智通财经APP获悉，国金证券发布研报称，字节跳动推出的AI视频生成模型Seedance2.0火爆出圈，大幅 降低了高质量视频内容的创作门槛，或成为AI影视发展的重要节点。元宝、千问等大模型新春活动加 速入口流量争夺。国内AI应用正加速向垂直领域渗透，形成技术与产业深度融合的新格局。在政策驱 动下，智能体技术成为核心增长引擎，已规模化应用于工业质检、医疗诊断等场景，推动AI从"感 知"向"决策"升级。展望2026年，将是AI应用从"技术验证"迈向"商业推广"的关键之年。 国金证券主要观点如下： AI应用产业趋势确立，2026年有望迎来双击 1)2026年应用是"必修课"。2026年无论是从算力的ROI诉求角度，还是互联网/软件/端侧公司做产品的角 度。 1)超级入口：大模型量收共振，流量枢纽地位确立。大模型已超越技术底座范畴，演进为AI时代具统治 力的流量入口。全球领军者商业化进程呈非线性加速：OpenAI ARR预计2025年底突破200亿美元，远 期锚定"数千亿美元"量级；Google Gemini 2025年10月单月Token使用量达1.3千万亿个，呈指数级跃 升；Anthropic Claude AR ...

Group 1: Company Overview - Snowflake Inc. (NYSE:SNOW) provides a cloud-based data platform that enables organizations to consolidate data, build applications, and apply artificial intelligence to generate business insights [3]. Group 2: Recent Developments - On February 2, 2026, Snowflake announced a multi-year, $200 million collaboration with OpenAI aimed at helping enterprises derive more value from proprietary data using AI, making OpenAI models natively available to Snowflake's 12,600 global customers [2]. - On February 11, 2026, Goldman Sachs lowered its price target on Snowflake to $246 from $286 but maintained a Buy rating, expecting solid fundamentals that demonstrate resilience relative to the broader software sector [1]. - RBC Capital reduced its price target on Snowflake to $245 from $300 while keeping an Outperform rating, citing negative investor sentiment toward software and a preference for companies with clearer paths to AI monetization [1].

Core Insights - HP Inc. (HPQ) is expected to report first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on February 25, with revenue estimates at $14.06 billion, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year increase [1] - Non-GAAP earnings per share are projected to be between 73 cents and 81 cents, with a consensus estimate of 77 cents, indicating a 4.1% increase from the previous year [1] Financial Performance - In the last four quarters, HPQ's earnings have missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate twice, matched once, and surpassed once, with an average negative surprise of 2.6% [2] - The upcoming results are influenced by the strength in Personal Systems and a slight decline in the Printing division [3] Product and Market Dynamics - The performance is expected to benefit from the momentum in AI PC products, driven by new launches and the Windows 11 refresh cycle [3][4] - The introduction of various AI-based computing devices is likely to attract consumer interest and contribute to revenue growth [4] - Increased customer adoption of gaming products, including new gaming laptops and accessories, is anticipated to enhance sales in the quarter [5] Economic and Competitive Challenges - Macroeconomic factors such as high interest rates and inflation are expected to negatively impact demand for consumer PCs [6] - Enterprises are delaying IT spending due to economic uncertainties, which may affect commercial PC sales [6] - Rising memory prices are likely to pressure HP's profitability, as the shift in supply towards high-margin memory for AI applications has tightened availability for standard PC memory [7] Earnings Outlook - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for HPQ, as it holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) and an Earnings ESP of -0.65% [8] - The results are contingent on the performance of Personal Systems and the impact of rising memory prices on profitability [9]

Earnings Reports - A variety of companies are set to announce quarterly results, including Domino's Pizza, C3.ai, Dell Technologies, Home Depot, Nvidia, Salesforce, and others [2] Economic Data Releases - Key economic data to be released includes factory orders, the S&P Case-Shiller home price index, wholesale inventories, consumer confidence data, and the producer price index (PPI) for January [3][4] Federal Reserve Speeches - Several Federal Reserve officials, including Christopher Waller, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, and Lisa Cook, are scheduled to deliver speeches throughout the week [3]

Core Insights - Snowflake has strategically deepened its involvement in artificial intelligence (AI) through a $200 million agreement with OpenAI and partnerships with Anthropic, positioning itself to capture more AI-related workloads and potentially divert revenue from traditional cloud infrastructure giants [1] - Founded in 2012, Snowflake has become a significant player in cloud data infrastructure with a market capitalization of approximately $60.6 billion, offering a unified platform for organizations to manage and analyze data [2] Financial Performance - Snowflake's Q3 earnings report revealed revenue of $1.21 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 28.7%, with product revenue rising 29% to $1.16 billion as enterprises increasingly adopt data infrastructure and AI workloads [9] - The company reported a net loss of $293.9 million, or -$0.87 per share, which is an improvement from the previous year, and a non-GAAP EPS of $0.35, up 75% year-over-year, marking the sixth consecutive earnings beat [10] - Remaining performance obligations increased by 37% year-over-year to $7.88 billion, indicating a strong pipeline of long-term contracts [11] Customer Growth and AI Adoption - Snowflake added a record 615 new customers in the quarter, with a net revenue retention rate of 125%, indicating existing customers are increasing their spending [11] - Over 7,300 customers are utilizing Snowflake's AI capabilities weekly, with the AI product becoming the fastest-adopted in the company's history, reaching 1,200 customers [12] Future Outlook - Management has raised full-year product revenue guidance to approximately $4.446 billion, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 28%, with expectations of a product gross margin of 75% and a free cash flow margin of 25% [13] - Analysts predict a loss of $2.32 per share for fiscal 2026, with a projected growth of 33.7%, followed by a slight decline in fiscal 2027 [13] Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings - Despite recent stock price declines, analysts maintain a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating for Snowflake, with 36 out of 45 analysts recommending a "Strong Buy" [16] - The mean price target is set at $277.43, indicating a potential upside of 57.6%, while the highest target price suggests a possible rally of up to 164% [16]

Core Insights - EverQuote, Inc. (EVER) is anticipated to show improvements in both revenue and earnings for the fourth quarter of 2025, with revenue estimates at $177.04 million, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth, and earnings estimated at 35 cents per share, indicating a 6% increase year-over-year [1]. Revenue Expectations - The revenue for EverQuote is projected to be between $174 million and $180 million, suggesting a 20% year-over-year growth at the midpoint [4]. - The automotive vertical is expected to contribute significantly, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $164 million, driven by increased carrier spending for referrals from major customers [5]. - The Home and Renters vertical is also expected to benefit from higher carrier spending, with a consensus estimate of $12.95 million [5]. Marketing and Expenses - Variable marketing dollars are expected to be between $46 million and $48 million, indicating a 7% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, with a consensus estimate of $47.33 million [6]. - The variable marketing margin is projected to decrease due to competitive pricing pressures, with a consensus estimate of 26.7% [6]. - Total costs and operating expenses are likely to rise due to increased sales and marketing, research and development, and general and administrative expenses [7]. Share Buybacks - Continued share buybacks are expected to positively impact the bottom line in the upcoming quarter [7].

Core Insights - The article discusses the behavior and trading habits of institutional investors, referred to as "smart money," highlighting their unique trading strategies and decision-making processes [1] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The author emphasizes a macro-oriented and data-driven investment approach, focusing on identifying trends that may not be apparent to mainstream financial media [1] - The importance of position sizing over security selection is highlighted as a key risk management strategy [1] - The article quotes Howard Marks on the necessity of holding idiosyncratic positions for successful investing, reinforcing the idea of taking calculated risks [1] Group 2: Analyst's Position - The author has disclosed a beneficial long position in several stocks, including XLK, ADBE, MNDY, NET, PLTR, and SNOW, indicating a personal investment interest in these companies [1] - The article is presented as an independent opinion, with no external compensation received for its content, ensuring the integrity of the analysis [1]

Group 1: Market Overview - Jacob Funds reported a slight correction in equity markets during November despite robust economic growth throughout the year, with recent conflicting data on consumer spending and the labor market raising doubts about future projections [1] - The firm noted that the recent moderation in AI tech companies could be beneficial, potentially accelerating profit margins and earnings growth while leading to weaker labor markets [1] Group 2: Company Focus - Snowflake Inc. - Jacob Funds highlighted Snowflake Inc. (NYSE:SNOW) as a new position in its portfolio, emphasizing its role as a leading cloud-based data platform that provides comprehensive data warehousing services for large businesses [3] - Snowflake's cloud-native architecture allows companies to store, analyze, and share data efficiently, which is increasingly important for organizations upgrading their IT infrastructure to incorporate AI functionalities [3] - The company has expanded its partnership with Anthropic, enhancing its AI capabilities, and despite fierce competition, Snowflake has established itself as a dominant player in the cloud data storage market [3] - As of February 17, 2026, Snowflake's stock closed at $177.10, with a one-month return of -14.24% and a market capitalization of $60.6 billion [2]

Group 1 - Oppenheimer has lowered the target price for Snowflake from $295 to $250 [1]

Group 1 - Citigroup has lowered the target price for Snowflake from $300 to $270 [1]