首先，外围市场持续走弱，A股市场缩量调整。 海外市场近期连续调整，主要是关于AI的发展进程有不小分歧，引发了美国大型科技公司的集体下 跌。此外，美联储12月的降息预期较之前有所下滑，亦引发了市场风险偏好的下降。A股市受到相关产业链带动的影响，近期也出现了一定的调整。从市 场格局来看，总体呈现高低切换，风格偏防守，属于典型的年底盘整行情特征：板块轮动、主线不清晰和均衡化配置。 其次，周二两市继续调整，失守30天均线。 沪指今日低开后震荡下行，收盘跌破了30天均线。深圳成指继续在短期均线下方运行，盘中低点接近60 天均线。两市成交金额不到2万亿元，较周一略有增加。当天市场热点主要集中在TMT行业。投资风格方面，大盘蓝筹股相对抗跌，中小盘股跌幅更大。 从市场运行节奏看，沪指围绕4000点附近反复拉锯，深圳成指处于整理形态。 沪指近期围绕4000点反复波动，上周五创出新高后快速回落，本周开 局继续向下调整，目前已经失守了30天均线。深圳成指近期处于整理形态，同样运行在所有短期均线下方。需要密切关注短期均线能否重新收回。 风险提示： 国际贸易、地缘冲突超出预期；上市公司业绩增速回落超预期；全球经济衰退超预期。 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - The article warns that the information may not be accurate or provided in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages users to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article mentions that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information provided [1]

Right, let's switch gears now and bring in our first guest of the show. Joining us now is Jim Biano, president Biano Research. It's always lovely to talk to you, Jim.Uh let's get to what we're likely to hear this week as far as this whole K-shaped economy. Uh because when we talk about this, which we do very often, uh it's important to point out exactly what that means. Uh because you've actually argued uh that this is really about inflation and not jobs.Can you unpack that for us. >> Sure. The K-shaped eco ...

As is often the case, we are navigating by the stars under cloudy skies. In such circumstances, riskmanagement considerations are critical. At upcoming meetings, we will assess our progress based on the totality of the data and the evolving outlook and risks.>> So that was Fed Chair J. Pal back in August of 2023. Now, the proverbial cloudy skies are even cloudier as the Fed is trying to navigate a December meeting without key economic data because of the government shutdown.Let's bring in Crescent Chief Inv ...

🇺🇸 UPDATE: Markets see a 45.8% chance of a Fed rate cut in December. https://t.co/JL4ZzWry9y ...

on investors minds is the future of Fed policy and whether we will actually see a cut at the Fed's final meeting of the year which is just about a month away. Yahoo Finances Fed correspondent Jennifer Shawnberger is here with more. Jen, >> hey Miles, a rate cut in December is becoming increasingly doubtful as more Fed officials are expressing caution about cutting rates further.Today, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid the latest to reiterate that he believes inflation is too high right now and that he t ...

The dollar index (DXY00) rose by +0.13% on Friday as it recovered from Thursday’s 2-week low.  The dollar moved higher on Friday, following hawkish comments from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, who argued against additional Fed rate cuts.  The dollar fell back from its best level on Friday after stocks rebounded from early losses, reducing liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar also has carryover support from Thursday, when several Fed presidents said they ...

Core Viewpoint - The current financial conditions are favorable, and the Federal Reserve's rate cuts may not have been necessary, leading to market volatility and presenting investment opportunities outside speculative assets [4][6]. Financial Sector Analysis - The financial sector is not experiencing a hiccup that would inhibit lending or slow GDP growth, as financial conditions remain easy with tight credit spreads [3]. - Prior to the pandemic, GDP was tracking around 3.5% to 4%, indicating a strong economic backdrop [4]. Investment Opportunities - There is a significant speculative nature in the market, with record participation in options and leveraged ETFs, suggesting a potential for volatility that could highlight alternative investment opportunities [5][6]. - The focus should be on boring investments such as dividends and quality stocks, particularly outside the tech sector, where non-US quality stocks are growing faster than major US tech companies [5][6]. Geographic Focus - Increasing non-US exposure is recommended, particularly in quality large-cap stocks in Europe and Asia (excluding Japan), which offer higher dividend yields, faster growth, and attractive valuations [8]. - The current market conditions present a growth story for non-US investments that was previously lacking [8]. Crypto and AI Investment Stance - The company has historically been critical of crypto and has not engaged in it, suggesting a cautious approach to speculative assets [9]. - For AI investments, diversification is advised, with a recommendation to take profits from significant gains and reallocate into a more balanced portfolio [10].

Core Insights - Wall Street experienced a significant decline, with large-cap technology companies losing $1.5 trillion in market value over two days due to reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December [1][2][12] Market Performance - Major US indices faced volatility, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 1.5%, the S&P 500 dropping 1.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing 479 points, marking the lowest intraday levels of the week [3][4][7] - The selloff on Thursday was noted as the worst one-day performance for major US indices since October 10, with the Dow reversing gains from the previous day [7][9] Technology Sector Impact - Top technology companies such as Nvidia, Microsoft, Palantir, Tesla, Amazon, Intel, and AMD saw sharp declines despite reporting strong earnings [2][15] - AI-focused stocks were particularly affected, as investors expressed concerns over overvaluation in companies heavily investing in artificial intelligence [2][8][15] Individual Stock Movements - Nvidia dropped 2.8%, AMD slid 4.7%, and both Tesla and Palantir fell 3% following larger declines on the previous day [6][15] - Significant losses were reported for Palantir (-11.0%), Tesla (-10.5%), Intel (-9.0%), and AMD (-8.0%) among others [14][15] Investor Sentiment - Investor concerns centered around the sustainability of the AI trade, with Oracle's pullback raising alarms about stretched valuations and rising debt [8][9] - Expectations for a Fed rate cut in December decreased, with traders now assigning a 52% chance of a quarter-point cut, down from 62.9% earlier in the week [9][15] Notable Gains Amidst Turbulence - A few companies saw notable gains, including Cidara Therapeutics which surged 105% after a $9.2 billion acquisition announcement by Merck, and Avadel Pharmaceuticals which rose 20% following a purchase offer [10][11]

Group 1 - The market is experiencing volatility, particularly in tech stocks, with a notable selloff in the NASDAQ and major tech names due to concerns over AI valuations and Fed interest rate policies [3][7][29] - Seammen's Energy reported a nearly 600% surge in adjusted profit, driven by increased energy demand from AI data centers, and the CEO expects this momentum to continue [4] - The US Treasury yields are rising, with the 10-year yield around 4.121% and the 30-year yield at 4.7%, indicating market reactions to potential Fed rate cuts [8][9] Group 2 - The Fed's hawkish commentary and uncertainty regarding interest rate cuts have contributed to market selloffs, with December's rate cut odds now below 50% [9][10][12] - ADP reported a slight recovery in hiring with 42,000 jobs added in October, but the shutdown of key statistical agencies has created uncertainty in economic data [11][12] - Retail investors have been pivotal in the market, successfully buying the dip in previous downturns, but current market conditions pose challenges to this strategy [15][21] Group 3 - The UK Chancellor is reportedly reversing plans for income tax hikes due to fears of backlash, creating uncertainty about how to address a potential £30 billion fiscal hole [49][56][67] - Analysts suggest that freezing income tax thresholds could raise around £8 billion, while adjusting the thresholds for higher tax rates could generate additional revenue [68][69] - The political turmoil within the UK government is affecting market confidence, with concerns about the government's ability to implement significant fiscal measures [66][70]