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Correction Or Not, Keep On Riding The Rally
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-25 15:30
JR Research is an opportunistic investor. He was recognized by TipRanks as a Top Analyst. He was also recognized by Seeking Alpha as a "Top Analyst To Follow" for Technology, Software, and Internet, as well as for Growth and GARP. He identifies attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action to potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500. He has also demonstrated outperformance with his picks. He focuses on identifying growth investing opportunities that present the most attracti ...
UnitedHealth: I Can Confidently Say The Worst Is Arguably Over (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-23 14:58
JR Research is an opportunistic investor. He was recognized by TipRanks as a Top Analyst. He was also recognized by Seeking Alpha as a "Top Analyst To Follow" for Technology, Software, and Internet, as well as for Growth and GARP. He identifies attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action to potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500. He has also demonstrated outperformance with his picks. He focuses on identifying growth investing opportunities that present the most attracti ...
SCHD: Stay Vested To Avoid Being Tempted By The AI Bubble
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-21 15:30
JR Research is an opportunistic investor. He was recognized by TipRanks as a Top Analyst. He was also recognized by Seeking Alpha as a "Top Analyst To Follow" for Technology, Software, and Internet, as well as for Growth and GARP. He identifies attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action to potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500. He has also demonstrated outperformance with his picks. He focuses on identifying growth investing opportunities that present the most attracti ...
Ares Capital: Don't Be Fooled By The Dividend Cut Naysayers (Upgrade) (NASDAQ:ARCC)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-18 15:30
Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with robust price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors with a focus on strong growth potential and contrarian plays [3] Investment Strategy - The strategy combines sharp price action analysis with fundamentals investing, avoiding overhyped stocks while targeting battered stocks with recovery potential [2] - The investment outlook is typically 18 to 24 months for the thesis to materialize, aiming for robust fundamentals and attractive valuations [3] Target Audience - The group is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals, buying momentum, and turnaround plays [3]
Ares Capital: Don't Be Fooled By The Dividend Cut Naysayers (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-18 15:30
Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with robust price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors with a focus on strong growth potential and contrarian plays [3] Investment Strategy - The strategy combines price action analysis with fundamental investing to identify growth opportunities with significant upside potential [2] - The focus is on avoiding overhyped and overvalued stocks while targeting battered stocks that have recovery potential [2] - The investment outlook typically spans 18 to 24 months for the thesis to materialize [3] Target Audience - The group is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals, buying momentum, and turnaround plays at attractive valuations [3]
Nvidia's Best Days Look Well Behind Us
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-01 13:00
Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with robust price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors with a focus on strong growth potential and contrarian plays [3] Investment Strategy - The strategy combines sharp price action analysis with fundamental investing to identify growth opportunities with significant upside potential [2] - The focus is on avoiding overhyped and overvalued stocks while targeting battered stocks that have recovery potential [2] - The investment outlook typically spans 18 to 24 months for the thesis to materialize [3] Target Audience - The group is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals, buying momentum, and turnaround plays at attractive valuations [3]
格力电器_2025 年第二季度初步解读_收入不及预期,可能受竞争压力影响
2025-08-29 02:19
Summary of Gree Electric Appliances Inc. 2Q25 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Gree Electric Appliances Inc. (000651.SZ) - **Industry**: Consumer Appliances, primarily Air Conditioning (AC) Key Financial Results - **1H25 Performance**: Total revenue of Rmb 97.6 billion, net profit of Rmb 14.4 billion, representing a year-over-year change of -3% for revenue and +2% for net profit [1][2] - **2Q25 Performance**: Revenue and net profit declined by -12% and -10% year-over-year, respectively, and were -20% and -18% below Goldman Sachs estimates [1][6] - **Operating Cash Flow**: Increased to Rmb 17.3 billion in 2Q25 from Rmb 8.1 billion in 2Q24 [1] Market Dynamics - **Sales Decline**: Consumer appliances sales, mainly AC, fell by 5% year-over-year in 1H25, attributed to market share losses and intensified competition, particularly in the online channel [2] - **Domestic vs. Export Sales**: Domestic sales decreased by 5% in 1H25, while exports grew by 10% year-over-year [2] - **Contractual Liabilities**: Decreased to Rmb 12.4 billion in 2Q25 from Rmb 14.1 billion in 2Q24 [2] Profitability Metrics - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Core manufacturing GPM declined by 0.9 percentage points year-over-year in 1H25, while consumer appliances GPM decreased by 0.3 percentage points [3] - **Operating Profit Margin (OPM)**: OPM fell by 0.7 percentage points to 14.1% in 1H25 and by 1.5 percentage points to 14.5% in 2Q25 [3] - **Net Profit Margin (NPM)**: NPM expanded by 0.3 percentage points to 15.2% in 2Q25, supported by non-operating items such as government subsidies [3] Investment Thesis - **Market Position**: Gree is the largest residential split AC manufacturer in China and globally [7] - **Valuation**: The company is considered to have an attractive risk/reward profile with a forward P/E of 8x and a dividend yield of 6% [7] - **Growth Outlook**: Expected to grow in line with the overall AC market, with stable margin outlook due to product mix improvement and healthy channel inventory [7] Price Target and Risks - **Target Price**: Set at Rmb 53 based on a 10x exit multiple applied to 2027E EPS [8] - **Key Risks**: 1. Disruption to white goods demand from a weaker macro and property market 2. Rising material costs, particularly for steel and copper 3. High channel inventory impacting revenue growth 4. Diversification into other home appliances potentially reducing short-term returns [9] Additional Insights - **Cash Dividend Payout**: Potential increase in cash dividend payout ratio could serve as a short-term catalyst for stock performance [7] - **Competitive Landscape**: The company faces significant competition in the domestic market, particularly in online sales channels [2] This summary encapsulates the critical financial metrics, market dynamics, investment thesis, and associated risks for Gree Electric Appliances Inc. as discussed in the conference call.
CoreWeave: I Hope You Took Money Off The Table (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-20 17:29
Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with strong price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors with a focus on robust fundamentals and turnaround plays [3] Investment Strategy - The strategy combines price action analysis with fundamental investing to identify growth opportunities with significant upside potential [2] - The focus is on avoiding overhyped stocks while capitalizing on undervalued stocks that have recovery potential [2] - The investment outlook typically spans 18 to 24 months for the thesis to materialize [3] Target Audience - The group is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals and attractive valuations [3]
Realty Income: Keep Loading Up While The Market Ignores
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-19 13:30
Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with robust price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors with a focus on strong growth potential and contrarian plays [3] Investment Strategy - The strategy combines sharp price action analysis with fundamentals investing, avoiding overhyped stocks while targeting battered stocks with recovery potential [2] - The investment outlook is typically 18 to 24 months for the thesis to materialize, aiming for robust fundamentals and attractive valuations [3] Target Audience - The group is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals, buying momentum, and turnaround plays [3]
Berkshire Hathaway: Load Up While The Market Ignores
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-16 15:30
Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with robust price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors with a focus on strong growth potential and contrarian plays [3] Investment Strategy - The strategy combines sharp price action analysis with fundamentals investing, avoiding overhyped stocks while targeting battered stocks with recovery potential [2] - The investment outlook is typically 18 to 24 months for the thesis to materialize, aiming for robust fundamentals and attractive valuations [3] Target Audience - The group is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals, buying momentum, and turnaround plays [3]