborations, such as the partnership with Harbin [4][5] - The opening of a new flagship store in Beijing aims to elevate brand visibility and consumer engagement [4][5] - The introduction of AI-driven product designs is expected to improve operational efficiency significantly [4][5] Valuation Metrics - The target price is set at 5.26 HKD, based on a 14x PE valuation for FY26 [1][5] - The company’s current market capitalization is approximately 48,913 million HKD [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in the context of a warm winter, with a focus on brand strength and market expansion [3][4] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for FY25-27 have been slightly adjusted to 0.30, 0.35, and 0.40 RMB respectively, reflecting changes in revenue and expense rates [4][5] - The target price is set at 5.26 HKD, based on a 14x PE valuation for FY26 [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for FY23A was 16,774 million RMB, with a projected growth of 10.0% for FY25E, reaching 25,545 million RMB [4][8] - Operating profit for FY23A was 2,826 million RMB, with an expected increase of 8.3% for FY25E, totaling 4,762 million RMB [4][8] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for FY23A was 2,139 million RMB, with a forecasted growth of 14.3% for FY25E, amounting to 3,515 million RMB [4][8] - The company has a gross margin of 59.0% and a net margin of 13.8% for FY25E [4][8] Market Strategy and Initiatives - The company is deepening its collaboration with Harbin to enhance its market presence in Northeast China [4][5] - A new concept store was opened in Beijing to elevate brand visibility and consumer engagement [4][5] - The company is leveraging digital innovations, including AI in product design, to improve operational efficiency [4][5] - The management has shown confidence through active share buybacks, totaling 5,621 million shares since January 15, 2025, amounting to 209 million HKD [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve steady growth despite a warm winter, with a projected close to 10% growth in its down jacket business for FY25 [4][5] - The target price is set at 5.26 HKD, based on a 14x PE valuation for FY26 [4][5] - The company has actively repurchased shares, reflecting management's confidence, with a total of 56.21 million shares repurchased since January 15, amounting to 209 million HKD [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for FY23A was 16,774 million HKD, with a projected increase to 25,545 million HKD in FY25E, reflecting a 10% year-on-year growth [4][8] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 2,139 million HKD in FY23A to 3,515 million HKD in FY25E, representing a 14.3% increase [4][8] - Earnings per share are forecasted to be 0.30, 0.35, and 0.40 HKD for FY25E, FY26E, and FY27E respectively [4][5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is deepening its strategic cooperation with Harbin to enhance its brand presence in Northeast China [4][5] - A new concept store was opened in Beijing, aimed at boosting brand visibility and consumer engagement [4][5] - The company is leveraging digital innovations such as AI in product design, significantly reducing development time [4][5]

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Page 1 of 36 Condensed Consolidated Interim Statements of Comprehensive Income (unaudited) (in millions of Canadian dollars, except per share amounts) | | | | Third quarter ended | | Three quarters ended | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | December 29, | December 31, | December 29, | December 31, | | | Notes | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | | | | $ | $ | $ | $ | | Net income | | 143.6 | 131.4 | 75.9 | 50.5 | | Other comprehensive income | | | | | ...