United States Commodity ETF (USCI) is probably on the radar for investors seeking momentum. The fund just hit a 52-week high and moved up 31.55% from its 52-week low price of $58.51 per share.Are more gains in store for this ETF? Let’s take a quick look at the fund and the near-term outlook on it to get a better idea of where it might be headed.USCI in FocusThe underlying SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Index Total Return seeks to reflect the performance of a portfolio of 14 commodity futures. The product cha ...

Want To Hedge Against Inflation? Buy A Forest https://t.co/fUBzeMv13O https://t.co/fUBzeMv13O ...

Now, everyone knows that the stock market continues to fly higher and that pessimists are screeching that everything is overvalued. The bears, they do have plenty of data to point to. The S&P 500 is now trading at 3.15%x sales.It's the highest valuation in history. Not so fast, my friends. There's a number of considerations worth unpacking here.For example, the US stock market is denominated in dollars, as you all know, and those dollars have been debased at a much faster pace than what the public has been ...

Company Overview - Bullish is a cryptocurrency exchange targeting institutional investors, combining decentralized finance protocols with a focus on regulatory compliance and governance standards [1] - The stock surged over 80% post-IPO, closing at approximately $68 per share after being priced at $37 [1] Market Context - Institutional demand for cryptocurrency is increasing due to regulatory clarity, the launch of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, and improved custody solutions [3] - The Trump administration's favorable stance towards the crypto industry and strong pricing momentum in digital assets are contributing to this trend [3] Financial Performance - Bullish reported revenues of approximately $97 million in 2024, a significant increase from $39 million in 2023, reflecting over 140% year-over-year growth [4] - Trading volume reached $250 billion in 2024, up from $72.7 billion in 2022, with a 78% increase in Q1 2025 [4] - The company expects to swing to profitability in Q2 2025, projecting net income between $106 million and $109 million [4] Competitive Position - Bullish owns CoinDesk, a leading crypto news and data provider, allowing it to integrate market intelligence with trading services [3] - The company holds crypto reserves worth about $2 billion, primarily in Bitcoin, which provides direct exposure to potential gains from rising crypto prices [3] Risks and Challenges - Established exchanges like Coinbase and Gemini present competitive challenges [5] - The unpredictable nature of crypto markets and price swings in Bitcoin and Ethereum can directly impact results [5] - The stock's initial rise was driven by high demand and limited supply, but the end of the insider lock-up period in February 2026 may increase supply and pressure prices [6]

Group 1 - Alan Brochstein is a pioneer in the cannabis investment sector, having focused exclusively on this industry since 2007 [1] - He founded AB Analytical Services to provide independent consulting to registered investment advisors [1] - Alan is the managing partner of New Cannabis Ventures, which has been a key provider of financial information in the cannabis industry since 2015 [1] Group 2 - Alan has led the investing group 420 Investor since 2013, which focuses on publicly-traded cannabis stocks [2] - The group covers 20 stocks, providing investment news, earnings report previews, and post-report analyses [2] - Additional features of the group include a model portfolio, 10 weekly videos with chart analysis, 3 weekly summary pieces, a monthly newsletter, and a chat for questions [2]

Group 1 - The article focuses on an exchange-traded fund (ETF) suitable for stagflationary or inflationary environments, continuing an inflation-focused series [1] - Binary Tree Analytics (BTA) aims to provide transparency and analytics in capital markets, focusing on closed-end funds (CEFs), ETFs, and special situations [1] - BTA has over 20 years of investment experience and emphasizes delivering high annualized returns with low volatility [1]

Group 1: Bitcoin Market Performance - Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of over $117,000 on July 11, 2025, driven by bullish momentum in risk assets and its correlation with tech stocks like NVIDIA, which recently achieved a $4 trillion valuation [1] - The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has increased by 15% this year, with a 4.3% gain in the past month, benefiting from favorable policy signals and tightening supply [2] - Bitcoin's recent performance is seen as a pressure release rather than a full-scale bull run, maintaining a tight $10,000 range over the past two months before the breakout [3] Group 2: Regulatory Environment and Institutional Adoption - Bitcoin's breakout coincides with Congress's "Crypto Week," where key regulations, including the GENIUS Act for a federal stablecoin framework, will be debated [4] - Positive outcomes from regulatory discussions may enhance institutional inflows into Bitcoin, with shares of Circle CRCL rising over 500% since their IPO [5] - Corporate adoption of Bitcoin is expanding, with companies like GameStop and Goldman Sachs increasing their Bitcoin ETF holdings, enhancing institutional credibility [8] Group 3: Bitcoin as an Inflation Hedge - Bitcoin is viewed as a hedge against inflation due to its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, which may help it retain value amid increasing fiat issuance and potential global inflation from tariffs [7] - Bitcoin has gained 26.4% this year, outperforming the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which gained 7%, showcasing its strength amid market uncertainties [6] Group 4: Interest Rate Outlook - Potential rate cuts later this year could favor risk-on assets like Bitcoin, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets [9][10] Group 5: Bitcoin Miners and AI Infrastructure - Bitcoin miners are pivoting to AI infrastructure, leveraging their data centers for more profitable ventures compared to traditional Bitcoin mining [12] - Companies like Bitfarms are well-positioned to meet the rising energy and space demands of AI computing, given their experience in building large facilities [13] Group 6: Investment Products for Risk-Averse Investors - New Bitcoin buffer ETFs have been launched to make Bitcoin more accessible to risk-averse investors, providing downside protection amid volatility [14][15]

Core Insights - Argentinians are shifting their wealth preservation strategy from cash to gold bars, driven by the declining appeal of the US dollar as an inflation hedge [1] - The relaxation of foreign exchange controls allows Argentinians to purchase gold directly with pesos, further catalyzing this trend [1] Group 1: Investment Trends - Banco Piano has witnessed a significant increase in gold demand, with a projected fourfold increase in gold imports from Switzerland by 2025 [2] - The net inflow into SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) surged by 170% year-on-year in Q1, reaching a total investment demand of 552 tons, the highest level since early 2022 [2] - Daily inquiries for gold jewelry have doubled, with prices around $114 per gram and attractive financing options available [2] Group 2: Regulatory Changes - Argentinians can purchase up to $7,200 worth of gold monthly without disclosing the source of funds, with a proposed increase to $12,000 [3] - The increase in gold inquiries and sales reflects a broader trend of seeking asset preservation amid economic uncertainty [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Global gold prices have risen over 27% in the past year, hovering around $3,300 per ounce, influenced by geopolitical tensions and persistent price pressures [3]

Investment Rating - The report recommends positive optimal allocations to both gold and enhanced oil futures in long-run portfolios as strategic hedges, as they have historically helped to reduce portfolio risk [4][60]. Core Insights - The report concludes that positive long-run allocations to gold and enhanced oil futures are optimal for investors seeking to minimize risk or tail losses for a given return [2][10]. - Gold serves as a hedge against losses in central bank and fiscal credibility, while oil protects against negative supply shocks [2][10]. - The report suggests a higher-than-usual allocation to gold and a lower-than-usual allocation to oil in long-term portfolios [2][10]. Summary by Sections Strategic Case for Gold and Oil - Investors are seeking protection for equity-bond portfolios due to recent failures of US bonds to protect against equity downside and rising US borrowing costs [2][7]. - Historical data indicates that during any 12-month period when real returns for both stocks and bonds were negative, either oil or gold has provided positive real returns [9][14]. Recommendations for Long-Term Portfolios - The report recommends overweighting gold due to high risks to US institutional credibility and sustained central bank demand [44][54]. - It advises underweighting oil because of high spare capacity and reduced risk of shortages in 2025-2026, while still maintaining a positive allocation to oil for potential tail risks [54][59]. Tactical vs. Strategic Positioning - For tactical positioning over shorter horizons (0-2 years), the report recommends going long on gold and using oil puts or put spreads to hedge against recession risks [59][60]. - For strategic hedging over long horizons (5+ years), it emphasizes the importance of gold to protect against shocks to US institutional credibility and suggests a balanced approach to oil [59][60].

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of inflation hedge investments in the current economic environment due to the escalating debt-interest-deficit situation faced by the US Treasury [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to take actions in response to the ongoing economic challenges, particularly regarding inflation and interest rates [1] Group 2 - The author, Harrison, has been actively writing on Seeking Alpha since 2018 and has over a decade of market experience, particularly in private equity, real estate, and economic research [1] - Harrison's academic background includes financial econometrics, economic forecasting, and global monetary economics, which informs his analysis [1]