Iran’s regime is desperate for a nuclear deal with America, explains an expert. But it does not want to appear a pushover.“We are ready for negotiation, but not for dictation,” Abbas Araghchi, the Iranian foreign minister, told us in an interview https://t.co/GCCNfafBt6 ...

Iran, far from stewing in resentment, is ready to strike a “fair and balanced” nuclear deal with America, its foreign minister told The Economist in a rare interview https://t.co/jsc4RluCAuPhoto: Arash Khamooshi/Polaris/Eyevine https://t.co/EshuqyxMBW ...

For now, a window is open. Donald Trump should send an envoy to Iran to learn what sort of nuclear deal, if any, might be struck https://t.co/aLiQPSVYuR ...

Geopolitical Risk Assessment - The analysis suggests Kim Jong Un is not seeking peaceful coexistence with the rest of the world [1] - A careless nuclear deal with North Korea is considered worse than no deal at all [1] Nuclear Disarmament Concerns - The report highlights potential dangers associated with nuclear negotiations involving North Korea [1]

Geopolitical Implications - Russia's President Putin indicates the US is making "sincere efforts" to end the war in Ukraine [1] - A potential nuclear deal is being floated [1] Political Events - A summit between Putin and Trump is scheduled for Friday in Alaska [1]

Geopolitical Risk - France, Germany, and the United Kingdom threatened to reimpose UN sanctions on Iran [1] - The threat is contingent on Iran not reaching a nuclear deal by the end of August [1]

Geopolitical Analysis - Israel's defense minister stated Iran crossed red lines with its strikes against Israeli cities [1] - Israel's actions, referred to as "Operation Kitchen Sink," targeted Iran's military command structure, signaling a potential for further escalation [2] - Iran's air defenses are considered weak, making them vulnerable to potential Israeli attacks [3] - The analysis suggests Israel might target Iran's nuclear infrastructure to prevent future conflicts and promote regional integration based on the Abraham Accords [4] Nuclear Capabilities and Negotiations - Iran is estimated to be approximately two to three weeks away from having enough fissile material for a nuclear device, but delivery mechanisms are still a challenge [7] - The Trump administration viewed Iran's nuclear program as a medium-term problem, while Israel considered it an existential threat [8] - Israel's actions may have achieved some of the goals that a nuclear deal might have accomplished [9] - The analysis raises the question of whether the U S and Israel were more tightly coordinated than it appeared regarding Iran [10] US-Israel Relations - Tensions existed between Israel and the Trump administration regarding negotiations with Hamas and the Houthis [12] - The Trump administration seemingly benefited from the situation without direct US military involvement, setting back Iran's nuclear capabilities [13]

more hours left in this and much more to go before we know exactly what's going on. >> All right, Megan, thanks very much. Megan Cassella, let's turn now to Michael O'Hanlon.He's director of foreign policy research at the Brookings Institution. Michael. And so we are hearing from different analysts that they think this could actually be a rather drawn out affair.That's going to kind of put that on one side of the equation. On the other side, are those pointing out that the market reaction here is not outsiz ...

Geopolitical Implications - The US administration initially suggested Israel acted unilaterally in the attacks, but President Trump later expressed strong support for Israel [1] - President Trump stated Iran had multiple chances to make a deal but failed, implying a potential for further, more severe attacks [1] - President Trump issued a 60-day ultimatum to Iran, which has now passed, suggesting a "second chance" for negotiation [2] - The US president is still aiming for a negotiated nuclear deal with Iran despite recent attacks, with the next round of talks potentially still scheduled [4] US Response and Preparedness - The US State Department has established a Middle East task force, indicating continuous planning for various scenarios in regions with heightened tensions [5] - The US is bracing for potential retaliation, reflecting concerns about escalating conflict [4] Potential for Escalation - Israel has declared a state of emergency, signaling a high level of alert and anticipation of potential retaliation [4]

Geopolitical Situation - Israel conducted a unilateral attack on Iran's nuclear sites, prompting reactions and raising questions [2] - The US initially emphasized non-involvement in the attacks [2] - President Trump expressed strong support for Israel, stating Iran had multiple chances to make a deal [2][3] - Trump issued a 60-day ultimatum to Iran, now past, suggesting a second chance for a deal [4] - The US is perceived as showing more explicit support for the attacks than initially indicated [4][5] Diplomatic Efforts - The US continues to pursue a negotiated nuclear deal with Iran despite the attacks [5] - The next round of talks, initially scheduled for Sunday, is uncertain [5] Security and Preparedness - Both Israel and the US are bracing for potential retaliation [6] - Israel has declared a state of emergency [6] - The US State Department has established a Middle East task force to plan for various scenarios in regions with heightened tensions [6]