Texas Pacific Land (NYSE:TPL) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 19, 2026 10:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsChris Steddum - CFODerrick Whitfield - Managing Director and Head of Energy Equity ResearchOliver Huang - Director of Research DepartmentRobert Crain - EVP of Texas Pacific Water ResourcesShawn Amini - VP of Finance and Investor RelationsTyler Glover - CEOConference Call ParticipantsTim Rezvan - Managing Director and Equity Research AnalystOperatorGreetings, and welcome to the Texas Pacific Land Corporation ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenues for Q4 2025 were approximately $212 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $178 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 84% [15] - Free cash flow for Q4 was $119 million, and for the full year 2025, record free cash flow reached approximately $498 million, an 8% year-over-year increase [15][16] - Full year 2025 oil and gas royalty production increased by 29% year-over-year, while water sales volumes increased by 4% and produced water royalty volumes increased by 25% [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Oil and gas royalty production grew 23% year-over-year in Q4, while water sales volumes exceeded 1 million barrels per day for the first time, growing 36% year-over-year [4] - Produced water royalty volumes grew 22% year-over-year [4] - The company achieved a 3-year compounded annual growth rate of 17% for oil and gas royalty production, 18% for water sales volumes, and 30% for produced water royalty volumes [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Permian Basin experienced a decline in rig activity, with the horizontal rig count down approximately 26% [17] - Despite lower rig counts, production growth was sustained through a drawdown of drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs), with an estimated 600 DUCs drawn down in 2025 [17][18] - The average lateral lengths of completed wells increased by 8% compared to the previous year, with new permitted wells averaging 35% longer than in 2024 [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging its strengths in water and land access to build large-scale energy campuses, aiming for multiple multi-gig energy campuses [27][28] - TPL is investing in next-generation opportunities, including data centers and produced water desalination, with a strategic investment in Bolt Data & Energy [6][7] - The company plans to invest approximately $20 million in waste heat capture and data center cooling at its desalination facility [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the growth pipeline for 2026, focusing on maximizing long-term intrinsic value per share despite a weak oil price environment [12][11] - The company maintains a debt-free balance sheet and a $500 million undrawn credit facility, providing flexibility to invest opportunistically [12][21] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to evolving market conditions and maintaining a resilient business model [22] Other Important Information - The company announced a regular dividend of $0.60 per share, representing a 12.5% increase from the previous quarter [16] - A shareholder event is scheduled for May 18th in Midland, Texas, to provide updates on company operations [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on power and data center development opportunities - Management noted that the opportunity set for power and data center development has evolved significantly, with ongoing commercial negotiations and promising projects [26][27] Question: Potential value from the Bolt Energy partnership - Management indicated that the water usage numbers for power generation and data centers could be substantial, depending on facility design [30][31] Question: Strength in traditional water business amid market contraction - Management attributed the strength in produced water volumes to legacy contracts and strategic implementation over the past few years [34][35] Question: Updates on desalination process efficiencies - Management confirmed that the goal is to reduce energy consumption in desalination, with waste heat capture being a key focus [45][46] Question: Exposure to rare earth exploration in Hudspeth County - Management acknowledged ongoing exploration projects in Hudspeth County, with promising early findings [48][49]

Core Insights - Wall Street is shifting focus from AI tech giants to infrastructure companies that will benefit from AI capital spending as investor enthusiasm for AI heavyweights wanes [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Shares in AI tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon have seen significant declines due to concerns over whether returns from their AI investments will justify their high valuations [2] - Infrastructure-related stocks such as Caterpillar, Lumentum, and Western Digital have experienced double-digit gains this year, contrasting with the S&P 500's return of 0.52% and the Roundhill Magnificent 7 ETF's loss of 7.3% [3] Group 2: New Investment Products - ETF providers like BlackRock, VistaShares, and Impax Asset Management are launching new products focused on AI infrastructure, reflecting a growing interest in niche investment opportunities [4] - VistaShares' Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF, launched in December 2024, gained 58.4% in 2025 and is up 16.87% this year, indicating strong performance in the AI infrastructure sector [5] Group 3: Fund Allocations - BlackRock's iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF has increased its investment in AI infrastructure plays to 74% of its $8.8 billion in assets, up from 59% a year ago, highlighting a strategic pivot towards revenue-generating sectors [7] - The BlackRock fund has attracted $7.9 billion in new capital over the past year, driven by healthy returns from holdings like Fabrinet and Monolithic Power Systems, which have contributed to a 3.2% return this year [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenues for Q4 2025 were approximately $212 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $178 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 84% [14] - Free cash flow for Q4 was $119 million, contributing to a record free cash flow of approximately $498 million for the full year 2025, representing an 8% year-over-year increase [14][15] - Full year 2025 oil and gas royalty production increased by 29% year-over-year, while water sales daily volumes increased by 4% and produced water royalty daily volumes increased by 25% [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Oil and gas royalty production grew 23% year-over-year in Q4 2025, while water sales volumes exceeded 1 million barrels per day for the first time, growing 36% year-over-year [4] - Produced water royalty volumes grew 22% year-over-year [4] - The company achieved a 3-year compounded annual growth rate of 17% for oil and gas royalty production, 18% for water sales volumes, and 30% for produced water royalty volumes [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Permian Basin experienced a decline in rig activity, with the horizontal rig count down approximately 26% [17] - Despite lower rig counts, production growth was sustained through a drawdown of drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs), with an estimated 600 DUCs drawn down in 2025 [17][18] - The average lateral lengths of wells completed on TPL royalty acreage increased by 8% compared to the previous year, with new permitted wells averaging 35% longer than in 2024 [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging its strengths in land, water, and energy to build large-scale data center and power generation solutions, particularly through its partnership with Bolt Data & Energy [6][8] - TPL aims to develop multiple multi-gig energy campuses, emphasizing the importance of scale in its operations [27] - The company is also investing in desalination projects to provide sustainable solutions for produced water management, with a facility in Orla, Texas nearing completion [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth pipeline for 2026, highlighting the ability to drive growth and extract value even in a weak oil price environment [11] - The company maintains a debt-free balance sheet and a $500 million undrawn credit facility, providing flexibility to invest opportunistically [12] - Management anticipates capital expenditures of approximately $65 million to $75 million for 2026, with a focus on water sales business improvements and desalination facility enhancements [20] Other Important Information - The company announced a regular dividend of $0.60 per share, representing a 12.5% increase from the prior quarter [16] - TPL is actively exploring opportunities in rare earths in Hudspeth County, with promising early-stage findings [47] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on power and data center development opportunities - Management believes the opportunity set for power and data center development has evolved significantly, with ongoing commercial negotiations and several projects in the pipeline [26][28] Question: Updates on the Bolt Energy partnership - Management indicated that Bolt aims to build a 10-gigawatt data center campus, with potential water revenue for TPL being substantial [29][30] Question: Current outlook for water business amidst broader activity contraction - Management attributed the strength in produced water volumes to legacy contracts and strategic implementation over the past few years, allowing for market capture despite activity level fluctuations [34][36] Question: Desalination process efficiencies and power intensity - Management clarified that the goal is to reduce energy consumption in desalination, with waste heat capture being a key focus to lower operational costs [44][45] Question: Exposure to rare earth exploration in Hudspeth County - Management confirmed ongoing exploration projects in Hudspeth County, with promising early-stage findings [47]

Brookfield Corporation (NYSE: BN) is a wealth-compounding machine. The global investment firm has delivered an annualized return of around 19% over the past three-plus decades, absolutely crushing the S&P 500's 11% annualized return. To put that in perspective, if you invested $250 a month into Brookfield stock, you'd have made over $3.1 million in the past 30 years. The company's target is to deliver 15%+ compounded returns for its shareholders over the long term. It's in a strong position to exceed that ...

Core View - CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) is positioned as a key player in the artificial intelligence infrastructure sector, benefiting from strong demand for GPU compute and long-term contracts with major AI companies [1] Group 1: Strategic Risks - The primary strategic risk for CoreWeave is that hyperscalers like AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud may become "good enough" in terms of performance, potentially diminishing CoreWeave's competitive edge [3] - CoreWeave currently enjoys a specialization advantage with infrastructure tailored for high-performance AI workloads, allowing it to outpace generalist cloud providers. However, hyperscalers are continuously investing in GPUs and AI-specific technologies, which could erode this advantage over time [4] - As GPU supply normalizes, enterprises may prioritize convenience and consolidation over performance, leading to potential pricing pressure and a shift back to existing cloud platforms, even if CoreWeave maintains a technical edge [5][6] Group 2: Capital Intensity - CoreWeave's significant capital expenditures are necessary for building AI infrastructure at scale, which requires substantial upfront investments in GPUs, power, cooling, and data centers. This capital intensity is currently a cost of entry into the market [7]

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Corporate Earnings - Treasury Wine Estates (TWE) reported a statutory net loss of AUD 649.4 million for the first half of fiscal 2026, primarily due to a non-cash writedown of its U.S. business and a settlement with a major distributor, but achieved an adjusted net income of AUD 128.5 million on revenue of AUD 1,297.7 million, with management optimistic about the second half of the year [2][8] - JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH) demonstrated resilience in the retail sector, reporting a net income of AUD 305.8 million on total sales of AUD 6,085.3 million, and declared an interim dividend of 210 AU cents per share [3][8] - Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd (BEN) outperformed analyst expectations with an adjusted net income of AUD 256.4 million and revenue of AUD 1,021.1 million, supported by a net interest margin of 1.9% and a CET1 capital ratio of 11.4%, declaring a 30 AU cent interim dividend [4][8] Global Markets - Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) successfully closed a $20 billion bond offering to fund its expansion into generative AI, including a landmark £1 billion "century bond" maturing in 2126, indicating long-term investor confidence [5][8] - Chinese authorities are tightening regulations on influencer marketing to mitigate speculative behavior in the stock market, with new rules prohibiting unlicensed financial advice and leading to the suspension of accounts spreading misinformation [6][8]

I have more that 35 years of experience in the investment field having worked as a sell & buy side analyst and portfolio manger for debt and equity funds. I am currently managing a high yield Latam bond fund.My goal, as a Seeking Alpha contributor, is to provide a fundamental view and analysis of companies and funds in a streamlined version of institutional research. The operating and financial forecast, whether my own or based on consensus, drives the valuation and ultimate rating. I like numbers (financia ...