Risk Premium
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Index Return Series Paper 1: A Guide for Total, Price, and Excess Return Indexes
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-15 22:41
Upon adding the 2% dividend (assuming no compounding), the stock would have underperformed the reference rate by 13%.The risk premium taken by investing in the stock would be -15% (i.e. a negative equity risk premium of 15%).For example, if a given company’s stock produced a loss of -10% over 1 year, its reference rate was +5%, and the stock held a dividend yield of +2%:Periodic income, while not always guaranteed, can reflect the consistent return attributable to an underlying investment.This premium refle ...
Oil News: Risk Premium Returns as Crude Oil Traders Target 50-Day MA Breakout
FX Empire· 2025-12-03 12:03
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal research and due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of complex financial instruments like cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are encouraged to consult competent advisors and consider their individual financial situations before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The content highlights the high risk associated with cryptocurrencies and CFDs, noting that they are complex instruments that can lead to significant financial losses [1]. - It advises users to fully understand how these financial instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1]. - The website may include advertisements and promotional content, and FX Empire may receive compensation from third parties [1].
X @Binance
Binance· 2025-11-27 22:01
Measure the trade‑offRisk premium helps you weigh reward versus risk.Read more 👇https://t.co/zrHohOrkm3 ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-18 09:43
RT Bloomberg TV (@BloombergTV)"It is what it is"The risk premium on African assets is "justified," argues JPMorgan's Daniel PintoHe spoke at the Africa Business Summit with Bloomberg News Deputy Editor-in-Chief Reto Gregori: https://t.co/yRFoZ8zHbX https://t.co/IFxYY0rEWF ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-13 11:30
The US junk bond rally came to a halt on Friday with the biggest one-day loss in six months, as the risk premium surged to near a four-month peak of 304 basis points https://t.co/N6KTjkj9xl ...
Oil News: Crude Oil Futures Sink Below Support as Gaza Ceasefire Eases Risk Premium
FX Empire· 2025-10-10 12:45
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided may not be real-time or accurate, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] - The article warns that trading decisions should be made at the individual's full responsibility, and reliance on the information provided is discouraged [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages individuals to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The content does not endorse any third-party services or assume responsibility for the use of such services [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-05 14:25
Market Trends - The risk premium for options is increasing across various assets, including stocks and gold [1] - This increase is occurring despite stable or declining implied volatility on benchmark indexes for most of the year [1]
Traders Pay Steeper Price to Hedge Risk From Stocks to Gold
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-05 14:00
Group 1 - The risk premiums for various assets, including stocks and gold, have increased since early September, driven by gold reaching new record highs [1][3] - Despite rising risk premiums, implied volatility on benchmark indexes has remained steady or even decreased throughout most of the year, indicating a lack of significant market swings [2][4] - Factors influencing the narrow trading ranges and rising risk premiums include rate-cut expectations for gold, supply and demand dynamics for oil, and uncertainties surrounding the Federal Reserve and corporate earnings affecting stocks [3][4] Group 2 - In the equities market, options volume reached a record high in September, with investors beginning to hedge against potential market movements as year-end approaches [4] - The S&P 500 Index has experienced low volatility due to low correlation among individual stocks, which has kept the VIX index muted despite rising single-stock volatility as earnings season approaches [5][6] - The oil market has shown limited movement, remaining within a narrow range due to a balance between expectations of oversupply and geopolitical tensions affecting supply, which has also contributed to low volatility [7]
Thinking of Buying the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF? 3 Other ETFs Vanguard's Experts Think Could Be Even Better
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-17 08:44
Core Insights - Vanguard recommends a significant shift in asset allocation, suggesting 70% of the portfolio should be in fixed income and 30% in stocks, focusing on specific market segments [1][4]. Group 1: Expected Returns - Vanguard's analysts project U.S. equities to yield annual returns between 3.3% and 5.3% over the next decade, with growth stocks expected to return only 1.9% to 3.9% [2]. - The aggregate U.S. bond market is anticipated to return between 4% and 5% per year on average, indicating a more favorable outlook for bonds compared to equities [2]. Group 2: Valuation Concerns - The S&P 500 ETF is viewed as expensive, with a forward P/E ratio of 22.1, marking a historically high level, and the CAPE ratio has reached levels not seen since the dot-com bubble [3]. - The risk premium for equities over fixed income has diminished significantly due to sustained higher interest rates [3]. Group 3: Portfolio Composition - The TVAA model portfolio allocates 37% to the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF, which tracks investment-grade U.S. bonds, reflecting a heavy weighting on bonds [7]. - The model also allocates 21% to international bonds, with the Vanguard Total International Bond ETF yielding 5.1% and employing a hedging strategy to mitigate foreign-exchange risk [9][10]. Group 4: Stock Selection - Vanguard's analysts favor U.S. value stocks over growth stocks, expecting value stocks to return between 5.8% and 7.8% annually, while only 11% of the stock allocation is directed towards U.S. value stocks [14]. - The Vanguard Value ETF is recommended as a suitable option for investors seeking exposure to U.S. large-cap value stocks [15]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - While Vanguard suggests a 70% allocation to fixed income, it acknowledges that equities have historically provided stronger long-term returns, advising a balanced approach for most investors [18].
Crude Oil News Today: Risk Premium Creeps Back on Russia Refinery Hits
FX Empire· 2025-09-15 14:34
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand these instruments fully before engaging in trading activities [1]. - The content may include advertisements and promotional materials, with the website potentially receiving compensation from third parties [1].