Sphere Entertainment Co
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Morgan Stanley· 2025-05-22 00:50
Investment Rating - Industry View for Media & Entertainment, Telecom & Cable Services, and Communications Infrastructure is rated as In-Line [3][5]. Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of trading multiples across various segments, including Diversified Media & Streaming, Mid-Cap Entertainment & Sport, Mid-Cap Advertising & Film, Telecom & Cable Services, and Communications Infrastructure [6][20]. - Historical performance metrics are included for sub-industries over different time frames, such as 1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Months, 12 Months, and 3 Years Year-to-Date [2][6]. Summary by Industry Segment Diversified Media & Streaming - Price to Earnings (P/E) for 2025E is 42.2x, decreasing to 27.3x by 2027E - Adjusted Price/FCF for 2025E is 49.1x, decreasing to 30.9x by 2027E - EV/EBITDA for 2025E is 46.1x, decreasing to 29.1x by 2027E - Dividend Yield is projected at 0.2% for 2025E, increasing to 0.3% by 2027E [6]. Mid-Cap Entertainment & Sport - P/E for 2025E is 57.3x, decreasing to 27.5x by 2027E - Adjusted Price/FCF for 2025E is 40.6x, decreasing to 22.3x by 2027E - EV/EBITDA for 2025E is 56.1x, decreasing to 33.4x by 2027E - Dividend Yield is projected at 1.2% for 2025E, increasing to 1.4% by 2027E [6]. Mid-Cap Advertising & Film - P/E for 2025E is 13.7x, decreasing to 11.7x by 2027E - Adjusted Price/FCF for 2025E is 12.3x, decreasing to 10.7x by 2027E - EV/EBITDA for 2025E is 14.1x, decreasing to 12.5x by 2027E - Dividend Yield is projected at 4.3% for 2025E, increasing to 4.8% by 2027E [6]. Telecom & Cable Services - P/E for 2025E is 14.7x, decreasing to 13.5x by 2027E - Adjusted Price/FCF for 2025E is 14.3x, decreasing to 10.9x by 2027E - EV/EBITDA for 2025E is 15.0x, increasing to 14.1x by 2027E - Dividend Yield is projected at 2.2% for 2025E, increasing to 2.4% by 2027E [6]. Communications Infrastructure - P/E for 2025E is 24.4x, decreasing to 29.0x by 2027E - Adjusted Price/FCF for 2025E is 27.8x, decreasing to 24.2x by 2027E - EV/EBITDA for 2025E is 28.4x, decreasing to 26.0x by 2027E - Dividend Yield is projected at 3.4% for 2025E, increasing to 3.6% by 2027E [6].
Sphere Entertainment's Financial Outlook Remains Strong Despite Stock Dip, Analyst Says
Benzinga· 2025-03-04 18:25
Core Viewpoint - J.P. Morgan analyst David Karnovsky maintains an Overweight rating on Sphere Entertainment Co (SPHR) shares, while lowering the price target from $57.00 to $54.00 following the fourth-quarter earnings report [1] Financial Performance - The Sphere segment's AOI was reported at -$1 million, or +$4 million when excluding management transition costs, which exceeded the analyst's forecast of -$10 million due to stronger contributions from residencies [1] - SPHR shares experienced a decline of 14%, contrasting with the S&P 500's drop of 2%, despite improved AOI and anticipated higher consensus estimates [3] Management Insights - Management expressed confidence in the upcoming Experience show set to launch in the third quarter and noted strong year-end demand for Exosphere, which has continued into the current quarter [2] - There is growing artist interest in performing at the venue, and management highlighted opportunities for cost reduction and operational efficiency improvements [2] Expansion Plans - SPHR is in discussions for additional international locations, potentially adding one or two venues similar to Abu Dhabi, and is considering developing smaller venues in U.S. markets [3] - The company's financial performance since its opening supports confidence in securing additional international franchise partners, with potential growth from this expansion not yet fully reflected in the stock price [6] Market Position - The Las Vegas Sphere has established itself as a key attraction in the destination tourism sector, drawing both visitors and artists, which strengthens the favorable risk/reward outlook for the company [5]