Deglobalization
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Bloomberg· 2025-11-07 16:49
RT Bloomberg New Economy (@BBGNewEconomy)POLL: Is the world economy truly deglobalizing — or just adapting? #BloombergNewEconomy📊 https://t.co/Ed2uAXAtOf ...
Brookfield Asset Management .(BAM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-07 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Quarterly fee-related earnings grew 17% year-over-year to $754 million, while distributable earnings increased 7% to $661 million [5][25] - Fee-bearing capital reached $581 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year, driven by record fundraising [5][24] - The margin for the quarter was 58%, consistent with the prior year, and up 1% over the last 12 months [26][27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Infrastructure and renewable power raised $30 billion, deployed $30 billion, and monetized over $10 billion at approximately 20% returns over the past 12 months [11] - The private equity business launched its seventh vintage, focusing on essential service businesses, with expectations for it to be the largest fund ever [18][20] - Real estate business saw approximately $23 billion in property sales, representing $10 billion of equity value over the past 12 months [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global M&A volumes increased nearly 25% year-over-year, with $1 trillion in announced deals in the third quarter, the highest since 2021 [7][8] - The demand for electricity is increasing at an unprecedented rate, driven by electrification trends and the surge in electricity demand from data centers [16][17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is launching an AI Infrastructure Fund to capture opportunities in AI-related infrastructure investments, estimated to exceed $7 trillion over the next decade [14] - A landmark partnership with the U.S. government to construct $80 billion in new nuclear power reactors positions the company at the forefront of clean energy initiatives [18] - The company aims to double its business by 2030, with plans to expand product offerings and diversify its investor base [30][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong fundraising momentum and expects 2026 to exceed 2025 levels [37][38] - The company is well-positioned to meet the increasing demand for power solutions, leveraging its renewable power business [17][23] - Management highlighted the importance of operational improvement as a key driver of value creation in the current economic environment [73] Other Important Information - The company declared a quarterly dividend of $43.75 per share, payable on December 31 [32] - The acquisition of the remaining 26% in Oaktree Capital Management is expected to close in the first half of 2026, enhancing the company's credit capabilities [9][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Fundraising momentum and management fee growth outlook for 2026 - Management expects fundraising to exceed 2024 levels and anticipates strong growth in management fees driven by new acquisitions and fundraising [37][38] Question: Credit business fee rate and growth aspirations - The elevated fee rate was driven by a mix shift and one-off transaction fees, with a positive trend expected in the credit business [42][43] Question: Integration benefits from acquiring Oaktree - The acquisition will allow for operational synergies, improved marketing, and client service capabilities, enhancing overall value [49][52] Question: Retail market momentum and distribution strategy - The company is seeing robust momentum in the retail market and is focused on building relationships with key stakeholders to capture growth opportunities [55][56] Question: Corporate direct lending outlook - Management remains cautious about direct lending due to competition but sees strong opportunities in credit related to real assets and infrastructure [60][61] Question: Private equity fund outlook amidst market backdrop - The company is optimistic about its private equity fund due to its focus on essential assets and consistent performance across market cycles [72][75] Question: Broadening the client base for fundraising - The company has dedicated teams targeting small and medium-sized institutions, family offices, and insurance institutions, leading to significant growth [79][80]
Brookfield Asset Management .(BAM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-07 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Quarterly fee-related earnings grew 17% year-over-year to $754 million, while distributable earnings increased 7% to $661 million [5][25] - Fee-bearing capital reached $581 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year, driven by record fundraising [5][24] - The company raised $30 billion in the third quarter, bringing total inflows over the past 12 months to more than $100 billion [7][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The infrastructure and renewable power franchise raised $30 billion, deployed $30 billion, and monetized over $10 billion at approximately 20% returns over the past 12 months [11] - The private equity business launched its seventh vintage, focusing on essential service businesses, with expectations for it to be the largest fund ever [18][75] - The real estate business sold approximately $23 billion of properties, representing $10 billion of equity value over the past 12 months [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global M&A volumes increased nearly 25% year-over-year, with $1 trillion in announced deals in the third quarter, the highest since 2021 [8] - The demand for electricity is increasing at an unprecedented rate, driven by electrification trends and the surge in electricity demand from data centers [16][17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is launching an AI Infrastructure Fund to capture opportunities in AI-related infrastructure investments, estimated to exceed $7 trillion over the next decade [14] - A landmark partnership with the U.S. government to construct $80 billion of new nuclear power reactors was announced, positioning the company at the center of clean baseload power development [18] - The company plans to double its business by 2030, with fee-related earnings reaching $5.8 billion and fee-bearing capital reaching $1.2 trillion [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong fundraising momentum and expects 2026 to exceed 2025 levels [37][38] - The company is well-positioned to meet the increasing demand for power solutions, leveraging its renewable power business [17][23] - Management highlighted the importance of operational improvement as a key driver of value creation in the current economic environment [73] Other Important Information - The company declared a quarterly dividend of $43.75 per share, payable on December 31 to shareholders of record as of November 28 [32] - The acquisition of the remaining 26% in Oaktree Capital Management is expected to close in the first half of 2026, enhancing the company's credit capabilities [9][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Fundraising momentum and management fee growth outlook for 2026 - Management expects fundraising to exceed 2024 levels and anticipates strong growth in management fees driven by new acquisitions and fundraising [37][38] Question: Credit business fee rate and growth aspirations - The elevated fee rate was driven by a mix shift and one-off transaction fees, with a positive trend expected in the credit business [42][43] Question: Integration benefits from acquiring Oaktree - The acquisition will allow for operational synergies, improved marketing capabilities, and enhanced client service [49][52] Question: Retail market momentum and distribution strategy - The company is seeing robust momentum in the retail market and is focused on building relationships with key stakeholders to capture growth opportunities [55][56] Question: Private equity outlook amidst market backdrop - The private equity business is expected to perform well due to its focus on essential assets and operational improvement, differentiating it from peers [73][75]
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners(BIP) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-07 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Brookfield Infrastructure Partners reported third quarter Funds from Operations (FFO) of $654 million, or $0.83 per unit, representing a 9% increase compared to the previous year, driven by strong organic growth [3][4] - The company maintained a well-capitalized balance sheet with liquidity totaling $5.5 billion at the end of the third quarter [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Utilities segment generated FFO of $190 million, slightly ahead of the prior year, benefiting from inflation indexation and over $450 million of capital added to the rate base [3][4] - Transport segment's FFO was $286 million, lower than last year due to asset sales, but slightly ahead when adjusted for capital recycling initiatives [4] - Midstream segment generated FFO of $156 million, a 6% increase year-over-year, driven by strong customer activity levels [5] - Data segment's FFO was $138 million, a significant increase of over 60% compared to the prior year, attributed to a full quarter contribution from a tower portfolio acquisition in India and strong organic growth [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted strong volumes across its networks and rate increases on rail networks and toll roads, contributing to solid underlying performance in the transport segment [4] - The data segment's growth was supported by the commissioning of new capacity at hyperscale data centers and increased billings at U.S. retail colocation data centers [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Brookfield Infrastructure has secured six new investments totaling over $1.5 billion, including a $1.3 billion New Zealand natural gas infrastructure operation and a $1 billion South Korean industrial gas business [9][10] - The company is focusing on AI-related infrastructure, expecting to deploy up to $500 million annually into this sector, which represents a significant growth opportunity [13] - The outlook for the company remains favorable, with expectations for new investments to deliver returns above the 12%-15% target range [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to source the best opportunities despite increased competition in the data sector, emphasizing their global franchise and access to significant capital [17][19] - The company is optimistic about the macroeconomic backdrop and long-term mega trends such as digitalization, deglobalization, and decarbonization driving future growth [13] Other Important Information - The company completed a $700 million corporate issuance of medium-term notes at a historically tight credit spread, enhancing liquidity and supporting growth initiatives [6][8] - Brookfield Infrastructure has generated over $3 billion in proceeds from asset sales this year and aims to achieve a further $3 billion over the next 12-18 months [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on rising competition for capital deployment opportunities - Management acknowledged increased competition in the data sector but remains confident in their ability to source opportunities due to their global presence and capital access [17][19] Question: Timing and success metrics for LP unit repurchases and ATM program - Management indicated that they are contemplating the program to increase liquidity and avoid dilution for existing shareholders, but specifics on measuring success were not provided [20][22] Question: Future IPOs for midstream assets following RockPoint's success - Management stated that public markets remain a potential exit strategy for monetizing assets, depending on market conditions [26] Question: Investment thesis for CenterSquare and future growth opportunities - Management expressed optimism about the growth potential of CenterSquare, highlighting significant expansion opportunities and a robust capital deployment plan [28][29] Question: Market interest in stabilized data center portfolios - Management noted strong demand for the data center portfolio and plans to continue executing capital recycling initiatives in Europe and other markets [33][35] Question: Differences between sovereign compute opportunities and hyperscale AI labs - Management highlighted the distinct nature of sovereign compute opportunities, focusing on creating tailored solutions for governments while also servicing hyperscale customers [37][38] Question: Organic growth rates in data businesses - Management indicated that organic growth rates in data businesses are tracking slightly ahead of underwriting assumptions, with significant new projects expected in the coming years [45]
Talk of 'death of globalization' premature: Maersk CEO
Youtube· 2025-11-06 09:12
Core Insights - The company has raised its guidance due to resilient demand across all geographies, including a recovery in the US towards the end of the quarter, alongside effective cost management that has improved margins across all businesses [1] Global Trade Perspective - The current global trade picture remains strong, countering narratives of deglobalization, with growth observed across many regions, primarily driven by China's manufacturing strength [2][3] Freight Rates and Market Dynamics - Freight rates have shown significant volatility, particularly in Q3, primarily due to supply-driven factors rather than demand, with an influx of tonnage expected to impact future rates [4][5] - The company anticipates continued volatility in the market, influenced by ongoing tariff negotiations and the need for clarity in investment conditions [7][9] China's Role in Global Trade - China's share in global trade has been increasing steadily, a trend that predates recent tariff discussions, with strong export growth observed across various regions including Asia, Europe, and Latin America [6][12][13] Regional Developments - The situation in the Red Sea has improved, with a ceasefire in Gaza being a positive development for shipping routes, although the timeline for reopening normal traffic remains uncertain [15][16] Environmental Commitments - The shipping industry is facing challenges in meeting decarbonization targets due to delays in regulatory measures, emphasizing the need for stakeholders to address these issues at COP 30 [17][18]
Canada and Mexico will be the greatest beneficiaries of Trump's trade policy: Strategas' Dan Clifton
CNBC Television· 2025-10-28 13:55
Trade Agreement & Tariffs - A status quo agreement is expected between the US and China, delaying restrictions on rare earths and avoiding new US tariffs, protecting downside risk for markets [2][3] - Potential upside in the China trade deal could come from tariff reductions if there's an agreement on fentanyl [4] - The US is signing smaller agreements with other Asian countries to restrict China's ability to transship goods, strengthening the US position in trade discussions [4][5] - The President may be considering a 10% tariff on non-USMCA goods from Canada, which are a small and declining portion of goods, as part of negotiations [5][6] - Canada and Mexico are expected to be the greatest beneficiaries on the trade front due to the absence of reciprocal tariffs, leading to the lowest effective tariff rates [6] Deglobalization & Supply Chains - The world is moving towards deglobalization, highlighting the risk of having supply chains located outside the US [9] - Both the US and China are gradually building their own chip and rare earth industries to become more self-sufficient, aiming to avoid disruption to the global economy [9][10] - A trade truce is more likely than a broad deal with China, focusing on minor issues to maintain the status quo [7][11]
Commodity trade faces geopolitical turbulence, Willis reports
Globenewswire· 2025-10-16 08:00
Core Insights - Commodity traders are facing renewed geopolitical risks due to military conflicts, increasing tariffs, and pressure on global supply chains, which may lead to volatility-driven profits for some players [1][2] Risk Analysis - The report identifies tariffs as the biggest economic threat to commodity traders, reshaping trade flows and injecting unprecedented policy uncertainty [7] - China remains the largest buyer in most commodity sectors, with slowing growth and deflation risks potentially affecting balance sheets, necessitating close monitoring of the economy [7] - Climate change is reshaping commodity markets, altering seasonal fuel demand and straining logistics [7] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly around Ukraine, continue to impact commodity markets, raising fears of supply shocks due to potential Black Sea trade disruptions [7] - Maritime trade faces rising disruptions from drone-enabled attacks and weakening global security guarantees, increasing costs and threatening the flow of global commodities [7] Emerging Risks - The evolution of European sustainability regulations could become a significant concern, impacting the global market's operation and balancing the need for reliable imports with data privacy and climate impact [3] - Potential turmoil in the global bond market may arise from the end of extraordinary stimulus measures aimed at combating post-pandemic inflation, with isolated examples raising concerns for larger problems [3] Industry Perspective - The current protectionist era is prompting governments and businesses to move towards onshore production, yet trade remains crucial for commodities that are difficult to produce in many regions [4]
Empire Asset Management Adjusts Rating for Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE:BAM)
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-03 18:06
Group 1 - Empire Asset Management adjusted its rating for Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) to Neutral, maintaining a hold action, with BAM's stock price around $57.35 [1][5] - Bank of America revised its price target for BAM, lowering it from $68 to $67 [1] - BAM's business model is characterized as high-growth and asset-light, leveraging trends such as digital infrastructure, deglobalization, and decarbonization [2] Group 2 - In Q2, BAM reported a 16% year-over-year increase in fee-related earnings, supported by significant capital inflows of $97 billion over the past year [2][5] - The current price-to-distributable earnings (DE) multiple for BAM is 38x, but projected annual DE growth of 18% could reduce this multiple to 16x by 2030 [3][5] - BAM's stock price fluctuated between a low of $56.86 and a high of $57.38 on the day, with a market capitalization of approximately $92.5 billion [4]
Blackstone’s McCarthy-Baldwin ‘Enthusiastic’ on Data Centers
MINT· 2025-10-01 15:34
Group 1 - Blackstone Inc. is optimistic about data centers due to a surge in demand for computing and does not perceive a bubble in the sector [1] - The demand for data centers is driven by the increasing need for information, computing power, and content as the world becomes more digitized [2] - Major tech companies are planning to invest hundreds of billions of dollars in data centers, indicating strong market interest [3] Group 2 - There is a consensus on the attractiveness of real estate as an investment asset class, particularly following a decline in construction and an increase in cash flow [5] - The global themes influencing the real estate sector include demographics, digitization, decarbonization, deglobalization, and defense [6] - Investment strategies in the sector are focusing on logistics, living spaces, and data centers, with an emphasis on stable income or net leases [6]
3 Great High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Buy in September
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-05 07:01
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights three attractive high-yield dividend stocks: Brookfield Infrastructure, Enterprise Products Partners, and Realty Income, which are recommended for investors seeking a reliable income stream in September. Brookfield Infrastructure - Brookfield Infrastructure currently yields 4.3%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 1.2% yield, and has consistently increased its dividend for 16 years at a 9% compound annual growth rate [2][4] - The company anticipates a long-term payout growth of 5% to 9% annually, supported by a robust infrastructure portfolio that generates stable cash flows linked to inflation [5][6] - Brookfield has a substantial backlog of organic expansion projects, including semiconductor fabrication facilities and data centers, which will contribute to future growth [6] Enterprise Products Partners - Enterprise Products Partners offers a yield of 6.8% and has raised its distribution for 27 consecutive years, with a 3.8% increase over the past year [8] - The company plans to launch $6 billion in organic growth capital projects in the latter half of the year, including new natural gas processing plants and pipeline expansions, which will enhance cash flow [9][10] - With a strong financial profile, Enterprise Products is well-positioned to invest in additional growth projects and maintain its high-yield distribution [10] Realty Income - Realty Income has a current dividend yield of 5.6% and has increased its monthly dividend 131 times since its public listing, achieving a 4.2% compound annual growth rate [11][12] - The REIT's growth is primarily driven by acquisitions, investing billions annually in income-producing real estate, and maintaining a strong balance sheet for financial flexibility [12] - Realty Income sees a $14 trillion opportunity in commercial real estate across the U.S. and Europe, expanding its investment platform into new property types and regions [13] Summary of Investment Opportunities - Brookfield Infrastructure, Enterprise Products Partners, and Realty Income are highlighted as strong candidates for high-yield dividend investments, backed by solid financials and growth potential, making them suitable for investors seeking stable and growing income streams [14]