We are in the process of accelerating deglobalization. The process of de-globalization involves decoupling into two blocks: 1) the US-led block with the EU allies and other NATO members, and 2) the China-led block, together with Russia, Iran, and North Korea.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am n ...

China’s stock and bond markets are decoupling, breaking the inverse correlation where debt traditionally rises when equities fall, as bets on monetary easing take a backseat https://t.co/6Rrn9r3NBO ...

The convergence between the S&P 500 and Nifty 50 — driven by weakness in US markets and India’s relative strength — highlights a rare phase of decoupling for Indian stocks. Read for free with your email on what could move markets today https://t.co/7gRvr63zZk ...

The convergence between the S&P 500 and Nifty 50 — driven by weakness in US markets and India’s relative strength — highlights a rare phase of decoupling for Indian stocks. Read for free with your email on what could move markets today https://t.co/7gRvr63zZk ...

Singapore’s Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan says tensions between the US and China appear to be in a “tactical pause,” warning that a partial decoupling of the economic giants was inevitable if they’re unable to rebuild trust https://t.co/fB5cW1qMvA ...

Core Insights - The conference reflects a shift from a "China for China" narrative to a broader interest from international investors and companies in the Chinese market, indicating a significant change in dynamics [2][3][6] - The recent truce in trade relations between the U.S. and China has provided stability, allowing both sides to focus on transactional relationships and mutual interests [3][10] - Citi's strategy in China emphasizes growth and innovation, with a focus on serving international clients and supporting Chinese companies in their global expansion [6][10][14] Company Strategy - Citi has divested from its consumer banking business and retail wealth management, focusing instead on international clients and cross-border needs [5][13] - The firm is experiencing growth in headcount and productivity, countering narratives of pulling back from China [7][8][18] - Citi aims to leverage technological advancements to enhance client service and operational efficiency, with a notable increase in productivity in coding teams [16][18] Market Outlook - The Chinese economy is transitioning towards advanced manufacturing and innovation, with a significant portion of global robotic companies based in China [10] - New trade corridors are emerging, particularly between Asia and the Middle East, indicating a shift in global trade dynamics [12] - The wealth management sector is expected to grow significantly in Asia, with a focus on high-net-worth individuals and mid-market companies [15][21] Financial Health - Citi's balance sheet is described as pristine, with over 80% of corporate assets being investment grade, reflecting a strong financial position [30][31] - The firm is optimistic about the U.S. market outlook heading into 2026, despite concerns about inflation and potential economic challenges [27][29] - There are indications of frothiness in certain market segments, but core infrastructure investments are expected to yield productivity benefits [33][34]

China signaled it'll pursue tech self-reliance, while the US inked a rare earths deal with Australia – moves that take decoupling further https://t.co/Yl7rrhugiH ...

Market Sentiment & Strategy - 市场能够摆脱负面消息，主要因为四月解放日低点后仓位较轻，机构投资者逢低买入 [2] - 随着仓位变满和扩张，2026 年初可能出现更多波动，但目前追逐仍在继续 [3] - 投资者正在重返投机性股票，但应在此处获利了结 [5][6] - 随着流动性收紧，低质量股票的回报可能会降低，高质量股票将迎来机会 [7][8][10] Economic Decoupling - 美国经济与劳动力市场出现脱钩，亚特兰大联邦 GDP 现在为本季度 3.9%，表明美国经济强劲，但劳动力市场不强劲 [5] - 人工智能和富裕消费者支撑着美国经济，而更广泛的劳动力市场仍在挣扎，这种脱钩可能会持续一段时间 [5] Investment Recommendation - 推荐 DGRW ETF，股息率约为 1.46%，标普 ETF 股息率约为 1.15% [7][9] - DGRW ETF 滞后于年初至今的表现，因为低质量股票一直是市场领导者，但随着流动性收紧，低质量股票开始消退，DGRW ETF 将有机会 [9][10]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇨🇳 WTO Chief warns global GDP could drop by 7% if the US & China decouple. ...

Core Viewpoint - The current market concerns are more focused on trade tensions, particularly between the US and China, rather than the government shutdown, with recent developments around rare earth mineral restrictions escalating tensions [1]. Trade Relations - China is attempting to frame its actions as a response to US provocations, despite claims that the US is not to blame for the current situation [2]. - The conflict is characterized as a broader issue of China versus the world, not just a US-China problem, with international allies coordinating a unified response [3]. Economic Impact - The US has various levers to counteract China's actions, indicating that both sides possess significant economic leverage over each other [4][6]. - There is a desire to avoid damaging either economy, but the US is committed to asserting its sovereignty in trade matters [5]. Strategic Industries - The investment boom in the US is partly driven by a need to reshore strategic industries, including pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, shipbuilding, steel, and rare earths, which have been neglected in past administrations [7][8]. - The COVID-19 pandemic served as a catalyst for bringing back these industries, highlighting the importance of self-sufficiency in critical sectors [7]. Diplomatic Engagement - High-level communications between US and Chinese officials are ongoing, with efforts to maintain dialogue and prevent escalation [9][10]. - The relationship between the leaders of the US and China is seen as a stabilizing factor, contributing to the avoidance of further escalation in trade tensions [11]. Market Reactions - The stock market's performance is linked to economic policies rather than solely to trade negotiations, with the implication that strong measures against China will be taken if deemed necessary for economic health [12].