GOOOOD MORNING CRYPTO!!! ☀️☀️☕️☕️I AM EXPECTING A BITCOIN RALLYRELIEF RALLY TO 50W MA!!!WE LOST 50W MA - SO SADNOW IT WILL LIKELY BE RESISTANCEBUT IT IS GREAT - CHEAP CHEAP BTC INCOMING!!!RT IF YOU WANT RALLY TO HAPPEN ASAP ...

Standard Chartered Bitcoin. Photo by BeInCrypto Bitcoin (BTC) is pulling back again after slipping below the $90,000 psychological level. Amid the ongoing recovery, Standard Chartered signals that the recent sell-off may have run its course. Elsewhere, BitMine chairman Tom Lee says if the Bitcoin price manages to achieve a new all-time high this year, it would obviate the fact that there is a four-year cycle. Bitcoin Set for Year-End Rally, Standard Chartered Says In an email to clients, the bank’s Head ...

Strategy's Q3 profit drops to $2.8 billion as bitcoin rally fades, mNAV premium hits 18-month low https://t.co/zXKEcycxCb ...

Market Overview & Investment Strategy - Paul Tudor Jones indicates all conditions are ripe for a significant bull run, similar to 1999, but warns of potential draw-downs [1] - Advocates for being prepared for market corrections following upward trends [1] - Highlights the importance of avoiding scams in the crypto space [1] Security & Storage - Emphasizes diversifying crypto storage for enhanced security [1] - Recommends Tangem cold storage wallet due to its security rating and ease of use [1] - Suggests using a StoneBook to safeguard seeds and passwords, citing its resistance to water, tearing, and tampering [1] Tax & Regulatory Compliance - Mentions a new crypto tax rule coming in 2025 [1] - Provides a link to crypto tax software with a portfolio tracker [1] Charitable Initiatives - Promotes Amigos De Los Animales, an animal charity, providing various cryptocurrency addresses for donations [1] - Supports ProTechos, an organization helping the poor rebuild roofs and training the next generation in carpentry [1] - Encourages donations to help provide a proper living space for the director of Amigos De Los Animales Animal Shelter [1] Risk Management & Due Diligence - Stresses the worthlessness of price predictions [1] - Recommends performing own research before investing [1]

Core Insights - Bitcoin's recent price surge to an all-time high of $125,708 may not reflect strong market fundamentals, as active network addresses have decreased, indicating a negative divergence between price and on-chain activity [1][2][3] - The decline in active wallet addresses suggests that the rally is driven more by speculative trading rather than broad market participation, raising concerns about the sustainability of the price increase [2][3][6] Market Activity - The daily count of active wallet addresses, based on a 14-day moving average, is nearing its lowest level since April 2020, which is a concerning sign for the market [2][3] - A sustainable price increase typically requires a rise in network activity, which is currently lacking, indicating potential instability in the current bull run [3][6] Futures Market - Bitcoin's futures open interest has reached a year-to-date high of $92.14 billion, reflecting a 10% increase since October 1, which may signal an overheated market [4][5] - High leverage in futures trading can lead to significant corrections if market sentiment shifts, as minor liquidations could trigger steep price declines [5] Price Stability Concerns - The current trend of declining network activity alongside rising prices is viewed as a warning sign, suggesting that the price may lack strong fundamental support [6]

Core Insights - Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT) stock price increased by over 10% due to record production and positive sentiment in the crypto mining sector [1] - Analysts are optimistic about Riot's potential, with predictions that leasing its data center could double the stock price [2] - Riot's August output reached 477 BTC, a 48% year-over-year increase, with electricity costs remaining low at 2.6 cents per kWh [2][4] Financial Performance - Riot's August mining revenue was $1.46 billion, up from $1.1 billion in July, translating to approximately $53 million from 477 BTC mined [3] - The company reported quarterly revenue of $376.7 million, with impressive EBITDA margins of 76% and gross margins of 70.1%, but a concerning net margin of -17.5% [5] - Total liabilities stand at $989 million, but a current ratio of 1.4 indicates the balance sheet can manage short-term obligations [5] Market Position and Challenges - Riot's competitive edge lies in its low electricity costs, which are below the US industrial average that increased by 4% year-over-year [4] - The company's efficiency remains a concern, especially as Bitcoin prices hover around critical support levels [6] - Energy market conditions, including rising oil prices and tightening natural gas supplies, could impact Riot's operations, although fixed low-cost power contracts provide some insulation [6]

Core Insights - Tether has significantly increased its USDT printing during a market correction, with a total of 8 billion USDT minted in September alone, indicating strong demand for USDT despite market volatility [2][7] - The market capitalization of Tether reached a new record of over 173 billion USDT, driven by increased minting activity [2][3] - Historical trends suggest that periods of accelerated Tether issuance often precede major Bitcoin rallies, indicating potential bullish sentiment in the market [6][7] Market Dynamics - Nearly 200 billion USD in market capitalization was lost in the final week of September, but this has led to renewed demand for USDT [1] - USDT reserves on exchanges increased from 43 billion to 48 billion USDT in September, marking an all-time high and signaling liquidity readiness for traders [4] - The netflow of USDT reached a new high in September, indicating more USDT is moving onto exchanges than leaving, which reflects a positive sentiment among investors [5][6] Investor Sentiment - Analysts suggest that the current minting activity indicates that large investors, or "whales," are preparing to buy dips in anticipation of a market rally [7] - October has historically been Bitcoin's best-performing month, with an average gain of 21.9%, and Q4 has shown an average return of 85.4%, adding to the bullish outlook [7] - The timing of when investors will deploy their USDT balances remains uncertain, but the market is poised for potential movement if a strong catalyst arises [8]

Market Trend Analysis - Every major Bitcoin rally has historically coincided with peaks and reversals in long-term US 20-Year Treasury Yields, suggesting a correlation between bond yields and Bitcoin performance [1] - Investors tend to shift from bonds to risk assets like Bitcoin when long-term yields decline [1] - Lower yields typically lead to cheaper credit and increased liquidity in the market [3] Bitcoin Performance & Prediction - Bitcoin could potentially surge above $150,000 [2] - In November 2023, Bitcoin increased by 175% following a decrease in yields [3] - In November 2024, Bitcoin increased by 60% following a decrease in yields [3] - In May 2025, Bitcoin increased by 48% following a decrease in yields [3] - As of September 2025, 20-year bond yields peaked at 5.38% and are now declining, mirroring previous setups [3] - Bitcoin is consolidating around $115,000, approximately 8% away from a new all-time high (ATH) [3]

Group 1: Bitcoin Price Movement - Bitcoin's price surged past $115,000, reaching a daily high of $116,317, marking a nearly 3% weekly gain [1] - The surge resulted in over $354 million in liquidations for leveraged traders, with $121 million from long positions and $233 million from short positions [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Rate Cuts - A Reuters survey indicated that 105 out of 107 economists expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points on September 17, lowering the target range to 4.00%–4.25% [2] - Weak labor market data has shifted sentiment towards a more aggressive easing path, with markets pricing in at least one rate cut and expectations for up to three reductions by year-end [3] Group 3: Market Indicators and Sentiment - CryptoQuant's Bull Score Index shows eight out of ten core market indicators are bearish, raising concerns about Bitcoin's short-term outlook [4] - The CoinGlass Bull Run Index (CBBI) is at 74, suggesting the market is about three-quarters through the current bull cycle, but only one of its 30 peak signals has triggered [5] Group 4: Potential for Continued Rally - Despite the recent liquidations and bearish signals, macroeconomic conditions could support Bitcoin's price if the Fed cuts rates and adopts a dovish stance [6]

Group 1 - American Bitcoin shares continued to rally after Dominari Holdings revealed a $171 million stake in the company, holding nearly 23.2 million shares [1] - Dominari Holdings' investment comes after American Bitcoin debuted on the Nasdaq last week, indicating strong market interest [1] - Hut 8 has shown improving price performance, earning an upgrade to its IBD Relative Strength Rating, reaching a score of 93 [2][4] Group 2 - Hut 8 has cleared key technical benchmarks, indicating strong relative strength in the market [4] - Analysts are optimistic about the Bitcoin market, with predictions suggesting Bitcoin could reach $145,000 [4] - The overall sentiment in the Bitcoin mining sector is positive, with miners finally joining the Bitcoin rally [4]