Key Takeaways Deere's Q1 EPS was $2.42, beating estimates; equipment sales rise 17.5% y/y.DE gross profit slips 2.9% as tariffs and higher costs weigh on margins.Deere raises the FY26 net income view to $4.5-$5B; expects mixed segment sales trends.Deere & Company (DE) has reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 (ended Feb. 1, 2026) earnings of $2.42 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.92. However, the bottom line fell 24% from the prior-year quarter.Net sales of equipment operations (comprising ...

Core Insights - Deere & Company (DE) is set to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on February 19, with earnings expected to be $1.92 per share, reflecting a 39.8% decline year-over-year, while revenues are projected to increase by 11.7% to $7.60 billion [1][4]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deere's earnings has decreased by 4.5% over the past 60 days [1]. - The earnings estimates for the upcoming quarters are as follows: Q1 at $1.92, Q2 at $5.55, F1 at $16.82, and F2 at $21.92 [2]. - The average earnings surprise over the last four quarters has been 5.2%, with three quarters beating estimates and one missing [2][3]. Segment Performance - The Production & Precision Agriculture segment is expected to generate revenues of $3.05 billion, a 0.6% decrease year-over-year, with operating profit projected to drop by 53% to $159 million [8]. - The Small Agriculture & Turf segment is anticipated to see revenues of $2.16 billion, indicating a 23.7% increase, with operating profit expected to rise by 49.2% to $185 million [9]. - The Construction & Forestry segment's sales are projected at $2.37 billion, an 18.7% increase, with operating profit estimated at $84 million, up from $65 million in the prior year [10]. - The Financial Services segment is expected to report revenues of $1.38 billion, a 5.9% decline, with operating profit projected at $238 million, down from $266 million [11]. Market Context - Deere's stock has increased by 27.3% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 24.9% [12]. - The company is currently facing challenges due to weak farmer spending amid low commodity prices, which has led to production adjustments [6].

Industry Overview - The Zacks Manufacturing - Farm Equipment industry is expected to face challenges due to lower farm income, with a forecasted 0.7% year-over-year dip in net farm income to $153.4 billion by 2026 [4] - Despite short-term challenges, the industry is projected to benefit from rising global food demand driven by population growth and improving living standards, with the U.S. agricultural machinery market expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.38% from 2025 to 2031 [5] - The industry is characterized by major players such as Deere, Kubota, and CNH Industrial, which are the top three global manufacturers of agricultural equipment [3] Trends and Challenges - The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) anticipates total production expenses to rise by 1%, with livestock/poultry purchases, feed, and labor being the primary expense categories [4] - Companies in the industry are facing cost inflation, labor shortages, and tariff-related pressures, prompting them to implement pricing actions and cost-cutting measures to protect profitability [6] - Technological advancements in agriculture, including automation and precision farming, are expected to drive growth, with companies like Deere, CNH Industrial, and Kubota increasing investments in technology [2][7] Company Highlights - **Kubota**: The company is focusing on smart agriculture initiatives and expects revenue growth in its Farm and Industrial machinery segment, supported by strong construction equipment sales in North America and recovery in Europe [18] The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kubota's earnings for fiscal 2026 has increased to $4.90 per share, with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 22.2% [19] - **AGCO**: The company is investing in precision farming technology and has seen strong demand for its products, with a long-term earnings growth rate estimated at 24.4% [24] The consensus estimate for AGCO's 2026 earnings has increased by 2%, suggesting year-over-year growth of 8.5% [24] - **Alamo Group**: The company is investing in organic growth and strategic acquisitions, including the recent acquisition of Petersen Industries, which is expected to enhance growth and margins [27] The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alamo's fiscal 2026 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 16.9% [28] - **Lindsay**: The company has enhanced its irrigation management capabilities through a minority interest acquisition in Pessl Instruments GmbH and is benefiting from rising infrastructure spending in the U.S. [30] The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lindsay's fiscal 2026 earnings has remained unchanged, with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 15.2% [31] Market Performance - The Zacks Manufacturing - Farm Equipment industry has underperformed its sector but outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 12 months, with an 18.3% gain compared to the S&P 500's 13.9% [11] - The industry is currently trading at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio of 30.66X, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 17.70X and the Industrial Products sector's 21.66X [14]

Core Insights - Nuance Investments, LLC increased its holdings in Lindsay Corporation by 133,190 shares during Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $16.03 million [1] - The total position in Lindsay Corporation reached 178,571 shares, with a valuation change of $14.67 million due to trading activity and price movement [1] Company Overview - Lindsay Corporation is a leading provider of irrigation and infrastructure solutions, with a market capitalization of $1.43 billion and annual revenue of $665.90 million [5] - The company focuses on addressing critical needs in global agriculture and roadway safety through its diversified portfolio, which includes advanced irrigation technology and highway infrastructure products [5] Financial Metrics - As of February 10, 2026, shares of Lindsay Corporation were priced at $134.89, reflecting a 5.23% increase over the past year, although underperforming the S&P 500 by 9 percentage points [3] - The company's net income for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $73.41 million [4] Investment Implications - After eight consecutive quarters of selling Lindsay stock, Nuance Investments reversed its strategy by significantly increasing its holdings, potentially capitalizing on a stock price drop of over 25% in Q4 [8]

Company Overview - Lindsay is a leading provider of water management and road infrastructure solutions, focusing on agricultural productivity and highway safety through technology and engineering expertise [6] - The company operates with a diversified product portfolio and has a strong presence in both irrigation and infrastructure markets [6] - Key brands include Zimmatic, Perrot, Greenfield, and GrowSmart, serving agricultural producers, transportation departments, municipal agencies, and roadway contractors [9] Financial Performance - For the fiscal first quarter ended November 30, Lindsay reported revenue of $155.8 million, a decrease of 6% year over year [11] - Operating margin was maintained at 12.6%, with irrigation revenue declining by 9% due to weaker North American demand, while infrastructure revenue increased by 17% [11] - The infrastructure segment achieved a 20.1% operating margin, which helped offset the decline in irrigation revenue [11] Recent Developments - Pier Capital fully exited its position in Lindsay by selling 71,799 shares for an estimated value of $10.09 million [2][3] - The Lindsay stake previously represented approximately 1.58% of Pier Capital's assets under management (AUM) [3] - As of February 2, Lindsay shares were priced at $127.27, reflecting a 1.86% decline over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500's 14% gain during the same period [3] Strategic Actions - The company has been proactive in capital returns, repurchasing approximately $30 million of stock during the quarter and authorizing a new $150 million buyback program [12] - Despite strong margins and a clean balance sheet, the backlog fell sharply to $119.2 million from $168.2 million a year earlier, indicating challenges in irrigation demand [12]

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Manufacturing - Farm Equipment industry is facing short-term challenges due to weak commodity prices, but it is expected to benefit from rising agricultural equipment demand driven by population growth and the need for mechanization [1][5]. Industry Overview - The industry includes manufacturers of various agricultural equipment such as tractors, combines, and irrigation equipment, with major players being Deere, Kubota, and CNH Industrial [3]. - The U.S. Department of Agriculture projects net farm income to reach $179.8 billion in 2025, reflecting a 40.7% increase from the previous year, although crop receipts are expected to decline by 2.5% [4]. Demand Drivers - Increased global food demand due to population growth and rising living standards is expected to support agricultural equipment demand [5]. - Farmers are increasingly turning to mechanization to manage larger farm sizes and rising labor costs, aided by subsidies for agricultural machinery [5]. Technological Advancements - Companies are investing in technology to automate farming processes and enhance precision, with a focus on smart farming solutions [2][7]. - Precision agriculture technology is anticipated to be a significant catalyst for improving yields while reducing costs [7]. Financial Performance - The industry has outperformed its sector but lagged behind the S&P 500 over the past year, with an 11% gain compared to the S&P 500's 16.5% [10]. - The industry is currently trading at a trailing EV/EBITDA ratio of 25.38X, higher than the S&P 500's 18.25X [13]. Company Highlights - **AGCO Corp.**: The company is focusing on precision farming technology and has seen margin expansion due to strategic investments and cost-control measures. It has a long-term earnings growth rate estimate of 12.6% and a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 327.7% [17][18]. - **Lindsay Corporation**: The company reported an 11% revenue growth in fiscal 2025, driven by irrigation and infrastructure revenues, and has a strong focus on innovations in water management [21].

Core Insights - Deere & Company reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings of $3.93 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.96, with a 14% decrease from the prior-year quarter due to higher production costs and tariff impacts offsetting gains from increased volumes [1][10] - Net sales of equipment operations reached $10.6 billion, up 14% year over year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.99 billion, while total net sales were $12.4 billion, an 11% increase year over year [2][10] Financial Performance - The cost of sales increased by 21% year over year to $7.94 billion, leading to a total gross profit decrease of 2.7% to $4.45 billion [3] - Selling, administrative, and general expenses rose by 3.6% to $1.28 billion compared to the prior-year period, resulting in total operating profit (including financial services) dipping 7% year over year to $1.35 billion [3] Segment Performance - Production & Precision Agriculture segment sales rose 10% year over year to $4.74 billion, beating estimates, but operating profit decreased 8% to $604 million due to higher production costs [4] - Small Agriculture & Turf sales increased 7% to $2.46 billion, with operating profit slumping 89% to $25 million due to higher warranty expenses and tariffs [5] - Construction & Forestry sales were $3.38 billion, up 27% year over year, with operating profit increasing 6% to $237 million despite increased production costs [6] Financial Services - Revenues in the Financial Services division were $1.55 billion, up 2% year over year, with net income rising to $293 million from $173 million in the prior-year quarter due to favorable financing spreads and lower provisions for credit losses [7] Cash and Debt Position - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of fiscal 2025 were $8.28 billion, up from $7.32 billion at the end of fiscal 2024, while cash flow from operating activities decreased to $7.5 billion from $9.23 billion [8] Fiscal Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Deere expects net income between $4.00 billion and $4.75 billion, with net sales for Production & Precision Agriculture projected to decrease by 5-10%, while Small Agriculture & Turf sales are expected to rise by 10% and Construction & Forestry sales by 10% [12] Stock Performance - Deere shares have gained 5.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 4.5% [13]

Core Insights - Deere & Company (DE) is set to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on November 26, with earnings estimates showing a 12.9% decline year-over-year, while revenue estimates indicate a 7.7% increase [1][5] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deere's earnings has decreased by 0.3% over the past 60 days to $3.96 per share, reflecting a downward trend [1][2] - The consensus estimate for revenues is projected at $9.99 billion, which represents a year-over-year increase of 7.7% [1] Earnings Surprise History - Deere has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 9.7% [2][3] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Deere, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [4] Segment Performance Expectations - The Production & Precision Agriculture segment is expected to generate revenues of $4.27 billion, a decrease of 0.8% year-over-year, with an operating profit of $714 million, up 8.6% from the previous year [9] - The Small Agriculture & Turf segment's revenues are estimated at $2.11 billion, reflecting an 8.6% decline, with an operating profit of $124 million, down 46.9% year-over-year [10] - The Construction & Forestry segment is projected to have sales of $3.29 billion, indicating a 23.7% increase, but with an operating profit expected to decline by 2.7% to $319 million [11] - The Financial Services segment's revenues are estimated at $1.55 billion, a 2% increase, with an operating profit projected at $218 million, down from $231 million in the prior year [12] Market Performance - Deere's stock has increased by 10.4% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 5.8% [13] Industry Context - Deere is facing challenges due to weak farmer spending amid low commodity prices, which is expected to impact its fiscal fourth-quarter performance [7] - High production and administrative expenses are likely to affect the company's margins, although favorable price realization may mitigate some of these challenges [8]

Core Insights - The industrials sector has several oversold stocks, presenting potential buying opportunities for undervalued companies [1][2] Group 1: Oversold Stocks - TaskUs (NYSE:TASK) has an RSI of 29.4, with a recent stock price of $13.65 after a 1.1% increase. The stock fell approximately 13% over the past month, reaching a 52-week low of $11.26 [5] - Lindsay Corp (NYSE:LNN) has an RSI of 29.3, with shares closing at $128.85 after a 0.2% increase. The stock has decreased around 8% in the last month, with a 52-week low of $112.14 [5] - GATX Corp (NYSE:GATX) has an RSI of 25.7, with shares closing at $163.02 after a 5.8% decline. The stock fell about 7% over the past five days, reaching a 52-week low of $134.01 [8] Group 2: Company Developments - TaskUs was upgraded from Neutral to Outperform by Baird analyst David Koning, maintaining a price target of $18 [5] - Lindsay Corp appointed Sam Hinrichsen as SVP and CFO, effective January 1, 2026, to support long-term growth initiatives [5] - GATX reported mixed quarterly results, with CEO Robert C. Lyons stating that market conditions remain consistent with expectations [8]

Core Insights - Deere & Company reported Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings of $4.75 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.62, but reflecting a 24% decline year-over-year due to lower shipment volumes [1][9] Financial Performance - Net sales from equipment operations were $10.36 billion, down 9% year-over-year, but above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.26 billion. Total net sales, including financial services, were $12.02 billion, down 8.6% year-over-year [2][9] - The cost of sales decreased by 3.5% year-over-year to $7.57 billion, while total gross profit fell 21.2% to $2.79 billion. Total operating profit, including financial services, dropped 31.7% year-over-year to $1.57 billion [3] Segment Performance - Production & Precision Agriculture segment sales fell 16% year-over-year to $4.27 billion, missing estimates. Operating profit decreased 50% to $580 million due to lower shipment volumes [4] - Small Agriculture & Turf sales decreased 1% to $3.03 billion, exceeding projections. Operating profit fell 2% to $485 million, impacted by lower shipment volumes and higher warranty expenses [5] - Construction & Forestry sales were $3.06 billion, down 5% year-over-year, with operating profit decreasing 47% to $237 million due to unfavorable price realization and higher production costs [6] Financial Services - Revenues in the Financial Services division were $1.42 billion, down 4% year-over-year, while net income increased to $205 million from $153 million in the prior-year quarter, attributed to lower provision for credit losses [7] Cash and Debt Position - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $8.58 billion, up from $7.32 billion at the end of fiscal 2024. Cash flow from operating activities was $3.46 billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2025, down from $4.14 billion in the prior-year period. Long-term borrowing increased to $44.43 billion from $43.23 billion year-over-year [8] Guidance - Deere narrowed its fiscal 2025 net income forecast to between $4.75 billion and $5.25 billion. Expected sales declines include 15-20% for Production & Precision Agriculture, 10% for Small Agriculture & Turf, and 10-15% for Construction & Forestry [10] Stock Performance - DE shares have increased by 39.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 37.4% [11]